ESTABLISHMENT REPUBLICANS IS DISBELIEF AT TRUMPMENTUM …
In the latest PPP poll in New Hampshire, Donald Trump has pulled away from the GOP field leaving them in his dust. The New Hampshire primary is still a long ways away and not until February 9, 2015, but The Donald is doing his best to crush the competition. Much ti the disbelief and puzzlement of the establishment and GOP machine. It is starting to be become very obvious that that Republicans voters are sick and tired of the lying politicians that have stabbed the electorate one too many times. Look at who is either leading in the polls or surging, its Donald Trump, Carly Fiorina and Ben Carson.
PPP’s new New Hampshire poll finds Donald Trump in the strongest position of any poll we’ve done anywhere since he entered the race. Trump laps the Republican field with 35% to 11% for John Kasich, 10% for Carly Fiorina, 7% each for Jeb Bush and Scott Walker, 6% for Ben Carson, 4% each for Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio, and 3% for Rand Paul. Candidates falling outside the top ten in the state are Rick Perry at 2%, Lindsey Graham, George Pataki, and Rick Santorum at 1%, and Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, and Bobby Jindal all at less than 1%. Everyone does have at least one supporter on this poll.
To give an idea of how fundamentally the contest has shifted over the last four months none of Trump, Kasich, and Fiorina weren’t even included in the horse race question when we last polled the state in April. The candidate who’s made the most cataclysmic drop is Walker- he’s gone from leading at 24% all the way down to 7% in this newest poll.
As for the DEMOCRATS/SOCIALIST in polling in New Hampshire, socialist Bernie Sanders leads Hillary. What the hell has the Democrat party become? No wonder Democrat political insiders are begging Joe Biden to get in the race to save the embarrassment of actually nominating a self=professed socialist as their parties standard bearer.
There’s been a big shift on the Democratic side since April as well. Bernie Sanders now leads the field in the state with 42% to 35% for Hillary Clinton, 6% for Jim Webb, 4% for Martin O’Malley, 2% for Lincoln Chafee, and 1% for Lawrence Lessig.
The main story in New Hampshire is how universally popular Sanders has become with the Democratic electorate. 78% see him favorably to only 12% with a negative opinion- that makes him easily the most popular candidate on either side with their party’s voters. Meanwhile Hillary Clinton’s favorability numbers have taken a little bit of a hit- she was at 78/10 with Democratic primary voters in April, but now she’s at a 63/25 spread.
The ideological divide is actually not that stark on the Democratic side. Sanders is ahead with ‘somewhat liberal’ voters (45/32), ‘very liberal’ ones (46/37), and moderates (40/36) alike. And although there is certainly a gender gap Sanders is ahead with both men (44/30) and women (41/38). But the real big divide we see is along generational lines- Clinton is ahead 51/34 with seniors, but Sanders has a 45/29 advantage with everyone under the age of 65.
Franklin Pierce Poll: Socialist Bernie Sanders Surges Ahead of Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire, 44% to 37%
HILLARY CLINTON #FEELS THE BERN …
Just how bad of a presidential candidate is Hillary Clinton for the Democrats? It has finally happened, the most recent Franklin Pierce poll shows that self-proclaimed socialist Bernie Sanders now leads Hillary Clinton by 7 percentage points, 44% to 37%. ARE YOU KIDDING? Hillary Clinton is considered by all as the presumptive Democrat nominee to run for president in 2016, but yet she finds herself behind in a poll to a socialist. Is it Hillary’s lack of trustworthiness not much of an issue? However, since when have Democrats cared about their presidents or candidates telling the truth, aka you can keep your doctors, if you like your doctor promise of Obamacare. Or has this email/private server scandal just pushed people from holding their nose when it comes to Clinton, to abandoning her? What would happen if Hillary Clinton actually had a viable competitor in the primaries, rather than a socialist like Sanders? Then again, no one can tell the difference anymore between the Socialist and Democrat parties these days.
Democratic presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders has rocketed past longtime front-runner Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire, a stunning turn in a race once considered a lock for the former secretary of state, a new Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald poll shows.
