Republicans need a net pickup of 6 Senate seats in the 2014 midterm elections in order to wrestle control away from Harry Reid and Democrats.
The GOP need a net pickup of 6 Senate seats in order to gain control of the US Senate. A recent NBC/Marist poll shows that although Democrat incumbent Sen. Mark Udall is still leading in Colorado, Republicans are surging in the key “red” state races in Kentucky and Arkansas. US Rep. Tom Cotton (R-AR) leads incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor by five points among likely voters, 45% to 40%. Although Kentucky is not a pickup for the GOP, some Democrats have thought that it could be a possible loss for the GOP. However, that does not appear to be the case. In reality, the GOP already is at a +3 as Republicans will pick up seats in the open Senate races formerly held by Democrats in Montana, West Virginia and South Dakota.
Other Senate seats currently held by Democrats that are now in play include Alaska, Louisiana, North Carolina, Iowa, New Hampshire and Michigan. My person opinion is that the GOP with have a net pick up of 7, possibly 8 Senate seats. If all things go right, it could be 9, but my gut feeling says this will not be a wave election like in 2010 because too many establishment Republicans are running and the establishment appears to have no clue that their conservative base is what wins elections. Not being Democrat light.
US Rep. Cotton (R-AR) calls Democrat Sen. Pryor a good Obama foot soldier, who was the deciding vote for Obamacare and who has voted with Obama 93% of the time.
Republican Senate candidates have opened up leads in the key states of Arkansas and Kentucky, putting them in a strong position to win back the U.S. Senate, according to new NBC News/Marist polls.
But another NBC/Marist poll shows Democrats holding on in the blue state of Colorado, suggesting a limit to the gains that Republicans could make in November.
In Arkansas, Rep. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., leads incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor by five points among likely voters, 45 percent to 40 percent, with two minor candidates getting a combined 5 percent.
In Kentucky, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., is ahead of Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes by eight points among likely voters, 47 percent to 39 percent, with Libertarian David Patterson getting another 8 percent.
And in Colorado, incumbent Sen. Mark Udall, D-Colo., is up by six points over Rep. Cory Gardner, 48 percent to 42 percent.
Barack Obama’s toxic presidency could cost Democrats control of the US Senate in 2014.
In 2008 many Democrats were swept into office on Barack Obama’s coattails like Mark Begich in Alaska, Kay Hagen in North Carolina, Jeff Merkley in Oregon, Al Franken in Minnesota, Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire, and Democrat victories in Red states like Max Baucus in Montana, Tim Johnson in South Dakota, Mark Pryor in Arkansas and Mary Landrieu in Louisiana. However, that was then, this is now and 2014 presents the Democrat party with a Barack Obama “no-fly” zone to stay away from Senate races. From Obamamessiah to the toxic president in just 6 short years. Other than going to maybe Minnesota or Oregon, Obama will be a no show in the rest of the states. However, voters do not let that fool you … all of the Democrats above are fully behind Barack Obama’s agenda and have voted for Obamacare and illegal’s getting amnesty. Once the election is over, all of the above Democrat Senators will go right back to doing Obama’s bidding.
In an election that Republicans want to make all about President Barack Obama, the White House is determined to make him all but disappear in the battleground states that matter.
The White House is putting the finishing touches on a post-Labor Day schedule that will send the president to states where he’s still popular, such as: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Illinois and California, Obama officials and Democratic operatives said this week.
But in the red states that will determine control of the Senate, Obama will remain scarce. That means no personal campaign visits to states like Arkansas, Alaska, Louisiana and North Carolina. He may do some targeted outreach through robocalls, digital ads and conference calls, but the campaign plan is clear: Stay away from candidates he’s already hurting.
Obama’s no-fly zone for certain Senate campaigns reflects the deep concern among Democrats about his drag on the national ticket. Obama can’t seem to get his poll numbers out of the low 40s, he’s struggled through an endless stream of foreign policy crises, and he’s the last person that many candidates want to be forced to defend on the campaign trail.
There are 36 U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2014. Of those seats, 15 are currently held by Republicans and 21 are held by Democrats. The GOP need a net pick up of 6 seats to retain control of the Senate. The control of the Senate will be determined by the below 13 states: 1 incumbent Republican, 1 open Republican, 6 Incumbent Democrat and 5 open Democrat.
