ELECTION DAY 2016 … With Many Polls & Pundits Saying Otherwise … Trump Does have a Plausible Path to 270 and Victory or What If a Tie?
TRUMP HAS A PATH TO VICTORY … CAN HE GET THERE TODAY, ELECTION DAY 2016 …
Even though many of the poll as seen at RCP have Hillary Clinton ahead in the national polls. The averaging of polls have Clinton ahead by 3.2%. However, national polls mean little to nothing, its about the states and enthusiasm. Donald Trump does have a pathway to victory and its not that far-fetched. I am not going to lie, will it be easy, no. Is he the underdog right now, the answer is yes and maybe. Many polls are within the margin of error, which means they could go either way. One thing is for certain in a political season where there have been no certainties … no political pundits have been correct on Trump yet, why should they be now?
Here is the current RCP Map of the electoral college of states between Clinton and Trump with 203 for Clinton/Kaine, Toss Ups 171 and Trump/Pence with 164. 270 is the magical number. The toss up states are as follows”: Florida (29), Ohio (18), Michigan (16), Pennsylvania (20), New Hampshire (4), Maine CD2 (1), Maine (2), North Carolina (15), Virginia (13), Georgia (16), Colorado (9), Nevada (6), New Mexico (5), Arizona (11) and Iowa (6).
Now check this out and see if this is not a plausible possibility of what could happen today? According to may of the average of polls, this is highly possible. If this happens, the race is 269 – 269, a tie!!! It is possible the election could be a tie and its not that far out of the realm of possibility.
We will put the following states in the Trump camp: Florida (29), Ohio (18), New Hampshire (4), North Carolina (15), Georgia (16), Nevada (6), Arizona (11) and Iowa (6).
The following states go to Clinton: Michigan (16), Pennsylvania (20), Colorado (9), Maine CD2 (1), Maine (2), New Mexico (5), Virginia (13),
What happens if it is a tie, what is the Tiebreaker? In the event that neither candidate gets the majority of the vote, the House of Representatives would decide the president, Congress is still bound by the electoral vote.
According to Article II, Section 1, Clause 3 of the U.S. Constitution, “[t]he Person having the greatest Number of Votes shall be the President, if such Number be a Majority of the whole Number of Electors appointed; and if there be more than one who have such Majority, and have an equal Number of Votes, then the House of Representatives shall immediately chose by Ballot one of them for President; and if no Person have a Majority, then from the five highest on the List the said House shall in like Manner chose the President.”
So basically this means the following, if Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and Republican candidate Donald Trump each have 269 electoral votes, then the current House of Representatives must choose one of them. Because Republicans hold a majority in “current” Congress, Donald Trump would very likely be chosen. If neither candidate gets a majority of votes, then third-party candidates come into play, if they can earn electoral votes. The 12th Amendment subsequently limited Congress to choosing among the top three candidates.
But if we move the map by just one state race where in Maine CD2 (1) swings to Donald Trump, he wins 270 to 268. The point that I am trying to make is, its possible. Is there a pathway to victory for Trump, of course there is. Is there would for Hillary, yes there is as well and it is much easier. In a year in which the Chicago Cubs finally won a World Series and ended a 108-year wait, anything is possible. We will know early on as to how the races are going in New Hampshire, Maine, Georgia and Pennsylvania as to what the election day trend is, will America put up with another 4 years of Obama and a corrupt candidate like Hillary Clinton, or will Donald Trump shock the world?
ITS ALL ABOUT THE TRENDING …
For the first time the Real Clear Politics average of national polls shows Donald Trump up 0.4 points over Hillary Clinton. The score is Trump 44.0, Clinton 43.6. This erases a 20 point lead that Hillary had back in July 2015. And more recently, an 11 point lead Hillary had over Trump in March 23, 2016. It is obvious that Trump is surging and trending up, while Hillary is falling. This has to bring panic to Team Hillary and the DNC as Trump is solidifying support behind him while the Democrats become more and more divided and violent as Bernie Sanders vows to fight on to the convention. So MSM, which party is having a civil war again?
The polls in play that show either Trump surging into the lead or making up a great deal of ground on the struggling Hillary Clinton are as follows.
As Don Surber opines, “Remember how Charles Krauthammer said if Trump won the nomination he could lose like Goldwater? National polls today confirm that once again, Krauthammer may have gotten Trump’s chances wrong again.”
Eleanor Clift Ludicrous Comments on Benghazi Terror Attacks … “Ambassador Stevens Wasn’t Murdered, He Died Of Smoke Inhalation”
Some Liberal moonbats will go to no ends to protect Hillary Clinton from her actions, or lack there of in Benghazi, including making an ass of them self.
