Latest NBC Marist Poll Shows GOP Opening Up Leads in Key Senate Races Ahead of 2014 Midterms

Republicans need a net pickup of 6 Senate seats in the 2014 midterm elections in order to wrestle control away from Harry Reid and Democrats.

The GOP need a net pickup of 6 Senate seats in order to gain control of the US Senate. A recent NBC/Marist poll shows that although Democrat incumbent Sen. Mark Udall is still leading in Colorado, Republicans are surging in the key “red” state races in Kentucky and Arkansas. US Rep. Tom Cotton (R-AR) leads incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor by five points among likely voters, 45% to 40%. Although Kentucky is not a pickup for the GOP, some Democrats have thought that it could be a possible loss for the GOP. However, that does not appear to be the case. In reality, the GOP already is at a +3 as Republicans will pick up seats in the open Senate races formerly held by Democrats in Montana, West Virginia and South Dakota.

Other Senate seats currently held by Democrats that are now in play include Alaska, Louisiana, North Carolina, Iowa, New Hampshire and Michigan.  My person opinion is that the GOP with have a net pick up of 7, possibly 8 Senate seats. If all things go right, it could be 9, but my gut feeling says this will not be a wave election like in 2010 because too many establishment Republicans are running and the establishment appears to have no clue that their conservative base is what wins elections. Not being Democrat light.

US Rep. Cotton (R-AR) calls Democrat Sen. Pryor a good Obama foot soldier, who was the deciding vote for Obamacare and who has voted with Obama 93% of the time.

Republican Senate candidates have opened up leads in the key states of Arkansas and Kentucky, putting them in a strong position to win back the U.S. Senate, according to new NBC News/Marist polls.

But another NBC/Marist poll shows Democrats holding on in the blue state of Colorado, suggesting a limit to the gains that Republicans could make in November.

In Arkansas, Rep. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., leads incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor by five points among likely voters, 45 percent to 40 percent, with two minor candidates getting a combined 5 percent.

In Kentucky, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., is ahead of Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes by eight points among likely voters, 47 percent to 39 percent, with Libertarian David Patterson getting another 8 percent.

And in Colorado, incumbent Sen. Mark Udall, D-Colo., is up by six points over Rep. Cory Gardner, 48 percent to 42 percent.

Barack Obama’s 2014 Battle Ground State Political No Fly Zone … Senate Elections

Barack Obama’s toxic presidency could cost Democrats control of the US Senate in 2014.

In 2008 many Democrats were swept into office on Barack Obama’s coattails like Mark Begich in Alaska, Kay Hagen in North Carolina, Jeff Merkley in Oregon, Al Franken in Minnesota, Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire, and Democrat victories in Red states like Max Baucus in Montana, Tim Johnson in South Dakota, Mark Pryor in Arkansas and Mary  Landrieu in Louisiana. However, that was then, this is now and 2014 presents the Democrat party with a Barack Obama “no-fly” zone to stay away from Senate races. From Obamamessiah to the toxic president in just 6 short years. Other than going to maybe Minnesota or Oregon, Obama will be a no show in the rest of the states. However, voters do not let that fool you … all of the Democrats above are fully behind Barack Obama’s agenda and have voted for Obamacare and illegal’s getting amnesty. Once the election is over, all of the above Democrat Senators will go right back to doing Obama’s bidding.

US Senate

In an election that Republicans want to make all about President Barack Obama, the White House is determined to make him all but disappear in the battleground states that matter.

The White House is putting the finishing touches on a post-Labor Day schedule that will send the president to states where he’s still popular, such as: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Illinois and California, Obama officials and Democratic operatives said this week.

But in the red states that will determine control of the Senate, Obama will remain scarce. That means no personal campaign visits to states like Arkansas, Alaska, Louisiana and North Carolina. He may do some targeted outreach through robocalls, digital ads and conference calls, but the campaign plan is clear: Stay away from candidates he’s already hurting.

