POLITICO/Morning Consult Poll : GOP Gains on Generic Ballot & President Trump’s Approval Moves Upward
REVERSAL OF FORTUNE, REPUBLICANS ARE TRENDING UP …
2018 midterm election blue Democrat tsunami? It appears that the so-called blue tsunami may not even be a small wave. It would seem according to the trending polls, it might just be a red wave. What a difference a Trump/GOP tax plan and growing economy makes. Or as Nancy Pelosi and Democrats call it, a “crumb” plan. According to a new Politico/Morning Consult poll, Republicans now lead Democrats in the Generic ballot 39% to 38%. The tide is changing as Americans are realizing Donald Trump is Making America great again.
Who would actually want Nancy “crumbs” Pelosi to be the Speaker?
The change in the electorate is remarkable. President Donald Trump has led the way with the GOP with a robust economy, low unemployment numbers, optimism from business and employees, a tax cut law that will affect 90% of Americans and bonus checks to millions of people. Trump and the GOP has been right on immigration and the dismantling of ISIS and their caliphate. Previously, in mid-December, 39% of voters said they trusted Democrats more to handle the economy, compared to 38% who said Republicans. Today following a booming economy, 43% say Republicans and only 32% say Democrats. Congressional Republicans also have a 9-point advantage on handling jobs, a 6-point lead on dealing with immigration and a 19-point lead on handling national security. These numbers for Republicans are only to get more positive as the economy grows.
Republicans have erased the Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot in a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll that, for the first time since April, also shows President Donald Trump’s approval rating equaling the percentage of voters who disapprove of his job performance.
Fully 39 percent of registered voters say they would support the GOP candidate for Congress in their district, while 38 percent would back the Democratic candidate. Nearly a quarter of voters, 23 percent, are undecided.
Voters are split almost evenly along party lines. Democratic voters break for their party, 85 percent to 5 percent, while Republicans similarly favor the GOP, 84 percent to 8 percent. Among independent voters, 26 percent would vote for the Democrat, 25 percent for the Republican and nearly half, 49 percent, are undecided.
The GOP’s 1-point advantage comes after three months of tracking in which Democrats maintained a lead ranging between 2 and 10 points on the generic ballot. That has been generally smaller than the party’s lead in other public surveys: The most recent RealClearPolitics average shows Democrats ahead by 7 points on the generic ballot, though that’s down from a high of 13 points late last year.
A previous Monmouth poll had Democrats only ahead by 2 points, after previously having a double digit lead. Who in their right mind would want Nancy Pelosi as the Speaker of the House again? If America actually makes that choice, say good bye to the gains of the economy.
USA Today/Pew Research Poll: Republicans Have 4 Point Lead in Generic Congressional Ballot Over Democrats, 47% to 43%
A new USA Today/Pew Research Poll … Democrats in trouble for 2014 midterm elections.
The latest USA Today/Pew survey has the GOP ahead of Democrats with a 4 point lead in the Generic Congressional ballot and other poor Obama polling has Democrats in a pickle heading into the 2014 midterm elections. The vote also appears to be a vote against Barack Obama and his policies than for him. According to the poll, 54% say that Barack Obama will not be a factor in their vote this fall; however, 26% see their vote as a vote against the president than only 16% for him.
With the midterm elections six months away, Democrats are burdened by an uneven economic recovery and a stubbornly unpopular health care law. Perhaps equally important, Barack Obama’s political standing is in some respects weaker than it was at a comparable point in the 2010 campaign, which ended with the Republicans gaining a majority in the House.
A national survey by the Pew Research Center and USA TODAY, conducted April 23-27 among 1,501 adults (including 1,162 registered voters), finds that 47% of registered voters support the Republican candidate in their district or lean Republican, while 43% favor the Democratic candidate or lean Democratic. The trend over the past six months in the so-called generic ballot shows that Democrats have lost ground. In October, Democrats held a six-point lead (49% to 43%) in midterm voting preferences.
The Weekly Standard also points out that survey shows Obamacare polling as poorly as it ever has.
Obamacare remains stubbornly unpopular. Although the legislation received positive press coverage after the national health care exchange reached its sign-up target, a majority of Americans (55 percent) still disapprove of the law and just 41 percent approve.
Economic pessimism, a persistent problem for the administration, remains strong. Nearly two-thirds of those surveyed said it is difficult to find jobs in their community. Just 27 percent of respondents said it was easy. Nearly half the country believes the economy won’t change over the next year. Twenty-four percent believe it will be worse, and 25 percent think it will improve.