Eleanor Clift has said some pretty ignorant things over the years, but this one might just take the cake. Not so much for her partisan, liberal, progressive partisan Democrat view point, but for the fact that she would continue to propagate a lie, a cover-up and a tape at the expense of a deceased US Ambassador. Eleanor Clift actually said on The McLaughlin Report, “I would like to point out that Ambassador Stevens was not ‘murdered, he died of smoke inhalation in a safe room in that CIA installation.”. SICK, SICK, SICK!!!
WOW … can we just say, LIAR!!! It is safe to say that no one can ever take this fool seriously anymore. She has been a liberal apologist for years, but this is beyond the pale and crazy talk. Of course her main liberal agenda was to protect Hillary Clinton, the presumptive 2016 Democrat presidential nominee. Clift ended her nonsensical ramblings by saying, “and its still a CIA and if you are going to put people on trial we should put David Petraeus on trail, not Hillary Clinton.”
Clift went on to continue to blame the video tape, which has all but been debunked at this point. Way to be kept in the informational loop Elenore. It is time to put Elenore out to politic pundit pasture. As Red State opines regarding the misguided Clift, “Next she’ll tell us that the 30o girls in Nigeria weren’t kidnapped by Islamic terrorists..they were actually just out on a school field trip, and are lost in the woods.”
Get used to this folks, defend, deflect, detract and lie to at all cost to protect Hillary Clinton from her record.
ELEANOR CLIFT: I would like to point out Ambassador Stevens was not murdered. He died of smoke inhalation in the safe room in that CIA installation.
SUSAN FERRECHIO: I don’t think that’s a fact, Eleanor.
CLIFT: I think that is a fact.
FERRECHIO: I’ve heard a drastically different story from people who are also in the know about that. So, I don’t think it is –
PAT BUCHANAN: It was a terrorist attack, Eleanor. He was murdered in a terrorist attack.
CLIFT: It was an opportunistic terrorist attack that grew out of that video.
BUCHANAN: The video had nothing to do with it.
CLIFT: There were demonstrations across the world.
Barack Obama & Vladimir Putin Phone Conversation on ‘The Tonight Show’ … Obamacare is a Joke in Russia, Too
Imagine a government forcing people to accept something that the majority of them don’t even want. In fact, what if 38.9% were in favor and 53.6% were against, or a -14.7% average of people were against what a government had forced on its people. Are we referring to Putin, Russia and Crimea? Hardly, we are talking about Barack Obama, Democrats and Obamacare. How bad is it when we can compare what Russia does to it’s citizens to that what those in power in America does to theirs?
From Jilly Fallon and The Tonight Show:
Obama - “Don’t you see what you’re doing though? You’re forcing people to accept something that the majority of them don’t even want.”
Putin – “Yes, in Russia we have word for this … Obamacare“.
Posted March 22, 2014 by Scared Monkeys
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Poll Numbers Fall, Obama Job Approval at 39%, Not a Decisive Leader and No Longer Considered Honest & Trustworthy
Welcome to the
Richard Nixon Barack Obama presidency …
President Barack Obama’s poll numbers are in free-fall. A recent Quinnipiac University poll has Barack Obama’s job approval hitting an all time low of 39%. Also, For the first time in his presidency American voters say by a 52% to 44% that Barack Obama is not honest and trustworthy. Gee America, what took you so long, but welcome aboard?
American voters disapprove 54 – 39 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, his lowest approval rating in any Quinnipiac University national poll since he became president, as even women disapprove 51 – 40 percent, according to a national poll released today.
Today’s results compare to a slight 49 – 45 percent disapproval October 1. President Obama’s lowest score before today was a 55 – 41 percent disapproval in an October 6, 2011 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
Today, disapproval is 58 – 37 percent among men, 91 – 6 percent among Republicans and 63 – 30 percent among independent voters. Democrats approve 79 – 14 percent. White voters disapprove 62 – 32 percent while black voters approve 75 – 15 percent and Hispanic voters disapprove by a slim 47 – 41 percent margin.
Gallup poll also has bad new for Obama and his minions. According to the Gallup poll, Barack Obama has taken a hit on the characteristics and qualities of a president like a decisive leader and being honest and trustworthy. So Obama isn’t a decisive leader, he is not considered honest and trustworthy and he has no clear plan for solving America’s problems … why is he president again?
President Barack Obama’s reputation with the American public has faltered in some ways, but not in others. Most notably, for the first time in his presidency, fewer than half of Americans, 47%, say Obama is a “strong and decisive leader,” down six percentage points since September.
Similarly, the share of Americans who view Obama as “honest and trustworthy” has dipped five points. Exactly half of Americans still consider Obama honest and trustworthy, but this is down from 55% in September and 60% in mid-2012 as Obama was heading toward re-election.
Have you seen Barack Obama’s average polling lately? Polls with him in the 30′s is not the outlier but the norm. From Real Clear Politics comes the following terrible polling for Barack Obama.