US Senate Races 2012 … GOP Poised to Take Back the Senate, Up in FL, WI, MT, NE and MA

Every one has their eye on the GOP Presidential primary and which Republican hopeful, Romney, Santorum, Gingrich, Paul, or a player to be named later will run against Barack Obama in the 2012 election. However, do not forget the all important US Senate elections. The GOP is poised to take back control from Harry Reid and the Democrats in 2012.

Republicans nearly took back control of the Senate in the 2012 midterm elections; however, because of the mere number of seats that Democrats will have to defend and the number of retirements, it is hard to imagine that Harry Reid will be Senate Majority Leader following the 2012 elections. Republicans look poised to pick up seats in Florida, Wisconsin, Montana, Nebraska and holding Massachusetts.

Election 2012: Florida Senate – Florida Senate: Mack (R) 43%, Nelson (D) 36%. Incumbent Bill Nelson finds himself in serious trouble in the battleground state of Florida. This would be a huge pick up for the GOP. Look for Senator Marco Rubio (FL-R) to be the difference for Mack.

Republican Congressman Connie Mack now posts a seven-point lead over Democratic Senator Bill Nelson in Florida’s U.S. Senate race, and the incumbent remains just ahead of his other two potential GOP rivals.

Election 2012: Nebraska Senate – Nebraska Senate: Bruning (R) 55%, Kerrey (D) 33%. Nebraska is all but lost to Democrats as Ben “the Corn Husker Kickback” Nelson is getting out of Dodge in lie of being on the wrong side of a landslide GOP victory in 2012.

Democrats hoped to give themselves a shot at holding onto a U.S. Senate seat in Nebraska by talking retired Senator Bob Kerrey into running, but the first Rasmussen Reports survey of the race finds Kerrey trailing all three of his leading Republican opponents. A new telephone survey of Likely Nebraska Voters finds state Attorney General Jon Bruning earning 55% support to Kerrey’s 33%. Four percent (4%) like another candidate in the race, and seven percent (7%) remain undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Election 2012: Wisconsin Senate – Wisconsin Senate: Thompson (R) 50%, Baldwin (D) 36%.

Former Governor Tommy Thompson continues to be the strongest Republican contender for Wisconsin’s open U.S. Senate seat, now posting a double-digit lead over Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Wisconsin shows Thompson with 50% support to Baldwin’s 36%. Four percent (4%) like some other candidate, and 10% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Election 2012: Montana Senate – Montana Senate: Rehberg (R) 47%, Tester (D) 44%. Incumbent Democrat Jon Tester finds himself below the 50% threshold and in trouble for reelection in 2012.

Democratic incumbent Jon Tester runs slightly behind his leading Republican challenger in his bid for reelection in Montana’s U.S. Senate race.

A new telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Republican Congressman Denny Rehberg earning 47% support to Tester’s 44% in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at this contest.  Four percent (4%) prefers some other candidate, while five percent (5%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Election 2012: Massachusetts Senate – Massachusetts Senate: Brown (R) 49%, Warren (D) 44%.

Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown, who won the 2010 special election to finish the term of the late Ted Kennedy, holds a modest lead over his expected Democrat challenger Elizabeth Warren in the first Rasmussen Reports’ look at his 2012 reelection bid in the Bay State.

More to follow …

Another Dem Bites the Dust Due to Obamacare … Nebraska Democrat US Senator Ben Nelson Retiring … Abandons the Sinking Democrats Senate Ship

CORN HUSKER KICKBACK AS PREDICTED COMES BACK TO HAUNT BEN NELSON …

According to the Politico, Democratic Senator Ben Nelson of Nebraska will announce today that he is retiring after two terms. Does this really come as a shock to any one? Ben Nelson, who went against the will of the Nebraska voters and took the “Corn Husker” kick back and then voted in favor of Obamacare was a “politically” dead man walking.  The rats are leaving the sinking ship. They followed Obama against the will of the people and now those that did not pay the price in the 2012 election will do so in 2012.

Pic Tip: Dodocanspell

Democratic Sen. Ben Nelson of Nebraska will announce today that he is retiring after two terms, a serious blow to Democratic efforts to hold onto their majority in the chamber next November.

