FAKE NEWS, FAKE POLLS …
A recent CNN poll shows that Democrats have a 10 point lead over Republicans in a generic ballot test, 52% of likely voters to 42%. But wait a minute, has the liberal MSM leaned nothing from the 2016 elections and all of the bogus polling? However, what should we expect from CNN Fake News? Let’s take a look at the methodology of the poll. So in a poll where CNN states that Democrats have a 10% point lead, they sampled 34% Democrats and only 25% Republicans. Really CNN? Then there was a so-called 40% Independent.
Democrats maintain a wide lead over Republicans in the race for control of the House of Representatives, a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS finds, including a 10-point lead among those most likely to turn out this November.
In a generic ballot test, 52% of likely voters back the Democratic candidate for House of Representatives in their district while 42% back the Republican. Among all registered voters, Democrats hold a 12-point margin over the GOP, suggesting preferences have not shifted much since an August CNN Poll, which did not include an assessment of likely voters.
MORE ON METHODOLOGY
A total of 1,003 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire sample, 34% described themselves as Democrats, 25% described themselves as Republicans, and 40% described themselves as independents or members of another party.
Didn’t CNN already dump their former polling firm ORC after the 2016 elections because of the BS polling and data? No one trusts fake news and fake polling. It does not appear that much has changed.
Most of the headlines about CNN’s new public-opinion poll this week focused on President Donald Trump’s 38 percent approval rating. But there was also this: After a 2016 election in which most of the data underestimated Trump’s chances, CNN has a new pollster.
The new poll was conducted by SSRS, a major survey-research company, instead of CNN’s old partner, ORC International. CNN confirmed this week that its partnership with ORC, which included co-branding of the poll, has ended after more than a decade.
The switch comes at a perilous moment for both the media and the polling industry. Attacked by the president as “fake news” for results he disagrees with, pollsters and the news organizations they work with inspire little confidence from the public. A Marist-McClatchy poll — yes, a poll about polling — back in March found that only 7 percent of Americans have a great deal of trust in polls, and just 29 percent said they have a good amount of trust in polls.
And the CNN/ORC International survey not only indicates a dead heat in the race for the White House, but also on almost every major indicator of President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney that was tested in the poll.
At face value, it looks like a tie and the meme that the liberal MSM wants “We the People” to believe. But, is the Presidential race between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama really tied or is this just one big fabricated charade to make the election appear closer than it really is?
Good grief, after reading through the litany of data we have discovered this rather interesting tidbit from page 29 of the poll describing the methodology. If that is what one wants to call it. This poll has a +11D sampling.
Respondents who reported that they had already cast an absentee ballot or voted early were automatically classified as likely voters. Among those likely voters, 41% described themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Independents, and 30% described themselves as Republicans.
WHAT A JOKE … in order to have the poll be a tie, CNN had to weight the sampling as a +11D. This is unreal and should be deemed criminal.
The poll claims that neither party has any advantage in the enthusiasm gap. An equal amount of registered Democrats and Republicans have described themselves as extremely or very enthusiastic about voting. Really, I guess that would be the case with a +11D skewed poll. Sorry, but as referenced at the Gay Patriot, with Romney ahead in so many polls with Independents, how is it a tie? We have been told all election season that Independents would decide the race, yet now when they are breaking for Romney … the line has been moved in the sand to over-sample Democrats.
What might be even more comical than the sampling is the fact that Romney still beat Obama in who would handle the economy better if elected. And we wonder why RCP has the polling a tie. Sorry, but RCP is doing no one any favors by including faux polls in their averages.