Obama’s no-fly zone for certain Senate campaigns reflects the deep concern among Democrats about his drag on the national ticket. Obama can’t seem to get his poll numbers out of the low 40s, he’s struggled through an endless stream of foreign policy crises, and he’s the last person that many candidates want to be forced to defend on the campaign trail.

There are 36 U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2014. Of those seats, 15 are currently held by Republicans and 21 are held by Democrats. The GOP need a net pick up of 6 seats to retain control of the Senate. The control of the Senate will be determined by the below 13 states: 1 incumbent Republican, 1 open Republican, 6 Incumbent Democrat and  5 open Democrat.

  1. AK: Begich (D)
  2. AR: Pryor (D)
  3. CO: Udall (D)
  4. GA: Open (R)
  5. IA: Open (D)
  6. KY: McConnell (R)
  7. LA: Landrieu (D)
  8. MI: Open (D)
  9. NC: Hagan (D)
  10. NH: Shaheen (D)
  11. MT: Open (D)
  12. SD: Open (D)
  13. WV: Open (D)

Poll: Republicans Gov. Brian Sandoval Beats Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid 53% to 43% in Hypothetical 2016 Nevada Senate Matchup

ARE HARRY REID’S DAYS IN THE US SENATE NUMBERED?

In a recent Harper Polling survey, the poll shows that in a hypothetical match 2016 match-up for the US Senate for Nevada Republican Gov. Brian Sandoval handily defeat Democrat Majority Leader Harry Reid by 10 points, 53% to 43%. The poll also showed that Gov. Sandoval destroys Reid among independents, 65%-28%. OUCH. Have the citizens of Nevada finally grown weary of Dingy Harry? One has to wonder whether the people of Nevada will have to wait until 2016 to rid themselves of Reid. If the GOP does not find a way to blow it, Republicans could take back the Senate in 2014 and Reid would lose is Majority Leader role. One would then have to ponder whether 74 year old Reid would stay in the Senate.

Full poll results can be read HERE (pdf)

Harry Reid

Gov. Brian Sandoval leads Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid by 10 percentage points in a hypothetical 2016 U.S. Senate matchup, according to a new poll that represents the first public release of results in this potential race.

The survey, conducted by Harper Polling earlier this week, also shows, as other surveys do, Sandoval cruising to re-election (56-34) over Bob Goodman. The robo-survey of 602 statewide voters has a margin of error of 4 percent.

Sandoval crushes Reid among independents, 65-28. Reid’s 55 percent unfavorable rating is all but fatal — you know, just as it was in 2010.

The NRO reminds us that Harry Reid has proven to be resilient against past challengers like in 2010 when Reid seemed vulnerable, but eventually defeated Republican candidate Sharron Angle by nearly 6 percentage points. However, popular Governor Brian Sandoval is not Sharron Angle. But if it does get to a 2016 Senate race between  Sandoval and Reid and the polling is still as one sided toward the Nevada Governor, look for Reid to retire, he will be 80, rather than losing in an embarrassing swan song.

Laura Ingraham Comes to Nashville, TN to Support Joe Carr for US Senate … Beat Lamar Rally … Retire Lamar, Vote for Joe Carr!!!

Laura Ingraham rocks the Millennium Maxwell House. 

Conservative talk show host Laura Ingraham came to Nashville, Tennessee in support of  Joe Carr in his efforts to defeat establishment GOP US Senator Lamar Alexander in the upcoming Republican primary. At the “Beat Lamar Rally” Ingraham held nothing back and blasted the out of touch incumbent Alexander as a senator who has lost touch with Tennessee in front of a crowd between 600 and 700 people. Laura Ingraham stated out with the old and in with the new as she compared Alexander to an old sweater. Ingraham looks to do for Carr what she did for Tea Party challenger David Brat in his shocking primary victory over Majority Leader Eric Cantor in Virginia.

TENNESSEE … ITS TIME TO TEACH ESTABLISHMENT REPUBLICANS AND THE GOP PARTY A LESSON THAT WILL NOT SOON FORGET!!!

