HMM, Look who is surging … TRUMPENTUM!
According to the most recent Public Policy Polling, Donald Trump is surging in the polls in North Carolina and leading the GOP pack. As per PPP, The Donald leads with 16% with Jeb Bush and Scott Walker at 12%, the Huck at 11% and 9% for Ben Caron and Marc Rubio. Love him are hate him, Trump knows PR. Also, when you get away from the PC crowd, Trump’s comment and message resonates with many Americans. They have just been told for so long that it is wrong to have that belief. One other thing, many Republicans and Independents are sick and tired of the GOP elite.
PPP’s newest North Carolina poll finds that Donald Trump’s momentum just keeps on building. He’s the top choice of Republican primary voters in the state, getting 16% to 12% for Jeb Bush and Scott Walker, 11% for Mike Huckabee, 9% for Ben Carson and Marco Rubio, 7% for Rand Paul, 6% for Ted Cruz, 5% for Chris Christie, 4% for Carly Fiorina, 2% for Rick Perry, 1% each for Lindsey Graham, Bobby Jindal, and Rick Santorum, and less than 1% each for John Kasich and George Pataki.
Trump’s favorability rating in North Carolina is 55/32, much higher than we were finding in national polls prior to his entry into the race. Trump’s really caught fire with voters on the far right- 66% of ‘very conservative’ voters see him favorably to only 24% with a negative view of him. Trump is polling particularly well with younger voters (29%) and men (20%).
Jeb Bush had been leading our previous few polls in North Carolina. But he continues to struggle with conservatives. Among ‘very conservative’ Republicans, only 37% see him favorably to 44% who have a negative opinion of him and only 7% of those voters support him for the nomination, putting him in 7th place in the GOP field. Bush’s overall 43/35 favorability is the second worst of any of the 10 candidates we measured that for, besting only Chris Christie’s 27/41 standing.
Barack Obama and Obamacare Coattails, Um I Mean Anchor … Public Policy Polling Says Incumbent Sen. Kay Hagan (D-NC) Poll Lead for 2014 Election Gone
Hmm, so DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz thinks that Democrats can run on Obamacare as a positive thing, eh?
Not only does Obamacare not have coattails for Democrats, it is an anchor that threatens to bring down the Democrat party worse than the shellacking they suffered during the 2010 midterms. Democrats are trying to distance themselves from Obamacare, but they certainly did not have a problem voting for it in lockstep and ramming it down the throats of Americans in a partisan manner. HR 3590, Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act 60-39, one of those Democrat votes was Kay Hagen. passed in the Senate However, actions have consequences. The latest Democrat to feel the backlash of the disastrous roll-out of Obamacare and Americans losing their insurance, even though Barack Obama promised they could keep it if they like it is incumbent Democrat Senator Kay Hagan of North Carolina. According to a recent poll from the Democrat polling firm PPP, Hagen’s lead for her 2014 senatorial election has all but vanished against all GOP candidates.
Incumbent Sen. Kay Hagan (D-N.C.) is near the top of national Republicans’ target list for 2014 — and a new poll shows her lead over her potential GOP challengers has all but evaporated.
Against state House Speaker Thom Tillis, Hagan leads by only 2 points, 44 percent to 42 percent, according to the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling. She leads the Rev. Mark Harris by 2 points as well, 43 percent to 41 percent, and nurse Heather Grant by 3 points, 43 percent to 40 percent.
Hagan trails physician Greg Brannon, the Rand Paul-endorsed candidate in the race, by 1 point: He leads 44 percent to 43 percent.
That’s a huge difference from PPP’s September poll, which gave Hagan leads of anywhere from 12 points to 17 points against all possible GOP challengers.
Hagan’s approval ratings are underwater in the poll: 49 percent of those surveyed disapprove of the job she’s doing, compared with 44 percent who approve.
The poll also suggests she could be suffering from the implementation of Obamacare: 69 percent of those surveyed said the law’s rollout has been unsuccessful so far, compared with 25 percent who say it’s been a success.
All of s sudden Sen. Kay Hagan is concerned for her political power and calls for probe of healthcare website as political support drops.
Now it would appear that the Democrats chickens are coming home to roost on their blind vote for Obamacare as none of them read the monstrous bill, instead they took Nancy Pelosi’s foolish advice that “we have to pass the bill to find out what is in it” (VIDEO). Hagen’s poll numbers are not only being affected by her underwater job approval numbers, Obama’s job approval numbers have cratered and the popularity of Obamacare and its implementation is at 69% unsuccessful. Keep in mind, those polled evenly voted for Obama and Romney in the 2012 presidential election.
