PROBABLY NOT A GOOD THING BEING A FRONT-RUNNER, ALL WILL BE OUT TO BRING HER DOWN …
Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) is one of the front-runners of the 2020 Democrat presidential candidates that appears will be in the high teens in number when all is said and done. The 54 year old California Senator launched her campaign this weekend; however, has consistently lagged in national surveys behind former Vice President Joe Biden and independent Socialist Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, both of whom are weighing their own White House bids. One has to wonder how a Democrat party that has lurched so far to the left, has embraced identity politics and is so anti-old, white men could nominate a Biden, Sanders or any other man.
However, being a front-runner at the outset cannot be a good thing when there will be so many candidates in the race.
Even before Kamala Harris’ campaign launch in Oakland on Sunday, her nascent 2020 bid had already hit full gallop — a star turn on “Good Morning America,” a self-reported seven-figure fundraising milestone, a friendly reception in a key primary state.
With that fast start, Harris has stoked a perception that she is not just an elite candidate, but among the Democratic front-runners — a designation that is loaded with both upside and danger in this very early stage of presidential jockeying.
The California senator and her campaign strategists aren’t yet declaring her the favorite. But her days-long debut, crafted for maximum impact, showed a desire to make a big and early splash.
“This is what you do,” said Mike Murphy, a Republican strategist with extensive experience in candidate rollouts. “You announce, and then you try to create measures of success, and then you get the press to write you’re the front-runner, and then you use the clips to raise more money.”
WOW, WOULDN’T THIS BE SOMETHING …
According to the LA Times, a controversial plan to split the Golden State into three new jurisdictions qualified Tuesday for the Nov. 6 ballot. The proposal aims to invoke Article IV, Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution. This is a radical suggestion, but not unprecedented. It would be the first division of an existing U.S. state since the creation of West Virginia in 1863.
California’s 168-year run as a single entity, hugging the continent’s edge for hundreds of miles and sprawling east across mountains and desert, could come to an end next year — as a controversial plan to split the Golden State into three new jurisdictions qualified Tuesday for the Nov. 6 ballot.
If a majority of voters who cast ballots agree, a long and contentious process would begin for three separate states to take the place of California, with one primarily centered around Los Angeles and the other two divvying up the counties to the north and south. Completion of the radical plan — far from certain, given its many hurdles at judicial, state and federal levels — would make history.
It would be the first division of an existing U.S. state since the creation of West Virginia in 1863.
“Three states will get us better infrastructure, better education and lower taxes,” Tim Draper, the Silicon Valley venture capitalist who sponsored the ballot measure, said in an email to The Times last summer when he formally submitted the proposal. “States will be more accountable to us and can cooperate and compete for citizens.”
In the initiative’s introductory passage, Draper argues that “vast parts of California are poorly served by a representative government dominated by a large number of elected representatives from a small part of our state, both geographically and economically.”
The proposal aims to invoke Article IV, Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution, the provision guiding how an existing state can be divided into new states. Draper’s plan calls for three new entities — Northern California, California and Southern California — which would roughly divide the population of the existing state into thirds.
In the 2016 Presidential elections Hillary Clinton won the 55 electoral votes in California with a 61.8% to 32.8% victory. However, look at the blue/red voting by counties and compare to the proposed 3 state map above. The representation voting and electoral college count would be quite different.
As the Voters Go to the Polls in Alabama for Special GOP Primary Election … Roy Moore Ahead in Trafalgar Group Survey
WE SHALL SEE IF THE POLLS ARE CORRECT THIS TIME … ELECT ROY MOORE!!!
As Alabama goes to vote today in the 2017 special U.S. Senate Republican Primary runoff, a new TFG survey shows that Roy Moore is comfortably ahead of incumbent Luther Strange, 56.74% to 40.69%. Although President Donald Trump is widely popular in Alabama, the folks there just think he’s wrong on this as they see Moore as their guy. Trump and Pence have both campaigned for Luther Strange. But in the end, the election is the only poll that matters as we learned in the 2016 Presidential election.
Check back later today for the results.
Moore – Strange
A new Alabama survey of likely 2017 primary voters for the U.S. Senate Republican Primary Runoff was released today. The Trafalgar Group (TFG), recognized for having the most accurate polling in the 2016 battleground states and Electoral College projection, conducted the poll from September 23rd through September 24th.
TFG conducted this survey of 1073 respondents from a random stratified selection of likely 2017 primary voters. The margin of error is +/- 2.98.
