George Will Predicts Romney Landslide 321-217 on ABC’s ‘This Week” … Similar to Barone’s Landslide Prediction
Most pundits are calling the 2012 Presidential race too close to call as the RCP averages of polls have it a dead tie.
However, that did not stop conservative columnist on ABC’s “This Week’ to predict a Mitt Romney electoral landslide. Will predicted a 321-217 electoral victory for Romney. What I do find interesting is that a couple of people have gone out on a limb and said that Romney will get over 300 electoral votes; however, no one is really saying that Obama will do such. What we are seeing from Will and Barone is that if the undecided’s break for the challenger Mitt Romney, battleground states could fall like dominoes for Romney.
On this weekend’s broadcast of “This Week with George Stephanopoulos” on ABC, Will revealed his prediction and added a bonus surprise by saying traditional Democratic state Minnesota would go for Romney as well.
“I’m projecting Minnesota to go for Romney,” Will said. “It’s the only state that’s voted democratic in nine consecutive elections, but this year, there’s marriage amendment on the ballot that will bring out the evangelicals and I think could make the difference.”
Add Will’s landslide prediction to that of numbers cruncher extraordinaire Michael Barone. His prediction of a landslide is based
on fundamentals, a majority of Americans are against Obama’s policies. and a sluggish economy where job growth and recovery has been far too slow. Barone is predicting a Romney 315, Obama 223 landslide. Barone stated that it sounds high for Romney, but he could lose Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election.
Which candidate will get the electoral votes of the target states? I’ll go out on a limb and predict them, in ascending order of 2008 Obama percentages — fully aware that I’m likely to get some wrong.
Indiana (11 ). Uncontested. Romney.
North Carolina (15). Obama has abandoned this target. Romney.
Florida (29). The biggest target state has trended Romney since the Denver debate. I don’t see any segment of the electorate favoring Obama more than in 2008, and I see some (South Florida Jews) favoring him less. Romney.
Ohio (18). The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue-collar voters for him to lead most polls. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than in 2008. Early voting tells another story, and so does the registration decline in Cleveland’s Cuyahoga County. In 2004, intensity among rural, small -town and evangelical voters, undetected by political reporters who don’t mix in such circles, produced a narrow Bush victory. I see that happening again. Romney.
Thank You Obamanomics … VP Biden Campaigning in Oshkosh, WI a Day after Oshkosh Corp. Announced 450 Layoffs
The following story is a perfect example of why Barack Obama/Joe Biden do not need a second term. Thanks to Obamanomics and a failed job recovery, another company announces layoffs. I wonder how these 450 people would answer the question, are you better off today than you were four years ago?
Opps, talk about bad timing and why Obama/Biden are not running ob their record of failed job recover. One day before VP Biden campaigns in Oshkosh, WI … Oshkosh Corp, one of the largest area employers announced 450 layoffs as a result of expected cuts to the Department of Defense. There is nothing like going into a state to ask for four more years and praise the efforts of Obama after one of the states largest employers announces layoffs … DOH!
Vice President Joe Biden is campaigning in Oshkosh on Friday, a day after one of the largest area employers announced 450 layoffs — the result of expected cuts to the Department of Defense.
Oshkosh Corp. will layoff 450 manufacturing workers in January, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported Thursday, saying the Pentagon is expected to purchase few of the company’s military vehicles. The military cut its requested budget for ground vehicles by 32 percent in the 2013 fiscal year.
Hey Wisconsin, I bet this gets you jazzed to go out and vote for Barack Obama, doesn’t it!
Dick Morris Says its Time to Focus in on Next Level of Battleground States … Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Minnesota and Even New Jersey Is in Play
Last night on Fox News with Sean Hannity, Dick Morris told Hannity that it was time for the Romney campaign to target states like Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and even New Jersey are in play this year. Morris stated, “Minnesota is within if four points… And maybe even New Jersey.”