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance? 43% Approve … 53% Disapprove … 4% Not sure
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay Hagan’s job performance? 44% Approve … 49% Disapprove … 7% Not sure
Q11 Do you approve or disapprove of the Affordable Care Act? 38% Approve … 48% Disapprove … 14% Not sure
Q12 Do you think the implementation of the Affordable Care Act so far has been very successful, somewhat successful, somewhat unsuccessful, very unsuccessful, or are you not sure? 4% Very successful … 21% Somewhat successful … 20% Somewhat unsuccessful … 49% Very unsuccessful … 7% Not sure
Q13 In the last presidential election, did you vote for Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? 47% Barack Obama … 47% Mitt Romney … 6% Someone else/Don’t remember
In 2014 there are 21 Democrat US Senators up for reelection, many of which are in Red/swing states. Those most in trouble have been clambering for Obama to fix the Obamacre train wreck as they fear for their political lives.
- Alaska – Mark Begich
- Arkansas – Mark Pryor
- Colorado – Mark Udall
- Louisiana – Mary Landrieu
- Montana – Max Baucus (retiring)
- South Dakota – Tim Johnson (retiring)
- Virginia – Mark Warner
- West Virginia – Jay Rockefeller (retiring)
Posted November 13, 2013 by Scared Monkeys
2014 Elections, Barack Obama, Democrats, Epic Fail, Healthcare, Healthcare Canceled, Healthcare.gov, Leading from Behind, Liberals, Misleader, Misrepresentation, Obamacare, Obamanation, Politics, Polls, PPP, Progressives, Senate, Senate Elections, The Lying King, You Can Keep Your Insurance | 3 comments
Another one bites the dust at the hands of Obamacare … Another opening for the GOP in 2014. Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus, the Democrat Senator from Montana announced that he will not run for reelection in 2014 and instead retire. According to the Washington Post, rather than face a tough election, Baucus would rather retire. The six term Senator obviously sees the handwriting on the wall. Obamacare is still unpopular and going to get worse as America wakes up and realizes the expensive boongoogle that it is. Baucus was a key player and played a critical role in writing President Obama’s national health-care plan, Obamacare. However, last week Baucus referred to the Obamacare as a train wreck. Think the conservative state of Montana was not going to hold that against him in 2014? Also, just last week he also voted the expand back ground checks on the purchase of guns. Don’t worry Max, not like Montana is one of the states with the highest gun ownership at 57.7%. Oh wait, it is.
Baucus, 71, first elected in 1978,has been the top Democrat on the powerful committee since 2001. At times infuriating his Democratic colleagues, Baucus worked with Republicans to co-write the Bush-era tax cuts and the Medicare prescription drug plan, but he also served as the lead defender against George W. Bush’s 2005 effort to partially privatize Social Security and played a critical role in writing President Obama’s national health-care plan. Baucus, from conservative-leaning Montana, has voted against Democratic initiatives on some social issues, most recently last week’s effort to create an expanded background check system for gun purchases. Republicans have been trying to land a top recruit to challenge Baucus, who despite his unpolished public image has been one of the savviest political operators among Mountain West Democrats.
As Weasel Zippers stated, it was obvious that Baucus’s polling showed that because of his liberal ways, he was going to get crushed. According to PPP polling, Baucus was already running 5 points behind hypothetical Republican candidates, although he may never have made it out of the Democrat primary. This does not bode well for Democrats in the Senate. If the GOP could actually get their collective heads out of their RINO, establishment butts, they should take this seat. According to Charlie Cook this moves the seat into the toss-up category. Democrats, so far, have to defend 21 seats, while Republicans have to defend 14. The GOP needs a net gain of 6 seats to regain the Senate. Although, Wake Up America opines that out of the 21 Democratically held seats, seven of them are in states carried by the former Republican presidential nominee, Mitt Romney, while just one of the Republican seats is in a state won by President Obama. Are they just getting old or has the Obama bloom truly come off the rose? Baucus joins five other committee chairmen who have decided to retire rather than run for reelection, including Sens. John D. “Jay” Rockefeller (D-W.Va.), 75, chairman of the commerce committee, and Tom Harkin (D-Iowa), 73, chairman of the health committee. In the 2010 and 2012 election seasons, several other chairmen, including Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) and Kent Conrad (D-N.D.), opted to retire.
PPP Polling: Congress Less Favorable than Cockroaches, but Don’t Worry You are Still More Favorable than Gonorrhea, Ebola, Communism, Meth Labs, the Kardashians and John Edwards
Hmm cockroaches more popular than Congress, for years I thought politicians and the roaches were one in the same.
