- As you know, these commentaries are pre-recorded so I don’t know at the time of recording how the debate went. I do know that CNN is hoping for some “fireworks” between candidates as it would be good for ratings!
Daily Commentary – Thursday, September 17, 2015 Download
CNN/ORC Poll: NJ Governor Chris Christie Leads Possible 2016 GOP Contenders … Not Only is it Way too Early, Don’t Count On It Christie
A new CNN poll has New Jersey governor Chris Christie as the front-runner of possible Republican contenders for the 2016 GOP presidential nominee. For the Democrats it would appear that Hillary Clinton is already being coronated their nominee. However, for the GOP not only is this poll way too early, I would doubt that Chris Christie will be the Republican nominee unless they plan on losing another presidential election. Polls at this point are merely a popularity contest and with Christie’s recent landslide win for governor in NJ against a no-name opponent, he just happens to be the cause-celeb for today.
There is a long, long way to go and the potential winner for the GOP may not have even come forward yet. The same could be said for Democrats as well. Wasn’t Hillary Clinton the presumptive Democrat nominee winner as well before a certain novice, unprepared, 2 year US Senator from Illinois named Obama got into the race?
Who actually thinks the GOP base would vote for Christie after this?
And according to a CNN/ORC International survey, if Hillary Clinton decides against making another bid for the White House, Vice President Joe Biden would be the initial favorite to capture the Democratic nomination.
The poll, released Friday morning, indicates that New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, fresh off his Garden State re-election landslide victory and widespread national media attention, jumped to the top of the pack of potential contenders for the GOP nomination.
Twenty-four percent of Republicans and independents who lean towards the GOP questioned in the survey say they’d be likely to support Christie for the Republican nomination, up seven percentage points from a CNN poll in early September. Back then, Christie and Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, the House Budget chairman and the 2012 Republican vice presidential nominee, were virtually tied at the top of the GOP list, with Christie at 17% and Ryan at 16%.
But Ryan, who’s stayed mostly away from the political spotlight the past few months, has dropped to 11%, putting him in third place, slightly behind Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, at 13%. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, who like Paul has made multiple trips this year to the states that kick off the presidential primary and caucus calendar, like Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina, stands at 10% in the survey, the only other Republican White House hopeful to get double-digit support.
Sorry, but a win in New Jersey is hardly a microcosm of winning a primary in the Republican party or a national election. New Jersey is it’s own animal, much like every state is. Much of the GOP base considered Chris Christie a “Benedict Arnold” when he went overboard gushing over Barack Obama after Hurricane Sandy, sabotaging any chance Mitt Romney may have had. The GOP have run two ‘RINO’s’ in a row, the “mavericky” John McCain in 2008 and Mitt “Romneycare” Romney in 2012. Both candidates alienated the GOP base and in the end, really stood for nothing, except they ere not Obama. At what point will the establishment Republicans understand that the GOP electorate wants a candidate with substance and is not Democrat-light?
The focus this last week should have been on Obama’s shameful conduct in Benghazi. Instead, the schizophrenic Christie allowed himself to be manipulated by Obama’s camp so easily, that one has to question the reasoning for his desertion of Governor Romney. I believe the egomaniacal Christie would rather run for POTUS in 2016 than 2020. And chose to spend the last week stabbing Mitt in the back.
I understand that Christie had to ”break bread” with Obama when Obama came to tour New Jersey for disaster relief for Hurricane Sandy. We all should be fine with that. But after Obama left, Christie has continued to act ”star-struck” toward the liberal Democrat. Both men are frequent apologizers for Islam so that may also be a shared bond.
And Christie refused an invitation to attend a Sunday night rally with Mr. Romney in Pennsylvania, only 20 minutes from Trenton. You can google Benedict Arnold/Chris Christie or Traitor Chris Christie and see that the internet is abuzz with stories about how Christie the RINO has been selling out to Obama.
Hmm, according to Rasmussen in a hypothetical three way match up, Mitt Romney beats Barack Obama and Ron Paul 44%, 39%, 13% respectively. Be careful what you wish for Democrats. Also there is other encouraging polling data for the former Massachusetts Governor. The Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Pol, Mitt Romney leads Barack Obama 49% to 44% of likely voter.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney earning 49% of the vote and President Obama attracting 44% support. Three percent (3%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another three percent (3%) are undecided.
Rick Santorum Wins GOP Louisiana Primary
The GOP Louisiana primary race has been called by CNN for Rick Santorum. With 23% of the precincts reporting, Santorum has an overwhelming lead at 47% with Mitt Romney a distance second with 27%, followed by Gingrich with 18% and Paul with 6%. The end result, Santorum wins another Southern state.
