USA Today/Pew Research Poll: Republicans Have 4 Point Lead in Generic Congressional Ballot Over Democrats, 47% to 43%
A new USA Today/Pew Research Poll … Democrats in trouble for 2014 midterm elections.
The latest USA Today/Pew survey has the GOP ahead of Democrats with a 4 point lead in the Generic Congressional ballot and other poor Obama polling has Democrats in a pickle heading into the 2014 midterm elections. The vote also appears to be a vote against Barack Obama and his policies than for him. According to the poll, 54% say that Barack Obama will not be a factor in their vote this fall; however, 26% see their vote as a vote against the president than only 16% for him.
With the midterm elections six months away, Democrats are burdened by an uneven economic recovery and a stubbornly unpopular health care law. Perhaps equally important, Barack Obama’s political standing is in some respects weaker than it was at a comparable point in the 2010 campaign, which ended with the Republicans gaining a majority in the House.
A national survey by the Pew Research Center and USA TODAY, conducted April 23-27 among 1,501 adults (including 1,162 registered voters), finds that 47% of registered voters support the Republican candidate in their district or lean Republican, while 43% favor the Democratic candidate or lean Democratic. The trend over the past six months in the so-called generic ballot shows that Democrats have lost ground. In October, Democrats held a six-point lead (49% to 43%) in midterm voting preferences.
The Weekly Standard also points out that survey shows Obamacare polling as poorly as it ever has.
Obamacare remains stubbornly unpopular. Although the legislation received positive press coverage after the national health care exchange reached its sign-up target, a majority of Americans (55 percent) still disapprove of the law and just 41 percent approve.
Economic pessimism, a persistent problem for the administration, remains strong. Nearly two-thirds of those surveyed said it is difficult to find jobs in their community. Just 27 percent of respondents said it was easy. Nearly half the country believes the economy won’t change over the next year. Twenty-four percent believe it will be worse, and 25 percent think it will improve.
The public remains divided over whether the GOP would better handle the economy, however. Forty-three percent said Republican leaders could “do more to strengthen the economy over the next few years,” and 39 percent believe the Obama administration is preferable. About 9 percent see no difference between the two.
CNN Poll: Reversal of Fortune … Republicans Lead Democrats in Generic Ballot 49% to 44%, a 13 Point Swing Since October, 2013
Houston Democrats, you have a problem … Obamacare and Barack Obama are toxic.
In a recent CNN poll, the GOP has captured the lead over Democrats in the Generic ballot by a 49% to 44% margin. This is a 13 point swing from poll results just two months ago in October where Dems had a 50% to 42% lead. My how the mighty have fallen and the Obamacare house of cards and lies have fallen. The remarkable turnaround is a direct result of the Obamacare roll-out and the American people learning that all the promises made bt President Obama and Democrats that you could keep your healthcare if you liked it, that you could keep your doctor and healthcare costs would be reduced, were all lies. Worse yet and infuriating We the People, Obama and Democrats knew it in advance. Making matters worse for Democrats if possible, only 22% polled are enthusiastic about the 2014 midterm elections. A low turnout by an exhausted and disappointed Democrat electorate is hardly good news for their chances to win back the House and possibly losing the Senate.
Democrats have lost their advantage and Republicans now have a slight edge in the battle for control of Congress, according to a new national poll.
A CNN/ORC International survey released Thursday also indicates that President Barack Obama may be dragging down Democratic congressional candidates, and that the 2014 midterm elections are shaping up to be a low-turnout event, with only three in 10 registered voters extremely or very enthusiastic about voting next year.
Two months ago, Democrats held a 50%-42% advantage among registered voters in a generic ballot, which asked respondents to choose between a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district without identifying the candidates. That result came after congressional Republicans appeared to overplay their hand in the bitter fight over the federal government shutdown and the debt ceiling.
But the Democratic lead evaporated, and a CNN poll a month ago indicated the GOP holding a 49%-47% lead. The new survey, conducted in mid-December, indicates Republicans with a 49%-44% edge over the Democrats.
According to Powerline, upon learning of the news of the devastating poll what was the first thing that Democrats did … “Within a few hours after the CNN poll came out, the Democrats’ “Rapid Response” team was emailing the party’s faithful, asking for money.” Because it is never about Democrats taking responsibility for poor policy and a rejection of the American people. It is always about smearing the GOP, blaming the GOP and begging for money. Get ready for a nasty, smear-fest from Democrats because they have nothing left to run on.
From: DCCC Rapid Response [mailto:email@example.com]
Sent: Thursday, December 26, 2013 2:02 PM
To: Hinderaker, John H.