Facebook: Joe Carr for US Senate

Laura_Joe Carr2

Watch VIDEO at  The Tennessean

In a speech that seemed to tap into the audience’s deep-seated concerns over immigration and the pace of change in the country, Ingraham spoke for 45 minutes to a packed house at the Millennium Maxwell House Hotel that attended a “Beat Lamar” rally for Carr.

Comparing U.S. Sen. Lamar Alexander to an old sweater, a hooked fish, beige wallpaper and a baseball player who has struck out, Ingraham urged listeners to believe Carr, a three-term state representative from Lascassas, can upset the incumbent senator in the Aug. 7 Republican primary.

She said Alexander has failed to stand up to liberals and Democrats, whom she said were more concerned with reshaping America than standing up for their interests.

“I’m here to tell you that he still is not hearing you,” she said.

Sweater

Lamar Alexander

Breitbart.com: Laura Ingraham at Rally for Joe Carr: Lamar Alexander is Old, Out of Touch, In With the New

“I say this, and I mean it: Lamar Alexander, he’s probably not an evil guy, he probably doesn’t hate the Tea Party, I don’t think he knows the Tea Party, I don’t think that’s what he’s about, I really don’t,” she said.

On amnesty, she explained, Alexander was wrong on the number one issue in the country, citing the recent Gallup poll showing that the issue was at the top of voters’ concerns. She criticized Alexander for supporting the Senate “Gang of Eight” immigration bill, working with Senate Democrats like Sens. Chuck Schumer (NY) and Dick Durbin (IL).

“What planet are you living on, are you that naive, that tired, or are you that bought off?” she asked, as the delighted crowd applauded.

Ingraham noted that the modern left was filled with “utter distain” for conservatives and their values, and said today’s Democrats weren’t the moderate Democrats of Alexander’s era.

“They think you are more dangerous any day of the week than ISIS or Al-Qaeda,” she said as the crowd booed.

Ingraham encouraged all voters in Tennessee to work hard for Carr in the remaining days of the election to send a loud message to the Washington establishment.

“We have to grab the establishment by the lapels and say very forcefully — No. You. Won’t,” she said.

State Senator Joni Ernst Wins GOP Iowa Primary Going Away … Faces Democrat Bruce Braley for Open Iowa Senate Seat

State Senator Joni Ernst wins Republican primary in Iowa,  set to face Democrat  Bruce Braley for US Senate race in pivotal battle in 2014 for the US Senate.

It did not take long last night after the polls closed in Iowa as the AP called the GOP US Senate primary for state senator Joni Ernst. With just 24% of precincts reporting, the AP made the call for Joni Ernst who had 53% of the vote, Conservative radio host Sam Clovis had 19%, businessman Mark Jacobs (R) had 17% and former U.S. Attorney Matt Whitaker (R) had 9%. However, by the time all the votes were counted Ernst would win the Iowa Republican senate primary by an even wider margin gaining 56.2% of the vote. Ernst easily cleared the 35 percent threshold necessary to avoid a convention nomination fight. Republican Joni Ernst will face Democrat Bruce Braley this November for the Iowa senate seat currently held by the retiring Democrat Sen. Tom Harkin.

Joni Ernst for US Senate

Iowa_2014 Primary

Joni Ernst, who highlighted her ability to shoot guns and castrate hogs to overcome disinterest in a sleepy primary election, tonight racked up enough votes to become the first female GOP U.S. Senate nominee in Iowa history.

The Associated Press called the race shortly before 10 p.m.

The 43-year-old farmer’s daughter turned state senator and military commander eclipsed the 35 percent necessary to claim victory over her four competitors, including retired businessman Mark Jacobs, who tried to overpower the rest of the field by self-funding his campaign with millions from his own wealth.

Vote for Jodi Ernst and let her trim the pork in Washington, DC … its a simple choice for Iowa voters.

Washington is full of big spenders, let’s make them squeal

“This campaign will come down to a very simple choice: our shared Iowa values, versus Bruce Braley’s liberal Washington values,” Ernst said.