56.74% Roy Moore
40.69% Luther Strange
Robert Cahaly, Senior Strategist and Chief Pollster at Trafalgar Group said, “Our attempt here was to measure the closing weekend impact of the Trump visit on the race as well as the effect on Trump’s approval. Though the president’s visit doesn’t seem to have swayed the race in favor of Strange, it does appear to have reinforced his personal support among Alabama Republicans which now stands at almost 80% favorability.
HEY HILLARY … ITS ALL ABOUT THE COAL. CLINTON FEELS THE COAL BERN!!!
Coal country is no longer Clinton country as Hillary Clinton found herself getting her miners hat handed to her by socialist Bernie Sanders in the Democrat West Virginia primary. When the dust steeled Sanders beat Clinton 51% to 36%, a much wider victory than polls had indicated. What a turn of events for Hillary Clinton. In the 2008 Democrat primary, Clinton beat Obama in WV, 67% to 23% and got over 240,000 votes. Flash-forward to 2016 and Hillary received a mere 84,000 votes.
Not so fast Hillary in pivoting to the general election, you still have a socialist on your tail who has now won a remarkable 19 states. It is safe to say that Hillary Clinton, the presumptive Democrat nominee, who is limping over the finish line, has no chance of victory in the general election in West Virginia. On the GOP side, Trump wins in WV and Nebraska as he ran unopposed.
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has won the West Virginia Democratic primary, NBC News projects, a victory that will add yet more fuel to his argument that he should remain in the race despite badly trailing front runner Hillary Clinton in the overall delegate count.
The win comes one week after Sanders prevailed in Indiana’s Democratic primary and two weeks after Clinton dominated a series of contests in the northeastern United States.
Democrats also voted on Tuesday in a presidential “beauty contest” in Nebraska, although the delegates from that state were all previously assigned during a March 5 caucus. In that contest, Sanders won 15 pledged delegates, compared to 10 for Clinton.
“With this outcome, we now have won primaries and caucuses in 19 states,” Sanders said in a statement after the results were in. “We are in this campaign to win the Democratic nomination and we’re going to stay in the race until the last vote is cast.”
It is hard to believe that Bernie Sanders continues to make political life difficult for Hillary Clinton. An unknown, 74 year old socialist is showing just how weak a candidate Hillary Clinton really is. No one, and I mean no one, including Democrat strategists saw this coming. Not even Bernie Sanders.
HILLARY FEELS THE BERN AGAIN AS SANDERS UPSETS HILLARY CLINTON IN THE HOOSIER STATE …
A funny thing has happened on the way to Hillary Clinton’s Democrat presidential coronation, she continues to lose to a socialist. Last night self-proclaimed socialist Bernie Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton in the Democrat Indiana primary 52% to 48%. WOW, that’s going to leave a mark. Not so fast Ms. Clinton, let’s forget about looking to the general election just quite yet, you have a socialist on your tail. Sanders shocked Clinton last night defeating her by 4 percentage points as all of the polls leading up to the Indiana primary had Clinton leading between a margin of 4 and 13 percent.
The longer the Democrat primary goes on and more embarrassing losses for Clinton, the more divisive the Democrat party will become.
Hillary Feels the Bern in Indiana
Bernie Sanders upset Hillary Clinton in Indiana’s Democratic primary Tuesday night, giving his flagging campaign another reason to carry on to Philadelphia even though he has virtually no chance of overtaking Clinton for the nomination.
With more than three-quarters of precincts reporting, Sanders led 53 percent to 47 percent.
The win bolstered Sanders’ pledge to remain in the race through the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia despite trailing in the overall and pledged delegate counts. Because Indiana allocates delegates proportionally, though, it will produce more of a psychic boost for Sanders and his supporters than an actual dent in Clinton’s lead.
The calendar for the rest of May portends favorably for Sanders, as well, with West Virginia up next on May 10, followed by Kentucky and Oregon on May 17.
Prior to the Indiana primaries according to RCP polling, Clinton led Sanders 50% to 43%.
Up next for the Democrats is West Virginia where Clinton looks to get politically whacked by Sanders. But that is what happens when you tell coal miners you are looking to shut down the companies they work for. Heading into the the final weeks of the campaign Hillary Clinton hardly looks like a strong candidate as the presumptive Democrat nominee limps access the finish line.
Who would have thought at this point, certainly not the bias MSM, that it would be the Republican primary that was over and had a presidential nominee and the Democrats would still be duking it out. Go Bernie, Go!!!