Subject: some tough news:
We woke up to some tough news this morning:
Washington (CNN) — Democrats have lost their advantage and Republicans now have a slight edge in the battle for control of Congress, according to a new national poll.
John — The latest Republican assault on Obamacare has proven to be dangerously effective. If we don’t respond to Republican smears with the facts right now, the damage to the Affordable Care Act AND our chances in 2014 could be irreversible.
If this trend remains the same heading into the 2014 midterms … it will be utter carnage for Democrats.
Charlie Cook Says, This is One of “the Most Dramatic Shifts I’ve Ever Seen in 40 Years of Involvement in Politics” Referring to the Generic Congressional Ballot
Charlie Cook, political polling extraordinaire of the Cook Political Report, stated that the recent political environment that it is “one of the most dramatic shifts I’ve ever seen in 40 years of involvement in politics.” The shift that Cook is referring to has Democrats in a panic as they try and find answers to right the ship that is taking on water after the failed launch of the Obamacare website and the misrepresentations and lies from President Obama that if you liked your healthcare plan, you could keep it, Period! The Obama mistrust has caused a ripple affect with the Generic Congressional ballot as Obamacare was passed 100% on a partisan Democrat vote. Democrats are damned no matter which way they turn, they can admit Obamacare was a complete mistake that they passed without reading or they can double down and infuriate the American people.
Sure enough, the Democratic numbers in the generic ballot began to pull dramatically ahead, resembling a steep ascent up the side of a mountain, ending about 7 points ahead of Republicans, 45 percent to 38 percent—an advantage that, were it to last until the election, would give Democrats a chance to recapture the House.
Then, in mid-October, the focus shifted from the government-shutdown fiasco to a different debacle, this time a Democratic disaster: the botched launch of the Obamacare website and subsequent implementation problems of the health care law, including termination notices going out to many people who had insurance coverage. The Democratic numbers from the generic-ballot test dropped from 45 percent to 37 percent, and Republicans moved up to 40 percent. This 10-point net shift from a Democratic advantage of 7 points to a GOP edge of 3 points in just over a month is breathtaking, perhaps an unprecedented swing in such a short period. Occurring around Election Day, such a shift would probably amount to the difference between Democrats picking up at least 10 House seats, possibly even the 17 needed for a majority, and instead losing a half-dozen or so seats.
Of course, with the election 11 months away, it’s too early to get really excited about this turnabout, but it demonstrates the volatility we are seeing these days in American politics. It must also give Democrats a sense of déjà vu, back to when the bottom fell out for them during the 2009-10 fight over passage of the Affordable Care Act. In that case, though, they suffered a gradual decline in party fortunes, starting in the summer of 2009 and culminating in the loss of 63 seats and the House majority in November 2010—the biggest drop in House seats for either party since 1948 and the largest in a midterm election since 1938. Democrats didn’t fare much better in the Senate, losing six seats.
From the Cook Political Report, ‘Everyone Hates Washington, but Democrats More Vulnerable.’
If there were a theme for 2014 midterms, it would be “fear and loathing of Washington, D.C.”
Congress is as about as popular as gonorrhea. President Obama’s approval ratings and personal ratings are at the lowest point of his presidency. Republicans, as well, have seen their favorable ratings hit all-time lows.
But while neither party can escape blame or scorn, Democrats are more likely to feel the fall-out than Republicans. Why? Democrats have more vulnerable seats in play in both the House and the Senate. The President’s approval ratings are a bigger driver of electoral outcomes than that of Congress. The Obamacare issue is more likely to be an anvil than a benefit politically for the Democrats. And, of course, there’s history working against Democrats too. See; Itch, Six Year.
But as stated at Hot Air, this is no reason for the GOP to start popping the champagne which I would agree with 100%. Although, the only thing I would disagree with is that the notion that there should be no more problems with the website and no more people will lose their insurance. The American people are not forgiving when it comes to being lied to. The web site continues to have problems on the back end as they had to admit that many who enrolled, one in four, or thought they enrolled may not really be. Also, doctors are running away from Obamacare like it is the plague, and it is. Also, even with Obama trying to postpone the enrollment period for the employer mandate until after the 2014 elections, the cancellation notices will be going out long before that.
Republican’s should not allow their present advantage in the generic ballot to spur them to purchase food and beer for a victory party, the 2014 mid-terms are a long time away and their is much that can happen.
Their latest advantage was not built on anything the GOP did, but on the failed Obamacare launch. Americans forgive and forget easily. However unlikely the scenario, should there be no more issues with the website and no more people losing the plans they were promised they could keep, the initial negative effect of the bad launch could wane.
