COULD DINGY HARRY BE CALLING IT QUITS IN 2016?
Could it finally be the end of the road for Sen. Harry Reid? The Democrat Senate Minority Leader is considered the most vulnerable in 2016. According to the “Crystal Ball,” Reid is one of the most vulnerable Democrat Senators up for reelection in the 2016 cycle. Reid will be 77 years old in 2016 and most likely still in a position to not be in the majority. However, every time that it is predicted that its over for Harry Reid and he is trailing in the polls prior to election day, miraculously, he pulls a rabbit out of a hat.
This this VIDEO, boy does he sound tired and old
Senate minority leader Harry Reid is the most vulnerable Democrat up for re-election in 2016, and may retire to duck a humiliating defeat, according to a new analysis of the 2016 race.
“We identified Reid as probably the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent in this Senate cycle,” said a “Crystal Ball” report from the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics.
It’s also possible that he will retire, although his heavy fundraising and public comments suggest that he’s running again,” said the latest report from analyst Geoffrey Skelley. Recent reports suggest Reid is going for his sixth term.
The analysis found that of all senators ever to seek a sixth term, Reid’s ratings and margin of victory in past races puts him on the endangered list.
In the Crystal Ball’s first batch of 2016 Senate ratings in December 2014, we identified Reid as probably the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent in this Senate cycle. While we rate the contest as Leans Democratic, the prospect of a possible challenge from popular Gov. Brian Sandoval (R-NV) could seriously endanger Reid’s future in Congress’ upper chamber, and Reid’s weak approval ratings also make him potentially vulnerable to other, less heralded Republicans. It’s also possible that he will retire, although his heavy fundraising and public comments suggest that he’s running again. That said, Reid just suffered significant injuries in an exercising accident, and his wife and daughter have also had recent illnesses.
Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT) Says Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) Has “Been a Pathetic Majority Leader”
Well, if the pathetic majority leads fits, wear it …
Senator Orrin Hatch (R-UT) ripped into current and after Tuesday’s midterm elections, out-going Senate Majority leader Harry Reid (D-NV) calling the last four years “the most pathetic, pitiful way I’ve seen the Senate run in all my 38 years. Democrats have liked to call the GOP, the party of obstruction, yet it was Dingy Harry who blocked nearly 400 bills passed by the GOP-led House that as Hatch said, “couldn’t get the time of day in the Harry Reid Senate,” many of which had some Democratic support. This is what happens when you do Obama’s bidding, instead of acting like a separate branch of government meant to pass legislation for the betterment of “We the People,” not making our lives miserable.
But just when you think the Republicans have a clue, they make a comment like the following from Orrin Hatch, “by working with the GOP Congress, President Obama can leave office in two years with legislation to be proud of.” Really, are you serious? Note to Hatch, what makes you think that President Obama isn’t proud of what he has done to America. The only regrets that Obama probably has is that he did not tear apart the country even more before the voters finally figured things out.
The Senate’s most senior Republican on Thursday bashed current Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.), saying with the GOP in charge, there was potential for real accomplishments.
In a phone interview with The Hill, Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-Utah) called the last four years “the most pathetic, pitiful way I’ve seen the Senate run in all my 38 years — and I’ve seen some pretty pathetic, pitiful times.”
With the newly elected Republican majority, Hatch promised, the chamber will be better-run.
“People are sick of it. Even Democrats, a number of them by the way, said we’ve got to change this. We can’t live with this type of impasse all the time,” said Hatch.
The blame, he added, rests with the Democratic leader.
“Reid is one of my friends, but he’s been a pathetic majority leader as far as I’m concerned,” Hatch said. “He thought he was doing right by protecting his side, but I think the American people resented him because he got nothing done.”
FOX NEWS Calls Iowa Senate Race for Republican Joni Ernst +6 … Ernst Makes Barack Obama and Harry Reid Squeal Like a Pig!!! GOP Regains Control of Senate
ERNST MAKES DEMOCRATS SQUEAL LIKE A PIG … +6
We had called the race earlier as a local TV, 13 WHO TV, station made the call in the IOWA SENATE ELECTION 2014 that Joni Ernst (R) had defeated Bruce Braley (D) … Now FOX News is making the call. Joni Ernst is making Barack Obama and Harry Reid squeal like a PIG. Joni Ernst has won the US Senate seat for Iowa, becoming the first woman to represent Iowa in US Senate. CNN is making the call as well.
That’s it … the GOP has regained control of the US Senate.