Nelson is scheduled to hold a press conference back home in Nebraska as early as today to make his decision official, said several Democratic insiders close to the leadership.

The 70-year-old Nelson was considered one of the most endangered Democratic incumbents this cycle. GOP-affiliated outside groups have already dumped hundreds of thousands of dollars into TV ads bashing Nelson, while the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee spent over $1 million on their own ad blitz to bolster his image.

Obviously Nelson read the hand writing on the wall and did not want to go out with a loss. Instead, Harry Reid will.

After committing political suicide and voting for Obamacare, Nelson then tried to save face with the “RED” state of Nebraska and told fellow Cornhuskers that, “I think it was a mistake to take health care on as opposed to continuing to spend the time on the economy”. Ben Nelson has no one to blame but himself and President Barack Obama for his early retirement.  There is no doubt that Democrats are in trouble in 2012 holding on to the US Senate. whether Ben Nelson was running for reelection or not, there was no way that Democrats were going to win in the Corn husker state.

Chalk up another casualty to Barack Obama and Obamacare. Democrats actually thought that WE THE PEOPLE would forget what they did. Hardly. Presently, 53% want Obamacare repealed, 39% oppose repealing it.

Democrats have a slim advantage in the US Senate; however, it will be almost impossible for them to retain power following the 2012 elections. They could have easily lost control in 2010 had it not been for a couple of Senate races and incumbent GOP Senators resisting the wave of change. Democrats are far too vulnerable to regain control.

Other vulnerable Democrats like Sen. Claire McCaskill (Mo.) and Jon Tester (Mont.) also face difficult – although winnable – reelection fights.

There will also be costly races in Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, featuring Democratic incumbents Sherrod Brown, Bill Nelson and Bob Casey. President Barack Obama’s reelection campaign is expected to spend heavily in those states, potentially giving a boost to Democratic incumbents.

What did not occur in 2010, the GOP looked good in 2012 to regain control. Democrats have to defend far too many seats, many of which are in “RED” states or ones trending red. Between Democrat retirements and a backlash against Obama and his policies, it would take a miracle for Harry Reid to remain Senate Majority Leader. A miracle or voter fraud.

The WAPO has a list of potential GOP and Democrats who might run for the open seat.

The Road Map to How the GOP Regains the US Senate … 10 Targeted Seats

First Read provides a road map that shows a difficult path for Democrats to remain in power in the Senate and a rosier path for Republicans. The GOP just needs a net pickup of 3 seats to gain control in the US Senate and it seems that 8 of the top 10 Democrat Senate seats could flip to the GOP.

1. North Dakota (D): Sen. Kent Conrad’s (D) decision to retire has placed this seat in extreme jeopardy in the “red”state of ND.

2. Nebraska (D):  Sen. Ben Nelson (D). Nebraska voters will not forget the ”Cornhusker Kickback” during the health-care debate. 

3. Montana (D): Freshman Democrat Jon Tester won narrowly in 2006 in a year that saw the Senate flip from the GOP to the Democrats. However, the political environment has changed significantly since then.

4. Missouri (D): Sen. Claire McCaskill. She can pretend to be a moderate all she wants, the voters, especially independents are not buying.

5. Virginia (D): As Jim Webb (D) retires, we are presented with the hypothetical matchup between former Gov. Tim Kaine and ’06 Senate race loser George Allen.

6. New Mexico (D): Jeff Bingaman’s retirement puts this seat in play, but it could be a tough get for Republicans in a state that swung for Obama in 2008.

7. Nevada (R): Heller’s entrance gave Republicans a much better chance at holding this seat than if John Ensign stayed in the race.

8. Massachusetts (R) : Scott Brown is being targeted by Democrats; however, Brown remains the most popular politician in the state. 

9. Florida (D): Can Bill Nelson hang on in the state that elected Rick Scott (R) governor and US Senator Marco Rubeo in 2010?

10. Michigan (D): Will the economy be the Democrats undoing? Will Obama’s campaigning in the state going to be enough to put Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) over the top even though he has shown a lack of coattails in the past? The GOP did surprising well in the 2010 elections in Michigan, including winning the Governor’s seat.

