More bad polling data for Democrats. As per the most recent Rasmussen poll, Republicans have their greatest advantage in the Generic Congressional ballot since early 2011. Rasmussen has the GOP ahead of Democrats 46% to 36%. Just one week ago Republicans were ahead by 5%.
Republicans, as they have for nearly three years now, continue to lead Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot, this time for the week ending Sunday, April 15.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 36% would choose the Democrat instead. This is the largest gap between the two parties since the beginning of 2011. It also doubles the gap found a week ago when the Republican led by five points, 45% to 40%.
According to the final USA Today/Gallup measuring Americans’ voting intentions for Congress shows Republicans will win big Tuesday night in the 2010 midterm elections. Gallup is reporting that the GOP lead in voter intentions is so large that Republicans will take the House and at least 40 seats no matter what the voter turnout is. It is not just Gallup, the final final NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll before Tuesday’s elections show that 50% of likely voters prefer a GOP-controlled Congress.
Obama, Pelosi, Reid and Democrats … It’s coming
The final USA Today/Gallup measure of Americans’ voting intentions for Congress shows Republicans continuing to hold a substantial lead over Democrats among likely voters, a lead large enough to suggest that regardless of turnout, the Republicans will win more than the 40 seats needed to give them the majority in the U.S. House.
The results are from Gallup’s Oct. 28-31 survey of 1,539 likely voters. It finds 52% to 55% of likely voters preferring the Republican candidate and 40% to 42% for the Democratic candidate on the national generic ballot — depending on turnout assumptions. Gallup’s analysis of several indicators of voter turnout from the weekend poll suggests turnout will be slightly higher than in recent years, at 45%. This would give the Republicans a 55% to 40% lead on the generic ballot, with 5% undecided.
Gallup has the Congressional Generic ballot at Republicans 55% and Democrats 40%. They are predicting a GOP House win of 60+ seats. These polling numbers are as high as we have seen from Gallup and represent as NRO states, it could be uncharted territory.
Republicans Hold 10% Lead in CNN Congressional Ballot Which Can Explain … Rasmussen Has GOP Leading in 6 of 7 Toss Up Senate Races
Just days away and more disastrous polling data for Democrats …
With just two days to go before the long awaited 2010 midterm elections, according to the most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll, Republicans hold a commanding 10% lead in the Generic Congressional ballot over Democrats at 52% to 42%. Also in the poll, Obama has a 48% – 48% favorable/unfavorable rating. One might think that is promising compared to other Obama job approval polls; however, that is down from down from September’s polling when Obama was at 53% favorable and 45% unfavorable. The rending is headed in the wrong direction. Full pdf polling results can be seen HERE.
The GOP’s 10 point advantage in the “generic ballot” question in a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation national survey released Sunday is slightly larger than the seven point advantage Republican candidates had on the eve of the 1994 midterms, when the party last took control of Congress from the Democrats.
“But unlike 1994, when polls indicated the public had a positive view of the Republican party, a majority of Americans now do not have a favorable view of the GOP,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.
According to the poll, 52 percent of likely voters say they will vote for the generic Republican in their congressional district, with 42 percent saying they will vote for the generic Democrat, four percent saying neither and two percent undecided. The GOP’s 10-point lead is up from a seven-point advantage in a CNN poll conducted in early October.
At Real Clear Politics the GOP leads Democrats by 7.8% in the Generic Congressional Vote.
As stated at the Political Wire, the 2010 election is about saying “NO” to Democrats and “NO” to the Obama, Pelosi, Reid socialist agenda change. It is not a vote of confidence to the GOP. However, this is the reason why when Republicans are reelected to office, they will be on probation and best listen to WE THE PEOPLE.
It gets worse for Democrats and the US Senate might just be in play after all. As reported at the Gateway Pundit, according to Rasmussen, in 6 of the 7 toss up US Senate states … Republicans are ahead in the polls.
Rasmussen Reports has Republicans leading in 6 of 7 senate seats just two days before the midterm election. West Virginia, Nevada, Colorado, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and Washington all show the Republican candidate leading their liberal opponent. In CaliforniaCarly Fiorina is still in striking range of unseating far left Senator Maam.
