Breitbart/Gravis State Polls of Likely Voters Have Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina All Tied Up
COULD MINNESOTA REALLY BE A PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION BATTLEGROUND STATE IN 2016?
According to the most recent Breitbart/Gravis state polls, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and North Carolina are virtual ties and within the margin of error. Could it really be possible that Minnesota, a state that Obama won handily in 2008 and 2012, could be up for grabs in 2016? The same could be said for Pennsylvania. However, if true that a dark blue state like Minnesota is in play, it is no wonder why Team Hillary is sweating this out.
In Minnesota, Clinton and Trump are tied with each having 43 percent of the vote, said Doug Kaplan, the managing director of Gravis Marketing, the Florida-based polling firm that executed the poll.
In Pennsylvania, Clinton leads Trump with 46 percent to his 43 percent, and in North Carolina the former first lady leads Trump 44 percent to the New York City developer’s 43 percent, he said.
Before unlikely voters were filtered out of the sample population, the results were similar with candidates tied in Minnesota and Clinton up one point in North Carolina and up two points in Pennsylvania.
Democratic pollster Patrick Caddell told Breitbart News: “Trump is closing everywhere and states that have not been in play are coming into play, like Minnesota.”
Caddell said those states that had been considered battleground states are not moving as fast, but all are inside the margin of error.
Fox News Poll: Donald Trump Leads Hillary Clinton in Battlegrounds States of Nevada, North Carolina and Ohio
TRUMP IS SURGING IN POLLS …
According to the most recent FOX News polls, Donald Trump is surging in the polls and leads Hillary Clinton in three key battleground states, Nevada, North Carolina and Ohio. The key is that not only is Trump ahead in these battleground states, but he has the momentum at the right time and is surging. Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton seems to have come to a halt and only has a complicit, bias and water carrying media propping her up.
Trump surges in Nevada, Donald Trump holds a 3-point lead over Clinton among likely voters in a three-way race that included Gary Johnson, the Libertarian nominee. Trump has 43% of support, Clinton 40% and Johnson’s 8%. In North Carolina, Trump was up by 5 points, leading Clinton by 45% to 40%, with Johnson at 6%. In Ohio, Trump has a 5-point lead over Clinton, with 42% of support. Clinton has 37% in a four-way poll that included Johnson and Jill Stein, the Green Party nominee.
Interestingly enough, Obama won Nevada in 2008 (55%-43%) and 2012 (52%-46%), Ohio in 2008 (52%-47%) and 2012 (51%-48%) and North Carolina in 2008 (50%-49%). Hillary Clinton is under-performing in states that Obama easily won in the past.
Trump has a three-point advantage over Clinton among likely voters in the Silver State (43-40 percent). Libertarian Gary Johnson receives eight percent. Nevada voters also can cast a ballot for “none of these,” and that option takes four percent. Green Party candidate Jill Stein is not on the ballot in Nevada.
Independents back Trump (42 percent) over Clinton (23 percent) and Johnson (21 percent).
The Democrat is trailing expectations among women and younger voters.
In North Carolina, Trump is up by five points among likely voters. He receives 45 percent to Clinton’s 40 percent, and 6 percent favor Johnson. Stein is not on the ballot.
Whites back Trump by a 31-point margin (58-27 percent), while blacks support Clinton by 82 points (85-3 percent).
Independents favor Trump (41 percent) over Clinton (24 percent) and Johnson (14 percent).
The Buckeye State is another must-win for Trump, and the poll finds him up by five points among likely voters: 42-37 percent. Johnson receives six percent and Stein gets two percent.
Trump’s edge over Clinton comes mainly from independents (+20 points) and working-class whites (+26). Clinton’s up by just three points among women. Obama won them by 11 in 2012
ITS NOT JUST ABOUT THE POLLS, ITS ABOUT TRENDING AND TRUMP IS SURGING …
According to Nate Silver, Donald Trump surges from 3% to 48% chance of winning the 2016 Presidential election. Trump has all the momentum as Clinton has fallen, literally, and can’t seem to get up.
The latest vote projection from elections guru Nate Silver has Republican Donald Trump just six electoral votes short of winning and one point away from equaling Hillary Clinton’s popular vote.
The newest Five Thirty Eight survey Trump at 264 and Clinton at 272, two more than needed. It’s the closest in recent weeks.
What’s more, he has the popular vote within the margin of victory, Clinton 45.4 percent to Trump’s 44.3 percent.
Silver is famous for making a prediction of victory and that’s nearly close to, Clinton at 51.9 percent and Trump at 48 percent, his closest since the conventions
ITS SLIP, SLIDING AWAY FROM HILLARY CLINTON AS THE POLLS AND ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTE TIGHTEN …
An election analysis conducted in the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project shows that the race has tightened considerably over the past few weeks. Hillary has fallen and she can’t get up, both literally and figuratively. Her once insurmountable lead over Donald Trump is all gone and now The Donald has all of the momentum at just the right time.
The RCP average polling in a 4 way race is down to a Hillary 1.1 lead.
Hillary has Fallen and She cant get Up
An election analysis conducted in the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project shows that the race has tightened considerably over the past few weeks, with Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump projected to win Florida, an essential battleground state, if the election were held today.
The project, which is based on a weekly tracking poll of more than 15,000 Americans, shows that the 2016 presidential race could end in a photo finish on Nov. 8, with the major-party candidates running nearly even in the Electoral College, the body that ultimately selects the president.
The States of the Nation project, which delivers a weekly tally of support for the candidates in every state, shows that the race has tightened in several traditional battlegrounds. Pennsylvania has been moved from a likely win for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton to a tossup; Ohio has been moved from a tossup to a likely win for Clinton.
And Florida is now considered a likely win for the Republican nominee, with 50 percent support for Trump to 46 percent support for Clinton. If the election were held today, the project estimates that Clinton has a 60 percent chance of winning by 18 electoral votes. Last week, the project estimated that Clinton had a 83 percent chance of winning the election.
In a separate national Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll, Clinton continues to lead Trump by 4 percentage points, and her recent bout with pneumonia doesn’t appear to have scared away her supporters.
ITS A STATISTICAL TIE …
The most recent FOX poll shows it is a dead heat between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Interestingly enough, this is the first Fox News Poll this season that includes results among likely voters. Previous polls were registered voters. However, make no mistake about it, the presidential race has swung dramatically in the last 6 weeks and Trump has all of the momentum. The RCP average polling is proof positive that Hillary’s lead is all but gone and Trump is starting to go ahead in some polls.
Full results can be read HERE.
The presidential race is tight. Hillary Clinton tops Donald Trump by just one point among likely voters in the four-way ballot. In the head-to-head matchup, Trump’s up by one point.
Clinton receives 41 percent to Trump’s 40 percent, according to a new Fox News Poll, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 8 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 3 percent.
In a two-way matchup, likely voters give Trump the edge over Clinton: 46-45 percent.
The poll, released Thursday, was conducted Sunday through Wednesday evenings, at a time when Clinton faced new questions about her health after falling ill at a 9/11 memorial event.
It’s the first Fox News Poll this season that includes results among likely voters, so a direct comparison can’t be made to previous polls.