- AK: Begich (D)
- AR: Pryor (D)
- CO: Udall (D)
- GA: Open (R)
- IA: Open (D)
- KY: McConnell (R)
- LA: Landrieu (D)
- MI: Open (D)
- NC: Hagan (D)
- NH: Shaheen (D)
- MT: Open (D)
- SD: Open (D)
- WV: Open (D)
- A group of key New Hampshire GOP activists are ready to listen to his ideas
Daily Commentary – Monday, April 28, 2014 Download
Do You Live in One of the 10 Freest States in the United States or One of the Least … North Dakota Named the Most Free
“Where Liberty Dwells, there is My Country” – Benjamin Franklin
The Blaze announces the 10 freest states and the 10 least … which one doe you live in? In order to calculate these scores, they weight public policies according to the estimated costs that government restrictions on freedom impose on their victims. The fill report can be read here, at “Freedom in the 50 States”. Many of the most free states are so because of low taxation and fiscal policy. North Dakota was named the most free, New York state comes in dead last.
- North Dakota: VIDEO
- South Dakota – VIDEO
- Tennessee – VIDEO
- New Hampshire – VIDEO
North Dakota is the freest state in the U.S., followed closely by South Dakota, Tennessee, New Hampshire, and Oklahoma, according to the Mercatus Center at George Mason University’s third annual “Freedom in the 50 States.”
The 223-page report “scores all 50 states on their overall respect for individual freedom, and also on their respect for three dimensions of freedom considered separately: fiscal policy, regulatory policy, and personal freedom,” the study explains. Surprisingly, Texas did not make the top 10 and was ranked the 14th most free state.
The bottom 10 are 41. Mississippi, 42. West Virginia, 43. Vermont, 44. Maryland, 45. Illinois, 46. Rhode Island, 47. Hawaii, 48. New Jersey, 49. California and 50. New York.
George Will Predicts Romney Landslide 321-217 on ABC’s ‘This Week” … Similar to Barone’s Landslide Prediction
Most pundits are calling the 2012 Presidential race too close to call as the RCP averages of polls have it a dead tie.
However, that did not stop conservative columnist on ABC’s “This Week’ to predict a Mitt Romney electoral landslide. Will predicted a 321-217 electoral victory for Romney. What I do find interesting is that a couple of people have gone out on a limb and said that Romney will get over 300 electoral votes; however, no one is really saying that Obama will do such. What we are seeing from Will and Barone is that if the undecided’s break for the challenger Mitt Romney, battleground states could fall like dominoes for Romney.
On this weekend’s broadcast of “This Week with George Stephanopoulos” on ABC, Will revealed his prediction and added a bonus surprise by saying traditional Democratic state Minnesota would go for Romney as well.
“I’m projecting Minnesota to go for Romney,” Will said. “It’s the only state that’s voted democratic in nine consecutive elections, but this year, there’s marriage amendment on the ballot that will bring out the evangelicals and I think could make the difference.”
Add Will’s landslide prediction to that of numbers cruncher extraordinaire Michael Barone. His prediction of a landslide is based
on fundamentals, a majority of Americans are against Obama’s policies. and a sluggish economy where job growth and recovery has been far too slow. Barone is predicting a Romney 315, Obama 223 landslide. Barone stated that it sounds high for Romney, but he could lose Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election.
Which candidate will get the electoral votes of the target states? I’ll go out on a limb and predict them, in ascending order of 2008 Obama percentages — fully aware that I’m likely to get some wrong.
Indiana (11 ). Uncontested. Romney.
North Carolina (15). Obama has abandoned this target. Romney.
Florida (29). The biggest target state has trended Romney since the Denver debate. I don’t see any segment of the electorate favoring Obama more than in 2008, and I see some (South Florida Jews) favoring him less. Romney.
Ohio (18). The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue-collar voters for him to lead most polls. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than in 2008. Early voting tells another story, and so does the registration decline in Cleveland’s Cuyahoga County. In 2004, intensity among rural, small -town and evangelical voters, undetected by political reporters who don’t mix in such circles, produced a narrow Bush victory. I see that happening again. Romney.
Obamanomics & Job Recovery … Unemployment rates rose in 44 U.S. states in July Including 9 Battleground States
Just more evidence that the Obama jobs recovery and Obamanomics has been an epic failure.
