Republicans need a net pickup of 6 Senate seats in the 2014 midterm elections in order to wrestle control away from Harry Reid and Democrats.
The GOP need a net pickup of 6 Senate seats in order to gain control of the US Senate. A recent NBC/Marist poll shows that although Democrat incumbent Sen. Mark Udall is still leading in Colorado, Republicans are surging in the key “red” state races in Kentucky and Arkansas. US Rep. Tom Cotton (R-AR) leads incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor by five points among likely voters, 45% to 40%. Although Kentucky is not a pickup for the GOP, some Democrats have thought that it could be a possible loss for the GOP. However, that does not appear to be the case. In reality, the GOP already is at a +3 as Republicans will pick up seats in the open Senate races formerly held by Democrats in Montana, West Virginia and South Dakota.
Other Senate seats currently held by Democrats that are now in play include Alaska, Louisiana, North Carolina, Iowa, New Hampshire and Michigan. My person opinion is that the GOP with have a net pick up of 7, possibly 8 Senate seats. If all things go right, it could be 9, but my gut feeling says this will not be a wave election like in 2010 because too many establishment Republicans are running and the establishment appears to have no clue that their conservative base is what wins elections. Not being Democrat light.
US Rep. Cotton (R-AR) calls Democrat Sen. Pryor a good Obama foot soldier, who was the deciding vote for Obamacare and who has voted with Obama 93% of the time.
Republican Senate candidates have opened up leads in the key states of Arkansas and Kentucky, putting them in a strong position to win back the U.S. Senate, according to new NBC News/Marist polls.
But another NBC/Marist poll shows Democrats holding on in the blue state of Colorado, suggesting a limit to the gains that Republicans could make in November.
In Arkansas, Rep. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., leads incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor by five points among likely voters, 45 percent to 40 percent, with two minor candidates getting a combined 5 percent.
In Kentucky, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., is ahead of Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes by eight points among likely voters, 47 percent to 39 percent, with Libertarian David Patterson getting another 8 percent.
And in Colorado, incumbent Sen. Mark Udall, D-Colo., is up by six points over Rep. Cory Gardner, 48 percent to 42 percent.
Daily Commentary – Thursday, August 22, 2013 – As Humans Leave, Stray Dogs Take Over Detroit Streets
- As many as 50,000 stray dogs roam the streets, menacing the few humans left
Daily Commentary – Thursday, August 22, 2013 Download
The Compassionate Left … Michigan Union Thugs Destroy Hot Dog Vendor Clint Tarver’s Cart While Hurling Racist Epithets at Him
There will be blood … Racist Union Thugs.
The Michigan union thugs are not for all labor are now they. During the pro-union rally following the signing of the “right to work” legislation, union members destroyed hot dog vendor Clint Tarver’s cart. As reported at Michelle Malkin, Tarver was caught up in the violent chaos that erupted when union thugs attacked the Americans for Prosperity tent on the capitol grounds in East Lansing, MI during the right-to-work protest. Sadly, President Barack Obama has said nothing to condemn the union violence or the attack against Clint Tarver.
If this was not bad enough, that these thugs destroyed this man’s private property, but they also hurled racial slurs at him. They called him an “N” word and said he was on the wrong side. UNREAL. But it is the Tea Party who is branded racist. The Velvet Hammer reports that the thugs shouted “Uncle Tom” and “ni&&er” at Tarver.
@NolanFinleyDN Min after union thugs tore down tent, assaulted several ppl. & yelling N*gger & Uncle Tom at man below pic.twitter.com/1ycXkE5g
The audio of the racial slurs were confirmed by Dana Loesch during an interview with Clint Tarver.
Donate HERE to help Clint Tarver get back on his feet. To date over $25,000 has been raised!!!
Just curious, where is President Barack Obama’s outrage over the violence from these union thugs? Where is Obama’s comments on the unions acting stupidly like he falsely accused the Cambridge, Mass police? Where is Obama’s comments that Clint Tarver could look like your
son uncle? How could anyone say that Obama is a president for all of the people?