Rick Santorum will win Saturday’s Republican presidential primary in Louisiana by winning close to majority of the vote, according to early results and exit polling,
Santorum’s win was his fourth in the South, where front-runner Mitt Romney has not been able to connect with conservative voters in the region.
Winning Louisiana big will help fuel Santorum’s campaign as the conservative alternative to Romney.
UPDATE I: The final tally in the Louisiana primaries was a resounding 22 point victory for Rick Santorum: Santorum 49% and Romney 27%. The focus now shifts to Wisconsin where Rasmussen has Romney up double digits over Santorum.
“People in Louisiana came through in a big way,” Santorum said from a brewery in Green Bay, Wisc. “You didn’t get the memo. We’re still fighting. … I’m not running as the conservative candidate for president. I am the conservative candidate.”
Santorum said Romney called to congratulate him.
“I told him I was in (Wisconsin.) He said he was out in California raising money,” Santorum said. “I said leave a little bit for me. … We’ve always had cordial conversations.”
Romney Leads Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV Poll Ahead of Illinois March 20 GOP Primary: Romney 35%, Santorum 31%, Gingrich 12% & Paul 7%
According to a recent Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV poll, Mitt Romney lead the field in the GOP race for the state of Illinois. Once again it appears to be a two man race with Romney capturing 35% of the vote and Santorum 31%. Gingrich and Paul are a distant third and fourth place. However, 16% of the vote is undecided and 46% of those polled stated that they could change their mind between now and the March 20th primary.
Republican presidential front-runner Mitt Romney’s campaign has long considered Illinois to be in its win column, but a new Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV poll shows the candidate has some work to do to make that a reality.
The survey found Romney slightly ahead of Rick Santorum, 35 percent to 31 percent — within the poll’s 4-percentage-point margin of error. Trailing far behind were Newt Gingrich with 12 percent and Texas Rep. Ron Paul with 7 percent. Another 16 percent were undecided.
Much of the undecided vote might change following the Alabama and Mississippi primaries and depending how strong a showing that Romney does in the Southern states.
In the days leading to the Tuesday primaries in the deep South in Mississippi and Alabama, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is doing surprising well in the Heart of Dixie. According to the most recent Rasmussen poll in Mississippi its, Romney 35%, Santorum 27%, Gingrich 27%, Paul 6%. Its almost hard to believe that Romney, who has never had a grit in his life, is leading by 8 against the Conservative candidate Santorum and the so-called Southern candidate Gingrich.
Dead heat in the Heart of Dixie … And in the deep South of Alabama it is a virtual tie between Romney, Gingrich and Santorum. According to Rasmussen its Gingrich 30%, Santorum 29%, Romney 28%, Paul 7%. The “dead heat” in Alabama might be even more eye opening. Although, if Romney makes any more ignorant comments like campaigning in MS and AL is “an away game” he might see a blow out on primary eve. Mitt might want to understand that if he wins the GOP nomination and faces Obama in the general election it is states in the South that will be the “home field” and one’s like Vermont, Maine and Massachusetts will be hostile territory.
A poll by the Center for Leadership and Public Policy at Alabama State University found Mr. Romney with 20.2% support among likely Republican primary voters, virtually tied with former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with 20.7% of the vote. Former Sen. Rick Santorum was close behind with 16.6% among Republicans in Alabama, which will hold its primary on Tuesday along with Mississippi and Hawaii. Other candidates, including Rep. Ron Paul, received 15.1%. The poll’s error margin is five percentage points.
Many voters — 27.4% — remained undecided. But the poll’s finding was still a notably strong showing for Mr. Romney because the more-conservative, evangelical-heavy South has been considered more hospitable to Messrs. Gingrich and Santorum, who are competing to be recognized as the principal alternative to the Massachusetts Governor. Mr. Romney in a Thursday campaign appearance downplayed expectations in Alabama and Mississippi by comparing the region’s contest to “an away game.’’
Newt Gingrich has stated that he won’t quit GOP presidential race if he loses Tuesday in Mississippi and Alabama. Really Newt, why? You have been mouthing off that Santorum should quit to make it a one on one match up between yourself and Romney. However, Newt has called himself the “Southern” candidate. Sorry, but if you cannot win Tennessee, Alabama and Mississippi … you most likely are receiving no Southern comfort.
We shall see what happens next Tuesday.