Poll on Polls Being Biased … Plurality of Americans Believe Polls Biased for Obama, 7 in 10 Republicans Say Pollsters Intentionally Skewing Results to Help Obama
Even a liberal poll has the conclusion that there is bias polling to benefit Obama …
With all the talk of bias and skewed political polls, today we are presented with a poll on pools being biased. As reported at The Hill, the results of the poll were that a plurality of Americans believe that the polls are biased to benefit President Barack Obama. Also, more than 7 in 10 Republicans believe the bias polls are intentionally skewed to help Obama and a remarkable 84-5 percent margin from the Tea Party. And who came to this conclusion that the polls were skewed? Those right-wingers at the Daily Kos and SEIU of course.
A plurality of Americans and more than seven in 10 Republicans say pollsters are intentionally skewing results to benefit President Obama, according to a new poll released Tuesday.
Some 42 percent of voters surveyed by Daily Kos and SEIU believe pollsters are manipulating their sample sizes to benefit the incumbent president, while 40 percent do not. An additional 18 percent said they were not sure. That’s evidence that Republican claims that Democrats and minority voters are being oversampled in national polls could be resonating — and potentially undermining the momentum of the president’s early lead.
But Republicans are particularly likely to believe that the polls are unfair, reporting by a 71-13 percent margin that polls are biased against their candidate. Members of the Tea Party suspect intentional skewing by a remarkable 84-5 percent margin.
Hmm, I wonder what sampling the Daily Kos used to get the results that polls are intentionally skewed to benefit Obama, +9D? That would be a joke. However, the same cannot be said on the recently released CNN poll that shows Romney closing the gap on Obama only because CNN skewed the sampling less. That was not the case in the recent NY Times – Quinnipiac polls that had a +9D and greater sampling.
Another Comical Faux Poll From CNN … Obama Up on Romney 50% to 47% … Romney Winning Independents By 8 Points, Huh?
More “FAUX” polling from CNN … CNN says that race remains close, but Obama ahead, REALLY? The in the tank for Obama media trting to sway an election.
The polls are starting to resemble a SNL skit.According to the most recent CNN poll, Obama garners 50% of the vote and GOP Presidential challenger Mitt Romney captures 47%. However, this lead has diminished from from a CNN poll taken after the conventions, Sept. 7-9, 2012, where Obama had a 52% – 46% lead.
Obama lead? He is losing Independents by 11% to Romney
Fifty-percent of likely voters questioned in the CNN survey, which was released Monday, say that if the election were held today, they would vote for the president, with 47% saying they would support Romney, the former Massachusetts governor. The president’s three point margin is within the poll’s sampling error.
Full Poll results can be seen HERE.
However, buried in the details of the polling data is the following …Romney has as 11 point lead with Independents, but trails in the poll by 3. How is that possible? Haven’t we been told that it would be the “Independent” vote that would decide the election? This is what happens when a bias media affects polling data and weights the polling sampling by +8 Democrat.
As stated at Powerline, The Parade of Bad Polls, Continued. Is Romney surging in the CNN poll? Nope, they cut the sampling from +12 D to +8 to get an Obama 3 point lead. So what happens when CNN takes the poll sampling to a more reasonable+2D? Why that would mean a Romney 3 point lead of course.
Today the Romney campaign is trumpeting the latest CNN/ORC poll which shows President Obama with a three-point lead over Mitt Romney among likely voters, 50%-47%. The Romney campaign likes this result, apparently, because it represents a significant improvement over the last CNN/ORC poll, which came out three weeks ago. In that survey, CNN/ORC found a six-point Obama lead.
I wrote about the earlier poll here, pointing out that it obviously over-sampled Democrats. A reader calculated that, given other data in the survey, the six-point difference was consistent with a breakdown of D-38%, R-26% and I-36%. I wrote that the most significant point in the CNN poll results was that independents favored Romney over Obama by a remarkable 14 points.
So today’s CNN/ORC poll has Obama’s lead cut in half, to three points. Does that mean that Romney is surging? Not really. It means they didn’t call quite as many Democrats. This time, the pollsters gave us the partisan breakdown of their sample: D-37%, R-29% and I-34%. So when the partisan gap in the sample narrowed from D +12 to D +8, Romney did three points better. Well, yeah.