DEMOCRATS HAVE A TOUGH BATTLE IN THE SENATE IN 2018 … ITS A NUMBERS GAME.
As reported from The Hill, there are 7 US Senate seats that are likely to flip in the 2018 elections. However, they may not exactly flip the way the media thinks they will. Just from the mere numbers that both parties have to defend, the GOP has an advantage. Republicans, who will only defend eight seats, two of which are considered vulnerable. By comparison, Democrats have to defend 25 seats, including 10 in states that Trump won in 2016. Many of the states Trump won wide huge margins. The MSM is so quick to reference President Trump’s “dismal” approval rating. However, you know who has an even worse approval rating by far? Congress does. One would think that Democrats from Montana, Indiana, North Dakota and Missouri are all but gone. Why these “RED” states have Democrat Senators is puzzling at best.President Trump needs to vigorously campaign for these GOP candidates and preferably hand pick ones that are not Rino’s, but actual Republicans and preferably Conservatives.
The one GOP seat that will most likely flip is Heller in Nevada. The state has been trending blue for years. However, I disagree with Sen. Flake of Arizona. One of two things will happen. Either Fake will be primary challenged by a candidate backed by Trump and win or Flake will get his act in gear. My personal opinion is he must go. Others that need to be added to the list of flipping is Democrat Sens. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin, Robert Casey of Pennsylvania and Debbie Stabenow of Michigan. All are obstructionist Democrat senators from states won by Trump in 2016. The GOP has an opportunity of a lifetime in 2018, the questions is, will Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell blow it.?
Next year’s midterm elections will provide Republicans with a major opportunity to build their majority in the Senate — if they can overcome President Trump’s dismal approval ratings and internal party rancor.
The 2018 Senate map heavily favors Republicans, who will only defend eight seats, just two of which are considered vulnerable right now. By comparison, Democrats have to defend 25 seats, including 10 in states that Trump won in 2016.
1. Dean Heller (R-Nev.)
Heller is the only Republican up for reelection in 2018 who represents a state that Hillary Clinton won last November. Making matters worse for Heller, he’s had a rough 2017.
Democrats are largely falling in line behind Rep. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.), a strong challenger with backing from former Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, the dean of Nevada Democrats. Rep. Dina Titus (D-Nev.) is still weighing a bid, but Democrats’ near-uniform support for Rosen could squeeze Titus out of the race and give the party more time to focus on Heller.
2. Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.)
McCaskill is one of the few statewide Democratic officeholders left in Missouri, which Trump won by 19 points in November.
The two-term senator spent 2016 as one of Hillary Clinton’s top surrogates, mounting a strong defense of the Democratic presidential nominee that McCaskill’s rivals believe will become a weakness in her own campaign.
McCaskill’s party also just lost Missouri’s 2016 Senate race, despite a strong campaign from Democrat Jason Kander.
3. Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.)
Donnelly leveraged a bipartisan approach to politics and his blue-collar appeal into a Senate seat in 2012, but he’ll have to fight yet another tough battle if he wants to keep his Senate seat in a state Trump won by 19 points.
4. Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.)
Flake wouldn’t rank this high in a normal election year, but a Republican president threatening to support a primary challenge to an incumbent GOP senator isn’t normal, either.
The Arizona senator’s path to reelection has grown more difficult as his feud with Trump heats up. Earlier in August, Trump called Flake “toxic” in a tweet where he applauded Kelli Ward, Flake’s primary opponent. And the president’s upcoming Tuesday rally in Arizona could give him a stage to take more shots at Flake or even officially endorse a primary opponent.
5. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.)
In 2016, West Virginia went for Trump by a larger margin than any other state — 42 points.
That resounding victory hasn’t been lost on Manchin, who’s made it a point to try to work with the president and Senate GOP colleagues. Another factor counting in his favor: Manchin’s consistent record of winning statewide office in the West Virginia since 2001, despite the state’s rightward drift.
