2012 Iowa Republican Caucus: Its a Three Way Race Between Romney, Santorum and Paul (Update: Ron Paul Finishes Third)
The 2012 Iowa Caucus as been a nip and tuck, too close to call horse race all night long. Its been back and forth between the three lead horses, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum and Ron Paul. What will come of this, is Iowa really going to make Ron Paul the winner? Really?
See real time poll results at Fox News.
Presently with 87% of the vote in at 9:50 PM CST … Santorum 25%, Romney 25% and Paul 22%. It is rather interesting that Paul’s negative and nasty ads may have cost him voted in the waning moments leading into today’s caucus vote. Paul may have savaged Gingrich; however, he might have done harm to himself as well.
Continued updates can be found at The Other McCain … Santorum having a hell of a showing tonight, Beating even surge projections. Talk about peaking just at the right time. Will Santorum be able to sustain the momentum and the slings and arrows that will follow not that he is a top tier candidate?
UPDATE I: Fox News predicts that Ron Paul finishes third. WOW, what happened to all the Paulies in Iowa? Third? Sorry folks but this is a major failure and set back for the Paul campaign.
UPDATE II: So far predicted finishes … 3rd Ron Paul, 4th Newt Gingrich, 5th Perry, 6th Michele Bachmann and 7th Huntsman. It is still up in the air as to who is #1 and #2, Romney or Santorum.
UPDATE III: At 10:44 PM CST with 95% of votes counted: Santorum 29,017 – Romney 28,908
UPDATE IV: 11:23 PM CST – Romney 29,625 – Santorum 25,584
Americans see President Obama as the Farthest Candidate from Them Ideologically Including All Republicans
Barack Obama … the most out of touch candidate for American ideology …
According to a recent Gallup poll should cause yet more concern for President Barack Obama for the 2012 elections. Americans see Obama as the farthest candidate from them ideologically than any of the GOP primary candidates. Should this really come as a surprise as Barack Obama is the most liberal and polarizing President ever elected. Although many Americans are not not sure of some of the Republican candidates, they have had three years to figure out exactly what Obama’s ideology is. 57% consider Obama vet liberal/liberal, while 15% polled were smoking crack stating that Obama was very conservative/conservative. If Obama has not yet convinced America that he is not “very liberal” at this point, it is a lost cause. America knows exactly what Barack Obama is and stands for, there is no fooling the public like 2008.
What should further trouble Obama is that Independents consider Obama the farthest away from their ideology as well. As for Republicans, enough said. However, just how out of touch are Democrats with the main stream of society? They think Barack Obama is spot on with their ideology.
This is coupled with other polling data showing Obama loses a hypothetical match up with Mitt Romney 45% to 39%.
UPDATE I: Barack Obama’s job approval rating back down to 41% approval – 50% disapproval as per Gallup!
Texas Governor Rick Perry is in the cat birds seat when it comes to polling in the first three GOP primary states. According to a recent Rasmussen poll, Perry leads in Iowa 29% with a double digit lead over US rep. Michele Bachmann (18%), former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (17%) and Ron Paul (14%). If Perry wins Iowa, he will take 2 of the 3 first primary states.
Confirming a surge seen in polling across the nation, Texas Governor Rick Perry has moved into first place among Republican voters in Iowa, host state to the first-in-the-nation caucus early next year.
A Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of those likely to participate in the Iowa GOP Caucus shows that Perry is the first choice for 29%. Essentially tied for second are Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann at 18% and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney at 17%. Texas Congressman Ron Paul picks up 14% of the vote, and nobody else currently reaches the five percent (5%) mark. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Nationally, Rick perry has a near double digit lead over his GOP Presidential primary challengers; however, in the primaries its all about how candidates do in New Hampshire, Iowa and South Carolina. Obviously, Romney leads in NH, he better. If you are the former governor of a sister New England state, if Romney do not win NH, he is finished. However, what if Perry comes in second in the Granite state primaries, wins Iowa as he leads in to the above poll and runs away with the South Carolina primary … Perry is in a great spot at this point. Let’s see how he does in this weeks GOP Presidential Primary debate.
In the 2008 Presidential election, Barack Obama won Florida 51% to 48% and picked up an important 27 electoral votes. That was then, this is now. If early polling in Florida is any sign of things to come for 2012, Obama and the Democrat party are in serious trouble in this swing state.
Yes, it is early in the polling season and things could change; however, President Barack Obama finds himself in a deep hole in the battle ground state of Florida. A recent MAGELLAN poll has only 37% believe that Barack Obama should be reelected, while a whopping 57% believe he should not be. The poll also has Floridians at 37% job approval for Obama, while 57% disapprove. How does one come back from a 37% reelection number? Its early, but this polling is so dismal, one has to take notice especially when the polling sample was 42/39/19, Democrats/Republicans/Independents.
Do you think that Barack Obama deserves to be re?elected, or do you think that
Barack Obama does not deserve to be re?elected?
Deserves to be re?elected ……………………………………………… 37%
Does not deserve to be re?elected ……………………………….. 57%
Undecided/No opinion …………………………………………………….. 6%
Texas Governor Rick Perry to the head of the pack …
The latest Gallup poll has Texas Governor Rick Perry surging into the lead in the GOP race for the Republican nomination for president with 29%. Similar to last weeks Rasmussen poll, Rick Perry has a double digit lead in Gallup, far outpacing Mitt Romney 17%, Ron Paul at 13% and Michele Bachmann at 10%. The American Spectator has some nice geographic analysis.
