Six Months Out to the 2018 Midterm Elections … The 10 Most Vulnerable Senators … 9 Out of 10 are Democrats
TOP 10 SENATOR MOST VULNERABLE IN THE 2018 ELECTIONS … BLUE WAVE? DEMOCRATS LOOK TO LOSE MORE SENATE SEATS.
What do you notice about the Top 10 US Senators listed below who are most vulnerable? None out of ten are Democrats. This election cycle there are an overwhelming number of Democrats up for reelection as opposed to Republicans. Many are in red states that Trump won handily. So before the LEFT starts talking about a blue wave, they have a blue wall to defend. One that came crashing down in 2016.
I agree with the ones on the list; however, I do not agree with the order. The most vulnerable is Sen. Joe Donnelly of Indiana. With Mike Pence as the VP, Indiana becoming a solid red state and Trump having won by 20% in 2016, Donnelly is all but gone. I would have Tester at #2, McCaskill #3, Manchin #4, Heitcamp #5 and something tells me that Ohio is going red as well in 2018. If Manchin does survive and the GOP gets big wins, look for him to maybe switch parties.
With Democrats all but losing their lead in the Generic ballot polls where even CNN, the all fake news, hate trump news all the time has it at just a 3% lead for Dems or the GOP. In December 2017 CNN has it at 56% Dem and 38% Republican. Reuters is down to 1%.
- Dean Heller, NV, Republican
- Claire McCaskill, MO, Democrat
- Joe Donnelly, IN, Democrat
- Heidi Heitkamp, ND, Democrat
- Joe Manchin, WV, Democrat
- Bill Nelson, FL, Democrat
- Jon Tester, MT, Democrat
- Tammy Basldwin, WI, Democrat
- Sherrod Brown, OH, Democrat
- Bob Casey, PA, Democrat
ROLL CALL PICKS THE TOP 10 SENATORS IN MOST TROUBLE IN THE 2018 MIDTERM ELECTIONS.
Nevada Republican Dean Heller remains in top spot.
Senate Democrats are still defending 10 states that President Donald Trump won in 2016, but six months out from Election Day, the most vulnerable senator remains a Republican.
Nevada Sen. Dean Heller no longer faces a primary threat, but he’s the only Republican up for re-election in a state Hillary Clinton won, and in this national environment that’s a tricky place to be.
The Democrats’ odds of flipping a few GOP-held open seats in Arizona and Tennessee have increased over the past six months, but this list — like the one we did a year out from Election Day — ranks incumbents most likely to lose — not seats most likely to flip. That means nine of the 10 senators are Democrats, with the second and third spots remaining unchanged.
North Dakota Sen. Heidi Heitkamp and West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin III have traded places, with Heitkamp now at fourth and Manchin at fifth. Democrats would have been happy to face Don Blankenship in the West Virginia Senate race, but they’re also not getting Rep. Evan Jenkins, whom they spent nearly $2 million against in the primary.
The biggest change is Florida Sen. Bill Nelson moving up from eighth to sixth with Gov. Rick Scott’s entry into the race. That pushes Montana Sen. Jon Tester and Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown down a spot each to seventh and eighth, respectively.
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE FALLS TO 3.9%, BLACK UNEMPLOYMENT TO RECORD LOW OF 6.6% …
Yes, President Donald Trump is making America great again and in some cases making it greater than ever before. The Unemployment rate for April 2018 has fallen to 3.9%. This is a 17 and a half year low for the U.S. unemployment rate. The news was even better for minorities as the unemployment rate for black workers dropped to a record low 6.6%, beating the previous record low of 6.8% set in December. The jobless rate for Hispanics fell to 4.8%, tying the record reached last year and in 2006. This is tremendous news for America and troublesome for Democrats, the LEFT and the liberal MSM. Even as under the Trump administration minorities are making considerable gains in the work force, the miserable LEFT and MSM still manages to find the negative. Hmm, where were these people during the 8 yeas of Obama when blacks had double digit unemployment?
U.S. job growth increased less than expected in April and the unemployment rate dropped to near a 17-1/2-year low of 3.9 percent as some out-of-work Americans left the labor force.