Think about how much of a drubbing Democrats are about to take in the 2010 midterm elections when it comes to the US Senate. There are 37 seats up for reelection in 2010. Democrats will win 8, Republicans will win 22 and 7 states are toss-ups … with the GOP ahead in 6 of the 7. Imagine if all Senate seats were up for reelection like in the House, the GOP would be looking at a 70+ seat majority.
CBS Poll: Majority of Likely Voters Say Their House Vote is a Referendum on Barack Obama … More Voting Against Obama Than For The One
With less than one week to go before the 2010 midterm election, a new CBS poll has the Republican party ahead in the Congressional Generic ballot over Democrats 46% to 40%. As seen in most of the polls over the last 6 months, independents are breaking sharply for the GOP. To make matters worse for Democrats, even though President Obama has been campaigning nonstop for Democrats, 56% of likely voters say Obama’s support for a candidate has no impact on their vote.
The advantage can be attributed in large part to independents, who are breaking hard for the GOP. Forty-seven percent of independent likely voters say they plan to vote Republican, while just 32 percent plan to vote Democrat. Seventeen percent haven’t made up their minds.
More than four in five Democrats and Republicans, meanwhile, say they are sticking with their party.
A majority of likely voters say their House vote is a referendum on President Obama, and more are voting against the president than for him. Thirty-two percent are casting a vote against Mr. Obama, while 22 percent are casting their vote to support him. Forty-two percent say their vote is about something else.
What might be the most interesting and alarming bit of polling data for Democrats in this CBS poll is the fact that the GOP has a slight lead with woman over Democrats. If that holds true across America on election day, Democrats will only wish there was a tsunami, rather than a follow up volcano, earthquake and tidal wave.
Men favor Republican candidates in their House vote this year by eight points, while the Republican edge is narrower among women.
Likely voters under age 45 are divided in their vote for Congress, while older voters are more likely to vote for Republicans.
Kaine Says Democrats will Hold House, then Why are They so Worried the GOP Will Take the House of Representatives in 2010 … New York State Set for Possible Democrat Purge
Wouldn’t it be real news if the Chairman of the DNCC admitted that the Democrats would lose?
The top democrat says they will not lose the House. Really? Then why are Democrats struggling in the “bluest” of “blue” states l;ike New York? Tim Kaine, the chairman of the Democratic National Committee, went on ABC’s ‘This Week’ and said the following shocking comment … the Democrats would retain the House. WOW, THAT’S NEWS!!!
Kaine told “This Week” anchor Christiane Amanpour that Democrats would maintain control of the House in the midterm elections nine days from now.
I do, I do. I think it’s going to be close,” he said. “These races are very close, but from this point forward, it’s all about turnout and ground game. And we’re seeing good early voting trends and we’ve got work to do, but we think we can do it.”
So is all the polling wrong, Amanpourasked. Kaine didn’t address that question, but said the wind was at Democrats’ backs.
Does any one think that the head cheerleader of the Democrats is going to admit they are going to lose? I mean seriously folks, these people could not tell the truth about Obamacare, the stimulus or creating jobs. America is just so enamored with Democrat House Speaker as seen by her 29% approval rating. It is only Obama who thinks she is a great Speaker, not the American voters. . Kaine must be drinking the Kool-Aid from the latest Newsweek poll and not all the others that have the GOP ahead in the Congressional generic ballot.
Obvious, most Democrats do not share Kaine’s optimism. Most all Democrats are fearful of losing the House of Representatives in 2010 which can explain why they seem to be running as Republicans and as far away from the policies of Pelosi and Obama as they can.? Maybe it is because like in a Deep Blue state like New York, there are 11 possible seats that could change hands. 11!!! The Republicans just need a pick up of 39 to reclaim the majority. Currently, 27 of the 29 New York House seats are held by Democrats. All that could change in the 2010 midterms and what occurs in NY state could be the political indicator for what happens November 2nd election eve.