Perry crushes Romney in the South 39 percent to 12 percent while trailing the former Massachusetts governor by just one point in the East. Perry has also taken a toll on Bachmann, who does no better than tying Paul in any region of the country and trails all three of them in the Midwest, even though that’s where she does best. Perry also beats Romney 33 percent to 16 percent among conservatives, while Romney has a single-digit lead among moderate to liberal Republicans.
Perry seems to have traction in the polling since he entered the GOP race on August 13. Quite interesting how well the Texan polled in the East against former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. Interesting indeed, don’t mess with Texas.
Brian in a Blue State
What Barack Obama did on his summer vacation, played golf, went to Martha’s Vineyard and saw his polling numbers completely collapse.
More bad polling data for President Barack Obama. The latest Gallup poll in a hypothetical match up between GOP contenders has Obama losing to former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, Obama tied with current Texas Gov. Rick Perry and Obama within the margin of error with US Reps. Ron Paul and Michele Bachmann. Making matters worse, Obama loses Independents to all contenders except Bachmann. Making matters even more worse than that, the incumbent President does not poll at 50% or above against any challenger. In a dead heat against a challenger when the incumbent polls below 50% … the incumbent loses.
President Barack Obama is closely matched against each of four possible Republican opponents when registered voters are asked whom they would support if the 2012 presidential election were held today. Mitt Romney leads Obama by two percentage points, 48% to 46%, Rick Perry and Obama are tied at 47%, and Obama edges out Ron Paul and Michele Bachmann by two and four points, respectively.
Is it that shocking that Obama is viewed in such a bad light? Not at all. Not when Obama has a job approval in the low 40′s and an economic job approval rating in the 20′s.
Brian in a Blue State
Romney still top dog in NH … But Perry is in Second.
The former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney still holds a large leads in New Hampshire with 36%, according to the NH Journal Survey, with Texas governor Rick Perry (18%) second, Ron Paul (14%) third and US Rep Michele Bachmann (10%) fourth. Of course Romney is going to fare well in NH, fellow New England state, or at least he better. If he ever fell to second or third place in any Granite state poll, it would be time for him to drop out of the race.
On the ballot Romney remains in a strong position. He leads all candidates with 36% of the vote. However, Perry, making his first appearance in the NH Journal poll, debuts with a strong 18%. Ron Paul continues to impress despite relatively little media attention with 14%. And Bachmann earns 10%. All other candidates were in single digits.
Among all voters surveyed Romney remains very popular with a favorable rating of 66% and an unfavorable rating of 24%. Perry also has a significantly favorable image ratio of 51% F / 27% U.
This is a strong showing for Rick Perry in NH.
Full poll can be seen HERE.
As reported at The Hill, Republicans are torn over Perry and Romney as to who would be the better GOP candidate to take on Barack Obama in 2012. This is hardly a bad thing. An honest and public debate to determine who would be the best principled candidate to take on Obama is exactly what is required. Let the GOP candidates hone their skills and present their message and vision to America now, because trust me Obama, his smear minion and the complicit MSM are going to go after the GOP candidate like no one has ever seen in political history. An incumbent President with such miserable poll numbers on the economy and other key political issues will have to attack his opponents, or as Obama refers to them as “his enemies”, because there is no way he can run on his record.
Texas Gov Rick Perry Jumps to the Lead in GOP Presidential Primary Poll … Perry 29%, Romney 18%, Bachmann 13%
ACTIONS SPEAK LOUDER THAN WORDS AND FOR PERRY, ITS ABOUT JOBS, JOBS, JOBS …
The American public was waiting for some one to emerge from the GOP primary candidates cast of many to beat Barack Obama … looks like Texas Governor Rick Perry is that individual. PERRY SKYROCKETS TO THE TOP OF THE GOP PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY PACK! A note to Barack Obama, while the Obamamessiah takes a lame bus tour and talks of jobs, Rick Perry in Texas has created them.
Governor Rick Perry has splashed on to the seen and to the top of the GOP primary Presidential candidate polls. Following Perry’s announcement on Saturday in South Carolina, the Texas governor has vaulted into the lead according to the most recent Rasmussen poll. No wonder Obama and his minions were already taking shots at him. Perry has a double digit lead over second and third place GOP contenders Mitt Romney and Michele Bauchmann. It would appear that the announcement in South Carolina of a strong governor of a state who has executive experience and has created jobs trumps Bauchmann’s winning of the Iowa Straw poll.
Texas Governor Rick Perry, the new face in the race for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, has jumped to a double-digit lead over Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann with the other announced candidates trailing even further behind.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary voters, taken Monday night, finds Perry with 29% support. Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who ran unsuccessfully for the GOP presidential nomination in 2008, earns 18% of the vote, while Bachmann, the Minnesota congresswoman who won the high-profile Ames Straw Poll in Iowa on Saturday, picks up 13%.
Check out Rick Perry for President.
Its the first GOP Presidential primary poll since Ames, Iowa and it was a doozy. It was obvious to many that the GOP electorate was not really warming up to Romney. They were just waiting and so many were holding their breath and waiting for Perry to enter the race and enter he has, Hey Barack, let’s see you talk your way out of the failure of your job creation against Perry.