Democrat Michelle Nunn Fading in Georgia Senate Race, So Is the Democrat Chances of Control of US Senate … David Perdue Takes Poll Lead
GEORGIA, WAKE THE HELL UP, THIS IS NOT YOUR FATHER’S DEMOCRAT PARTY AND MICHELLE NUNN IS HARDLY HER FATHER SAM NUNN …
There was a point in time in the George Senate race for the retiring Republican Saxby Chambliss, that Democrat challenger Michelle Nunn had a chance of pulling off the upset and shift what has been a red state to a blue Senate seat. How much of that though was because of a liberal media pushing Michelle Nunn as the daughter of former Georgia Senator Sam Nun? Georgia, do you really want to be the state that continues to empower Harry Reid and President Barack Obama? Sorry, but Michelle is not Sam Nunn.
However, the early favorably polling for Michelle Nunn seems to be subsiding as Republican David Perdue has taken the lead in the polls. According to the most recent RCP polls, Perdue is up by 2.2%.
Just remember Georgia, a vote for Michelle Nunn, is a vote for Democrat Senate Majority Leader and President Barack Obama.
For a brief time in mid-October, some Democrats believed Michelle Nunn, the party’s Senate candidate in Georgia, could be the firewall that prevents a Republican takeover of the Senate. If Nunn could win the seat opened by retiring GOP Sen. Saxby Chambliss, then Republicans would need to pick up seven, not six, seats to take control.
In half-a-dozen polls taken over a two-week period in the middle of October, Nunn led Republican opponent David Perdue in five, while the candidates tied in one. Democratic optimism surged. “National Democrats have just decided to pour $1 million into this race in Georgia, a sign of how important a victory here would be to their effort to beat the odds and hold on to control of the Senate,” the Wall Street Journal reported Oct. 17. More pro-Nunn money came after that, with a barrage of ads focusing mostly on accusations the businessman Perdue outsourced thousands of Georgia jobs.
Now, things have changed. Perdue has recovered from the attacks — he indisputably helped create thousands of jobs in his career — and in the last six polls, taken since Oct. 16, Perdue has led in five, while one was a tie. In the RealClearPolitics average of polls, Perdue is up by 2.2 percentage points. In the newest poll, a NBC News-Marist survey released Sunday, Perdue leads by four points, 48 percent to 44 percent.
Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid Says Senate Control Hinges on Iowa … Des Moines, Iowa Poll Says Republican Joni Ernst Up by 7 Over Bruce Braley
DINGY HARRY SAYS IF REPUBLICAN JONI ERNST WINS IOWA, DEMOCRATS WILL SQUEAL LIKE A CASTRATED PIG …
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid says that if Republican challenger Joni Ernst wins the Iowa Senate race against Bruce Baily, I mean Braley, then the Democratic can kiss the US Senate majority goodbye. Truth be told, that is not entirely true as Iowa was never initially considered a Senate seat that was in play for the GOP to win a net 6 seats to gain control of the Senate. However, an Ernst win in the “Hawkeye” state probably means that the GOP will win more than a net six seats. However, that being said and if that is what Harry Reid really believes, then Reid could not have been too happy with the final Des Moines Register Iowa poll before Tuesday’s election that shows that Ernst with a 7 point advantage, 51% to 44% over Braley. Did Ernst really just break the critical majority threshold and put this race away, or is this poll an outlier as the Braley camp is praying. However, even Democrats fear that Iowa is slipping away.
If Joni Ernst beats Rep. Bruce Braley in Iowa on Tuesday, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said he expects to kiss the Democratic majority goodbye.
The Nevada Democrat said if Braley wins in Iowa, Democrats will do “just fine.” And if they lose? Say hello to Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, Reid said in a conference call Saturday with the Progressive Change Campaign Committee.
“Joni Ernst would mean — coming to the United States Senate — that Mitch McConnell would be leader of the United States Senate, who agrees with her on everything.
Retired Command Sgt. Major, Chris Fox, was one of the 150 Iowa soldiers Joni Ernst led into Operation Iraqi Freedom in 2003. Hear what Chris has to say about Joni in this latest ad.
• Although a small plurality of likely voters thinks Braley has more depth on the issues, they like Ernst better than Braley on several character descriptions. They think she better reflects Iowa values, she cares more about people like them, and she’s more of a regular, down-to-earth person.
• Voters find Ernst, who has led Iowa troops in war, to be a reassuring presence on security issues, the poll shows. In the wake of news developments on the Ebola outbreak in West Africa, increasing aggressiveness of Russia and the rise of the Islamic State in the Middle East, more likely voters see Ernst as better equipped than Braley to show leadership and judgment, by at least 9 points on each issue.
• Independent voters are going Ernst’s way, 51 percent to 39 percent.
