Wikileaks Show New Podesta Email Exposes the Democrat Playbook For Rigging Polls Through “Oversamples”
FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO STILL DENY DEMOCRAT MANIPULATION OF POLLING DATA AND OVER-SAMPLING COMES THE FOLLOWING …
From Zero Hedege comes the following report on more information coming from Podesta’s emails. This time it is the Democrat play book on how they rig polls by purposely over-sampling to get the outcome they they want. Imagine that? Just recently an ABC/WAPO poll has Clinton up by 12 points over Trump. Really, who honestly believes any candidate would have a 12 point lead? It happens when you skew polling data and over sample by 9 points. So what is this farce intended to do, depress the voting turnout of course and have people believe that Hillary is so far out ahead, there is no reason to vote.
Shameful, simply, corrupt and shameful.
“METHODOLOGY – This ABC News poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 20-22, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 874 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 36-27-31 percent, Democrats – Republicans – Independents.”
More from the emails of Podesta and the rigging of polling results:
Now, for all of you out there who still aren’t convinced that the polls are “adjusted”, we present to you the following Podesta email, leaked earlier today, that conveniently spells out, in detail, exactly how to “manufacture” the desired data. The email starts out with a request for recommendations on “oversamples for polling” in order to “maximize what we get out of our media polling.”
I also want to get your Atlas folks to recommend oversamples for our polling before we start in February. By market, regions, etc. I want to get this all compiled into one set of recommendations so we can maximize what we get out of our media polling.
The email even includes a handy, 37-page guide with the following poll-rigging recommendations. In Arizona, over sampling of Hispanics and Native Americans is highly recommended:
Research, microtargeting & polling projects
- Over-sample Hispanics
- Use Spanish language interviewing. (Monolingual Spanish-speaking voters are among the lowest turnout Democratic targets)
- Over-sample the Native American population
For Florida, the report recommends “consistently monitoring” samples to makes sure they’re “not too old” and “has enough African American and Hispanic voters.” Meanwhile, “independent” voters in Tampa and Orlando are apparently more dem friendly so the report suggests filling up independent quotas in those cities first.
- Consistently monitor the sample to ensure it is not too old, and that it has enough African American and Hispanic voters to reflect the state.
- On Independents: Tampa and Orlando are better persuasion targets than north or south Florida (check your polls before concluding this). If there are budget questions or oversamples, make sure that Tampa and Orlando are included first.
Meanwhile, it’s suggested that national polls over sample “key districts / regions” and “ethnic” groups “as needed.”
- General election benchmark, 800 sample, with potential over samples in key districts/regions
- Benchmark polling in targeted races, with ethnic over samples as needed
- Targeting tracking polls in key races, with ethnic over samples as needed
Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News Poll : Sheriff Joe Arpaio Trails Penzone in Arizona in Another Badly Democrat Skewed Poll
MORE SKEWED BS POLLS FROM THE MSM TRYING TO INFLUENCE ELECTIONS …
One of two things is going to happen on election day; one, the polls are all correct and this country will forever be changed for the worse and pass the point of no return of ever being able to be fixed or two, the MSM will be exposed for the corrupt, in the tank for the Democrat liars that many of us already know them to be as shown by the thousands upon thousands of Wikileak emails read them yourself, or some HERE, HERE, HERE, HERE, HERE, HERE , HERE, HERE.
The latest effort by the liberal MSM is a poll from the Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News that shows that Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio trails his Democratic opponent Paul Penzone by almost 15 points. 15 Points?!? Seriously, is that really possible? Well, the answer is yes when you purposely skew the sample results. Arpaio’s campaign manager, Chad Willems, said the poll isn’t a true reflection of the Maricopa County electorate because poll respondents included two and half times as many Democrats as Republicans. Hmm, imagine that. They tried to do the same thing with Trump in AZ.
Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio trails his Democratic opponent Paul Penzone by almost 15 points, according to an Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News poll released Thursday.
The poll, taken from Oct. 10-15, shows that substantial percentages of registered Maricopa County and Arizona voters oppose building a border wall and deporting all undocumented immigrants, two immigration stances Arpaio has championed.
The poll reflects Arizona’s new status as a battleground state, with Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton leading Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump by five points.
According to the poll, 45.9 percent of registered voters in Maricopa County say they plan to vote for Penzone compared to the 31.1 percent who say they’ll vote for Arpaio.