According to the statement, Ernst, a lieutenant colonel in the National Guard who served a tour in Iraq, will start a statewide tour on Wednesday alongside Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad and Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds. She’s due to report for National Guard duty once that tour ends, the statement says without giving an exact time-frame.

Incumbent Mitch McConnell Easily Defeats Tea Party Challenger Matt Bevin in Kentucky GOP Primary

Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell defeated his GOP Tea Party challenger Matt Bevin in the Kentucky primary by 25%, just one of many races on Super Primary Tuesday. There is a saying, we get the government that we voted for. With so many people claiming to be tired of the same old way that Washington DC is run … last night in primaries across the United States on both sides, the same old establishment candidates won. In Georgia, a Senate Republican primary headed to a runoff with the two candidates, ex-CEO of Dollar General David Perdue and Rep. Jack Kingston.

Mitch McConnell and Alison Lundergan Grimes ran victory laps Tuesday in Kentucky as they rallied their party faithful to nominate them for a colossal showdown in November that could help decide which party controls the U.S. Senate.

Grimes, Kentucky’s Democratic Secretary of State, rolled to victory over nominal primary opposition. And McConnell easily defeated tea party-backed challenger Matt Bevin, who spent $3.3 million in his failed bid to oust the five-term Republican Senate leader.

Um, isn’t Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell one of those powers to be that he is referencing in his own speech?

As Powerline opines, it is time for Republicans and Conservatives to understand who is their greater foe, “As John has pointed out, McConnell’s lifetime ACU rating, after 28 years in the Senate, ‘is certifiably right-wing at 90%.’ Given that record and the importance of wresting control of the Senate away from Harry Reid and the Democrats, it’s difficult to believe that Republicans will not unite behind McConnell in the fight against Grimes.”

Senate Primaries Results by State.

Blogger Clayton Thomas Kelly Arrested After Sneaking into GOP Mississippi Senator Thad Cochran’s Wife Rose Cochran’s Nursing Home Room

Bring gutter politics to a new low …

28 year old Clayton Thomas Kelly of Pearl, Mississippi was arrested on Friday night on a charge of exploitation of a vulnerable adult after he sneaked into the nursing home room of current Republican Mississippi US Senator Thad Cochran’s wife, Rose Cochran, to photograph her and then posting the image in a video.  He is being held on a $100,000 bond. Kelly, is a political blogger, who operates a “Constitutional Clayton” blog, a Youtube channel and other social media. Kelly has posted numerous pieces in support of  Chris McDaniel and opposition to Cochran. He also appears to have interviewed McDaniel on video at least once. What kind of a sick SOB does something like this? One can dislike a political candidate all you want and support an opposition candidate against the establishment, but what that has to do with violating the privacy of an elderly spouse who is in a nursing home bed ridden and suffering from progressive dementia is beyond me.

Clayton Thomas Kelly

Left to Right: Clayton Thomas Kelly & Chris McDaniel, pic from blog: ‘I met MS Senator Chris McDaniel’

A Pearl man who runs a political blog is accused of sneaking into a nursing home where U.S. Sen. Thad Cochran’s wife is bedridden and photographing her, then posting the image in a video political “hit piece” on the internet.

Madison Police arrested Clayton Thomas Kelly, 28, of Pearl on Friday night on a charge of exploitation of a vulnerable adult. He’s being held on a $100,000 bond.

Kelly is accused of sneaking into St. Catherine’s Village in Madison, where Rose Cochran has resided since 2000, suffering from progressive dementia and now bedridden.

UPDATE I: The Cochran campaign is now questioning when, exactly, McDaniel campaign manager Melanie Sojourner learned about the nursing home break-in.

The Cochran campaign is now questioning when, exactly, McDaniel campaign manager Melanie Sojourner learned about the nursing home break-in, implying that it was before news of Kelly’s arrest became public and attempting to tie his actions back to the state senator’s campaign operation. McDaniel’s coalition director told the Clarion-Ledger that he was aware of Kelly’s video, which featured the illegally obtained photograph of Rose Cochran, before Kelly’s arrest, but a campaign spokesman and McDaniel himself reiterated that Kelly had no ties to the campaign itself.

