Daily Commentary – Monday, July 25, 2016 – So What Did You Think of the Trump Kids? I Thought They Did Pretty Well.
- I’m sure the voters will try and compare Trump’s kids compared to Chelsea, but should they?
CNN/ORC Poll: Donald Trump Gets RNC Bouce, Trump Leads Hillary 44% to 39% in a Four-Way Matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) & Jill Stein (3%)
Trump gets Republican National Convention Bounce …
One would have thought in a polarized America that the days of convention bounced were over. Well, not so fast. According to the most recent CNN/ORC poll, Donald Trump now leads Hillary Clinton 44% to 39% in a four way natch up. That’s a 6 point bounce from Cleveland. Trump has taken a commanding lead with independents and the CNN poll found that Hillary Clinton is struggling with perceptions she is dishonest and untrustworthy as 68% said she is not honest or trustworthy. The latest DNC email scandal will only increase that perception.
Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.
There hasn’t been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN’s polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court.
The new findings mark Trump’s best showing in a CNN/ORC Poll against Clinton since September 2015. Trump’s new edge rests largely on increased support among independents, 43% of whom said that Trump’s convention in Cleveland left them more likely to back him, while 41% were dissuaded. Pre-convention, independents split 34% Clinton to 31% Trump, with sizable numbers behind Johnson (22%) and Stein (10%). Now, 46% say they back Trump, 28% Clinton, 15% Johnson and 4% Stein.
HEY BERNIE, IT WAS YOU WHO WERE BURNED IN THE END … EMAIL-GATE, PART DEUX
As reported at the NY Post, from thousands of DNC internal e-mails leaked via Wikileaks, Democratic Party official tried to use Bernie Sanders’ supposed religious beliefs to derail his presidential campaign. How does that Sanders endorsement look now of establishment candidate Hillary Clinton? All you Sanders supporters, how’s it feel to really bet burned and the shaft?
Sanders supporters … The Establishment candidate Hillary Clinton is literally laughing at all of you
The notorious hacker collective WikiLeaks dumped a massive trove of e-mails from the Democratic National Committee onto the Web Friday just as Hillary Clinton was preparing to celebrate her presidential nomination at the Democratic convention next week.
In the thousands of internal e-mails, it was revealed that a Democratic Party official tried to use Bernie Sanders’ supposed religious beliefs to derail his presidential campaign; one staffer pitched an idea for a phony sexist Trump ad and DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz tried to score a staggering seven tickets to the Broadway smash “Hamilton.”
The suggestion of going after Sanders based on religion was included in one of 19,252 e-mails.
In one message dated May 5, 2016, with the subject line “No s–t,” the chief financial officer of the Democratic National Committee, Brad Marshall, plotted how to portray Sanders, who was raised Jewish in Brooklyn, as an atheist.
“It might [make] no difference, but for KY and WVA can we get someone to ask his belief,” Marshall wrote, apparently referring to Sanders and upcoming Kentucky and West Virginia primaries.
“Does he believe in a God. He had skated on saying he has a Jewish heritage,’’ Marshall asked.
“I think I read he is an atheist.”
“This could make several points difference with my peeps. My Southern Baptist peeps would draw a big difference between a Jew and atheist.”
The chief executive officer at the DNC, Amy Dacey, responded with a single word: “Amen.”
Monmouth University Poll: Bernie Sanders Endorsement Flops with Millennials for Hillary Clinton, Trump Closes the Gap
Donald Trump is closing in on Hillary Clinton, according to a new poll from Monmouth University. Even more damning to Hillary Clinton is the fact that self-proclaimed socialist Bernie Sander’s endorsement had little effect with millennials. A note to team Hillary, those that followed Sanders are not your typical voters that are just going to change on a dime. Sanders was not a candidate, it was a movement against the Democrat establishment. Of which Hillary Clinton is the poster child of. Oh, and by the way, Sanders is a socialist.
Bernie Sanders trashes Hillary … his supporters are likely not going to vote for establishment Hillary
Hillary Clinton hoped that Bernie Sanders’s endorsement would lead to millions of young people supporting her campaign, but that hasn’t worked out.
Monmouth University produced a poll on Monday showing the overwhelming majority of millennials were unaffected by Sanders’s endorsement.
According to the poll, 63 percent of likely voters ages 18-34 said that the support from Sanders had no impact on them. Another 13 percent said they were less likely to support Clinton, and just 23 percent said it made them more likely to support the former first lady.
Older generations had no opinion of the endorsement, which makes sense considering most active Sanders supporters tended to be millennials.
Overall, Clinton had a small lead among likely voters, 45 percent to Trump’s 43 percent, within the margin of error. Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Jill Stein had 5 percent and 1 percent, respectively.
A recent Rasmussen poll has The Donald ahead of Hillary by 7 percentage points. However, over all the RCP rolling average of polling has Clinton +3.1%. The gap is definitely tightening between the two candidates. My opinion is that the real polling will come more into line when Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have their first presidential debate.
Just days before the Republican National Convention is expected to formally nominate him to run for president, Donald Trump has taken his largest lead yet over Hillary Clinton.
The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly White House Watch survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 44% support to Clinton’s 37%. Thirteen percent (13%) favor some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
This is the third week in a row that Trump has held the lead, although last week he was ahead by a statistically insignificant 42% to 40%. This week’s findings represent Trump’s highest level of support in surveys since last October and show Clinton continuing to lose ground.