 After Republicans picked up six seats in 2010, Democrats will be hard pressed to maintain a majority following the 2012 elections.

Charlie Cook of the Cook Report Sees Grim Future for Democrats in Senate in 2012 and 2014

Grim future for Democrats in the US Senate …

Charlie Cook of the famed political Cook Report states that Democrats have a tough row to hoe in 2012 and 2014 in the US Senate. With the large amount of seats that Democrats have to defend in 2012 and 2014, holding power in the Senate is pretty much a lost cause. Presently, Democrats have control of the Senate 53 – 47.    In 2012 Democrats have to defend 23 seats (21 Democrats & 2 Independents who caucus with Dems) while Republicans only have to defend 10. In 2014, Democrats have to defend 20 seats, while the GOP only has to defend 13.

 

US Senate Democrats seats up for election in 2012. We would say that there is a bulls-eye on some of the following seats, but that would be uncivil.

Akaka, Daniel K. – (D – HI)
Bingaman, Jeff – (D – NM) – RETIRING [seat in trouble]
Brown, Sherrod – (D – OH) [state trending GOP]
Cantwell, Maria – (D – WA)
Cardin, Benjamin L. – (D – MD) 
Carper, Thomas R. – (D – DE)
Casey, Robert P., Jr. – (D – PA) [state trending GOP]
Conrad, Kent – (D – ND)  - RETIRING [seat in trouble]
Feinstein, Dianne – (D – CA)
Gillibrand, Kirsten E. – (D – NY)
Klobuchar, Amy – (D – MN)
Kohl, Herb – (D – WI)
Lieberman, Joseph I. – (ID – CT) – RETIRING
Manchin, Joe, III – (D – WV) [if Manchin does not vote as a Republican, seat in trouble, state trending GOP]
McCaskill, Claire – (D – MO) [seat in trouble, state trending GOP]
Menendez, Robert – (D – NJ)
Nelson, Ben – (D – NE) [seat in trouble]
Nelson, Bill – (D – FL) [state trending GOP]
Sanders, Bernard – (I – VT)
Stabenow, Debbie – (D – MI)
Tester, Jon – (D – MT)
Webb, Jim – (D – VA) – RETIRING  [seat in trouble]
Whitehouse, Sheldon – (D – RI)

Democrat seats up in 2014. Keep in mind, these Senators were elected in the 2008 Obama promise of “Hope & Change” election.

Baucus, Max – (D – MT) – [GOP state, Obamacare could come back to haunt Baucus]
Begich, Mark – (D – AK) [heavy GOP state]
Coons, Christopher A. – (D – DE)
Durbin, Richard J. – (D – IL)
Franken, Al – (D – MN) [MN may want to correct the mistake they made in 2008]
Hagan, Kay R. – (D – NC) [heavy trending GOP state]
Harkin, Tom – (D – IA)
Johnson, Tim – (D – SD)
Kerry, John F. – (D – MA) 
Landrieu, Mary L. – (D – LA)
Lautenberg, Frank R. – (D – NJ) [he will be 90, probaly will retire ... will NJ trend GOP with Chris Christie wave?]
Levin, Carl – (D – MI)
Merkley, Jeff – (D – OR)
Pryor, Mark L. – (D – AR)
Reed, Jack – (D – RI)
Rockefeller, John D., IV – (D – WV)
Shaheen, Jeanne – (D – NH) [state trending GOP]
Udall, Mark – (D – CO)
Udall, Tom – (D – NM)
Warner, Mark R. – (D – VA) [state trending GOP]

US Senate Rejects Obamacare Repeal Along Party Lines 51-47

GAME ON … OBAMACARE A HUGE POLITICAL ISSUE FOR THE 2012 ELECTIONS …

In a vote directly along party lines, the repeal of Obamacare in the US Senate was voted down 47-51. The election game in in in the run up to 2012 as no Democrats present yesterday voted for the repeal of Obamacare. Senators Joe Lieberman (I-CT) and Mark Warner (D-VA) were not present. This will play out as a major political issue heading into the 2012 election season. As previously stated, Democrats must defend 23 Senate seats in 2012, many in “red” states, including vulnerable Democratic Sens. Joe Manchin (WV), Claire McCaskill (MO), Jon Tester (MT) and Ben Nelson (NE).  Their continued position against the will of their constituents in their states will prove to be interesting in 2012. As tweeted by the Gateway Pundit, even Missouri Senator  Claire McCaskill voted against the repeal, even though 71% of the “Show Me” state was in favor of the repeal.