UPDATE II: McDaniel also distanced himself from Kelly’s actions in a statement issued on Saturday.

“I’ve reached out to Senator Cochran directly to express my abhorrence for the reprehensible actions of this individual,” reads the statement.

“This criminal act is deeply offensive and my team and I categorically reject such appalling behavior. My thoughts and prayers are with Senator Cochran and his family,” McDaniel said. “Politics is about the exchange of ideas and this type of action has no place in politics whatsoever and will not be tolerated.”

Iowa’s Republican Senate Candidate Joni Ernst Says, I’ll Castrate DC’s Spending and Cut Pork

Let’s make DC pork spender squeal like a pig!!!

Joni Ernst, a GOP candidate for the US Senate in Iowa has certainly made a splash on the scene with a memorable political ad. If you have not already watched it, please take a look at the video below. The Conservative Republican candidate promises to cut pork when she gets to Washington. What are her qualifications you ask? Joni Ernst grew up castrating hogs on an Iowa farm that’s how, so when she gets to DC, she will know how to cut pork. OUCH!!! Ernst promises to cut wasteful spending, repeal Obamacare and balance the budget. Sounds like exactly what is needed to turn things around in the Senate and save America. Joni Ernst and several other Republicans are vying for the open Iowa Senate seat of the retiring Democratic Sen. Tom Harkin.

“I grew up castrating hogs on an Iowa farm, so when I get to Washington, I’ll know how to cut pork.”
“My parents taught us to live within our means. It’s time to force Washington to do the same.”

 Former Alaska governor and Republican VP nominee Sarah Palin is endorsing state Sen. Joni Ernst, a candidate in the Iowa Senate race, following Ernst’s tongue-in-cheek ad about castrating D.C. pork.The endorsement was made on Palin’s Facebook page:

“If Nebraska’s Deb Fischer can see through the bull in Washington, then Iowa’s Joni Ernst can help her cut through the pork,” Palin wrote. “Growing up on a hog farm in Southwest Iowa, Joni has taken her ‘pork cutting’ skills to the Iowa State Senate, where she has been a champion for life, small government, and lower taxes – voting for the largest tax cut in Iowa history.”

Posted alongside a picture of Ernst in uniform, Palin was paying homage to the TV ad Ernst released on Tuesday.

More from Real Clear Politics on the other GOP candidates vying for the nomination and missteps of Democrat leading candidate U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley, who was caught on camera at the closed-press event suggesting that Iowa Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley is unfit to become the Senate Judiciary Committee chairman.

Ernst is one of a half-dozen Republicans vying to take on U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley, the likely Democratic nominee, for the right to replace retiring Democratic Sen. Tom Harkin.

Braley has been considered the favorite but faced significant blowback this week over comments he made at a Texas fundraiser. The four-term congressman was caught on camera at the closed-press event suggesting that Iowa Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley is unfit to become the Senate Judiciary Committee chairman — should the GOP win control of the upper chamber — because he is a “farmer from Iowa who never went to law school.”

Braley later apologized for his remark, but Iowa Republicans seized upon it in an effort to portray the Democrat as being out of touch with the values of the farming-heavy state.

It’s Official, Democrats are in Panic Mode Ahead of 2014 Midterm Elections … Some Veteran House Dems To Retire

The New York Times has officially declared that the Democrats should be worried ahead of the 2014 midterm elections. Why so concerned, Barack Obama’s sinking job approval ratings, the GOP’s special election House win in Florida 13 and the continued dissatisfaction with Obamacare to name a few. Democrats have been in denial for quite some time when it comes to their chances of success in 2014. However, Barack Obama has become toxic and so have his policies and agenda.

Of course Barack Obama sent Baghdad Bob White House adviser Dan Pfeiffer to go out on ‘Meet the Press‘ this past Sunday and spin the obvious. Pfeiffer said,“the president will be an asset in every way possible to help these candidates” and that Democrats are on the right side of the issue that matters most to Americans, jobs and the economy. Okay, try not to laugh. Really, Americans agree with Obama/Democrats on the economy, polls would say a much different story.