America, if you think that Congress is less favorable, as stated by the PPP, than cockroaches, lice, brussel sprouts, replacement refs, colonoscopies, used car sales men and root canals, then why did you basically reelect the status quo in 2012? It would seem that people claim they despise Congress yet most likely have no issue when their own Congressman brings home the pork for them that destroys America as a whole with debt. Also, most people who claim to hate Congress so much probably cannot name their own local one’s nor how many make up the Senate or the House … let alone what branch of government the Congress resides.
Full poll results can be seen HERE.
Don’t fret though Congress, and there might be hope for the future … you are still more popular Gonorrhea, Ebola and he Kardashians. Although, one has to wonder how long Congress will remain more favorable than communism seeing that American voters saw fit to reelect Barack Obama.
PPP, Another Democrat Leaning Poll Weighted +4 Democrats with Faux Results, Obama’s lead up to 5 in Ohio Over Romney, 50%-45%
How disingenuous could some of these political polls really be?
Once again the PPP poll has come out with some rather suspect polling, done so to make it appear that Barack Obama got some kind of tremendous bounce from the DNC convention. The PPP poll shoes that Obama has a 5 point lead over Mitt Romney in the battleground state of Ohio, 50% to 45%. Really? Is that your final answer? In order to get this polling data for Obama to be up by 5, the sampling used was as follows, Sampling of the PPP poll: Democrats 41%, Republican 37%, Independent/Other 22%. The full polling results can be seen HERE.
Both candidates have seen their images improve with Ohio voters in the wake of the conventions. Obama now breaks even in his approval rating at 48%, after being under water with 46% of voters approving and 51% disapproving of him a month ago. Romney’s numbers are up from a 41/52 favorability rating a month ago as well, but he still remains unpopular. Only 44% see him favorably to 49% with a negative opinion. Romney actually leads 46-44 with independents but Obama has the overall advantage thanks to a more unified party base. He leads 86/11 with Democrats, compared to Romney’s 83/13 advantage with Republicans.
With all due respect to OTB, I would hardly consider polling sampling used from exit polling from 2008 that was a once in a lifetime election with Obama/Democrat voting at record highs and Republican voting suppressed. Yes, I do tend to dismiss the PPP poll. Sorry, when a candidate has a lead with the all important Independent vote, I find it a bit unrealistic to believe that Obama is up by 5.
We shall see in November and how many more bad jobs reports come out. What we conveniently do not see in the poll is who do Ohioians think Obama has handled the number one issue in the United States, the economy. Sorry, this poll is what is called an outlier to get to the magical unicorn number of 50%.
Could Todd Akin Actually Be Electable? Poll Shows Akin-McCaskill Missouri US Senate Race is a Toss Up
Could the Missouri US Senate seat still be in play?
A week after the dust up and free for all when Republican Senate candidate Todd Aiken made the unfortunate phrase, “legitimate rape,” a poll has come out that shows the race is a dead heat. The most recent Democrat leaning PPP poll showed that incumbent Democrat McCaskill has support from 45% of likely Missouri voters compared with 44% for Akin. Has the race gone back to a toss up from leans Obama?
Also 53% of Missouri voters, including 77% of Republicans, have accepted Mr. Akin’s apology for his comments. 54% think he should stay in the race, while just 37 percent think he should drop out.
Despite widespread assertions that Missouri Republican Rep. W. Todd Akin’s abortion remarks have made him a heavy underdog in the state’s U.S. Senate race, a Democratic-leaning polling firm released a poll Thursday showing him in a virtual dead heat with incumbent Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill.
According to the survey by Public Policy Polling, Mrs. McCaskill has support from 45 percent of likely Missouri voters compared with 44 percent for Mr. Akin, a result that differs strongly from polls conducted last week by other firms.
Mr. Akin has been widely condemned by Democrats and Republicans since he made comments in an Aug. 19 television interview, in which he tried to explain his opposition to abortion for rape victims by saying that pregnancy is rare in cases of “legitimate rape.”
The current Public Policy Poll seems to be much more credible than the one they did last week that had a +9 R sampling. Now the recent PPP poll has a much more realistic and credible sampling of +2R. Has the Democrat party and the liberal MSM pulled another “Wellstone Memorial”? Have they overplayed their hand and beat up on Akin so much that he is now a sympathetic victim? For those who have forgot, Democrats turned the funeral service for Paul Wellstone into a shameful and inappropriate political campaign event.
The question has to be asked, just how bad a candidate is Democrat Claire McCaskill and how bad does the Shoe Me state want to show McCaskill the door in 2012?
