Final POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll has it a Dead Heat With Romney Winning Independents by 15 Points, Huh?
Weren’t we told by the MSM that this election would be won by which candidate won the Independent vote?
One of two things are true with the polls … 1) The pollsters/media have no idea what the outcome will be . 2) The pollsters/media do not want to tell America the truth that Romney is beating Obama.
Case in point, the final POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground tracking poll has the race between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama a dead heat, tied at 48%. At first glance one would say, well that’s par for the course. Many of the polls have it a tie or near tie, within the margin of error. Until one reads the following, Romney is winning Independents 15 points, 47% to 32%. Seriously, how is a poll tied if one candidate as a 15 point lead with Independents?
The presidential race is tied going into Election Day.
The final POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of 1,000 likely voters — conducted Sunday and Monday — shows Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama each claiming 47 percent nationally.
Our previous poll, conducted Monday through Thursday of last week, found the race tied at 48 percent. Although Romney and Obama have each led at times, the two candidates have stayed within the margin of error since the spring.
Independents break for Romney by 15 points, 47 percent to 32 percent.
MASS US Senate Race: Republican Scott Brown Has Lead in Another Poll over Democrat Elizabeth Warren 49% to 43% … PPP Poll Has Brown Up by 5%
WHAT CAN BROWN DO FOR YOU … Republican Scott Brown is surging in the polls over Democrat Elizabeth Warren in the battle for the US Senate seat for Massachusetts.
Don’t look now but the Democrats hope for taking back the US Senate seat in Massachusetts is slip, sliding away. According to a recent new poll Republican Scott Brown is starting to pull away from his challenger Democrat Elizabeth Warren. The poll from Kimball Political Consulting has Brown up by six points, 49% to 43%. Interestingly enough the sampling of the poll is … Party Affiliation – Democrat 36%, Republican 14%, Independent 51%. Remember, this is Massachusetts that has an overwhelming number of registered Democrat and Independent voters. Even with that advantage Brown is in the lead.
Scott Brown up by 5%, even 6% over Warren in Mass. US Senate race
A new poll of the Massachusetts Senate race shows Republican Scott Brown opening up a six-point lead over Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren. Forty-nine percent of respondents support Brown, the incumbent running for reelection, while 43 percent support Warren. Nine percent are undecided.
The key is that Scott Brown is winning overwhelmingly amonh Independent voters.
“Senator Brown is winning decisively among independents but Warren still has a chance to come back. The data suggest that for Warren to close the gap it may be time for her to change her emphasis, from the cost of education to job creation,” said Spencer Kimball, Political Consultant and President of Kimball Political Consulting. “Romney, on the other hand, needs to repair his image in the Commonwealth where 54 percent of likely voters have an unfavorable opinion of him. However, his choice of Paul Ryan may help him with defining the deficit as the most important issue for voters and help his support among a strong Irish Catholic voting bloc in the bay state.”
This is the second poll in a week that has Scott Brown pulling away from Warren. A recent PPP poll had Scott Brown leading Warren 49% to 44%. The sampling break down was Democrat 38%, Republican 15%, Independent 48%.
Independents make up almost half (48%) of voters, one of their largest shares of any state’s electorate. Unlike in many states where the role of independents is overblown, here they are truly decisive. And right now Brown is winning with them by 26 points (58-32), similar to June (57-33). To top that off, Brown has grown a bit both with his own party and Warren’s. He has essentially locked up his base (91-7, up from 86-9 just under two months ago), and is now poaching 20% of Warren’s partisans, up from 18% and leaving her with only 73% of the party which accounts for two-and-a-half times as many voters as Brown’s does
It will be interesting to see what the next Rasmussen poll indicates in this all important Senate race.