Democrats are becoming increasingly alarmed about their midterm election fortunes amid President Obama’s sinking approval ratings, a loss in a special House election in Florida last week, and millions of dollars spent by Republican-aligned groups attacking the new health law.

The combination has led to uncharacteristic criticism of Mr. Obama and bitter complaints that his vaunted political organization has done little to help the party’s vulnerable congressional candidates.

The latest in a cascade of bad news came Friday when Scott Brown, a former senator from Massachusetts, announced an exploratory committee to challenge the incumbent Democrat in New Hampshire, Senator Jeanne Shaheen, and when the Republican-aligned “super PAC” American Crossroads said it would spend $600,000 to help his effort.

Earlier, another top-tier Republican recruit, Representative Cory Gardner, decided to challenge Senator Mark Udall of Colorado; the two races create unanticipated opportunities improving Republicans’ chances to take control of the Senate. No prominent Democrats predict their party will win back the House.

Over the weekend on CNN on ‘Inside Politics’, John King said that because of the results in the Florida 13 special election, look for a few more veteran House Democrats to retire seeing the handwriting on the wall and no chance for Democrats to win back the House.

Watch in the week or so ahead for a few more retirements by veteran House Democrats.

I’m told the Florida special election results were the last straw for at least two and perhaps more House Democrats facing tough 2014 races.

Fox News Poll: Barack Obama Hits All-Time Low Job Approval at 38%, 54% Disapprove … Only 33% Believe Obama has Improved America’s Image around the World

Barack Obama’s 38% job approval is well deserved, he did it the old-fashioned way … HE EARNED IT!!!

Can you say ‘EPIC FAILURE’ and it would appear the American people may finally be fed up with Obama’s disastrous presidency. According to the most recent Fox News poll, President Barack Obama has hit an all-time low in his job approval, as an anemic 38% approve of the job he is doing while a whopping 54% disapprove. But wait, a look inside the numbers and the news gets even worse for Obama and Democrats. Obama’s numbers on healthcare, the economy and foreign policy are abysmal.

Just how many Democrats are going to want this president near him during the 2014 elections?

Obama_Pout

For the first time in a Fox News poll, fewer than four voters in ten — 38 percent — approve of President Obama’s job performance. Fifty-four percent disapprove. Before now Obama’s worst job rating was 40-55 percent in November 2013. Last month 42 percent approved and 53 percent disapproved (February 2014).

Approval of Obama among Democrats stands at 71 percent, near its 69 percent record low (September 2013). For independents, 28 percent approve, which is also near the 25 percent all-time low among this group (July 2013). And approval of Obama among Republicans hits a new low of five percent.

Full poll results can be read HERE.

Most all of Obama’s poll numbers are now in the 30′s. Across the board whether it be domestic or foreign policy, Obama has failed. Now we can only hope America can survive another 3 years with this president.

  • Healthcare:  36% Approve -  59% Disapprove
  • Economy: 36% Approve -  58% Disapprove
  • Foreign Policy: 33% Approve – 56% Disapprove
  • Do you think the country is better off than it was five years ago, or not?  34% Yes -  60% No – 5% the Same

Wait, let’s try to find some good news for Obama and his lockstep Democrats in their poll. Oh sorry, there is none. On items that Americans were asked as to whether Barack Obama mostly succeeded or Mostly failed, Obama got an “F”. What happened to that president who said that he would make America respected once again in the world?

  • Making the country safer: 41% Mostly Succeeded – 48% Mostly Failed (In Oct. 2012 Obama’s poll numbers were  52% – 38%)
  • Improving health care: 36% Mostly Succeeded – 57% Mostly Failed
  • Creating new jobs: 33% Mostly Succeeded – 59% Mostly Failed
  • Improving America’s image around the world:  33% Mostly Succeeded – 59% Mostly Failed

Real Clear Politics Barack Obama average job approval polling.

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