A majority of voters say they do not approve of the job McCaskill is doing, indicating that even if Akin gave the McCaskill campaign a gift with his statements, she still has a steep climb ahead to convince undecided and independent voters to back her. Only 11 percent of Republicans in the poll said they’d vote for McCaskill.
According to a recent PPP poll, President Barack Obama’s lead in Iowa has all but disappeared. The PPP has Obama only leading by 2 points, 47% to 45% and below the 50% threshold usually necessary for an incumbent to win. The poll numbers are heading south for Obama in Iowa. In July Obama was ahead of Romney 48-43 and in May it was 51-41. It is obvious that the polls are trending to Romney and there is no reason to think that this will not continue. In 2008 Obama won Iowa 54% to 45%. However, what a difference 4 years makes and a failed presidency.
Full poll results can be seen HERE.
PPP’s newest Iowa poll finds Barack Obama’s lead in the state declining all the way to two points. He’s at 47% to 45% for Mitt Romney. In July we found Obama ahead 48-43 and in May it was 51-41.
Iowa makes yet another swing state where voters don’t really care for either Obama or Romney. Obama’s approval numbers are particularly poor with only 45% of voters approving of him to 50% who disapprove. The fact that he has a small lead in the state despite his under water approval speaks to at least some voters regarding this election as a choice rather than a referendum. Voters aren’t big on Romney either with 47% rating him favorably to 48% with an unfavorable opinion.
Hot Air asks a great question with regards to the polling data, “How is Obama translating a job approval of -5 into a two-point lead? Two ways. First, O more than makes up for Romney’s advantage among men by winning women”. This is the second in August that has had bad news for Obama. A recent Rasmussen poll had Mitt Romney up over Obama in Iowa 46% to 44%. Check out the polling trend at RCP, Obama is in deep, deep trouble in Iowa.
Guess what Barack Obama was doing today … the fear and smear campaign in Iowa. So much for “Hope & Change”, take a good listen to the bitter and angry voice of Obama. What a difference 4 years makes.
MASS US Senate Race: Republican Scott Brown Has Lead in Another Poll over Democrat Elizabeth Warren 49% to 43% … PPP Poll Has Brown Up by 5%
WHAT CAN BROWN DO FOR YOU … Republican Scott Brown is surging in the polls over Democrat Elizabeth Warren in the battle for the US Senate seat for Massachusetts.
Don’t look now but the Democrats hope for taking back the US Senate seat in Massachusetts is slip, sliding away. According to a recent new poll Republican Scott Brown is starting to pull away from his challenger Democrat Elizabeth Warren. The poll from Kimball Political Consulting has Brown up by six points, 49% to 43%. Interestingly enough the sampling of the poll is … Party Affiliation – Democrat 36%, Republican 14%, Independent 51%. Remember, this is Massachusetts that has an overwhelming number of registered Democrat and Independent voters. Even with that advantage Brown is in the lead.
Scott Brown up by 5%, even 6% over Warren in Mass. US Senate race
A new poll of the Massachusetts Senate race shows Republican Scott Brown opening up a six-point lead over Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren. Forty-nine percent of respondents support Brown, the incumbent running for reelection, while 43 percent support Warren. Nine percent are undecided.
The key is that Scott Brown is winning overwhelmingly amonh Independent voters.
“Senator Brown is winning decisively among independents but Warren still has a chance to come back. The data suggest that for Warren to close the gap it may be time for her to change her emphasis, from the cost of education to job creation,” said Spencer Kimball, Political Consultant and President of Kimball Political Consulting. “Romney, on the other hand, needs to repair his image in the Commonwealth where 54 percent of likely voters have an unfavorable opinion of him. However, his choice of Paul Ryan may help him with defining the deficit as the most important issue for voters and help his support among a strong Irish Catholic voting bloc in the bay state.”
This is the second poll in a week that has Scott Brown pulling away from Warren. A recent PPP poll had Scott Brown leading Warren 49% to 44%. The sampling break down was Democrat 38%, Republican 15%, Independent 48%.
Independents make up almost half (48%) of voters, one of their largest shares of any state’s electorate. Unlike in many states where the role of independents is overblown, here they are truly decisive. And right now Brown is winning with them by 26 points (58-32), similar to June (57-33). To top that off, Brown has grown a bit both with his own party and Warren’s. He has essentially locked up his base (91-7, up from 86-9 just under two months ago), and is now poaching 20% of Warren’s partisans, up from 18% and leaving her with only 73% of the party which accounts for two-and-a-half times as many voters as Brown’s does
It will be interesting to see what the next Rasmussen poll indicates in this all important Senate race.
