ITS STILL A LONG SHOT, BUT THERE IS MUCH MORE OF A SHOT TODAY THAN THERE WAS 2 WEEKS AGO …
CNN is reporting that there are several ways that Donald Trump could reach the magical number of 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. Two weeks ago there was seemingly no chance that Trump could win. Then came the reports of the insane Obamacare premium increases and then came the news that the FBI was reopening the Hillary Clinton private server/email investigation as emails pertaining to the case were found on the laptop belonging to Anthony Weiner, under investigation for sexting with a minor. Then the added investigation of the Clinton Foundation. The polls are trending toward Donald Trump, however, is it too little, too late? We shall see this Tuesday.
Donald Trump’s path to 270 electoral votes remains precarious — but with some breaks, he can get there.
Trump’s campaign has made clear exactly what its targets are. It is spending $25 million on TV ads in the final week of the campaign in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Virginia, Nevada and New Hampshire.
Those ad buys are based on the assumption that Trump doesn’t need extra help to keep Arizona, Georgia, Utah, Texas or any other traditionally red state in the Republican column Trump starts with four must-wins: Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Iowa.
Those — plus making sure he doesn’t surrender other typically Republican states, and winning the one electoral vote that can come from Maine’s Second Congressional District — get Trump to 260 electoral votes. (read more)
According to a recent Monmouth University poll, the presidential race in Pennsylvania appears to be getting closer and closer. Among Keystone State voters likely to cast ballots in November’s presidential election, 48% currently support Clinton and 44% back Trump. Another 3% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 1% back Jill Stein of the Green Party. Her lead was 10 just a month ago, but as the scandals mount, Hillary’s lead is shrinking. The RCP average of polling shows Hillary up by 3.4 and this state will be a tough one to win for Trump; however, all the polls are trending in his direction. The Keystone state will be a major indicator on election night as to how Trump is doing nationally. The question is, will Hillary pick up the necessary votes in Philly and Pittsburgh to win the state?
Hillary Clinton maintains the lead in Pennsylvania, although by a smaller margin than one month ago. The Monmouth University Poll finds she currently has a 4 point edge over Donald Trump, which is down from a 10 point lead in October and an 8 point lead in August. In the race for U.S. Senate, Democratic challenger Katie McGinty has pulled ahead of GOP incumbent Pat Toomey by 3 points. The race was tied last month, while McGinty had a 4 point lead in the summer.
Among Keystone State voters likely to cast ballots in November’s presidential election, 48% currently support Clinton and 44% back Trump. Another 3% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 1% back Jill Stein of the Green Party. This marks a narrowing of Clinton’s 50% to 40% lead from one month ago and her late August advantage of 48% to 40% over Trump.
“Clinton is still in the lead, but the race has tightened in the past four weeks. It looks like this shift was in the works even before Friday’s FBI bombshell, which has made only a small contribution to this overall narrowing,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.
The poll was conducted after news broke about the FBI investigation of new emails during Clinton’s tenure as Secretary of State. Only 4% of Pennsylvania voters say this news caused them to change their minds about which candidate they would support. The vast majority (89%) say these latest developments have had no impact on their vote and 6% are unaware of the news. Among those who changed their vote, Trump has less than a 2:1 advantage, meaning the overall presidential vote margin shifted by no more than one percentage point specifically due to this breaking news.
Breitbart/Gravis State Polls of Likely Voters Have Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina All Tied Up
COULD MINNESOTA REALLY BE A PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION BATTLEGROUND STATE IN 2016?
According to the most recent Breitbart/Gravis state polls, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and North Carolina are virtual ties and within the margin of error. Could it really be possible that Minnesota, a state that Obama won handily in 2008 and 2012, could be up for grabs in 2016? The same could be said for Pennsylvania. However, if true that a dark blue state like Minnesota is in play, it is no wonder why Team Hillary is sweating this out.
In Minnesota, Clinton and Trump are tied with each having 43 percent of the vote, said Doug Kaplan, the managing director of Gravis Marketing, the Florida-based polling firm that executed the poll.