ITS SUPER TUESDAY AND THE RESULTS ARE COMING IN … WHO WILL BE THE WINNER AT THE EVENINGS END?
The polls have closed in Massachusetts, Vermont and Virginia and they are being called for Mitt Romney. As repoprted at CNN, so far this Super Tuesday evening, Romney has won 3 states, Santorum 2 and Gingrich 1 … Alaska. Idaho, South Dakota and the all important Ohio still to be decided.
UPDATE I: The state of Georgia is being called for Newt Gingrich.
UPDATE II: Oklahoma is being called for Rick Santorum and a surprising early call, Fox News projects Santorum will win the Volunteer state of Tennessee.
UPDATE III: All eyes are on the two man race in Ohio between Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum. The up to date vote count can be seen HERE. With 15% of the vote counted in Ohio, Romney has 38% – 67,097 votes and Santorum has 38% – 65,996.
UPDATE IV: FOX News projects that Romney will win the Idaho Caucus.
UPDATE V: Ohio Primary – Romney starting to pull away in OH.
- 86% of the vote counted: Romney 390,810 and Santorum 388,973.
UPDATE VI: Imagine this, to the total amazement to no one, except Barack Obama and the liberal MSM, the Super Tuesday exits polls show that the economy and gas prices were the top issues. How could that be? As stated by Jammie Wearing Fool, you mean the top issue was not contraception and Rush Limbaugh?
Gas prices and the economy were the top issues on the minds of voters on Super Tuesday, according to exit polls.
Seven in 10 voters in the seven Super Tuesday states that hold primaries said the price of gas was an important topic in deciding who to vote for in the GOP presidential primary, according to CBS News. Southern states seemed to care most about gas prices: in Georgia, 81 percent said it was the top issue in deciding, while in Oklahoma, 79 percent said it was the most important. In Tennessee, 77 percent it was important.
The Associated Press found that the economy was also a top issue influencing voters as they went to the polls.
UPDATE VII: Mitt Romney wins Ohio by about 12.000 votes.
WASHINGTON STATE CAUCUS …
With 58% of the reporting, Mitt Romney leads with 36.3%, Ron Paul is in second with 24.6% , Rick Santorum is in third 24.5% with and Newt Gingrich is in fourth with 11.3%. CNN has projects the Washington state caucus for Mitt Romney.
CBS News has also called the race for former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.
With 3,866 of 6,785 precincts counted so far, Romney has 36 percent of the vote. Rep. Ron Paul and former Senator Rick Santorum are in a close race for second and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is a distance fourth.
The state has 40 delegates at stake, but the caucus votes are technically non-binding. CBS News estimates the potential delegate breakdown based on results from the caucus process. Today’s caucuses are the start of a process in the state to award delegates to the Republican National Convention in Tampa.
Caucus result totals can be seen at the the Washington State Republican Party’s Precinct Caucus website.
It would appear Romney has cruises to a rather easy victory in Washington state and has the momentum heading into Super Tuesday with five wins in a row; tonight’s Washington state caucus win and the recent victories in the Maine Caucus, Wyoming and victories in Arizona and Michigan.
President Barack Obama Trails 3 of 4 Republican Candidates (Romney, Santorum & Paul) in Head to Head Match-ups in Iowa
Even after GOP candidates have savaged each other in the Republican primary … President Barack Obama still trails three of four candidates in head to head match up.
A new poll from the Des Moines Register shows that President Barack Obama trails three of the four GOP primary candidates in a hypothetical match up in the key swing state of Iowa. Romney leads Obama 46% to 44%, Santorum leads Obama 48% to 44% and Paul has the largest edge over Obama of 49% to 42%. Newt Gingrich is the only GOP candidate who trails Obama. This is troubling news for Obama and his reelections minions for the 2012 reelection. Barack Obama won Iowa in 2008 over John McCain 54% to 45%.
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney leads Obama by 46 percent support to 44 percent among likely Hawkeye state voters in the latest Iowa poll. The survey shows Rick Santorum, winner of the state’s 2012 caucuses, besting Obama 48 percent to 44 percent. Texas Rep. Ron Paul has the biggest edge over the president leading him 49 percent to 42 percent.
Only former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (Ga.) loses to Obama in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup. Obama receives 51 percent support to Gingrich’s 37 percent.
Full poll results can be seen HERE.
The Iowa poll also showed that 48% disapproved of the job that Obama was doing while 46% approved. Obama can hardly withstand a loss in a swing- state like Iowa, one that he easily won in 2008.