Sanders leads Clinton 44-37 percent among likely Democratic primary voters, the first time the heavily favored Clinton has trailed in the 2016 primary campaign, according to the poll of 442 Granite-Staters.
Vice President Joe Biden got 9 percent support in the test primary match-up. The other announced Democrats in the race, former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley, former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee and former Virginia Gov. Jim Webb, barely register at 1 percent or below.
The live interview phone poll was conducted Aug. 7-10 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.7 percentage points.
Clinton is still viewed overwhelmingly by voters as the likely Democratic nominee, but the results suggest she faces an unexpectedly difficult fight to prevent an embarrassing opening loss in the first-in-the-nation primary.
WMUR Poll: Hillalry Clinton Leads By Only 6% Over Socialist Bernie Sanders in New Hampshire … #FeeltheBern (VIDEO)
Are you kidding … self proclaimed socialist Bernie Sanders is within the margin of error in the polls if New Hampshire.
Is Hillary Clinton beginning to #Feelthe Bern? According to the most recent WMUR Granite State Poll taken July 22-30, Clinton leads Sanders by only 6%, basically within the margin of error. How is this possible? The poll shows that as more voters get to know Sanders, the more popular he becomes. Currently, 69% view him favorably and 10 percent unfavorably, while 16 percent do not know enough about him to say. Is the Democrat party that much more socialist where the lines have now been blurred between the Democrat party and socialists, or is Hillary Clinton that bad a choice? There is no way that this should even be a race, and it is.
The WMUR Granite State Poll taken July 22-30 shows frontrunner Clinton with a 6 percentage point lead over the challenger from Vermont. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.9 percent, prompting the pollster to call the race a statistical tie.
The poll shows Clinton leading Sanders 42 percent to 36 percent, with 5 percent supporting Vice President Joe Biden, who has been the subject of speculation in recent days about the possibility of becoming a candidate. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley and former U.S. Sen. Jim Webb of Virginia each receive 1 percent, with 3 percent favoring some other candidate and 12 percent undecided.
Hilllary Clinton buying $2 million in ad time in Iowa, N.H. ahead of GOP super PAC attacks and as polls show her support softening.
Hillary Clinton has been forced to buy ads in Iowa and New Hampshire where she sees her polling numbers fall to nobodies. Could you imagine if there was actually a viable candidate opposing Hillary in the Democrat primaries? For Democrats to look at a socialist like Sanders, it is almost like they would take anyone other than Hillary.
Democratic front-runner Hillary Rodham Clinton will air her first television ads of the 2016 presidential contest this week, her campaign said Sunday, as the candidate seeks to convince voters that she is a tough crusader with a softer side.
The feel-good biographical ads will go on the air Tuesday in the early-voting states of Iowa and New Hampshire. The spots focus on Clinton’s life and family and do not mention Republicans.
A campaign official said the early August ad buy of about $1 million in each state is timed to get ahead of an expected onslaught of negative ads funded by pro-Republican super PACs. The campaign calculates that GOPcandidates and their super PACs have spent or reserved $34 million in airtime in the four early primary states.
But the new 60-second Clinton ads also come at a time when Clinton’s poll numbers have slipped in both states and when more voters say they do not find her trustworthy. Clinton’s weakening poll numbers have caused Democrats to express concerns privately about her effectiveness as a candidate.
Watch Bill O’Reilly Talking Points on Hillary Clinton … More bad new for Hillary
Hillary Clinton Claims She Wants to Listen to the People and is Accessible as She Avoids Them in Keene, NH
ARE HILLARY CLINTON SUPPORTERS REALLY THAT GULLIBLE … DO YOU ACTUALLY THINK SHE WANTS TO CHAMPION THE LITTLE PEOPLE?