Posted December 7, 2013 by Scared Monkeys
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President Barack Obama Dragging Democrats Down, They Have Lost 2014 Advantage Over GOP Because of Obamacare
Democrat’s Obamacare chickens are coming home to roost … Actions have consequences and Democrats are about to get hammered for backing the Obama lie.
Barack Obama and Democrats thought the 2010 midterm elections were a shellacking, 2014 might be even worse. According to a recent CNN poll, Democrats have lost all of their political advantage over the GOP for the 2014 elections. Republicans now hold a 49% to 48% lead in the generic ballot, which asked respondents to choose between a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district without identifying the candidates. Just last month Democrats held a 50%-42% advantage among registered voters in a generic ballot. This is a 10 point swing follows a political uproar over Obamacare, and Obama being caught lying to the American people that, “if you like your healthcare plan, you can keep your healthcare plan, PERIOD!” and instead 5 plus million people and counting have lost their healthcare coverage.
Look at all those gushing Dems as Obama signs away your healthcare coverage that you liked and wanted to keep
Guess what Democrats, I guess Americans are finally learning what was in the bill that Pelosi said you just had to pass along a partisan Democrat vote.
A new CNN/ORC International poll indicates a dramatic turnaround in the battle for control of Congress in next year’s midterm elections.
Democrats a month ago held a 50%-42% advantage among registered voters in a generic ballot, which asked respondents to choose between a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district without identifying the candidates.
That result came after congressional Republicans appeared to overplay their hand in the bitter fight over the federal government shutdown and the debt ceiling.
But the Democratic lead has disappeared. A new CNN/ORC poll indicates the GOP now holds a 49%-47% edge.
Gee, I wonder why Obama delayed the enrollment period for 2015 until after the 2014 midterm elections. It couldn’t be 100% based on politics now, could it? Sadly, with many individuals in America who really needed healthcare reform and affordable coverage, Barack Obama and Democrats just used that as an excuse for a political power grab and a way for the federal government to take over 1/6th of the US economy.
More bad polling data for Democrats. As per the most recent Rasmussen poll, Republicans have their greatest advantage in the Generic Congressional ballot since early 2011. Rasmussen has the GOP ahead of Democrats 46% to 36%. Just one week ago Republicans were ahead by 5%.
Republicans, as they have for nearly three years now, continue to lead Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot, this time for the week ending Sunday, April 15.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 36% would choose the Democrat instead. This is the largest gap between the two parties since the beginning of 2011. It also doubles the gap found a week ago when the Republican led by five points, 45% to 40%.
According to the final USA Today/Gallup measuring Americans’ voting intentions for Congress shows Republicans will win big Tuesday night in the 2010 midterm elections. Gallup is reporting that the GOP lead in voter intentions is so large that Republicans will take the House and at least 40 seats no matter what the voter turnout is. It is not just Gallup, the final final NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll before Tuesday’s elections show that 50% of likely voters prefer a GOP-controlled Congress.
Obama, Pelosi, Reid and Democrats … It’s coming
The final USA Today/Gallup measure of Americans’ voting intentions for Congress shows Republicans continuing to hold a substantial lead over Democrats among likely voters, a lead large enough to suggest that regardless of turnout, the Republicans will win more than the 40 seats needed to give them the majority in the U.S. House.
The results are from Gallup’s Oct. 28-31 survey of 1,539 likely voters. It finds 52% to 55% of likely voters preferring the Republican candidate and 40% to 42% for the Democratic candidate on the national generic ballot — depending on turnout assumptions. Gallup’s analysis of several indicators of voter turnout from the weekend poll suggests turnout will be slightly higher than in recent years, at 45%. This would give the Republicans a 55% to 40% lead on the generic ballot, with 5% undecided.
Gallup has the Congressional Generic ballot at Republicans 55% and Democrats 40%. They are predicting a GOP House win of 60+ seats. These polling numbers are as high as we have seen from Gallup and represent as NRO states, it could be uncharted territory.
Republicans Hold 10% Lead in CNN Congressional Ballot Which Can Explain … Rasmussen Has GOP Leading in 6 of 7 Toss Up Senate Races
Just days away and more disastrous polling data for Democrats …
With just two days to go before the long awaited 2010 midterm elections, according to the most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll, Republicans hold a commanding 10% lead in the Generic Congressional ballot over Democrats at 52% to 42%. Also in the poll, Obama has a 48% – 48% favorable/unfavorable rating. One might think that is promising compared to other Obama job approval polls; however, that is down from down from September’s polling when Obama was at 53% favorable and 45% unfavorable. The rending is headed in the wrong direction. Full pdf polling results can be seen HERE.
