RSSObama Panic Alert … Ohio Democrats Already Down 270,000 Votes From 2008
Team Obama, his minions and the in the tank liberal MSM have touted that Obama was overwhelmingly ahead in his ground game and early voting. NOT SO FAST.
Last night Senator Rob Portman (OH-R) spoke with Sean Hannity discussing voting in Ohio and Mitt Romney’s chances of victory. According to latest reports, 230,000 fewer Democrats have voted early in Ohio this year. Also in contrast, 40,000 more Republicans have voted early in Ohio this year.
Gallup states that Romney is up by 7 over Obama in early voting. We will only know on election eve who has been telling the truth when it comes voter turnout.
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7 Responses to “Obama Panic Alert … Ohio Democrats Already Down 270,000 Votes From 2008”
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President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by six percentage points in Ohio, and edges the Republican by two points in Florida, according to an NBC/WSJ/Marist poll released Friday night.
The poll finds Obama ahead 51 percent to 45 percent among likely voters in Ohio, and 49 percent to 47 percent among likely Florida voters.
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SM: Sorry, but Obama has already lost Florida. You are referencing an outlier poll. RCP has Romney ahead in all but some suspect polls. Romney will win Florida by 3-4%.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_obama-1883.html
As for Ohio, the momentum is with Romney and so is early voting. If the reports are true that Obama is trailing badly in early voting in Ohio, he will lose as history supports that many more Republicans vote on election day than Democrats.
Ohio:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/oh/ohio_romney_vs_obama-1860.html
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SM: Do you understand the difference between a poll and voting? A poll is a model.
Word is on the ground in Ohio that the GOP has come out in mass to early vote and the Dems are MIA.
Who the hell would be excited about the past 4 years? No one.
So everything here is wrong????
how mitt will get to 270 is going to be pretty interesting
we will see
but would like to know your where your momentum is….
Wi:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/wi/wisconsin_romney_vs_obama-1871.html
MI:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/mi/michigan_romney_vs_obama-1811.html
Ia
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/ia/iowa_romney_vs_obama-1922.html
Nh
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/new_hampshire_romney_vs_obama-2030.html
NV:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/new_hampshire_romney_vs_obama-2030.html
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Sm: We shall see. After this election there is going to be many polls that will no longer have any credibility.
It is ignorant to use a 2008 sampling model when it is obvious Obama has no where the support or the enthusiasm as he had in 2008.
Today Obama was in a HS gym in Ohio spewing his BS, the very one that when McCain was in in 2008, team Romney stated that McCain had no crowds coming to see him.
Hmm.
Meanwhile Romney is in front of 35,000+ crowds.
I hate to break it to you but Obama has lost his mojo and this ain’t 2008.
amazing you are so small minded and partisan to think any poll you don’t like the results of is an outlier….
So Wall Street Journal is in the bag huh????
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SM: Do yourself a favor and look at the sampling so you don’t look so foolish.
conservative commenters, just can’t wait for Tuesday, when the American people will arise out of their torpor and finally send Obama to the dugout. I’m continually struck–nay, impressed, even–by the iron certainty with which they say this, and by their unswerving ability to pluck out the favorable polls (getting fewer and farther between, incidentally) and throw a bucket of ice-cold water on the ones they don’t like.
Objective reality says Obama is ahead. But to conservatives, there’s always something wrong in objective-reality land, always a reason to claim that the world is in fact spinning in the opposite direction. Quinnipiac has too many Democrats! PPP is a Democratic firm! This one oversampled blacks, that one Latinos. And of course, these objections are never merely just stated. They’re the rhetorical equivalent of dirty nuclear bombs. Conservatives on Twitter howl derisively at these polls as if their purveyors are offering alchemical cures for venereal disease.
We’re all prey to “confirmation bias,” as Paul Waldman called it in his American Prospect column Friday. We look at the polls that we know will be more likely to show the result we want to see. With Republicans, that has meant Rasmussen, obviously, and Gallup. With liberals it has meant…well, virtually every other polling operation under God’s golden sun, more often than not, because the simple fact remains that Obama has led in most polls for a year, nationwide and statewide.
But there’s confirmation bias, and there’s denial. Pennsylvania is up for grabs? If you say so, wingosphere. But Obama’s led in 53 straight polls there, journalist Eric Boehlert tweeted yesterday. In the last two days we’ve seen about 20 different state polls. Obama led in 18. If my guy were on the business end of results like those, I’d be psychologically preparing myself.
Which, indeed, I am anyway. You never really know. The mess in Eastern Pennsylvania could, maybe, so discourage turnout in the Obama-friendliest areas of the state he could lose. Fifty-three straight polls, and 18 out of 20, could be wrong. That many polls have never been that wrong before, but I guess there’s a first time for everything. (Please don’t mention 1948, wingers–comparing polling then to polling today is like comparing a ’48 Plymouth to a new Lexus.)
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SM: Conservatives actually like capitalism and freedom as opposed to socialism and tyranny. Go figure.
What a novel concept that conservatives do not like $6 trillion added to the debt in 4 years. Another novel concept that conservatives are for people working, not unemployed and on food stamps and what ever other social welfare that Democrats want to make people dependent on.
Here is the difference between you and I … if a Republican president had just had 4 failed years like Obama, I would know that the president would lose and most likely i would find it impossible to vote for a failure. You praise a president who if reelected will ruin America for all times and make a majority dependent on govt and in turn tear up the very premise on which the United States was founded.
outside the political realm, most conservatives are pretty reasonable people who accept outcomes just like the rest of us. If their team loses the Super Bowl, or their kid’s project doesn’t win the science fair, or even if they get passed over for that promotion, most conservatives surely are unhappy, as anyone would be, but they fundamentally accept the legitimacy of the outcome.
But not in politics. In the political realm, we have this hate machine, this massive propaganda apparatus, that tells conservatives that any turn of bad luck is not merely bad luck but the result of a conspiracy that society has hatched against them. Thus, Mitt Romney–whom conservatives used to hate, before they were forced to embrace him–has made no mistakes on the campaign trail. The furor over the 47 percent remarks, the two debate losses, and much else–these aren’t signs of his misjudgment or fallibility. To conservatives, they’re all part of the broader plot against him, and more importantly against them.
And so, when you look at the world that way, the conspiracy never dies, the rope never stops spinning. If Obama wins, the excuses will start coming; the excuses will mushroom quickly into reasons why the victory was illegitimate; illegitimacy thus “established,” the next mission is to oppose Obama at every turn with even greater fervor. Any political means necessary to stop or even remove him will become justified. It’s all as predictable as a goose sh*tting. And if Obama does win, it will start Wednesday morning.
A personal experience from Ohio and polls -
I received a call 2 nights ago. They asked one or two questions then asked if I authored or read any
political blogs. When I responded that I did not author any, but read quite a few, they thanked me and hung up. They didn’t even ask my party affiliation or how I might vote!