Democrat State Representative Douglas Geiss Stated “There Will Be Blood” Debating ‘Right to Work’ on Michigan House Floor …
What every happened to tolerance from the LEFT? I thought Democrats were for choice.
Democrat State Representative Douglas Geiss said, “There will be Blood” if the ’Right to Work’ law was passed during the debate on the Michigan House floor. Really? A Democrat state elected official is predicting and in many respects calling for violence if Michigan workers are not provided freedom of choice? Geiss went on to say that he wishes we had not gone here. Hmm, You mean providing “ALL” workers the right to choose whether they want or do not want to belong to a union? That seems a lot more American than threatening violence if you do not get your way.
“There will be blood,” State Representative Douglas Geiss threatened from the floor of the Michigan House of Representatives today as the body debated legislation that would make Michigan the nation’s 24th right to work state.
“I really wish we had not gone here,” Geiss continued. “It is the leadership in this house that has led us here. The same leadership that tried to throw a bomb right on election day, leading to a member switching parties, and came in at the 11th hour with a gotcha bill. For that, I do not see solace, I do not see peace.”
Sadly, thanks to Geiss’s grandstanding and prediction of no peace … there was none yesterday as out of control union thugs threatened and physically harmed those who dare have an alternative opinion.
House Democrats also tweeted, “There will be Blood”. It was then taken down but not before it was captured for all time.
As reported at Weasel Zippersvia the Washington Examiner, The Obama White House refused to condemn the “there will be blood” comments. Of course not, how could Obama, so beholden to the unions possibly condemn any Democrat standing for union labor no matter if there was threats or not. Instead, they make excuses.
President Obama’s spokesman cited the ambiguity of the statement, “there will be blood,” as he avoided condemning the remark made by a Michigan Democrat who opposes the imminent state’s right-to-work legislation.
“The president believes in debate that’s civil,” White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said today. “I haven’t seen those comments and I’m not sure that they mean what some would interpret them to mean. I just haven’t seen them.”
Update I: The MI House has passed the right-to-work law, 58-51.
George Will Predicts Romney Landslide 321-217 on ABC’s ‘This Week” … Similar to Barone’s Landslide Prediction
Most pundits are calling the 2012 Presidential race too close to call as the RCP averages of polls have it a dead tie.
However, that did not stop conservative columnist on ABC’s “This Week’ to predict a Mitt Romney electoral landslide. Will predicted a 321-217 electoral victory for Romney. What I do find interesting is that a couple of people have gone out on a limb and said that Romney will get over 300 electoral votes; however, no one is really saying that Obama will do such. What we are seeing from Will and Barone is that if the undecided’s break for the challenger Mitt Romney, battleground states could fall like dominoes for Romney.
On this weekend’s broadcast of “This Week with George Stephanopoulos” on ABC, Will revealed his prediction and added a bonus surprise by saying traditional Democratic state Minnesota would go for Romney as well.
“I’m projecting Minnesota to go for Romney,” Will said. “It’s the only state that’s voted democratic in nine consecutive elections, but this year, there’s marriage amendment on the ballot that will bring out the evangelicals and I think could make the difference.”
Add Will’s landslide prediction to that of numbers cruncher extraordinaire Michael Barone. His prediction of a landslide is based
on fundamentals, a majority of Americans are against Obama’s policies. and a sluggish economy where job growth and recovery has been far too slow. Barone is predicting a Romney 315, Obama 223 landslide. Barone stated that it sounds high for Romney, but he could lose Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election.
Which candidate will get the electoral votes of the target states? I’ll go out on a limb and predict them, in ascending order of 2008 Obama percentages — fully aware that I’m likely to get some wrong.
Indiana (11 ). Uncontested. Romney.
North Carolina (15). Obama has abandoned this target. Romney.
Florida (29). The biggest target state has trended Romney since the Denver debate. I don’t see any segment of the electorate favoring Obama more than in 2008, and I see some (South Florida Jews) favoring him less. Romney.