The 11 races up for grabs in New York. In a state where 93% of the House seats are held by Democrats, imagine what it means for Democrats to lose 4 or 5 seats in New York state?
1. Hall (D) v. Hayworth (R): In the 19th Congressional District (Westchester, Putnam, Orange), Republican Nan Hayworth, an ophthalmologist, is in a statistical tie with Rep. John Hall in the latest Monmouth University poll. Hall, a movement radical/singer (Orleans) who won in reaction to the Iraq war in 2006, has toed House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s line ever since.
However, numerous polls have the Repubpican candidate ahead like the Siena poll that has Hayworth ahead by 3%, while The Hill’s recent battleground polling had the race tied. How has the landscape changed in 2010? The incumbent Democrat Hall won his House election races in 2008 and 2006 by a 59%-41% and51%-49% respectively. Hall now finds himself in a virtual tie withan anti-incumbent Democrat scent in the wind.
2. Bishop v. Altschuler:In the 1st CD (Eastern Suffolk), Rep. Tim Bishop is behind Republican Randy Altschuler42-40 in the latest McLaughlin poll. A defeat of Bishop, a long-term incumbent, would send shock waves through the state’s delegation.
However, a recent Siena poll shows the GOP candidate down big. However, GOP candidate received the politcal endorsement from NJ Governor Chris Christie and has a nice war chest for down the stretch ads. Some recent polls only show the incumbent Democrat up by 2%.
Newsweek Poll Says Obama Approval Rating Jumps Over 50% & Democrats Close ‘Enthusiasm Gap’ … Wanna Bet!
Oh yeah, this is believable …
The Democrat state run liberal media outlet Newsweek states in their most recent poll that Barack Obama’s approval rating at 54%. Newsweek also claims that the enthusiasm gap has narrowed as well. So when all else fails and Democrats are on the verge of colossal losses in the 2010 midterm elections, as also stated at Hot Air, the Obama media just makes up self-serving polls. This favorable Obama and Democrat poll brought to you by the same people who said … We Are All Socialists Now.”
Despite doom-saying about Democrats’ chances in the midterms, the latest NEWSWEEK Poll (full results) shows that they remain in a close race with Republicans 12 days before Election Day, while the president’s approval ratings have climbed sharply. The poll finds that 48 percent of registered voters would be more likely to vote for Democrats, compared with 42 percent who lean Republican (those numbers are similar to those in the last NEWSWEEK Poll, which found Democrats favored 48 percent to 43 percent). President Obama’s approval ratings have jumped substantially, crossing the magic halfway threshold to 54 percent, up from 48 percent in late September, while the portion of respondents who disapprove of the president dropped to 40 percent, the lowest disapproval rating in a NEWSWEEK Poll since February 2010.
The far fetched poll can be seen here.
Maybe Big Bird can Help out Newsweek
The Newsweek joke poll could never bee more evident than going to Real Clear politics to see the polling averages of numerous polls on Obama job approval and the Congressional Generic ballot. Obama has an average approval rating of 46.3% and a disapproval of 48.3%. Reviewing the polling data, reminds me a a Sesame Street skit of one of these things doesn’t belong here. The same thing can be said regarding the Congressional Generic ballot, Newsweek is the only poll that does not have a GOP lead let alone a double digit lead for the GOP.
Hard to believe the bias Newsweek poll when the Rasmussen Presidential index is at -19% and 45% approval, 54% disapproval rating. More polling data is posted at Wake Up America that proves beyond a shadow of a doubt that the Newsweek poll is an outlier. So this is what the LEFT has been reduced to, making up contrived polling data to provide the perception that Democrats are gaining ground in the polls. The the state rum media propagandists stop at nothing?
Gallup & Rasmussen: Republicans Up Big With Likely Voters over Democrats & GOP More Trusted on Issues Ahead of 2010 Midterm Election
So much for all the hype and spin from Democrats and the MSM that they were catching up with enthusiasm gap with Republicans. Obama’s campaign rhetoric falls flat with the voters. Obama is in for a long midterm election eve.
