PROBABLY NOT A GOOD THING BEING A FRONT-RUNNER, ALL WILL BE OUT TO BRING HER DOWN …
Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) is one of the front-runners of the 2020 Democrat presidential candidates that appears will be in the high teens in number when all is said and done. The 54 year old California Senator launched her campaign this weekend; however, has consistently lagged in national surveys behind former Vice President Joe Biden and independent Socialist Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, both of whom are weighing their own White House bids. One has to wonder how a Democrat party that has lurched so far to the left, has embraced identity politics and is so anti-old, white men could nominate a Biden, Sanders or any other man.
However, being a front-runner at the outset cannot be a good thing when there will be so many candidates in the race.
Even before Kamala Harris’ campaign launch in Oakland on Sunday, her nascent 2020 bid had already hit full gallop — a star turn on “Good Morning America,” a self-reported seven-figure fundraising milestone, a friendly reception in a key primary state.
With that fast start, Harris has stoked a perception that she is not just an elite candidate, but among the Democratic front-runners — a designation that is loaded with both upside and danger in this very early stage of presidential jockeying.
The California senator and her campaign strategists aren’t yet declaring her the favorite. But her days-long debut, crafted for maximum impact, showed a desire to make a big and early splash.
“This is what you do,” said Mike Murphy, a Republican strategist with extensive experience in candidate rollouts. “You announce, and then you try to create measures of success, and then you get the press to write you’re the front-runner, and then you use the clips to raise more money.”
COULD IT REALLY BE POSSIBLE, IS HILLARY CLINTON GOING TO RUN YET AGAIN?
In an OPED by Michael Goodwin of the New York Post, he speculates that Hillary Clinton, could yet be running again one more time in 2020. Personally, I doubt it but I would certainly be in favor of it. The more the merrier in the Democrat Presidential primary food fight. There really is no leader of the Democrat party, the so-called front runners Jone Biden and Bernie Sanders are dinosaurs. Who are Hillary’s competition, Sen. Kamala Harris in California, Sen. Cory Booker in New Jersey and Gov. Andrew Cuomo in New York? Really? It is yet another disastrous situation left from the Obama years, the Democrats have no bench.
Hillary Clinton lost the race in 2016 no one thought she could ever lose. She has all but never accepted her loss to Trump and has blamed everyone but herself. Could she be that delusional to run one more time. Oprah appears to be out. Is it really possible that Democrats have no one else but Hillary Clinton to run again?
The messages convey a sense of urgency, and are coming with increasing frequency. They are short, focused reactions to the latest “outrage” committed by President Trump.
Some end by asking for money, some urge participation in protests. All read as if they are sent from the official headquarters of the resistance.
Hillary Clinton is up to something.
Five times in the last month alone, she sent emails touting her super PAC’s role in combating President Trump. Most seized on headline events, such as the family separation issue at the southern border.
Under the message line, “horrific,” she wrote June 18: “This is a moral and humanitarian crisis. Everyone of us who has ever held a child in their arms, and every human being with a sense of compassion and decency should be outraged.” She said she warned about Trump’s immigration policies during the 2016 campaign.
Three days later, she was back again, saying that her group, Onward Together, raised $1 million and would split it among organizations working to change border policy, including the American Civil Liberties Union and a gaggle of immigrant, refugee, Latino and women’s groups.
Here’s how I believe she sees the playing field, and why she can’t be ignored.
First, because there’s no clear front-runner for the nomination 18 months into Trump’s presidency, Clinton remains the closest thing to an incumbent. She’s also got numerous advantages, from name recognition to campaign experience to an off-the-shelf cabinet, that could give her a head start.
Second, a crowded, diverse field diminishes the chances of anyone knocking her off. Recall how Trump outlasted 16 GOP rivals by having a committed core of supporters that grew as the field shrank. Clinton could be in a similar position — unpopular among many, but also unbeatable by a single opponent.
Third, looking ahead to the 2020 primaries, she sees no reason to fear the favorite daughters and sons in key blue states. She would almost certainly beat Sen. Kamala Harris in California, Sen. Cory Booker in New Jersey and Gov. Andrew Cuomo in New York.
And please — forget Sanders and Joe Biden. Sanders is already 76 and Biden, at 75, has never been a viable candidate for president and still isn’t.
Fourth, money is not an issue. Some donors will resist Clinton at first, but any Dem nominee can count on all the money in the world to run against Trump.
YAWN … Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton & Bernie Sanders Top 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates in New Poll
POLL SHOWS THAT 3 DINOSAURS LEAD FOR DEMOCRAT PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES FOR 2020 …
According to a recent Harvard CAPS/Harris poll, with more than two years to go before the 2020 presidential election, former Vice President Joe Biden is the early favorite to represent the Democrats, Hilary Clinton is second and Bernie Sanders third. That is correct, the same old tired usual suspects are the leading candidates to take on President Trump in 2020. So the Democrats have the following as their best presidential candidates. Crazy Uncle Joe Biden, did we forget to mention CREEPY was first with 32%, Hillary Clinton, two time presidential candidate loser and the women who lost lost in the greatest political upset in history was second with 18%. And socialist Bernie Sanders was third with 16%. Doesn’t that just make you want to run out and vote? Did we mentions that for the 2020 elections, Biden will be 77, Hillary Clinton 72 and Sanders 78. What is this Jurassic Park 10? Honestly, I just can’t see Hillary running again after her 2016 debacle and her never getting over her loss. Sorry, but Biden and Sanders are too old. However, something tells me that Sanders will run and take the Democrat party of the liberal socialists cliff.