But Trump’s popularity in West Virginia has drawn interest from strong Republican candidates, and the winner will pose a serious threat to Manchin’s political future. And Democrats can’t be encouraged by Gov. Jim Justice’s decision to ditch them and become a Republican last month, a decision he announced with Trump at his side.
6. Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.)
Heitkamp hails from another deep-red state — North Dakota went for Trump by about 36 points.
Like Manchin, Heitkamp has walked the line between the party’s opposition to Trump and his popularity among her constituents — briefly floated as a potential Agriculture Secretary, Heitkamp, like Manchin, voted for more than two-thirds of Trump’s Cabinet appointments.
7. Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.)
Republicans have a lot to like about their Montana prospects. Trump won the state by more than 20 points in November, and Republican Greg Gianforte just won the state’s at-large congressional seat in a special election — even after he assaulted a reporter.
Tester has never hit 50 percent in either of his two Senate bids, winning each election with 49 percent after a libertarian candidate siphoned off part of the vote.
Sweet Home Alabama … Justice Roy Moore & Sen. Luther Strange Advance to GOP Runoff in Alabama Special Election … Doug Jones wins Alabama Senate Democrat Primary
GREAT JOB BAMA!!!
Drain the Swamp … As reported at The Politico, former Alabama Supreme Court Justice Roy Moore and Sen. Luther Strange will advance to a Republican primary runoff in Alabama’s special Senate race in September. Moore finished first with 41% of the vote and Strange, who was backed by Trump and McConnell, only received 32%. Since no candidate received the necessary 50percent, Moore and Strange will move onto a Sept. 26 runoff before the December general election. It would appear that Moore has a lead over Strange heading into the special election. To the people of Alabama, it is time to drain the swamp and send a message to Mitch McConnell, establishment Republicans and to President Trump. We are going to hold him accountable to draining the swamp, and that means ridding the US Senate of McConnell lackeys. Send a message to President Trump as well, when the electorate says drain the swamp, we mean drain the swamp. Trump needs a bit of a reminder who elected him president, and it wasn’t the McConnell, establishment GOP types. Cuz, a southern man don’t need establishment RINO’s around any how!!!
SWEET HOME ALABAMA!!!
In other news, Democrat Doug Jones wins Alabama Senate primary and doesn’t have a snowballs chance in hell of winning the general election. Mr. Jones can receive all the Democrat endorsements he wants, like from former VP Biden. Jones can make claims like, “As your United States Senator, I am going to continue to fight for everybody in this state. I’m going to be an independent voice … I’m going to be beholden only to the people of the state of Alabama. Don’t be fooled, no freshman Democrat is going to have any say in a party run by liberal Chucky Schumer of New York. Independent? Who is he kidding. Jones would be beholden to Schumer and the far left liberal agenda.
Former Alabama Supreme Court Justice Roy Moore and Sen. Luther Strange advanced to a Republican primary runoff in Alabama’s special Senate race, which will put President Donald Trump and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s political clout on the line in September.
Moore had 40 percent of the vote and Strange — who was backed by Trump and McConnell — had 32 percent after The Associated Press called the race. Rep. Mo Brooks trailed at 20 percent. Alabama election laws call for the top two primary finishers to compete in a runoff if no candidate gets a majority.
Despite the weighty endorsements, Strange has been locked in fierce competition with the other Republican hopefuls this summer. He leaned hard into Trump’s endorsement to try to make a show of strength in the first round and close in on Moore.
“[President Trump] knows that I am the person in this race that’s going to make this country great again,” Strange told cheering supporters Tuesday night.
But Strange, who was appointed to the seat earlier this year when Attorney General Jeff Sessions left the Senate to join Trump’s Cabinet, still ran behind Moore — and well behind the majority marker — in the first round.
“This is a great victory,” Moore told attendees at his election night party. “The attempt by the silk stocking Washington elitists to control the vote of the people of Alabama has failed.”
