Poll on Polls Being Biased … Plurality of Americans Believe Polls Biased for Obama, 7 in 10 Republicans Say Pollsters Intentionally Skewing Results to Help Obama
Even a liberal poll has the conclusion that there is bias polling to benefit Obama …
With all the talk of bias and skewed political polls, today we are presented with a poll on pools being biased. As reported at The Hill, the results of the poll were that a plurality of Americans believe that the polls are biased to benefit President Barack Obama. Also, more than 7 in 10 Republicans believe the bias polls are intentionally skewed to help Obama and a remarkable 84-5 percent margin from the Tea Party. And who came to this conclusion that the polls were skewed? Those right-wingers at the Daily Kos and SEIU of course.
A plurality of Americans and more than seven in 10 Republicans say pollsters are intentionally skewing results to benefit President Obama, according to a new poll released Tuesday.
Some 42 percent of voters surveyed by Daily Kos and SEIU believe pollsters are manipulating their sample sizes to benefit the incumbent president, while 40 percent do not. An additional 18 percent said they were not sure. That’s evidence that Republican claims that Democrats and minority voters are being oversampled in national polls could be resonating — and potentially undermining the momentum of the president’s early lead.
But Republicans are particularly likely to believe that the polls are unfair, reporting by a 71-13 percent margin that polls are biased against their candidate. Members of the Tea Party suspect intentional skewing by a remarkable 84-5 percent margin.
Hmm, I wonder what sampling the Daily Kos used to get the results that polls are intentionally skewed to benefit Obama, +9D? That would be a joke. However, the same cannot be said on the recently released CNN poll that shows Romney closing the gap on Obama only because CNN skewed the sampling less. That was not the case in the recent NY Times – Quinnipiac polls that had a +9D and greater sampling.
Another Comical Faux Poll From CNN … Obama Up on Romney 50% to 47% … Romney Winning Independents By 8 Points, Huh?
More “FAUX” polling from CNN … CNN says that race remains close, but Obama ahead, REALLY? The in the tank for Obama media trting to sway an election.
The polls are starting to resemble a SNL skit.According to the most recent CNN poll, Obama garners 50% of the vote and GOP Presidential challenger Mitt Romney captures 47%. However, this lead has diminished from from a CNN poll taken after the conventions, Sept. 7-9, 2012, where Obama had a 52% – 46% lead.
Obama lead? He is losing Independents by 11% to Romney
Fifty-percent of likely voters questioned in the CNN survey, which was released Monday, say that if the election were held today, they would vote for the president, with 47% saying they would support Romney, the former Massachusetts governor. The president’s three point margin is within the poll’s sampling error.
Full Poll results can be seen HERE.
However, buried in the details of the polling data is the following …Romney has as 11 point lead with Independents, but trails in the poll by 3. How is that possible? Haven’t we been told that it would be the “Independent” vote that would decide the election? This is what happens when a bias media affects polling data and weights the polling sampling by +8 Democrat.
As stated at Powerline, The Parade of Bad Polls, Continued. Is Romney surging in the CNN poll? Nope, they cut the sampling from +12 D to +8 to get an Obama 3 point lead. So what happens when CNN takes the poll sampling to a more reasonable+2D? Why that would mean a Romney 3 point lead of course.
Today the Romney campaign is trumpeting the latest CNN/ORC poll which shows President Obama with a three-point lead over Mitt Romney among likely voters, 50%-47%. The Romney campaign likes this result, apparently, because it represents a significant improvement over the last CNN/ORC poll, which came out three weeks ago. In that survey, CNN/ORC found a six-point Obama lead.
I wrote about the earlier poll here, pointing out that it obviously over-sampled Democrats. A reader calculated that, given other data in the survey, the six-point difference was consistent with a breakdown of D-38%, R-26% and I-36%. I wrote that the most significant point in the CNN poll results was that independents favored Romney over Obama by a remarkable 14 points.
So today’s CNN/ORC poll has Obama’s lead cut in half, to three points. Does that mean that Romney is surging? Not really. It means they didn’t call quite as many Democrats. This time, the pollsters gave us the partisan breakdown of their sample: D-37%, R-29% and I-34%. So when the partisan gap in the sample narrowed from D +12 to D +8, Romney did three points better. Well, yeah.