The GOP’s 10 point advantage in the “generic ballot” question in a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation national survey released Sunday is slightly larger than the seven point advantage Republican candidates had on the eve of the 1994 midterms, when the party last took control of Congress from the Democrats.
“But unlike 1994, when polls indicated the public had a positive view of the Republican party, a majority of Americans now do not have a favorable view of the GOP,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.
According to the poll, 52 percent of likely voters say they will vote for the generic Republican in their congressional district, with 42 percent saying they will vote for the generic Democrat, four percent saying neither and two percent undecided. The GOP’s 10-point lead is up from a seven-point advantage in a CNN poll conducted in early October.
At Real Clear Politics the GOP leads Democrats by 7.8% in the Generic Congressional Vote.
As stated at the Political Wire, the 2010 election is about saying “NO” to Democrats and “NO” to the Obama, Pelosi, Reid socialist agenda change. It is not a vote of confidence to the GOP. However, this is the reason why when Republicans are reelected to office, they will be on probation and best listen to WE THE PEOPLE.
It gets worse for Democrats and the US Senate might just be in play after all. As reported at the Gateway Pundit, according to Rasmussen, in 6 of the 7 toss up US Senate states … Republicans are ahead in the polls.
Rasmussen Reports has Republicans leading in 6 of 7 senate seats just two days before the midterm election. West Virginia, Nevada, Colorado, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and Washington all show the Republican candidate leading their liberal opponent. In CaliforniaCarly Fiorina is still in striking range of unseating far left Senator Maam.
Think about how much of a drubbing Democrats are about to take in the 2010 midterm elections when it comes to the US Senate. There are 37 seats up for reelection in 2010. Democrats will win 8, Republicans will win 22 and 7 states are toss-ups … with the GOP ahead in 6 of the 7. Imagine if all Senate seats were up for reelection like in the House, the GOP would be looking at a 70+ seat majority.
CBS Poll: Majority of Likely Voters Say Their House Vote is a Referendum on Barack Obama … More Voting Against Obama Than For The One
With less than one week to go before the 2010 midterm election, a new CBS poll has the Republican party ahead in the Congressional Generic ballot over Democrats 46% to 40%. As seen in most of the polls over the last 6 months, independents are breaking sharply for the GOP. To make matters worse for Democrats, even though President Obama has been campaigning nonstop for Democrats, 56% of likely voters say Obama’s support for a candidate has no impact on their vote.
The advantage can be attributed in large part to independents, who are breaking hard for the GOP. Forty-seven percent of independent likely voters say they plan to vote Republican, while just 32 percent plan to vote Democrat. Seventeen percent haven’t made up their minds.
More than four in five Democrats and Republicans, meanwhile, say they are sticking with their party.
A majority of likely voters say their House vote is a referendum on President Obama, and more are voting against the president than for him. Thirty-two percent are casting a vote against Mr. Obama, while 22 percent are casting their vote to support him. Forty-two percent say their vote is about something else.
What might be the most interesting and alarming bit of polling data for Democrats in this CBS poll is the fact that the GOP has a slight lead with woman over Democrats. If that holds true across America on election day, Democrats will only wish there was a tsunami, rather than a follow up volcano, earthquake and tidal wave.
Men favor Republican candidates in their House vote this year by eight points, while the Republican edge is narrower among women.
Likely voters under age 45 are divided in their vote for Congress, while older voters are more likely to vote for Republicans.
Kaine Says Democrats will Hold House, then Why are They so Worried the GOP Will Take the House of Representatives in 2010 … New York State Set for Possible Democrat Purge
Wouldn’t it be real news if the Chairman of the DNCC admitted that the Democrats would lose?
The top democrat says they will not lose the House. Really? Then why are Democrats struggling in the “bluest” of “blue” states l;ike New York? Tim Kaine, the chairman of the Democratic National Committee, went on ABC’s ‘This Week’ and said the following shocking comment … the Democrats would retain the House. WOW, THAT’S NEWS!!!
Kaine told “This Week” anchor Christiane Amanpour that Democrats would maintain control of the House in the midterm elections nine days from now.
I do, I do. I think it’s going to be close,” he said. “These races are very close, but from this point forward, it’s all about turnout and ground game. And we’re seeing good early voting trends and we’ve got work to do, but we think we can do it.”
So is all the polling wrong, Amanpourasked. Kaine didn’t address that question, but said the wind was at Democrats’ backs.