Ohio (18). The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue-collar voters for him to lead most polls. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than in 2008. Early voting tells another story, and so does the registration decline in Cleveland’s Cuyahoga County. In 2004, intensity among rural, small -town and evangelical voters, undetected by political reporters who don’t mix in such circles, produced a narrow Bush victory. I see that happening again. Romney.
There have been so many polls and so many divergent polling models that have oversampled democrats that something is going to have to give come election day. The voter turnout will make the difference and it is hard to believe that democrats will come out for Obama as they did in 2008. Romney has the enthusiasm on his side. They question is whether it will be enough to carry him over the finish line.
That being said, there appears to be a late surge for Mitt Romney just two days before the 2012 Presidential election. Recent polls from Rasmussen have Romney up in Colorado, 50%-47%.
A Pittsburgh Tribune poll out today has the race a tie in the Keystone state. TIED, PENNSYLVANIA? Is this the reason why Romney bout ads and is going to Pennsylvania in the days heading up to the election.
“They’re both in here because of exactly what you’re seeing” in this poll, said Jim Lee, president of Susquehanna Polling & Research, which surveyed 800 likely voters Oct. 29-31. Most of the interviews occurred after Hurricane Sandy inundated Eastern and Central Pennsylvania. The poll’s error margin is 3.46 percentage points.
Nearly 60 percent of people say the country is on the wrong track, and economic concerns continue to dominate. Almost half of likely voters say economic issues are the primary driver of their choice for president.
We had previously discussed the rather surprising poll out of Michigan.
The battleground state of Ohio has conflicting polls. The Hill had Romney over Obama 49% – 47%. The Columbus Dispatch has their poll going to Obama 50% to 48%. However, the poll sampling is 40% Democrat, 36% Republican, 21% independent.
And now for the unheard of, in deep blue Minnesota, among likely voters Romney is actually leading Obama, 47% to 46%. Really folks if Obama is not going to win sold blue states like Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin by double digits, he has a real problem.
Hmm, is Michigan really in play and a tie going into election day? According to a brand new poll from Foster McCollum White Baydoun the race is tied at 47%.
Republican Nominee Mitt Romney 46.86%
President Barack Obama 46.24%
Another candidate 4.94%
Foster McCollum White Baydoun (FMW)B, a national public opinion polling and voter analytics consulting firm based in Michigan and representing the combined resources of Foster McCollum White & Associates (Troy Michigan) and Baydoun Consulting (Dearborn Michigan) conducted a telephone-automated polling random survey of Michigan registered and most likely November 2012 General election voters for Fox 2 News Detroit to determine their voting and issue preferences on the Presidential election.
I find it a bit hard to believe the race is tied in Michigan. However, I also find it a bit unimaginable that that a failed president like Obama is even being considered for reelection.
If this turns out to be true and Michigan is tied or say Obama wins the state by single digits, that could be troubling for Obama in OH, PA, MN. In 2008 Obama won Michigan easily by 16%. One has to wonder that with Obama’s auto bailout how come he is not ahead in Michigan by +20?
Obamanomics & Job Recovery … Unemployment rates rose in 44 U.S. states in July Including 9 Battleground States
Just more evidence that the Obama jobs recovery and Obamanomics has been an epic failure.
Not only did the national US unemployment rise from 8.2% to 8.3% in July, but also the unemployment rates rose in 44 US states. That includes the increase in the unemployment rates in 9 battleground states like Nevada, that saw the rate rise to 12% in July from 11.6% and in Michigan, where the rate increased to 9% from 8.5%. Other battleground states that saw increases in the unemployment rates were Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Wisconsin and New Hampshire.
Unemployment rates rose in 44 U.S. states in July, the most states to show a monthly increase in more than three years and a reflection of weak hiring nationwide.
The Labor Department said Friday that unemployment rates fell in only two states and were unchanged in four.
Unemployment rates rose in nine states that are considered battlegrounds in the presidential election. That trend, if it continued, could pose a threat to President Barack Obama’s re-election bid in less than three months.
Nationwide, hiring improved in July after three months of tepid job gains. But the national unemployment rate ticked up to 8.3 percent from 8.2 percent. Monthly job gains have averaged 150,000 this year. That’s barely enough to accommodate population growth. As a result, the unemployment rate is the same as when the year began.