The public remains divided over whether the GOP would better handle the economy, however. Forty-three percent said Republican leaders could “do more to strengthen the economy over the next few years,” and 39 percent believe the Obama administration is preferable. About 9 percent see no difference between the two.
CNN Poll: Reversal of Fortune … Republicans Lead Democrats in Generic Ballot 49% to 44%, a 13 Point Swing Since October, 2013
Houston Democrats, you have a problem … Obamacare and Barack Obama are toxic.
In a recent CNN poll, the GOP has captured the lead over Democrats in the Generic ballot by a 49% to 44% margin. This is a 13 point swing from poll results just two months ago in October where Dems had a 50% to 42% lead. My how the mighty have fallen and the Obamacare house of cards and lies have fallen. The remarkable turnaround is a direct result of the Obamacare roll-out and the American people learning that all the promises made bt President Obama and Democrats that you could keep your healthcare if you liked it, that you could keep your doctor and healthcare costs would be reduced, were all lies. Worse yet and infuriating We the People, Obama and Democrats knew it in advance. Making matters worse for Democrats if possible, only 22% polled are enthusiastic about the 2014 midterm elections. A low turnout by an exhausted and disappointed Democrat electorate is hardly good news for their chances to win back the House and possibly losing the Senate.
Democrats have lost their advantage and Republicans now have a slight edge in the battle for control of Congress, according to a new national poll.
A CNN/ORC International survey released Thursday also indicates that President Barack Obama may be dragging down Democratic congressional candidates, and that the 2014 midterm elections are shaping up to be a low-turnout event, with only three in 10 registered voters extremely or very enthusiastic about voting next year.
Two months ago, Democrats held a 50%-42% advantage among registered voters in a generic ballot, which asked respondents to choose between a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district without identifying the candidates. That result came after congressional Republicans appeared to overplay their hand in the bitter fight over the federal government shutdown and the debt ceiling.
But the Democratic lead evaporated, and a CNN poll a month ago indicated the GOP holding a 49%-47% lead. The new survey, conducted in mid-December, indicates Republicans with a 49%-44% edge over the Democrats.
According to Powerline, upon learning of the news of the devastating poll what was the first thing that Democrats did … “Within a few hours after the CNN poll came out, the Democrats’ “Rapid Response” team was emailing the party’s faithful, asking for money.” Because it is never about Democrats taking responsibility for poor policy and a rejection of the American people. It is always about smearing the GOP, blaming the GOP and begging for money. Get ready for a nasty, smear-fest from Democrats because they have nothing left to run on.
From: DCCC Rapid Response [mailto:email@example.com]
Sent: Thursday, December 26, 2013 2:02 PM
To: Hinderaker, John H.
Subject: some tough news:
We woke up to some tough news this morning:
Washington (CNN) — Democrats have lost their advantage and Republicans now have a slight edge in the battle for control of Congress, according to a new national poll.
John — The latest Republican assault on Obamacare has proven to be dangerously effective. If we don’t respond to Republican smears with the facts right now, the damage to the Affordable Care Act AND our chances in 2014 could be irreversible.
If this trend remains the same heading into the 2014 midterms … it will be utter carnage for Democrats.
Charlie Cook Says, This is One of “the Most Dramatic Shifts I’ve Ever Seen in 40 Years of Involvement in Politics” Referring to the Generic Congressional Ballot
Charlie Cook, political polling extraordinaire of the Cook Political Report, stated that the recent political environment that it is “one of the most dramatic shifts I’ve ever seen in 40 years of involvement in politics.” The shift that Cook is referring to has Democrats in a panic as they try and find answers to right the ship that is taking on water after the failed launch of the Obamacare website and the misrepresentations and lies from President Obama that if you liked your healthcare plan, you could keep it, Period! The Obama mistrust has caused a ripple affect with the Generic Congressional ballot as Obamacare was passed 100% on a partisan Democrat vote. Democrats are damned no matter which way they turn, they can admit Obamacare was a complete mistake that they passed without reading or they can double down and infuriate the American people.
Sure enough, the Democratic numbers in the generic ballot began to pull dramatically ahead, resembling a steep ascent up the side of a mountain, ending about 7 points ahead of Republicans, 45 percent to 38 percent—an advantage that, were it to last until the election, would give Democrats a chance to recapture the House.
Then, in mid-October, the focus shifted from the government-shutdown fiasco to a different debacle, this time a Democratic disaster: the botched launch of the Obamacare website and subsequent implementation problems of the health care law, including termination notices going out to many people who had insurance coverage. The Democratic numbers from the generic-ballot test dropped from 45 percent to 37 percent, and Republicans moved up to 40 percent. This 10-point net shift from a Democratic advantage of 7 points to a GOP edge of 3 points in just over a month is breathtaking, perhaps an unprecedented swing in such a short period. Occurring around Election Day, such a shift would probably amount to the difference between Democrats picking up at least 10 House seats, possibly even the 17 needed for a majority, and instead losing a half-dozen or so seats.