Her tour was billed as conversations with every day Granite-stater’s as it turned out to be quite the opposite. As her adoring fans waited in the rain in Keene, NH to hopefully see and maybe even have a chance to say something to the presumptive Democrat presidential nominee for 2016, all they got was a brief glimpse of blond hair. What is most interesting about this was that even her fans were a bit miffed at being blown off my Hillary. Her own fans who waited for Hillary were skeptical of her saying, “I mean, we’re standing out in the rain waiting for her and then all of a sudden, she’s just running from us.” America, namely those that are enamored with Hillary Clinton, she could care less about you, she is about Hillary. All the populist, common folk, champion of the little people is just BS.
Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton, who has vowed to be ?“accessible” to New Hampshire voters, left many of her rain-soaked supporters here high and dry when she sped in and out of a public meeting without so much as a hello.
“It should have been ?advertised that we’re not allowed to see her,” said Keene resident Michelle Isabelle.
“People are the ones that are voting for her, so if she’s running and not meeting people, then what’s the sense of coming here?” Isabelle said. “I really believe in her but I’m … actually perturbed right now.”
Clinton came here for her first stop in the Granite State since announcing her 2016 Oval Office campaign. The former U.S. secretary of state toured Whitney Brothers, a family-owned children’s furniture business, and huddled with employees for a much-publicized roundtable — but never pressed the flesh with several dozen people huddled outside.
Most of the ignored backers were also young — a key demographic for the former first lady.
“If I was running, I would want to meet the people that I’m going to be supporting and serving, get their input on what they would like to see personally. She’s running for president. She should be able to want to meet the people themselves,” said Kammara Gagne, 20, of Keene.
“I mean, we’re standing out in the rain waiting for her and then all of a sudden, she’s just running from us,” Gagne said. “It’s like, why are you running?”
This was not the first time that Hillary Clinton raced past people that were waiting to see her since she declared that she was running for president to champion the little people. As the American Spectator opines, Hillary Clinton is no Bubba … “Say what you will about Bill Clinton. He knew how to work a room & wouldn’t have kept his supporters waiting outside in the rain. He’d have taken the time to say hello and make their wait worth the while.”
Republicans need a net pickup of 6 Senate seats in the 2014 midterm elections in order to wrestle control away from Harry Reid and Democrats.
The GOP need a net pickup of 6 Senate seats in order to gain control of the US Senate. A recent NBC/Marist poll shows that although Democrat incumbent Sen. Mark Udall is still leading in Colorado, Republicans are surging in the key “red” state races in Kentucky and Arkansas. US Rep. Tom Cotton (R-AR) leads incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor by five points among likely voters, 45% to 40%. Although Kentucky is not a pickup for the GOP, some Democrats have thought that it could be a possible loss for the GOP. However, that does not appear to be the case. In reality, the GOP already is at a +3 as Republicans will pick up seats in the open Senate races formerly held by Democrats in Montana, West Virginia and South Dakota.
Other Senate seats currently held by Democrats that are now in play include Alaska, Louisiana, North Carolina, Iowa, New Hampshire and Michigan. My person opinion is that the GOP with have a net pick up of 7, possibly 8 Senate seats. If all things go right, it could be 9, but my gut feeling says this will not be a wave election like in 2010 because too many establishment Republicans are running and the establishment appears to have no clue that their conservative base is what wins elections. Not being Democrat light.
US Rep. Cotton (R-AR) calls Democrat Sen. Pryor a good Obama foot soldier, who was the deciding vote for Obamacare and who has voted with Obama 93% of the time.
Republican Senate candidates have opened up leads in the key states of Arkansas and Kentucky, putting them in a strong position to win back the U.S. Senate, according to new NBC News/Marist polls.
But another NBC/Marist poll shows Democrats holding on in the blue state of Colorado, suggesting a limit to the gains that Republicans could make in November.
In Arkansas, Rep. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., leads incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor by five points among likely voters, 45 percent to 40 percent, with two minor candidates getting a combined 5 percent.
In Kentucky, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., is ahead of Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes by eight points among likely voters, 47 percent to 39 percent, with Libertarian David Patterson getting another 8 percent.