YOU WOULD NEVER WANT THIS DUDE IN YOUR FOX HOLE …
Following the Bill Maher “house ni**er” comment controversy from HBO’s “Real Time” show, Sen. Al Franken has now canceled his appearance.. It wasn’t too long ago that Sen. Franken (D-MN) said he would stand behind liberal comedian Kathy Griffin and appear with her after her ill-fate Trump decapitated head stunt. Guess what, Franken flip-flopped on his words and has since canceled his appearance with Griffin too. This is kind of interesting seeing that Franken got his fame in life from being a former SNL cast member. If there is anyone who would have stood behind fellow comedians, one would have thought it would have been Stuart Smalley. Maher has since apologized for using the term. But the damage has been dome. Because a liberal politician pandering and schilling a book has no room for context of words.
It is rather interesting to see libs attack their own. I guess its a good think Richard Pryor is no longer able to do his act, or Eddie Murphy for that fact. Who finds it fascinating that the Democrat party had no problem electing for year, Sen. Robert Byrd from West Virginia, a former member of the KKK and Exalted Cyclops, yet what Maher said is just completely wrong?
A spokesperson for Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) confirmed to HuffPost that the senator is canceling his appearance on the upcoming episode of “Real Time” in the wake of host Bill Maher’s use of a racial slur on-air.
“Senator Franken believes that what Bill Maher said was inappropriate and offensive, which is why he made the decision not to appear on the next episode of ‘Real Time,’” the spokesperson said in an emailed statement. “He was glad to see Bill, who the Senator considers to be a good friend, apologize and express sincere regret for his comment.”
Last Friday, Maher joked that he was a “house n****r” while in conversation with Sen. Ben Sasse (R-Neb.), who invited Maher to “work in the fields” of his represented state. Maher later called his use of the term “offensive.”
The backlash was strong enough for Maher to apologize ? something he’s known for rarely doing ? and for HBO to confirm that the network currently has no plans to fire him.
Daily Commentary – Monday, March 7, 2016 – I thought Cruz and Trump Faired Best in Thursday’s Debate
- Rubio did poorly, looking nervous at times and Kasich did his usual
Daily Commentary – Monday, March 7, 2016 Download
COULD DINGY HARRY BE CALLING IT QUITS IN 2016?
Could it finally be the end of the road for Sen. Harry Reid? The Democrat Senate Minority Leader is considered the most vulnerable in 2016. According to the “Crystal Ball,” Reid is one of the most vulnerable Democrat Senators up for reelection in the 2016 cycle. Reid will be 77 years old in 2016 and most likely still in a position to not be in the majority. However, every time that it is predicted that its over for Harry Reid and he is trailing in the polls prior to election day, miraculously, he pulls a rabbit out of a hat.
This this VIDEO, boy does he sound tired and old
Senate minority leader Harry Reid is the most vulnerable Democrat up for re-election in 2016, and may retire to duck a humiliating defeat, according to a new analysis of the 2016 race.
“We identified Reid as probably the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent in this Senate cycle,” said a “Crystal Ball” report from the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics.
It’s also possible that he will retire, although his heavy fundraising and public comments suggest that he’s running again,” said the latest report from analyst Geoffrey Skelley. Recent reports suggest Reid is going for his sixth term.
The analysis found that of all senators ever to seek a sixth term, Reid’s ratings and margin of victory in past races puts him on the endangered list.
In the Crystal Ball’s first batch of 2016 Senate ratings in December 2014, we identified Reid as probably the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent in this Senate cycle. While we rate the contest as Leans Democratic, the prospect of a possible challenge from popular Gov. Brian Sandoval (R-NV) could seriously endanger Reid’s future in Congress’ upper chamber, and Reid’s weak approval ratings also make him potentially vulnerable to other, less heralded Republicans. It’s also possible that he will retire, although his heavy fundraising and public comments suggest that he’s running again. That said, Reid just suffered significant injuries in an exercising accident, and his wife and daughter have also had recent illnesses.