The Labor Department’s closely watched employment report on Friday also showed wages barely rose last month, which may ease concerns that inflation pressures are rapidly building up, likely keeping the Federal Reserve on a gradual path of monetary policy tightening.“
Fed officials can rest easy that there is not any wage-based inflation on the horizon,” said Chris Rupkey, chief economist at MUFG in New York. “There is no need to speed up the path of interest rates because inflation isn’t heating up in a worrisome manner.”
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 164,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department reported. Data for March was revised to show the economy adding 135,000 jobs instead of the previously reported 103,000. That was the fewest amount of jobs created in six months and followed an outsized gain of 324,000 in February.
But 236,000 people left the labor force in April, adding to the 158,000 who quit in March. The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, fell to 62.8 percent last month from 62.9 percent in March. It was the second straight monthly drop in the participation rate.
Where was the LEFT and MSM calling out Obama during his 8 years for the difference between black and white unemployment? Instead, the miserable LEFT and MSM continue to be all things negative to Trump and put Obama op on high. Really, the numbers show that there is less of a disparage between blacks and whites under Trump. Both black and white unemployment has gone down about 0.6% since the November 2016 elections,; however, the difference is that these are historic lows for blacks. The majority of time during Obama, blacks witnessed double digit unemployment as there were a record number of individuals on food stamps. The fact of the matter is that if Trump was president in 2008-2016, blacks would have seen the benefits they see now, just that much sooner.
The LEFT and Democrats are freaking out that minorities are seeing record low unemployment and might just vote as the silent black and Hispanic voter with Trump and the GOP in 2018 and 2020.
TRUMP: MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN FOR ALL …
As reported at The Hill, 14 U.S. states have set record low unemployment rates in the past year during Donald Trump’s presidency. It is an amazing accomplishment as President Trump has made America great again for all. The unemployment lows span the ideological gamut, from conservative Texas to liberal California, from solid red Mississippi to blue Maine and from lefty Oregon to conservative Arkansas. Trump’s economic plan is good for all, not just one party. All have benefited. Like him or not, Trump has brought the jobs back and with the tax cuts, that not one Democrat voted for, has not only provided workers with more of their own money, but also allowed companies to grow and hire. Between the Trump-GOP tax cuts, the elimination of burdensome regulations and providing a positive business environment, the American economy is burning red hot.
Fourteen states have set new records for low unemployment rates in the last year, nearly a decade after the recession put millions of Americans out of work.
The states hitting new unemployment lows run the ideological gamut, from conservative Texas to liberal California, suggesting a recovery stronger than any particular political persuasion.
In March, eight states saw new record lows, including Hawaii (2.1 percent), Idaho (2.9 percent), Kentucky (4 percent ), Maine (2.7 percent), Mississippi (4.5 percent), Oregon (4.1 percent) and Wisconsin (2.9 percent).
California also set a new record last month.The Golden State’s unemployment rate stands at 4.1 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). That’s the lowest rate recorded since BLS began keeping track of state-level unemployment figures in 1976, and it’s a third of the 12.3 percent unemployment rate California notched at the height of the recession in December 2010.
Colorado’s unemployment rate is just 2.6 percent, among the lowest in the nation, and a third of the 8.9 percent peak it hit in 2010.
In Alabama, just 3.7 percent of workers are unemployed. Arkansas reached a 3.6 percent unemployment rate last May, its lowest rate ever.
North Dakota set its own record last year. Texas hit a 3.9 percent unemployment rate in November, after peaking at 8.3 percent during the height of the recession. Tennessee fell to the lowest unemployment rate it has ever measured, 3.3 percent, in January.
Hawaii’s unemployment rate is the lowest in the nation, BLS said. Idaho, Iowa, Maine, Nebraska, New Hampshire, North Dakota and Wisconsin all have unemployment rates lower than 3 percent.
Under President Trump, blacks have also seen all-time low unemployment as well as Hispanics. But of course the partisan LEFT would never give Trump credit for it. The Left only touts Trump when there are negative stories. Many of the states that have seen record low unemployment are not ones that voted for Trump. This may pose a problem for Democrats in the 2018 and 2020 elections. There is no chance that liberal states like California or Oregon will ever vote for Trump, but they might just vote for their Republican U.S. Representative. However, states like New Hampshire, Colorado and Maine could be in play for the GOP.