It must be my message … maybe I can blame the teleprompter!
According to the most recent Gallup poll, with just two weeks to go before the 2010 midterm elections,Democrats have not cut into the GOP lead and in fact Republicans have an overwhelming 17% point lead among likely voters. With Republicans with such large leads in the generic Congressional ballot, there are going to be many surprises election eve as House races that no one thought would be Democrats losses are going to be pick ups for Republicans
For Republicans to lead, or even be at parity with Democrats, on the generic congressional ballot indicates they are in a good position to win a majority of House seats in the upcoming elections. This is because of Republicans’ typical advantage in voter turnout, which in recent years has given that party an average five-point boost in support on Election Day.
If the elections were held today and roughly 40% of voters turned out — a rate typical in recent years — Gallup’s Oct. 7-17 polling suggests Republicans would win 56% of the vote — 8 points greater than their support from registered voters, and 17 points ahead of Democrats, at 39%. If turnout is significantly higher, Republicans would receive 53% of the vote (a 5-point improvement over their registered-voter figure), and the Democrats, 42%.
As Jammie Wearing Fool asks, how’s all that Barack Obama campaigning working out for you Democrats? Wasn’t Barack & Michelle Obama to the rescue supposed to stem the tide? America wants change and its not Obama or Democrats.
To make matters even worse for Democrats, Rasmussen has the GOP with a 9% lead over Democrats in the Generic Congressional ballot. Oh wait, it gets even worse, Republicans trusted on 8 of the top 10 political issues of the day including the economy, health care, illegal immigration, taxes and national security. Um, Democrats polled higher of ethics? Voters, wake up … did you miss the fact that Pelosi & the democrats pushed off the ethics hearings regarding the scandals of Democrats Charlie Rangel and Maxine Waters until after the election?
This is shaping up to be a historic night for Republicans.
Democrats in Big Trouble … Rasmussen Predicting Republicans 55 Seat Pick Up in Races for the US House
RUT-ROH … 16 days before the 2010 midterm elections and Rasmussen predicting huge wins for the GOP.
The question as to whether Republicans will pick up the necessary 39 House seats to regain control of the US House of Representatives seem to be a forgone conclusion by many pollsters and pundits. The question more is, who can be the most precise and nail the exact number. Scott Rasmussen is on record as saying that the GOP will pick up 55 seats in this years 2010 midterm election … can you say Mr. Speaker John Boehner.
With all due respect to the Obama Kool-Aid drinking spinmeisters who claim the Democrats will regain the House in 2010, Republicans will have the majority by the time the voting counts hit the Mississippi River. Obama, Biden, Gibbs, et all can talk their rosy game, the fact of the matter is … all polls do not lie. The past two years should have all been about the economy, the economy, the economy, but instead Obama, Pelosi and Reid have made it about their liberal agenda. There will be hell to pay on November 2, 2010.
Nationally-recognized pollster Scott Rasmussen last night predicted that Republicans would gain 55 seats in races for the U.S. House of Representatives November 2—much more than the 39 needed for a Republican majority in the House for the first time since 2006.
But the man whose Rasmussen Reports polling is watched carefully by politicians and frequently quoted by the punditocracy said that whether Republicans gain the ten seats they need to take control of the Senate is in question.
“Republicans should have 48 seats [after the elections next month], Democrats 47, and five seats could slide either way,” said Rasmussen in his banquet address at the Western Conservative Political Action Conference. He was referring to seats in five states in which the Senate race this year he considers too close to call: California, Illinois, Washington, West Virginia, and Nevada (or “that mudwrestling contest,” as Rasmussen described the race between Republican Sharron Angle and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid).
The once unheard of notion of picking up 10 seats in one US Senate election cycle might just now be a possibility. In Senate race after Senate race, Democrats find themselves in trouble and as the Gateway Pundit states, Democrats retreat to “Blue State” stong holds.
Check out the WSJ political map for House, Senate and Governor races that show just how bleak the situation is for Democrats.