• The negativity in the race has hurt Braley more than Ernst. Forty-four percent say he has been more negative in campaign ads, compared with 32 percent for Ernst.
• Among several potential mistakes the two candidates have made, the one that stands out is Braley’s seemingly condescending remark about Republican U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley. In March, GOP operatives released caught-on-tape remarks Braley made at a private fundraiser in Texas that seemed to question the qualifications of “a farmer from Iowa without a law degree” to become the next chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee.
From RCP comes the graphic below that shows the US Senate races in play that show the many possibilities how the GOP pick up a net 6 seats to take control of Senate. Keep in mind that the Open Democrat seats in South Dakota and West Virginia are likely GOP and the Open Democrat seat in Montana is considered Safe GOP. Thus, the Republicans only need a net pickup of 3 seats from the ones below.
Please IOWA … retire Harry Reid as Senate Majority Leader!!!
In the latest FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast, Democrats still have a 27 percent chance of holding on to control of the chamber. But the more pressing question now may be the size of the Republican majority come next Congress. New polls out this weekend suggest that Republicans may not just win the six seats they need for control, but quite possibly eight seats — Republicans now have a 41.4 percent chance of doing just that.
Why? Let’s look at the map.
As for Iowa, Nate already spoke about the importance of the Des Moines Register poll that came out Saturday night, which showed Republican Joni Ernst up 51 to 44 percent over Democrat Bruce Braley. Even if that poll is too optimistic for Ernst, she has been ahead in the vast majority of public polls taken in October. FiveThirtyEight gives her a 71 percent chance to win.
But can Republicans hold on to Georgia and Kentucky? The answer, increasingly, looks to be yes.
The big political news today is that the last pre-election Iowa poll conducted on behalf of the Des Moines Register shows Ernst opening up a 7-point lead over Braley among likely voters. Jennifer Jacobs reports on the poll results here and adds 10 interesting takeaways from the poll here. The poll’s margin of error is 3.7 percent. Ernst’s lead is still within the poll’s margin of error, but the movement seems to be significant and in her direction.
You have to wonder if the late movement doesn’t signify such movement in other similar races around the country. In October the Democrats pulled out all the stops for Braley. They kept Barack Obama away from the state. They threw Michelle Obama out to prop up Braley, not once (hey, give it up for her good friend “Bruce Bailey”), but twice. They threw out Hillary Clinton.
They even threw out the Big Dog himself. They brought in Bill Clinton to argue on Braley’s behalf that we would “grow together” with Bruce.
It’s Halloween time, but Senate Democrats have more to fear than ghosts, goblins, witches and vampires … NT Times and WAPO predict Democrats are the Walking “political” Dead …
With just days to go before the 2014 midterm November 4th elections, two very liberal papers, the New York Times and Washington Post, are predicting a GOP Senate takeover. The NY Times predicts that there is a 69% chance that the Republicans will win control of the US Senate. According to the Times, Republicans will win Louisiana, Arkansas, South Dakota and Kentucky, West Virginia and Montana, leaving the seven most competitive states below in question. The NY Times predicts that Democrats will win the senate races in New Hampshire, North Carolina and Kansas; however, the GOP will run the rest of the seats in play in Georgia, Iowa, Alaska and Colorado. If the New York Times is correct, the GOP will hold a 52-48 control of the Senate after the elections.
According to our statistical election-forecasting machine, the Republicans have a moderate edge, with about a 69% chance of gaining a majority.
State-by-State Probabilities #
To forecast each party’s chance of gaining a majority, our model first calculates win probabilities for each individual Senate race. In addition to the latest polls, it incorporates the candidates’ political experience, fund-raising, a state’s past election results and national polling. More about our methodology.
However, if Democrats think that the NYT’s 69% chance of a GOP victory is bad … the WAPO is predicting a 95% chance of the Republican party taking back control of the US Senate.
The model’s factors fall into three categories:
1) The national landscape. On average, the better things are going in the country, the better the president’s party will do in an election. We capture national conditions using two measures: presidential approval and change in gross domestic product. At the same time, the president’s party usually does worse in midterm years than presidential years even after accounting for the first two measures, so our model takes account of that, too.
2) The partisanship of the state or district. Obviously, House and Senate candidates will do better when their party dominates a district or state. We measure this with Obama’s share of the major-party vote in 2012. In Senate races, we also include the incumbent’s share of the major-party vote from the election six years before, which is the incumbent’s share of the Democratic and Republican votes, combined with an indicator for whether that incumbent is running or the seat is open. The incumbent’s previous election matters mainly when the incumbent is running again.