The Senate on Wednesday voted down a repeal of President Obama’s healthcare law in a 47-51 party-line vote.

The vote came two weeks to the day the Republican House voted 245-189 to repeal the law, and just days after a federal judge ruled Obama’s signature legislative achievement is unconstitutional.

How much longer can Democrats continue to be on the wrong side of Obamacare against the will of the American people and continue to hold the majority in the Senate? The question will be answered in the 2012 election. Barack Obama has stated he has wanted to move on from the issue of Obamacare and will not consider repeal; however, We the People and the Courts seem to have a differing opinion.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) Promises to Hold Vote on Obamacare … Democrats May Want to “reevaluate” their Support

On the foot heals of the Florida federal district judge ruling that Obamacare is unconstitutional, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) states that there will be a vote in the US Senate this week on the repeal of Obamacare.  Will a Senate vote occur like the one that passed in the House? The momentum is on the side of those opposed to Obamacare and we head into the 2012 elections.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell will force an up-or-down vote on the repeal of healthcare reform on Wednesday, testing the unity of Democrats who had promised the rollback would never see the light of day in their chamber.

The vote in the Senate will come two weeks to the day after the House voted, largely along party lines, to repeal the healthcare law.

Mitch McConnell stated that he would offer healthcare reform repeal as an amendment to legislation on the Senate floor. McConnel also warned moderate Democrats and those up for reelection in 2012 that they might want to reevaluate their pro-Obamacare votes. In 2012, Democrats will have to defend 23 Senate seats while the GOP only 10. Among those Democrats who face reelection in 2012 in Red states or those that have trended Red are Joe Manchin (WV), Sherrod Brown (OH), Robert Casey (PA), Ben Nelson (NE), Bill Nelson (FL), and Jim Webb (VA), not to mention Democrat KentConrad retitring in the red, red state of North Dakota. This might be a symbolic vote; however, the results will have ramification all the way to election day 2012.

In a statement, McConnell said the repeal vote gives Democrats a chance to “reevaluate” their support for the controversial healthcare law, which a federal judge in Florida struck down as unconstitutional on Monday.

“For all those who supported the health law, it’s an opportunity to re-evaluate your vote. To listen to your constituents who are desperately trying to get your attention. You can say, ‘Perhaps this was a mistake. We can do this better.’ Or you can continue to dismiss the majority of the people in this country as not knowing what they’re talking about.”

Obamacare Reaches All Time New Low, 38% in Favor & 56% Opposed

The more that Barack Obama and Democrats try to ram Obamacare down the throats of Americans, the more “We the People” oppose the government take of health care bill. According to the most recent Rasmussen poll, 56% of American voters are now opposed to the health care bill, while only 38% are in favor.

Americans continue to see Senators like Ben Nelson (NE-D) and Mary Landrieu (LA-D) get deals to bribe them for their vote while Democrat voting constituencies like Unions get exempt from Cadillac taxes on health care insurance plans while regular non-union people are not so lucky.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that just 38% of voters nationwide favor the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and congressional Democrats. That matches the lowest level of support yet. Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters oppose the plan.

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Nebraska Senator Ben “Cornhusker kickback” Nelson Now Says … “We should have waited on health care”

What a Statesman …

“I think it was a mistake to take health care on as opposed to continuing to spend the time on the economy”

Now, now Nebraska Senator Ben Nelson says that “we should have waited on healthcare?” Actually Senator Nelson, the time to have said that would have been before you took the “Corn Husker” kickback from Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and voted for the disastrous piece of legislation.

What a statesman you are Senator Nelson for coming out and saying this now as opposed to actually opposing the bill as the people of Nebraska wanted you to do. Why did you not tell Obama and Reid to focus on the economy first and you would consider healthcare later?

Sen. Ben Nelson said Tuesday it was a mistake for the Obama Administration to take on massive health care reforms in 2009, and suggested efforts would have been better spent addressing the economy.