In Pennsylvania, Clinton leads Trump with 46 percent to his 43 percent, and in North Carolina the former first lady leads Trump 44 percent to the New York City developer’s 43 percent, he said.
Before unlikely voters were filtered out of the sample population, the results were similar with candidates tied in Minnesota and Clinton up one point in North Carolina and up two points in Pennsylvania.
Democratic pollster Patrick Caddell told Breitbart News: “Trump is closing everywhere and states that have not been in play are coming into play, like Minnesota.”
Caddell said those states that had been considered battleground states are not moving as fast, but all are inside the margin of error.
5 Year Old Jayliel Vega Batista Missing Since 12/31/15 (Wandered Away from New Year’s Eve Party) in Allentown, PA
5 year old Jayliel Vega Batista has been missing since December 31, 21015, when he wandered away from a New Year’s Eve party in Allentown, Pennsylvania. The search continues for the missing boy who has autism that is reported to have left his home without shoes or a coat at approximately 10:30 p.m. Thursday.
Police on Saturday recanvassed an eastern Pennsylvania neighborhood where a 5-year-old boy with autism wandered away from a New Year’s Eve party without shoes or a coat.
Allentown police Capt. Glen Dorney said 20 search-and-rescue dog teams were looking for Jayliel Vega Batista.
The boy was downstairs playing with a toy with some other children when he left the home at about 10:30 p.m. Thursday, said his 16-year-old sister, Tayritza Molina. The boy was visiting his great-aunt’s home for the holiday, and left barefoot and without any kind of outerwear, police said.
Police were going door to door in the boy’s neighborhood again on Saturday because efforts to track him into some nearby woods were unsuccessful. But they said a glut of volunteer searchers was complicating efforts to find the boy.
“We’re proud of them for stepping up in the force that they’ve done,” Dorney said, but there were so many volunteers in the woods and elsewhere, it was compromising the ability of the dogs and others to locate the boy.
Instead, police asked people who live in the area to thoroughly search their own property and parked cars periodically, in case the boy comes wandering in search of shelter. Police checked out a home at about 2:30 a.m. Saturday after someone thought they saw the boy’s face in an upstairs window but said the boy wasn’t there.
A bloodhound that Allentown police were using to find Jayliel Vega Batista tracked a scent Friday from the Keck Park neighborhood, across the Hamilton Street Bridge to Front and Chew streets, police Chief Keith Morris said.
Police couldn’t say for sure if the scent was that of Jayliel, who was last seen running on the 200 block of East Union Street about 11 p.m. Thursday. Several bloodhounds were pulled into the search Friday afternoon, Morris said.
A Philadelphia Police Department helicopter hovered over the East Side as darkness fell Friday and worry turned to fear.
The Lehigh County coroner has arrived at Canal Park in east Allentown, where an electronic tablet that 5-year-old Jayliel Vega Batista was carrying when he went missing Thursday night may have been found, according to eyewitnesses at the scene.
A red and white tablet was fished from the water at Canal Park shortly before 1 p.m. by Thurman Clark, 25, of Northampton.
Clark, who just joined the search, said he spotted something red or orange in the water and waded in to check it out.
“I really hope it’s not his, ” he said.
Police have not confirmed the finding or commented on it. But they did send divers to the canal after the tablet was found.
12 year old Aracely Acevedo has been missing since Wednesday, December 23, 2015 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Aracely Acevedo was last seen getting onto the Northbound 56 bus on the 2000 block of Wakeling Street. According to the authorities she suffers from Attention Deficit Disorder and Hyperactivity.
She was last seen getting onto the Northbound 56 bus on the 2000 block of Wakeling Street.
Police say she suffers from Attention Deficit Disorder and Hyperactivity.
Aracely is 5’2?, 115 lbs with brown eyes and brown hair.
She was last seen wearing a red shirt and black school pants.
If anyone has any information on the whereabouts of Aracely Acevedo, please contact Northeast Detective Division at 215-686-3153, or call 911.