American voters have a real choice in the 2018 midterm and 2020 elections … do you want to continue the great economic growth, jobs, low unemployment and revitalization of the US economy, or do you want to go back to the days of high unemployment, food stamps and dependence on government like under Obama?
Don’t look now but that Blue wave advantage is shrinking. Democrats hold an advantage ahead of the 2018 midterm elections, but a Washington Post-ABC News poll shows that edge has narrowed since January. The lead is down to 4 points. Could the LEFT and their dreams of a blue wave have been premature? A funny thing has happened on the way to the midterm elections and even these polls are way too early to predict and possible outcomes. One, the people have seen the good that Trump has done, especially with tax cuts, deregulation, the economy and jobs. Trump’s poll numbers are rising and so is the GOP’s fate as a result of the good that Trump has done, even though the MSM refuses to acknowledge it. In the 2018 the American people will have the choice of continuing the great policies of job growth, lower taxes and lower unemployment under President Trump or the chaos and far LEFTY insanity of Democrat’s Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer.
Even with all the negative news that the Democrat media complex puts forth, where 90% is negative to President Donald Trump, the trend is for the people to vote GOP. Thankfully the networks do not control the media anymore. In the end, the people will get what they deserve.
Democrats hold an advantage ahead of the midterm elections, but a Washington Post-ABC News poll shows that edge has narrowed since January, a signal to party leaders and strategists that they could be premature in anticipating a huge wave of victories in November.
The poll finds that the gap between support for Democratic vs. Republican House candidates dropped by more than half since the beginning of the year. At the same time, there has been a slight increase in President Trump’s approval rating, although it remains low. Measures of partisan enthusiasm paint a more mixed picture of the electorate in comparison to signs of Democratic intensity displayed in many recent special elections.
One potentially new factor in the mix of midterm issues is gun policy, which has emerged as a major voter consideration two months after the mass shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida. More than 4 in 10 registered voters say it is extremely important that candidates share their views on gun issues. Fewer voters say it’s critical that candidates share their views on Trump or House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., leaders who are most likely to be targets in partisan messaging this fall.
With the Republicans’ House majority at risk, 47 percent of registered voters say they prefer the Democratic candidate in their district, while 43 percent favor the Republican. That four-point margin compares with a 12-point advantage Democrats held in January. Among a broader group of voting-age adults, the Democrats’ margin is 10 points, 50 percent to 40 percent.
Republicans owe part of their improved standing to Trump’s thawing job ratings. The Post-ABC poll finds that 40 percent approve of the president, up slightly from 36 percent in January to his highest level of support since last April. Still, Trump continues to face majority disapproval at 56 percent, higher than any president at this stage since the dawn of modern polling, an indication that he remains a significant liability for Republicans on November’s ballot.
85 YEAR OLD SHERIFF JOE SAYS HE IS RUNNING FOR US SENATE …
As reported at The Washington Examiner, former Maricopa County sheriff Joe Arpaio is running for Senate in Arizona in open-seat race to replace retiring Sen. Jeff Flake. If Joe wins, it would be a tremendous feather in the cap for President Trump replacing the likes of Flake with Arpaio. This is an extremely important Senate race, one the GOP cannot afford to lose.
Republican Joe Arpaio, a close ally of President Trump and former sheriff known for his provocative approach to combating illegal immigration, is running for Senate in Arizona.
The 85-year-old Arpaio could shake up the late August Republican primary in a critical open-seat race to replace retiring Sen. Jeff Flake, R-Ariz. Trump pardoned Arpaio last summer, sparing the former sheriff jail time after he was convicted of ignoring a federal court order in a racial-profiling case.
In a telephone interview with the Washington Examiner, Arpaio shrugged off concerns about his age, dismissed Republican insiders’ anxiety that his poor reputation with nonwhite voters would put the seat in play for the Democrats in the midterm, and discussed plans to work with Trump on behalf of Arizona.
“I have a lot to offer. I’m a big supporter of President Trump,” Arpaio said. “I’m going to have to work hard; you don’t take anything for granted. But I would not being doing this if I thought that I could not win. I’m not here to get my name in the paper, I get that everyday, anyway.”