And in Colorado, incumbent Sen. Mark Udall, D-Colo., is up by six points over Rep. Cory Gardner, 48 percent to 42 percent.
Barack Obama’s toxic presidency could cost Democrats control of the US Senate in 2014.
In 2008 many Democrats were swept into office on Barack Obama’s coattails like Mark Begich in Alaska, Kay Hagen in North Carolina, Jeff Merkley in Oregon, Al Franken in Minnesota, Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire, and Democrat victories in Red states like Max Baucus in Montana, Tim Johnson in South Dakota, Mark Pryor in Arkansas and Mary Landrieu in Louisiana. However, that was then, this is now and 2014 presents the Democrat party with a Barack Obama “no-fly” zone to stay away from Senate races. From Obamamessiah to the toxic president in just 6 short years. Other than going to maybe Minnesota or Oregon, Obama will be a no show in the rest of the states. However, voters do not let that fool you … all of the Democrats above are fully behind Barack Obama’s agenda and have voted for Obamacare and illegal’s getting amnesty. Once the election is over, all of the above Democrat Senators will go right back to doing Obama’s bidding.
In an election that Republicans want to make all about President Barack Obama, the White House is determined to make him all but disappear in the battleground states that matter.
The White House is putting the finishing touches on a post-Labor Day schedule that will send the president to states where he’s still popular, such as: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Illinois and California, Obama officials and Democratic operatives said this week.
But in the red states that will determine control of the Senate, Obama will remain scarce. That means no personal campaign visits to states like Arkansas, Alaska, Louisiana and North Carolina. He may do some targeted outreach through robocalls, digital ads and conference calls, but the campaign plan is clear: Stay away from candidates he’s already hurting.
Obama’s no-fly zone for certain Senate campaigns reflects the deep concern among Democrats about his drag on the national ticket. Obama can’t seem to get his poll numbers out of the low 40s, he’s struggled through an endless stream of foreign policy crises, and he’s the last person that many candidates want to be forced to defend on the campaign trail.
There are 36 U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2014. Of those seats, 15 are currently held by Republicans and 21 are held by Democrats. The GOP need a net pick up of 6 seats to retain control of the Senate. The control of the Senate will be determined by the below 13 states: 1 incumbent Republican, 1 open Republican, 6 Incumbent Democrat and 5 open Democrat.
- AK: Begich (D)
- AR: Pryor (D)
- CO: Udall (D)
- GA: Open (R)
- IA: Open (D)
- KY: McConnell (R)
- LA: Landrieu (D)
- MI: Open (D)
- NC: Hagan (D)
- NH: Shaheen (D)
- MT: Open (D)
- SD: Open (D)
- WV: Open (D)
- A group of key New Hampshire GOP activists are ready to listen to his ideas
Daily Commentary – Monday, April 28, 2014 Download
Do You Live in One of the 10 Freest States in the United States or One of the Least … North Dakota Named the Most Free
“Where Liberty Dwells, there is My Country” – Benjamin Franklin
The Blaze announces the 10 freest states and the 10 least … which one doe you live in? In order to calculate these scores, they weight public policies according to the estimated costs that government restrictions on freedom impose on their victims. The fill report can be read here, at “Freedom in the 50 States”. Many of the most free states are so because of low taxation and fiscal policy. North Dakota was named the most free, New York state comes in dead last.
- North Dakota: VIDEO
- South Dakota – VIDEO
- Tennessee – VIDEO
- New Hampshire – VIDEO
North Dakota is the freest state in the U.S., followed closely by South Dakota, Tennessee, New Hampshire, and Oklahoma, according to the Mercatus Center at George Mason University’s third annual “Freedom in the 50 States.”
The 223-page report “scores all 50 states on their overall respect for individual freedom, and also on their respect for three dimensions of freedom considered separately: fiscal policy, regulatory policy, and personal freedom,” the study explains. Surprisingly, Texas did not make the top 10 and was ranked the 14th most free state.