Democratic strategists acknowledged they are abandoning a dozen House seats the party now holds, as they try to salvage their majority in the chamber by shoring up candidates with better chances.
With Republicans expanding their advertising to broaden the field of competitive races, Democrats are shifting resources to help such senior lawmakers as House Budget Committee Chairman John Spratt (D., S.C.), and to head off Republicans in usually safe Massachusetts, where a southeast district that includes Cape Cod is competitive for the first time in decades.
Is it any wonder why the American voters are about to toss the Democrats out of control in the House when there is a -50.4% approval rating for the Democrat controlled Congress. Real Clear Politics average polling also has Republicans ahead in the Generic Congressional ballot by 6.8%.
However, the House races could be even more bleak for Democrats as the Cook Political Report says 90+ seats are in play and most are Democrat. Also, Republicans House candidates are far ahead in fund raising and have much more to spend in the final weeks and days leading up to the election.
In the House, GOP candidates reported raising $104 million from July through September, compared with $89 million for Democrats, new disclosure records show. In the 18 top Senate races, Republicans brought in nearly $60 million; their Democratic opponents raised less than $40 million.
2010 Midterm Election: Obama Thinks the Pundits Are Wrong, Gallup Says Republicans Up Big Over Democrats
The 2010 midterm election is almost upon us and more bad polling numbers for Democrats …
President Barack Obama went away from his scripted speech and teleprompter and stammered his way through comments to Democrats at the Philly rally and said, “I … I … I … I … think the pundits are wrong …” However, Obama could never be more wrong. The polling is breaking toward the GOP and as the Gay Patriot states, it’s not Rasmussen, it is Gallup! Interestingly enough the Gallup poll, as reported at The Hill, seems more certain that the GOP is not losing steam with the American likely voters, in fact they might be gaining momentum.
From The Hill,
The GOP kept its healthy lead over Democrats in both high and low turnout scenarios in Gallup’s weekly test of likely voters’ preference between the two parties.
Fifty-six percent of likely voters said they would back an unnamed Republican candidate for Congress in a test of a low-turnout scenario for the crucial midterm elections. Thirty-nine percent in that same model said they would back a Democratic candidate, an increase by one percent over last week.
In Gallup’s high-turnout model, Republicans maintain a 53-41 percent advantage among likely voters. That also represented a one percent tick upward in support for Democrats.
The poll suggests that the GOP hasn’t lost any steam in its bid to pick up 39-plus seats they need in the House to reclaim the majority. Democrats have claimed that support for Republican candidates has peaked, and that they’re primed to make inroads into support for the GOP, though Gallup’s weekly effort to track the generic ballot suggests that any Democratic gains have been marginal at best.
I guess we now know why liberal finacier George Soros predicts a Republican avalanche.
Some people say the 2010 midterm elections will be a tsunami for the Republicans, others say it will be an “AVALANCHE”.
While President Obama, VP Joe Biden and the rest of the Democrats and their shills in the MSM try and spin an optimistic picture that Democrats are making a rebound ahead on the midterm elections, George Soros, the far LEFT champion and money behind liberal and progressives has thrown in the towel. Soros stated, “I don’t believe in standing in the way of an avalanche.”
Mr. Soros, a champion of liberal causes, has been directing his money to groups that work on health care and the environment, rather than electoral politics. Asked if the prospect of Republican control of one or both houses of Congress concerned him, he said: “It does, because I think they are pushing the wrong policies, but I’m not in a position to stop it. I don’t believe in standing in the way of an avalanche.”
As stated at Hot Air, the first rule of investing is do not put your money in a company that is about to trash. According to all reports, the Democrat party is about to crash and burn in a major way in the 2010 midterm elections. Rasmussen’s Generic Congressional ballot has Republicans up by 11% over Democrats, the Cook Political Report has many Democrat House seats in play while Gallup has Democrats in huge trouble with both high and low voter turn out.
Even though behind the scenes Soros is funding other front groups, it is rather telling that he would publicly state that he is taking away the Democrat’s credit card. Looks like we can include Soros as those that look to make Obama look bad in 2010.