Don’t look now Team Obama, but you appear to be losing the Mid-West.
According to recent polling data, Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan has taken the lead in the Midwest states of Wisconsin and Michigan. Could this be true? Wisconsin does not come as that much of a surprise, although it should see that Obama won Wisconsin in 2008 by double digits. So, a state that Obma won by 13% in 2008, Wisconsin is now an official swing state in 2012. However, if Michigan is in play for Romney and they force Obama to spend money in a state that Obama won 57% to 41% in 2008.
As reported at The Hill, according to a recent PPP poll Romney edges Obama 48% to 47%. This comes in the wake of Rasmussen and CNN polls that seem to suggest the same. Check out the trending polling data toward Romney at RCP.
That’s a 7 percentage point gain for Romney, who trailed Obama 50 to 44 in the previous PPP poll, taken in July, before Rep. Ryan (R-Wis.) was added to the GOP ticket.
It’s the second consecutive survey of Wisconsin to find Romney has overtaken the president following the selection of Ryan as his running mate. A survey earlier this month from conservative-leaning polling outlet Rasmussen also gave Romney a 48-47 lead in the state.
In a new Foster McCollum White Baydoun poll, Romney now leads in Michigan. over Barack Obama 47.68% to 43.88%. According to RCP Obama still leads in Michigan, however, if Michigan is actually in play, Obama is in deep, deep trouble.
FMWB says this will be a significant blow to Democratic campaign efforts, native son Mitt Romney has climbed into the lead in Michigan’s Presidential contest. The naming of Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan has delivered a targeted affect on the Michigan and Midwest campaign dynamics. We ballot tested the Presidential candidates and we also tested the following two areas of initial campaign impact and awareness:
•Congressman Ryan’s impact on voters’ decision to vote for Mitt Romney.
•Congressman Ryan’s controversial 2012 fiscal budget plan and voters support or opposition to the plan.
It is FMWB’s conclusion that the results to these questions will help initially either validate Ryan’s selection or provide messaging for Democrats that Ryan is not acceptable to the voters. As our data outlines, currently Romney and Ryan are received positively enough to help vault Romney into the lead. Our aggregate findings for this section are as follows:
The 2012 United States Presidential election will be held on November 6, 2012. Who are you more likely to vote for in the election??
(Barack Obama): 43.88%
(Mitt Romney): 47.68%
(Another candidate): 3.96%
Full poll results can be read HERE.
As the Lonely Conservative states … since when has Michigan been a swing state? This appears to be the new normal for Obama in 2012. A failed four year first term that has done little to nothing to help Americans out of their economic plight and is making things worse will cause many 2008 “Hope & Change” states to shift. As Powerline commented, “All of this is as it should be, given Obama’s terrible record. I suspect that Michigan will not be the last state that unexpectedly proves competitive.”
The end result is Obama is going to have to spend millions in order to defend what many thought would have been safe “blue” states in 2012.
Brian in a Blue State.
Romney receives 20% of Black vote!!!
In 2008 Presidential election Barack Obama received 95% of the black vote in North Carolina. However, that was then, this is now. This is no Fox News poll or Rasmussen as the Left would be so quick to come out with. Its a PPP poll … yikes! According to a recent Left leaning PPP poll, Mitt Romney garnered 20% of the black vote, while Obama only received 76%. That’s it, 76%? Is that really possible? Did Obama’s endorsement of gay marriage and upsetting pastors of black churches following the North Carolina primaries and the passage a constitutional ban on such unions really have had that much of an effect? In PPP’s May poll, Obama received 87% of the African-American vote to Romney’s 11%. .
Barack Obama reading the latest PPP poll
President Barack Obama is rapidly losing support among African-American voters in North Carolina, a new poll out today from the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling shows.
The poll finds that Mitt Romney would get 20 percent of the African-American vote if the election were held today, compared with 76 percent for Obama. Overall, Romney has a 48 percent to 46 percent lead on Obama in the crucial swing state.
The Obama polling slide has been a trend in North Carolina. Mitt Romney has surged into the lead in the ‘Tar Heal’ state including leading in the all important independent vote. One has to wonder if Obama will struggle in other Southern states with blacks? Could African-Americans be tired of Obama’s promises of jobs and no action? Under Obama blacks have had the highest unemployment rate in 27 years. If Obama only gets 76% of the black vote in key swing states, he is finished.
One thing is certain … There will be no great enthusiasm for Obama in 2012. The record number of voters to the polls for Obama will be a thing of the past.