The bottom 10 are 41. Mississippi, 42. West Virginia, 43. Vermont, 44. Maryland, 45. Illinois, 46. Rhode Island, 47. Hawaii, 48. New Jersey, 49. California and 50. New York.
George Will Predicts Romney Landslide 321-217 on ABC’s ‘This Week” … Similar to Barone’s Landslide Prediction
Most pundits are calling the 2012 Presidential race too close to call as the RCP averages of polls have it a dead tie.
However, that did not stop conservative columnist on ABC’s “This Week’ to predict a Mitt Romney electoral landslide. Will predicted a 321-217 electoral victory for Romney. What I do find interesting is that a couple of people have gone out on a limb and said that Romney will get over 300 electoral votes; however, no one is really saying that Obama will do such. What we are seeing from Will and Barone is that if the undecided’s break for the challenger Mitt Romney, battleground states could fall like dominoes for Romney.
On this weekend’s broadcast of “This Week with George Stephanopoulos” on ABC, Will revealed his prediction and added a bonus surprise by saying traditional Democratic state Minnesota would go for Romney as well.
“I’m projecting Minnesota to go for Romney,” Will said. “It’s the only state that’s voted democratic in nine consecutive elections, but this year, there’s marriage amendment on the ballot that will bring out the evangelicals and I think could make the difference.”
Add Will’s landslide prediction to that of numbers cruncher extraordinaire Michael Barone. His prediction of a landslide is based
on fundamentals, a majority of Americans are against Obama’s policies. and a sluggish economy where job growth and recovery has been far too slow. Barone is predicting a Romney 315, Obama 223 landslide. Barone stated that it sounds high for Romney, but he could lose Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election.
Which candidate will get the electoral votes of the target states? I’ll go out on a limb and predict them, in ascending order of 2008 Obama percentages — fully aware that I’m likely to get some wrong.
Indiana (11 ). Uncontested. Romney.
North Carolina (15). Obama has abandoned this target. Romney.
Florida (29). The biggest target state has trended Romney since the Denver debate. I don’t see any segment of the electorate favoring Obama more than in 2008, and I see some (South Florida Jews) favoring him less. Romney.
Ohio (18). The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue-collar voters for him to lead most polls. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than in 2008. Early voting tells another story, and so does the registration decline in Cleveland’s Cuyahoga County. In 2004, intensity among rural, small -town and evangelical voters, undetected by political reporters who don’t mix in such circles, produced a narrow Bush victory. I see that happening again. Romney.
Obamanomics & Job Recovery … Unemployment rates rose in 44 U.S. states in July Including 9 Battleground States
Just more evidence that the Obama jobs recovery and Obamanomics has been an epic failure.
Not only did the national US unemployment rise from 8.2% to 8.3% in July, but also the unemployment rates rose in 44 US states. That includes the increase in the unemployment rates in 9 battleground states like Nevada, that saw the rate rise to 12% in July from 11.6% and in Michigan, where the rate increased to 9% from 8.5%. Other battleground states that saw increases in the unemployment rates were Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Wisconsin and New Hampshire.
Unemployment rates rose in 44 U.S. states in July, the most states to show a monthly increase in more than three years and a reflection of weak hiring nationwide.
The Labor Department said Friday that unemployment rates fell in only two states and were unchanged in four.
Unemployment rates rose in nine states that are considered battlegrounds in the presidential election. That trend, if it continued, could pose a threat to President Barack Obama’s re-election bid in less than three months.
Nationwide, hiring improved in July after three months of tepid job gains. But the national unemployment rate ticked up to 8.3 percent from 8.2 percent. Monthly job gains have averaged 150,000 this year. That’s barely enough to accommodate population growth. As a result, the unemployment rate is the same as when the year began.
What is Obama’s answer, more stimulus money for infrastructure projects. Obama code for giving jobs to union workers. Even though Obama said in the past when his previous stimulus plan was a failure, there were no shovel ready jobs then or now. At best these are temporary jobs, not permanent.
More bad news for Obama and Democrats, Americans prefer the GOP to Democrats in trusting them to fix the economy.
Brian in a Blue State