Others making the poll and showing the further lack of a Democrat bench were Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) was fourth with 10%, who will be 71. She was followed by Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) 6%, former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg 3%, Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) 2%, and Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) and New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo each with 1%. Wow, that’s it? Others who have been rumored to be running are Former Virginia governor Terry McAuliffe, Former U.S. attorney general Eric Holder, Former Massachusetts governor Deval Patrick.
With more than two years to go before the next presidential election, former Vice President Joe Biden is the early favorite to represent the Democrats and try to unseat President Donald Trump in the 2020 election, according to a new poll.
Biden was the choice of 32 percent of Democrats in a Harvard CAPS/Harris June poll that was obtained by The Hill. The party’s 2016 standard bearer, Hillary Clinton, came in second with 18 percent and Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., was third with 16 percent.
Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., was fourth with 10 percent of the vote.
Biden, who would be 77 on Election Day in 2020, has been one of Trump’s most vocal critics since the 2016 campaign. On at least two occasions, the former vice president has indicated that he wishes he was back in high school so that he could physically confront the president over his comments about women. (Trump responded in a tweet that Biden would “go down fast and hard, crying all the way” if they fought.)
Although Clinton has given no indication she intends to run again, both Biden and Sanders have not ruled out a run in 2020.
Among other Democrats included in the poll, The Hill reported that Sen. Cory Booker, D-N.J., got 6 percent, former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg got 3 percent, Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., got 2 percent, while Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y., and New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo each got 1 percent.
WOW, WOULDN’T THIS BE SOMETHING …
According to the LA Times, a controversial plan to split the Golden State into three new jurisdictions qualified Tuesday for the Nov. 6 ballot. The proposal aims to invoke Article IV, Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution. This is a radical suggestion, but not unprecedented. It would be the first division of an existing U.S. state since the creation of West Virginia in 1863.
California’s 168-year run as a single entity, hugging the continent’s edge for hundreds of miles and sprawling east across mountains and desert, could come to an end next year — as a controversial plan to split the Golden State into three new jurisdictions qualified Tuesday for the Nov. 6 ballot.
If a majority of voters who cast ballots agree, a long and contentious process would begin for three separate states to take the place of California, with one primarily centered around Los Angeles and the other two divvying up the counties to the north and south. Completion of the radical plan — far from certain, given its many hurdles at judicial, state and federal levels — would make history.
It would be the first division of an existing U.S. state since the creation of West Virginia in 1863.
“Three states will get us better infrastructure, better education and lower taxes,” Tim Draper, the Silicon Valley venture capitalist who sponsored the ballot measure, said in an email to The Times last summer when he formally submitted the proposal. “States will be more accountable to us and can cooperate and compete for citizens.”
In the initiative’s introductory passage, Draper argues that “vast parts of California are poorly served by a representative government dominated by a large number of elected representatives from a small part of our state, both geographically and economically.”
The proposal aims to invoke Article IV, Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution, the provision guiding how an existing state can be divided into new states. Draper’s plan calls for three new entities — Northern California, California and Southern California — which would roughly divide the population of the existing state into thirds.
In the 2016 Presidential elections Hillary Clinton won the 55 electoral votes in California with a 61.8% to 32.8% victory. However, look at the blue/red voting by counties and compare to the proposed 3 state map above. The representation voting and electoral college count would be quite different.
As the Voters Go to the Polls in Alabama for Special GOP Primary Election … Roy Moore Ahead in Trafalgar Group Survey
WE SHALL SEE IF THE POLLS ARE CORRECT THIS TIME … ELECT ROY MOORE!!!
As Alabama goes to vote today in the 2017 special U.S. Senate Republican Primary runoff, a new TFG survey shows that Roy Moore is comfortably ahead of incumbent Luther Strange, 56.74% to 40.69%. Although President Donald Trump is widely popular in Alabama, the folks there just think he’s wrong on this as they see Moore as their guy. Trump and Pence have both campaigned for Luther Strange. But in the end, the election is the only poll that matters as we learned in the 2016 Presidential election.
Check back later today for the results.
Moore – Strange
A new Alabama survey of likely 2017 primary voters for the U.S. Senate Republican Primary Runoff was released today. The Trafalgar Group (TFG), recognized for having the most accurate polling in the 2016 battleground states and Electoral College projection, conducted the poll from September 23rd through September 24th.
TFG conducted this survey of 1073 respondents from a random stratified selection of likely 2017 primary voters. The margin of error is +/- 2.98.
56.74% Roy Moore
40.69% Luther Strange
Robert Cahaly, Senior Strategist and Chief Pollster at Trafalgar Group said, “Our attempt here was to measure the closing weekend impact of the Trump visit on the race as well as the effect on Trump’s approval. Though the president’s visit doesn’t seem to have swayed the race in favor of Strange, it does appear to have reinforced his personal support among Alabama Republicans which now stands at almost 80% favorability.