3) Key features of the race. The model currently takes account of whether the incumbent is running, which captures the well-known incumbency advantage in congressional elections. For the Senate, we also build in each candidate’s level of experience in elective office. In the Senate, we categorize experience into five levels, from someone who has never held an elective office to an incumbent senator. For states where there hasn’t yet been a Senate primary, we impute candidate experience using historical averages from similar races. (After the primaries, we will also add candidate experience to the House model. There, the measure will be simpler: whether the candidate has held any elective office.)
Question: The NY Times and WAPO have been among the two most liberal media outlets that have carried the water for Barack Obama and Democrats, why are they calling the election now for the GOP? Is it because they want to put out faux-news and give Republicans voters a false sense of security or is it because they see the handwriting on the wall and are trying to mantain some sort of credibility by finally reporting the truth?
Harry Reid literally begs for money as he sees his job of Democrat Senate Majority Leader slipping away. Just curious Dingy Harry, if you can triple one’s gift, you need money how? I have a deal for you, You can just double my donation of $0.00.
But I’m emailing once more because this moment is absolutely critical. I know you’re a busy person, but this is an absolute MUST-READ:
Our Final Weekend Get Out The Vote Push is on the chopping block: We’re still $1,389,071 short with 24 hours left.
If we don’t fill that budget gap, we’ll be forced to scale back our plans to mobilize 575,000 voters this weekend. These are voters who could determine the outcome of the whole Senate.
I’m begging for your help to close the gap IMMEDIATELY. If we fall short before the last end-of-month deadline tomorrow, our chance to keep the Senate gets a whole lot smaller.
Will you pitch in to the Final Weekend GOTV Push before the final deadline in 24 hours? We’ll triple-match your gift.
Other nightmarish 2014 US Senate predictions for Democrats. None of the pollsters are predicting that Democrats will maintain control of the Senate and Harry Reid (NV-D) will no longer be Senate Majority Leader.
Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid Doesn’t Think Asians Are Smarter Than Anyone Else, Can’t Tell Them Apart
HARRY REID CAN’T TELL RIGHT FROM WONG …
On Friday speaking to the Asian Chamber of Commerce, Harry Reid (D-NV) joked about the stereo-type Asians and then some how thought it was okay to say that he could not keep his Wongs straight as they all looked alike. Are you kidding? Imagine what the fire storm would have been if he said the same thing about blacks? Imagine if these same comments were made by a Republican? There would not be calls for an apology, there would be cries for him to resign.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is making the rounds Friday after video surfaced of him cracking two jokes about Asians at a Las Vegas meeting.
Speaking to the Asian Chamber of Commerce, Reid joked about the stereotype regarding Asian intelligence.
“I don’t think you’re smarter than anyone else, but you’ve convinced a lot of us you are,” he said to chuckles.
Later, when someone mentioned a person with the last name “Wong,” Reid cracked: “One problem that I’ve had today is keeping my Wongs straight.”
National Review reminds us that the hypocrite Harry Reid was quick to go after his 2010 US Senate challenger Sharron Angle when she made an Asian joke:
While on the campaign trail in 2010, Reid criticized Republican challenger Sharron Angle for her own “Asian” comments. Angle came under fire for telling a group of Hispanic students that “some of you look a little more Asian to me.”
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is apologizing for comments he made in “poor taste” about Asian people.
The apology was prompted by remarks he made Thursday to the Asian Chamber of Commerce in Las Vegas and after video was posted by conservative trackers.
On Friday, Reid offered a mea culpa: “My comments were in extremely poor taste and I apologize. Sometimes I say the wrong thing.”
Poll: Republicans Gov. Brian Sandoval Beats Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid 53% to 43% in Hypothetical 2016 Nevada Senate Matchup
ARE HARRY REID’S DAYS IN THE US SENATE NUMBERED?
In a recent Harper Polling survey, the poll shows that in a hypothetical match 2016 match-up for the US Senate for Nevada Republican Gov. Brian Sandoval handily defeat Democrat Majority Leader Harry Reid by 10 points, 53% to 43%. The poll also showed that Gov. Sandoval destroys Reid among independents, 65%-28%. OUCH. Have the citizens of Nevada finally grown weary of Dingy Harry? One has to wonder whether the people of Nevada will have to wait until 2016 to rid themselves of Reid. If the GOP does not find a way to blow it, Republicans could take back the Senate in 2014 and Reid would lose is Majority Leader role. One would then have to ponder whether 74 year old Reid would stay in the Senate.