THINK THE ELECTION ISN’T RIGGED … TAKE A LOOK AT THIS MEDIA CROOKED AND BIASED POLL FROM ARIZONA …
Earlier this year, the Arizona Central endorsed Hillary Clinton this year for president. It was the first time the paper has endorsed a Democrat and now they feel the need to lie to the people of Arizona with their new poll that shows that Hillary Clinton has a 5 point lead over Donald Trump. Really? Trump is behind in a red state like Arizona? Well lying, crooked Hillary is when the MSM decided to skew a poll with 2 to 1 sampling Democrats over Republicans.
The MSM will not stop lying, running cover and carrying the water for Hillary Clinton.
But of course the system isn’t rigged, is it? Of the 713 individuals poll, 413 were Democrats, 168 Republican and 132 Independents or Other. HUH? So 58% polled were Democrats and only 23% were Republicans and this is some how a scientific poll that is used by the media to claim that Trump is behind in Arizona? This is just an attempt by the media to depress the GOP vote for Trump and make it appear that he has no chance of winning.
The story should be how does Hillary Clinton only get 39% of the vote with 58% of those polled being Democrats? That is the real question.
Of course the next question in the polling sample is how is it that college educated is over-sampled 2 to 1 over some college? And of course there were more women than men sampled. Shameful, simply shameful. Sadly, even the Business Insider fell for this BS.
Skewed Polls Show that Hillary Clinton Won 2nd Debate … Trump Nailed Her on Email Scandal & Dusasterous Foreign Policy
POLLS SHOW CLINTON WON 2ND DEBATE, BUT I AM NOT TOO SURE OF THAT … TRUMP HAMMERED HER ON EMAIL SCANDAL AND SHE WAS DEFENSIVE.
What else would one expect after watching media debate bias, but more polling bias.
YouGov polls shows that Hillary barely beat Trump, however, one again there is a questionable skewing of the data. They claim the party affiliation was equal; however, 6% more of respondents voted for Obama rather than Romney in 2012. Hmm? It would appear that the second presidential debate was harder to call a winner.
According to YouGov’s post-debate poll, which interviewed 812 registered voters who watched the debate, Hillary Clinton won the debate against Donald Trump by 47% to 42%. Clinton narrowly won undecideds 44% to 41%. She was also considered “more Presidential” by a 57% to 31% margin. There was a gender gap, however: women thought Clinton won by 50-38%, while men thought Trump won by 46-43%.
In a so-called CNN scientific survey where the liberal network over-sampled Democrats to Republicans, Clinton won with 57%. There is a reason why they call CNN the Clinton News Network. There was some good news for the Republican nominee, 63% of those surveyed said Trump performed better than they expected. Among those surveyed, 58% said they supported Clinton before the debate. Hmm, so the sampling started at 58& of Hillary supports. Are you kidding?
They will do anything to give Hillary a perceived advantage. Clinton should be ahead by 40 points with the MSM carrying her water, Trump having to debate her and the moderators and polling that is skewed to the Democrat.
Frank Luntz With 28 Uncommitted Voters in Ohio Following VP Debate … Pence Wins in Landslide (VIDEO)
FOCUS GROUP THINK TIM KAINE WAS A DISASTER … IT WAS SO BAD THIS MAY ACTUALLY MOVE THE POLL NEEDLE.
Republican pollster Frank Luntz live-tweeted responses by a focus group of 27 undecided Ohio voters watching the vice presidential debate last night between Democrat Senator Tim Kaine and Republican Governor Mike Pence from Longwood College in Farmville, Virginia. Watch the video below and the reaction of the focus group to Kaine’s ridiculous interruptions and Pence’s even demeanor. The focus group conducted by CBS News contributor Frank Luntz overwhelmingly agreed that Republican vice presidential nominee Mike Pence won the debate against Democratic nominee Tim Kaine. As one uncommitted voter stated, they blamed everything on Trump’s tax returns, at one point I thought they were going to blame the JFK assassination on Trump’s tax returns.
If this happened with a focus group in Ohio, imagine what occurred across the United States last night as well?
There are 26 people taking part in the focus group during the vice presidential debate being held at Longwood University in Farmville, Virginia.
Luntz said 22 people in the focus group think Pence won, while only four believe Kaine did.
Luntz said Kaine was guilty of cutting off Pence frequently during the debate.
“Kaine is interrupting too much,” Luntz tweeted. “The focus group wants the moderator to lay down the law and shut him up until it’s his turn.”
To the 4 supposed uncommitted voters who thought Kaine won, you are not uncommitted. No one but a Hillary Clinton Kool-Aid drinker thought an unhinged Kaine won the debate last night.