Does any one think that the head cheerleader of the Democrats is going to admit they are going to lose? I mean seriously folks, these people could not tell the truth about Obamacare, the stimulus or creating jobs. America is just so enamored with Democrat House Speaker as seen by her 29% approval rating. It is only Obama who thinks she is a great Speaker, not the American voters. . Kaine must be drinking the Kool-Aid from the latest Newsweek poll and not all the others that have the GOP ahead in the Congressional generic ballot.
Obvious, most Democrats do not share Kaine’s optimism. Most all Democrats are fearful of losing the House of Representatives in 2010 which can explain why they seem to be running as Republicans and as far away from the policies of Pelosi and Obama as they can.? Maybe it is because like in a Deep Blue state like New York, there are 11 possible seats that could change hands. 11!!! The Republicans just need a pick up of 39 to reclaim the majority. Currently, 27 of the 29 New York House seats are held by Democrats. All that could change in the 2010 midterms and what occurs in NY state could be the political indicator for what happens November 2nd election eve.
The 11 races up for grabs in New York. In a state where 93% of the House seats are held by Democrats, imagine what it means for Democrats to lose 4 or 5 seats in New York state?
1. Hall (D) v. Hayworth (R): In the 19th Congressional District (Westchester, Putnam, Orange), Republican Nan Hayworth, an ophthalmologist, is in a statistical tie with Rep. John Hall in the latest Monmouth University poll. Hall, a movement radical/singer (Orleans) who won in reaction to the Iraq war in 2006, has toed House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s line ever since.
However, numerous polls have the Repubpican candidate ahead like the Siena poll that has Hayworth ahead by 3%, while The Hill’s recent battleground polling had the race tied. How has the landscape changed in 2010? The incumbent Democrat Hall won his House election races in 2008 and 2006 by a 59%-41% and51%-49% respectively. Hall now finds himself in a virtual tie withan anti-incumbent Democrat scent in the wind.
2. Bishop v. Altschuler:In the 1st CD (Eastern Suffolk), Rep. Tim Bishop is behind Republican Randy Altschuler42-40 in the latest McLaughlin poll. A defeat of Bishop, a long-term incumbent, would send shock waves through the state’s delegation.
However, a recent Siena poll shows the GOP candidate down big. However, GOP candidate received the politcal endorsement from NJ Governor Chris Christie and has a nice war chest for down the stretch ads. Some recent polls only show the incumbent Democrat up by 2%.
Newsweek Poll Says Obama Approval Rating Jumps Over 50% & Democrats Close ‘Enthusiasm Gap’ … Wanna Bet!
Oh yeah, this is believable …
The Democrat state run liberal media outlet Newsweek states in their most recent poll that Barack Obama’s approval rating at 54%. Newsweek also claims that the enthusiasm gap has narrowed as well. So when all else fails and Democrats are on the verge of colossal losses in the 2010 midterm elections, as also stated at Hot Air, the Obama media just makes up self-serving polls. This favorable Obama and Democrat poll brought to you by the same people who said … We Are All Socialists Now.”
Despite doom-saying about Democrats’ chances in the midterms, the latest NEWSWEEK Poll (full results) shows that they remain in a close race with Republicans 12 days before Election Day, while the president’s approval ratings have climbed sharply. The poll finds that 48 percent of registered voters would be more likely to vote for Democrats, compared with 42 percent who lean Republican (those numbers are similar to those in the last NEWSWEEK Poll, which found Democrats favored 48 percent to 43 percent). President Obama’s approval ratings have jumped substantially, crossing the magic halfway threshold to 54 percent, up from 48 percent in late September, while the portion of respondents who disapprove of the president dropped to 40 percent, the lowest disapproval rating in a NEWSWEEK Poll since February 2010.
The far fetched poll can be seen here.
Maybe Big Bird can Help out Newsweek
The Newsweek joke poll could never bee more evident than going to Real Clear politics to see the polling averages of numerous polls on Obama job approval and the Congressional Generic ballot. Obama has an average approval rating of 46.3% and a disapproval of 48.3%. Reviewing the polling data, reminds me a a Sesame Street skit of one of these things doesn’t belong here. The same thing can be said regarding the Congressional Generic ballot, Newsweek is the only poll that does not have a GOP lead let alone a double digit lead for the GOP.
Hard to believe the bias Newsweek poll when the Rasmussen Presidential index is at -19% and 45% approval, 54% disapproval rating. More polling data is posted at Wake Up America that proves beyond a shadow of a doubt that the Newsweek poll is an outlier. So this is what the LEFT has been reduced to, making up contrived polling data to provide the perception that Democrats are gaining ground in the polls. The the state rum media propagandists stop at nothing?