Nelson, who provided the crucial 60th vote to advance the bill toward Senate passage on Dec. 19, has been active ever since trying to explain his actions to Nebraskans. Ads have aired on television and Nelson is making the rounds with the state’s media.

He requested Tuesday’s interview with the Tribune.

“I think it was a mistake to take health care on as opposed to continuing to spend the time on the economy,” he said.

Make no mistake about it Senator Nelson you made your bed … you will be voted out of office in 2012 and there is no damage control you could ever do to prevent it. You had yous opportunity to do the right thing and you failed miserably.

Senate Dem Asks SC Attorney General Henry McMaster to Stop Lawsuit Against Obamacare … “Call Off the Dogs”

Not only did Nebraska Senator Ben Nelson take a “cornhusker” kickback in exempting his state from provisions of Obamacare in order to buy his vote, Nelson is now reportedly calling the AG of South Carolina to “call off the dogs”. Exactly what business does a US Senator have telling a State official anything?

Hey Senator Ben Nelson, who let the Dogs Out!

In a phone call Thursday, Sen. Ben Nelson, D-Neb., urged South Carolina Republican Attorney General Henry McMaster, the head of a group of 13 GOP state attorneys general who are threatening to file a lawsuit against the Senate health care bill, to reconsider, Politico reported.

A Democratic senator from Nebraska who played a crucial role in getting health care legislation passed in the Senate last month has asked South Carolina’s top attorney to “call off the dogs” – a reference to the state official’s threat to challenge the constitutionality of the bill.

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Democrats Whining & Attacking Pollster Scott Rasmussen as to Why America Against Democrat Agenda … That’s Your Plan?

Hey Dems, how about some brie with that whine?

wine-and-cheese1

Sorry Democrats, Liberals and Moonbats … you can whine all you want and rip Independent pollster Scott Rasmussen all you want. The fact of the matter is year in and year out he is the best and most accurate in the business. Funny how Rasmussen nailed the two 2009 VA and NJ Governor races in his polling, see below.

Just out of curiosity to the LEFT, what part about these CNN, NBC/Wallstreet and Washington Post/ABC polls don’t you quite understand that show a positive polling rating for Obama?

dem_party_seal

Rasmussen’s polling is mean

What a brilliant political strategy, attack the messenger of the polling data. We are supposed to believe that Rasmussen’s polling is the reason why American’s are rejecting Obama’s and the Democrats liberal agenda.? How much denial are Democrats truly in? You people are in a rude awakening come the 2010 midterms.

So Democrats are attacking Rasmussen, good grief. Democrats cannot believe that there are poll numbers out there that do not paint Obama is a glowing light. Really? Have you looked at the other polls lately? Have you taken a look at the Real Clear Politics average job approval poll from when Obama first took office?

Of course Obama and Democrats poor polling numbers have nothing to do with a motivated and energized “We the People” known as the Tea Party movement who are tired of the Democrat controlled Presidency, House and Senate and the 10% unemployment, record federal debt, out of control spending, government take over of health care and weak foreign policy.

They would like to have people believe that Rasmussen’s poll models are flawed. The fact is that they do not like the poll results that are then repeated in the media. It’s the Democrat playbook 101, when you don’t like the results or what people are saying … attack their credibility. Democrats, your act is tired and lame.

What part about the Rasmussen Report has to do with this CNN & Gallup poll stating that Barack Obama’s poll numbers are sinking like a rock and Sarah Palin’s are on the rise?

CRY ME A RIVER!

Democrats are turning their fire on Scott Rasmussen, the prolific independent pollster whose surveys on elections, President Obama’s popularity and a host of other issues are surfacing in the media with increasing frequency.

The pointed attacks reflect a hardening conventional wisdom among prominent liberal bloggers and many Democrats that Rasmussen Reports polls are, at best, the result of a flawed polling model and, at worst, designed to undermine Democratic politicians and the party’s national agenda.

What would one expect from liberal propaganda sites like Media Matters, the Daily Kos and Huffington Post? Anything that does not spew their liberal agenda and skew numbers to the advantage of politicians or policy that they support are going to be labeled Republican or Fox News-like.

obama_monthly_approval_index_december_2009

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