Video Hat Tip: The Gateway Pundit
Minnesota, Pennsylvania and even New Jersey in play? Could this be true or just wishful bolstering on the party of Dick Morris?
Before anyone laughs of Morris’ claims, check out the latest
Quinnipiac University poll that shows that Romney has erased a 12 point Obama lead and only trails by 4 points, 50% to 46%. What gives Romney pause for success in the Keystone state? As referenced by Jammie Wearing Fool, the poll sampling is +8D.
In today’s survey, men back Romney 54 – 43 percent, compared to a 49 – 48 percent split September 26. Women back Obama 57 – 39 percent, little changed from last month. White voters back Romney 53 – 43 percent while black voters back Obama 97 – 1 percent. White Catholic voters go Republican 56 – 43 percent. Voters with college degrees back the president 54 – 43 percent while voters without degrees are divided with 49 percent for Obama and 47 percent for Romney.
Only 7 percent of Pennsylvania likely voters say they might change their mind in the next 21 days.
“Gov. Mitt Romney is coming on strong in the Keystone State, especially among white Catholics,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
In Wisconsin, Obama only has a 2.3% lead over Romney in the RCP average polling. If Romney is polling well in this next level of so-called swing states, imagine how well he is doing in the battleground states? And, although I do not believ that NJ is in play; however, if Romney ever won the Garden state, we would be looking at a Reagan/Carter-lik landslide.
Oh the tolerant Left …
An 83 year old Leftist protester, Mary Hoglund, showed her respect of others and their 1st Amendment rights by interrupting a political event in Grand Chute, WI and spitting in the face of a Romney supporter. It would appear that not even the Leftist elderly are exempt from being unhinged moonbats.
A bus tour event on behalf of Mitt Romney turned ugly Friday afternoon when a protester interrupted a rally and spit in a supporter’s face.
The event featured Wisconsin state Sen. Alberta Darling and Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch.
During Darling’s remarks, the protester, Mary Hoglund, 83, of Appleton, interrupted the event to ask about Republican opposition to Planned Parenthood.
A local Romney supporter began arguing with Hoglund, who then spit in her face. Hoglund was escorted out, and received medical attention for a scratch she received on her neck.
Once again we will reiterate … Oh the tolerant LEFT!
It would appear that Rep. Paul Ryan (WI-R) has all the right stuff and was a great choice by Mitt Romney o he his VP on the GOP 2012 Presidential ticket. According to CNN and recent polls following the addition of Ryan as the Republican VP candidate, Wisconsin has been moved to a “true” toss up state in the 2012 electoral map. What a difference 4 years makes. In 2008 Obama defeated McCain in Wisconsin 56% to 43%, now it’s a toss up. If a double digit Obama win in 2008 is now a toss up in 2012 … Obama, you have a problem and not just in Wisconsin.
Biden to Obama: This is a big F’n deal, Wisconsin is not a toss up state.
CNN Thursday turned the important battleground state of Wisconsin from “lean Obama” to true “toss up” on its electoral map, in the wake of Mitt Romney’s naming of House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan, a seven term congressman from the Badger state, as his running mate.
With Wisconsin’s move to true “toss up,” the CNN Electoral Map now suggests Obama leading in states with a combined 237 electoral votes, Romney ahead in states with a combined 206 electoral votes, and states with 95 electoral votes up for grabs. 270 electoral votes are needed with win the White House.
While Obama won Wisconsin by double digits, Sen. John Kerry, the 2004 Democratic nominee, narrowly captured the Badger State, over President George W. Bush, and Vice President Al Gore edged out Bush in the state in the 2000 contest. It appears the 2012 contest in Wisconsin will be much closer to those competitive contests than the 2008 election.
Even though the CNN poll has Obama still ahead it is important to point oit that it is with registered voters. When polling “likely” voters, Rasmussen has Romney ahead by 1%. However, CNN did not release the partisan demographic breakdown of those polled so its impossible to see just how weighted this poll was for Democrats. Much more analysis at Hot Air.