GOP VP Candidate Paul Ryan Comments on Media Bias …“As a Conservative I’ve Long Believed There’s Inherent Media Bias”
MEDIA BIAS, SAY IT ISN’T SO …
This morning on FOX News Sunday with Chris Wallace, GOP Vice Presidential candidate Paul Ryan was asked about media bias and whether the MSM was carrying the water for President Barack Obama? I almost expected Ryan to answer by giving a response like, YA THINK, I thought they were part of the Reelect Obama team? Instead, Ryan responded by saying, “As a conservative I’ve long believed there’s inherent media bias”.
“I think it goes without saying that there is definitely media bias. Look I am a Conservative, I am used to media Bias, we expected media bias … As a conservative I’ve long believed there’s inherent media bias. And I think anyone with objectivity would believe that is the case today.” … I think most people in the MSM are left of center and therefore want a very left of center President versus a Conservative President like Mitt Romney.”
Chris Wallace had asked for examples of media bias. Ryan should have said there is not enough time on your show or in the day to provide such details.
VIDEO Hat Tip: The Gateway Pundit
Dana Pretzer had a commentary this past week on the “Unprecedented Media Bias” .
Two-dozen conservative activists and media personalities on Tuesday urged members of their respective groups to switch off the “biased news media,” claiming in an open letter that establishment media are “out of control with a deliberate and unmistakable leftist agenda.”
Conservative leaders claim unprecedented media bias this election cycle.
Though these groups frequently complain about a left-leaning media bias, they claimed in the letter that the political slant this cycle is unprecedented.
“In the quarter century since the Media Research Center was established to document liberal media bias, there has never been a more brazen and complete attempt by the liberal so-called ‘news’ media to decide the outcome of an election,” wrote Brent Bozell, president of the Media Research Center, and other conservative leaders.
Skewed Polling Take Notice … Big Drop in Voter Registration in Ohio in Democrat Strongholds, And Other Battle Ground States
A note to Barack Obama, Democrats, the liberal MSM and those conducting polls with skewed data sampling … It ain’t 2008 and Democrat voter registration down dramatically in Ohio and nationally.
Here is a new story that the corrupt liberal media complex in the tan for President Barack Obama will never tell you, Democrat voter registration down big in 2012 as compared to 2008. FOX News is reporting that a left leaning liberal think tank, Third Way, conducted a study that indicates a drop in Democrat registered voters in key battle ground states. For example. in Ohio there are 490,000 fewer registered voters than in 2008, 44% of whom reside in Cleveland and Cuyahoga County, where Democrats outnumber Republicans 2:1. So why again would polling samples be weighted to Democrats greater than in 2008 again?
Voter registration in the Buckeye State is down by 490,000 people from four years ago. Of that reduction, 44 percent is in Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County, where Democrats outnumber Republicans more than two to one.
“I think what we’re seeing is a lot of spin and hype on the part of the Obama campaign to try to make it appear that they’re going to cruise to victory in Ohio,” Cuyahoga County Republican Chairman Rob Frost said. “It’s not just Cuyahoga County. Nearly 350,000 of those voters are the decrease in the rolls in the three largest counties, Cuyahoga, Hamilton and Franklin.”
Frost points out that those three counties all contain urban centers, where the largest Democrat vote traditionally has been.
Ohio is not alone. An August study by the left-leaning think tank Third Way showed that the Democratic voter registration decline in eight key swing states outnumbered the Republican decline by a 10-to-one ratio. In Florida, Democratic registration is down 4.9 percent, in Iowa down 9.5 percent. And in New Hampshire, it’s down down 19.7 percent.
It also supports the notion that there has been the kind of party affiliation shift Rasmussen has documented (from Dems +7.6 in November 2008 to GOP +4.3 in August 2012), and the related notion that polls containing far more Democrats than Republicans do not representative sample the way things are now, i.e., that they’re seriously cooked.
UPDATE I: the Lonely Conservative …Thanks for the link!