Full poll results can be read HERE (pdf)
Gov. Brian Sandoval leads Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid by 10 percentage points in a hypothetical 2016 U.S. Senate matchup, according to a new poll that represents the first public release of results in this potential race.
The survey, conducted by Harper Polling earlier this week, also shows, as other surveys do, Sandoval cruising to re-election (56-34) over Bob Goodman. The robo-survey of 602 statewide voters has a margin of error of 4 percent.
Sandoval crushes Reid among independents, 65-28. Reid’s 55 percent unfavorable rating is all but fatal — you know, just as it was in 2010.
The NRO reminds us that Harry Reid has proven to be resilient against past challengers like in 2010 when Reid seemed vulnerable, but eventually defeated Republican candidate Sharron Angle by nearly 6 percentage points. However, popular Governor Brian Sandoval is not Sharron Angle. But if it does get to a 2016 Senate race between Sandoval and Reid and the polling is still as one sided toward the Nevada Governor, look for Reid to retire, he will be 80, rather than losing in an embarrassing swan song.
Charles Krauthammer on Harry Reid’s Secure Border Comment … “You’ve got to Wonder, Whether He’s really on his Medication or Not.”
Many legal American citizens have the same question …
Syndicated columnist Charles Krauthammer mocked Democrat Senate Majority Lead Harry Reid yesterday on ‘Special Report’ with regarding to Reid’s comment that the Southern border was secure stating, When you hear Harry Reid saying the border is secure you’ve got to wonder, you know, whether he’s really on his medication or not.”
Well Harry, are you?
CHARLES KRAUTHAMMER: When you hear Harry Reid saying the border is secure you’ve got to wonder, you know, whether he’s really on his medication or not. I mean, that is so detached from reality. We just saw at the beginning of the show the report from John Roberts — you get how many we have now? 60,000 — at least — kids who come over. And we’re completely helpless. And it’s the helplessness that I think is driving the president and the Democrats to accept. What they want is for the Republicans to be the one who would propose the change in the law because it looks so cruel.
MARA LIASSON: They did.
KRAUTHAMMER: And so the Republicans have played their role in this kabuki. The president will reluctantly accept it even though he talked initially about proposing it but then he got heat from his left which said you can’t propose this. So it will work out. But the president has to have this stopped because it contributes to the story, showing all the other elements abroad and at home that his administration is incompetent, out of control and unable to control anything. And with this continuing he really can’t tolerate that, his numbers will not survive and the party will be roundly thrashed in November and that’s why he’ll acquiesce to the change in the law.
File this one under, ARE YOU KIDDING ME!!!
Okay America, who are you going to believe,
Baghdad Bob Harry Reid or your lying eyes? Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada said Tuesday that the southern border was secure. Seriously, as a humanitarian crisis occurs on the US-Mexican borders as illegals pour over the borders, Reid says “the border is secure”. What about this illegal child crisis that Democrats are looking to capitalize on, is that the sign of a secure border? How about those 50,000 unaccompanied youths and children who have illegally crossed the Texas border during the last few months? We have a porous southern border that is not just a humanitarian crisis, but a national security one and this lying Democrat leader says, don’t look here, there is nothing to worry about. UNREAL.
However, Reid says he is against the bi-partisan proposed Cornyn-Cuellar bill that would allow unaccompanied minors to make a claim for asylum in the United States before an immigration judge within seven days of receiving a screening from the Department of Health and Human Services.
Of course Reid is against any bill that would remedy the crisis, its all about politics.
VIDEO – Roll Call
The Hill - Reid: Southern border is secure.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) on Tuesday asserted the southern border is secure despite the massive surge of illegal minors from Central America that has overwhelmed federal agencies.
“The border is secure,” he told reporters after the Senate Democrats’ weekly policy lunch. “[Sen.] Martin Heinrich [(D-N.M.)] talked to the caucus today. He’s a border state senator. He said he can say without any equivocation the border is secure.”
Reid said lawmakers need to worry less about border security and focus instead on President Obama’s $3.7 billion request to help process the tens of thousands of children from Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador who have been apprehended on the border.
Senator Dingy Harry is sounding an awful lot like Baghdad Bob did during the days of the War in Iraq when the US military was near the gates of Baghdad. Can anyone tell the difference between the two?
Posted July 16, 2014 by Scared Monkeys
Child Endangerment, Child Welfare, Corruption, Cover-Up, Democrats, Epic Fail, Gutter Politics, Harry Reid (D-NV), Illegal Immigration, Liars, Liberals, Mexico, Misleader, Moonbats, Obamanation, Open Borders - Border Security, Progressives, United States, WTF, You Tube - VIDEO | 2 comments