Not only did the national US unemployment rise from 8.2% to 8.3% in July, but also the unemployment rates rose in 44 US states. That includes the increase in the unemployment rates in 9 battleground states like Nevada, that saw the rate rise to 12% in July from 11.6% and in Michigan, where the rate increased to 9% from 8.5%. Other battleground states that saw increases in the unemployment rates were Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Wisconsin and New Hampshire.
Unemployment rates rose in 44 U.S. states in July, the most states to show a monthly increase in more than three years and a reflection of weak hiring nationwide.
The Labor Department said Friday that unemployment rates fell in only two states and were unchanged in four.
Unemployment rates rose in nine states that are considered battlegrounds in the presidential election. That trend, if it continued, could pose a threat to President Barack Obama’s re-election bid in less than three months.
Nationwide, hiring improved in July after three months of tepid job gains. But the national unemployment rate ticked up to 8.3 percent from 8.2 percent. Monthly job gains have averaged 150,000 this year. That’s barely enough to accommodate population growth. As a result, the unemployment rate is the same as when the year began.
What is Obama’s answer, more stimulus money for infrastructure projects. Obama code for giving jobs to union workers. Even though Obama said in the past when his previous stimulus plan was a failure, there were no shovel ready jobs then or now. At best these are temporary jobs, not permanent.
More bad news for Obama and Democrats, Americans prefer the GOP to Democrats in trusting them to fix the economy.
Brian in a Blue State
When all is said and done, unemployment will eventually sink Obama’s reelection in 2012 …
As much as President Barack Obama wants to avoid the primary issue of the 2012 elections, there is no way he can hide the fact that the economy has stalled and going backwards. The Obama job recovery has been a failure and has hit the skids at the worst possible time for Obama’s reelection bid. In June 27 states saw their unemployment rate rise. Worse yet for Obama, unemployment rates rose in six of ten battleground states. According to the Department of Labor, the jobless rate climbed a 10th of a percentage point last month in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire and Virginia.
Unemployment rates rose in 27 states last month, the most in almost a year.
The Labor Department said Friday that unemployment rates fell in 11 states and Washington, D.C. — the fewest declines since August. Rates were unchanged in 12 states.
Nationwide, employers added only 80,000 jobs last month, third straight month of weak job growth. The national unemployment rate stayed at 8.2%.
Some of the states that saw a decline:
- Nevada recorded the highest unemployment rate, at 11.6%, same as the previous month.
- It was followed by Rhode Island at 10.9% and California at 10.7%
- North Dakota had the lowest unemployment rate at 2.9%, followed by Nebraska at 3.8%
- Several states reported big increases in unemployment. Rates rose 0.4 percentage points in Alabama and New Jersey, to 7.8% and 9.6%, respectively.
- Still others lost jobs. Wisconsin shed 13,200, the most of any state. It was followed by Tennessee, where employers cut 12,100 jobs.
What else could one expect but poor economic jobs numbers when you have a President who failed to meet with his much touted Jobs Council in the last six months, yet has time for fundraiser and golf? Retail sales fell in June for the third straight month as well.
The town of Durham, NH is asking the Obama campaign to pony up between $20,000 – $30,000 to pay for the extra security required for the Presidents upcoming visit to the Granite state. President Obama will be visiting the University of New Hampshire this coming Monday. Local officials do not believe that Obama’s campaign visit should be paid by the tax payers. An officials Presidential visit is one thing, but shilling for votes is another. Maybe the voters of NH will remember this at the ballot box in 2012.
New Hampshire town is asking the Obama campaign to foot the up to $30,000 bill for the president’s upcoming campaign stop in their city.
MyFoxBoston reports the town of Durham is asking Obama’s campaign to reimburse the estimated $20,000 to $30,000 needed to fund additional police and fire safety services during his Monday visit to the University of New Hampshire.
“Community leaders do not believe that costs associated with the campaign should be borne by local taxpayers,” the release says according to MyFoxBoston.
City officials say they usually would foot the bill for a presidential visit, but since this is a campaign stop they believe the Obama campaign should have to pay for the extra security.
One would think that maybe some of the bridal, birthday and anniversary gifts that Obama gets will help pay for the extra Obama security. Since we are dealing with New England, maybe Obama can add ‘Patriot Day’ gifts to his registry money grab?