Barack Obama Widens Lead Over Romney in Swing States Ohio, Florida & PA with a Skewed Sampling of D+9 and Greater (Update: Polls Questioned as Bunk)
All Polls are not created equal … some are just skewed numbers meant to fit the liberal MSM and Democrat narrative …
Yet another example of the fraud that the MSM is trying to perpetrate on the Americans people to try depress the GOP vote turnout by claiming the swing state races are over. The fraud this time is courtesy of the New York Times and Qunnipiac. It has become obvious that polls can no longer be taken at face value or believed unless one takes the time t dig down to the data sampling. However, the liberal, corrupt media complex is hoping, they are praying that a lazy America does not. As Macsmind says. knock it of NYT, the GOP is coming out to vote in 2012.
For weeks, Republicans in Ohio have been watching with worry that the state’s vital 18 electoral votes were trending away from Mitt Romney. The anxiety has been similar in Florida, where Republicans are concerned that President Obama is gaining the upper hand in the fight for the state’s 29 electoral votes.
Those fears are affirmed in the findings of the latest Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News polls of likely voters in both states, which show that Mr. Obama has widened his lead over Mr. Romney and is outperforming him on nearly every major campaign issue, even though about half said they were disappointed in Mr. Obama’s presidency.
The polls, along with interviews with supporters and advisers in the nation’s two largest battleground states, lay bare an increasingly urgent challenge facing Mr. Romney as he prepares for his next chance to move the race in his favor, at the first debate with Mr. Obama next week. Mr. Romney’s burden is no longer to win over undecided voters, but also to woo back the voters who seem to be growing a little comfortable with the idea of a second term for Mr. Obama.
The New York Times, in collaboration with Quinnipiac University and CBS News, is tracking the presidential race with recurring polls in six states. In Ohio — which no Republican has won the presidency without — Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney 53 percent to 43 percent in the poll. In Florida, the president leads Mr. Romney 53 to 44 percent in the poll.
The surveys, which had margins of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points for each candidate, also included a Pennsylvania poll, where Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney by 12 percentage points.
HOG WASH … However, a funny, no a hideous and blatantly fraud happened on the way to the 2012 elections in the polling. The in the tank for Obama media has been skewing the polling sampling so bad for Obama that of course they are going to show that the Obamamessiah is leading. The latest skewed sampling by the NY Times/Qunnipiac has lead to a poll that shows Obama allegedly is up 10 in Ohio, 9 in Florida and 12 in Pennsylvania? If you believe that I have a bridge to sell you.
Don’t look now but the NY Times/Qunnipiac used a +D9 sample in Florida, a +9D sampling in Ohio and a +11 sample in Pennsylvania. WOW, that is a greater sampling than the 2008 once in a life-time, anomaly election of the first black President Obama. Who honestly believes that the turnout is going to be anything like 2008? However, this poll thinks even more D’s are going to turn out.
It looks like this fact was not lost either over at Jammie Wearing Fool … “So Obama is up 9 in Florida with a D+9 sample, up 10 in Ohio with a D+9 sample and up 12 in Pennsylvania with a D+11 sample” What a coincidence, eh? Is it a close race, yes. Does Romney have a lot of work to do between now and election day, yes. However, to purposely present an obvious skewed poll as if it was fact and then have the liberal MSM run with it as news is nothing more than Obama propaganda.
Such a poll is not even worth adding to the RCP average of polling as it is so badly skewed, even when averaging it with other polls it brings up the polling number for Obama. Shameful, simply shameful.
UPDATE I: From NewsBusters, Quinnipiac Pollster Admits: ‘Probably Unlikely’ That Electorate Will Feature Massive Dem Skew. Gee, YA THINK? In order for this poll to be considered valid, Democrats would have to come out in record numbers even greater than 2008. Sorry, I have to break the orgasmic MSM’s bubble, but that ain’t happening.
Despite not believing that Democrats would have a 9-point advantage, Brown defended his organization, claiming that he and his colleagues were not intentionally trying to skew their sample size:
“We didn’t set out to oversample Democrats,” he protested. “We did our normal, random digit dial way of calling people. And there were, these are likely voters. They had to pass a screen.”
But what if that screen is simply not enough? The 2012 presidential election is unlikely to have an electorate which is similar to the ones before it. In the 2008 election, young and black voters turned out in record numbers and voted in even higher percentages for Obama. As specific surveys of these two voter groups have shown, however, both are dispirited this time around and are less likely to turn out for Democrats.