Of course, with the election 11 months away, it’s too early to get really excited about this turnabout, but it demonstrates the volatility we are seeing these days in American politics. It must also give Democrats a sense of déjà vu, back to when the bottom fell out for them during the 2009-10 fight over passage of the Affordable Care Act. In that case, though, they suffered a gradual decline in party fortunes, starting in the summer of 2009 and culminating in the loss of 63 seats and the House majority in November 2010—the biggest drop in House seats for either party since 1948 and the largest in a midterm election since 1938. Democrats didn’t fare much better in the Senate, losing six seats.
From the Cook Political Report, ‘Everyone Hates Washington, but Democrats More Vulnerable.’
If there were a theme for 2014 midterms, it would be “fear and loathing of Washington, D.C.”
Congress is as about as popular as gonorrhea. President Obama’s approval ratings and personal ratings are at the lowest point of his presidency. Republicans, as well, have seen their favorable ratings hit all-time lows.
But while neither party can escape blame or scorn, Democrats are more likely to feel the fall-out than Republicans. Why? Democrats have more vulnerable seats in play in both the House and the Senate. The President’s approval ratings are a bigger driver of electoral outcomes than that of Congress. The Obamacare issue is more likely to be an anvil than a benefit politically for the Democrats. And, of course, there’s history working against Democrats too. See; Itch, Six Year.
But as stated at Hot Air, this is no reason for the GOP to start popping the champagne which I would agree with 100%. Although, the only thing I would disagree with is that the notion that there should be no more problems with the website and no more people will lose their insurance. The American people are not forgiving when it comes to being lied to. The web site continues to have problems on the back end as they had to admit that many who enrolled, one in four, or thought they enrolled may not really be. Also, doctors are running away from Obamacare like it is the plague, and it is. Also, even with Obama trying to postpone the enrollment period for the employer mandate until after the 2014 elections, the cancellation notices will be going out long before that.
Republican’s should not allow their present advantage in the generic ballot to spur them to purchase food and beer for a victory party, the 2014 mid-terms are a long time away and their is much that can happen.
Their latest advantage was not built on anything the GOP did, but on the failed Obamacare launch. Americans forgive and forget easily. However unlikely the scenario, should there be no more issues with the website and no more people losing the plans they were promised they could keep, the initial negative effect of the bad launch could wane.
Posted December 7, 2013 by Scared Monkeys
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President Barack Obama Dragging Democrats Down, They Have Lost 2014 Advantage Over GOP Because of Obamacare
Democrat’s Obamacare chickens are coming home to roost … Actions have consequences and Democrats are about to get hammered for backing the Obama lie.
Barack Obama and Democrats thought the 2010 midterm elections were a shellacking, 2014 might be even worse. According to a recent CNN poll, Democrats have lost all of their political advantage over the GOP for the 2014 elections. Republicans now hold a 49% to 48% lead in the generic ballot, which asked respondents to choose between a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district without identifying the candidates. Just last month Democrats held a 50%-42% advantage among registered voters in a generic ballot. This is a 10 point swing follows a political uproar over Obamacare, and Obama being caught lying to the American people that, “if you like your healthcare plan, you can keep your healthcare plan, PERIOD!” and instead 5 plus million people and counting have lost their healthcare coverage.
Look at all those gushing Dems as Obama signs away your healthcare coverage that you liked and wanted to keep
Guess what Democrats, I guess Americans are finally learning what was in the bill that Pelosi said you just had to pass along a partisan Democrat vote.
A new CNN/ORC International poll indicates a dramatic turnaround in the battle for control of Congress in next year’s midterm elections.
Democrats a month ago held a 50%-42% advantage among registered voters in a generic ballot, which asked respondents to choose between a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district without identifying the candidates.
That result came after congressional Republicans appeared to overplay their hand in the bitter fight over the federal government shutdown and the debt ceiling.
But the Democratic lead has disappeared. A new CNN/ORC poll indicates the GOP now holds a 49%-47% edge.
Gee, I wonder why Obama delayed the enrollment period for 2015 until after the 2014 midterm elections. It couldn’t be 100% based on politics now, could it? Sadly, with many individuals in America who really needed healthcare reform and affordable coverage, Barack Obama and Democrats just used that as an excuse for a political power grab and a way for the federal government to take over 1/6th of the US economy.