What is Obama’s answer, more stimulus money for infrastructure projects. Obama code for giving jobs to union workers. Even though Obama said in the past when his previous stimulus plan was a failure, there were no shovel ready jobs then or now. At best these are temporary jobs, not permanent.
More bad news for Obama and Democrats, Americans prefer the GOP to Democrats in trusting them to fix the economy.
Brian in a Blue State
When all is said and done, unemployment will eventually sink Obama’s reelection in 2012 …
As much as President Barack Obama wants to avoid the primary issue of the 2012 elections, there is no way he can hide the fact that the economy has stalled and going backwards. The Obama job recovery has been a failure and has hit the skids at the worst possible time for Obama’s reelection bid. In June 27 states saw their unemployment rate rise. Worse yet for Obama, unemployment rates rose in six of ten battleground states. According to the Department of Labor, the jobless rate climbed a 10th of a percentage point last month in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire and Virginia.
Unemployment rates rose in 27 states last month, the most in almost a year.
The Labor Department said Friday that unemployment rates fell in 11 states and Washington, D.C. — the fewest declines since August. Rates were unchanged in 12 states.
Nationwide, employers added only 80,000 jobs last month, third straight month of weak job growth. The national unemployment rate stayed at 8.2%.
Some of the states that saw a decline:
- Nevada recorded the highest unemployment rate, at 11.6%, same as the previous month.
- It was followed by Rhode Island at 10.9% and California at 10.7%
- North Dakota had the lowest unemployment rate at 2.9%, followed by Nebraska at 3.8%
- Several states reported big increases in unemployment. Rates rose 0.4 percentage points in Alabama and New Jersey, to 7.8% and 9.6%, respectively.
- Still others lost jobs. Wisconsin shed 13,200, the most of any state. It was followed by Tennessee, where employers cut 12,100 jobs.
What else could one expect but poor economic jobs numbers when you have a President who failed to meet with his much touted Jobs Council in the last six months, yet has time for fundraiser and golf? Retail sales fell in June for the third straight month as well.
With all due respect to The Hill, a state that Obama won in 2008 by 16% and Democrat Presidential candidates have won repeatedly won in past Presidential elections 2004, 2000, 1996, and 1992 is hardly considered a “swing state”. It should rightfully be called a “blue” state fed up with Obama.I think we can say officially that “Hope & Change” is a thing of the past.
However, as reported at The Hill, Poll: Obama and Romney statistically tied in swing-state Michigan. If states that Barack Obama won in 2008 by 16% over John McCain are in play in 2012, Obama is in for a world of hurt in his reelection bid. The “blue” state of Michigan being called a “swing” state just shows how poor a job as President Obama has done and how badly he has handled the economy. This is the second poll in a row that has showed Obama and Romney are in a virtual tie. Really, the union labor intense state of Michigan up for grabs in 2012? As Weasel Zippers states, “Barry’s world continues its epic collapse before our very eyes.” Obama must now defend another state that should have been considered solid blue.
Mitt Romney has caught President Obama in Michigan, according to a poll released Thursday.
Obama still holds a slight edge in the poll, 46.9 to 45.5, but that’s within the survey’s 2.3 percent margin of error. The poll was conducted by Michigan-based political consultants Foster, McCollum, White & Associates.
It’s the second straight poll to show Obama and Romney in a dead heat in the Wolverine State. Romney held a 1-point advantage in an EPIC-MRA poll released last week.
Even the undecided voters in Michigan are beginning to take Obama’s and Bill Clinton’s words to heart regarding the economy. Obama stated that if he did not fix the economy in 4 years that he would be a one term President. Clinton begged voters in 2010 to give Democrats 2 more years. It looks like Obama will get his wish, the economy is in the tank and he will be a one term wonder.
According to RCP, Obama had a double digit lead in Michigan a month ago. However, that was then. Much more at Hot Air including an interesting data nugget from the poll crosstabs that is a big plus for Mitt Romney.