DEMOCRATS HAVE A TOUGH BATTLE IN THE SENATE IN 2018 … ITS A NUMBERS GAME.
As reported from The Hill, there are 7 US Senate seats that are likely to flip in the 2018 elections. However, they may not exactly flip the way the media thinks they will. Just from the mere numbers that both parties have to defend, the GOP has an advantage. Republicans, who will only defend eight seats, two of which are considered vulnerable. By comparison, Democrats have to defend 25 seats, including 10 in states that Trump won in 2016. Many of the states Trump won wide huge margins. The MSM is so quick to reference President Trump’s “dismal” approval rating. However, you know who has an even worse approval rating by far? Congress does. One would think that Democrats from Montana, Indiana, North Dakota and Missouri are all but gone. Why these “RED” states have Democrat Senators is puzzling at best.President Trump needs to vigorously campaign for these GOP candidates and preferably hand pick ones that are not Rino’s, but actual Republicans and preferably Conservatives.
The one GOP seat that will most likely flip is Heller in Nevada. The state has been trending blue for years. However, I disagree with Sen. Flake of Arizona. One of two things will happen. Either Fake will be primary challenged by a candidate backed by Trump and win or Flake will get his act in gear. My personal opinion is he must go. Others that need to be added to the list of flipping is Democrat Sens. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin, Robert Casey of Pennsylvania and Debbie Stabenow of Michigan. All are obstructionist Democrat senators from states won by Trump in 2016. The GOP has an opportunity of a lifetime in 2018, the questions is, will Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell blow it.?
Next year’s midterm elections will provide Republicans with a major opportunity to build their majority in the Senate — if they can overcome President Trump’s dismal approval ratings and internal party rancor.
The 2018 Senate map heavily favors Republicans, who will only defend eight seats, just two of which are considered vulnerable right now. By comparison, Democrats have to defend 25 seats, including 10 in states that Trump won in 2016.
1. Dean Heller (R-Nev.)
Heller is the only Republican up for reelection in 2018 who represents a state that Hillary Clinton won last November. Making matters worse for Heller, he’s had a rough 2017.
Democrats are largely falling in line behind Rep. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.), a strong challenger with backing from former Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, the dean of Nevada Democrats. Rep. Dina Titus (D-Nev.) is still weighing a bid, but Democrats’ near-uniform support for Rosen could squeeze Titus out of the race and give the party more time to focus on Heller.
2. Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.)
McCaskill is one of the few statewide Democratic officeholders left in Missouri, which Trump won by 19 points in November.
The two-term senator spent 2016 as one of Hillary Clinton’s top surrogates, mounting a strong defense of the Democratic presidential nominee that McCaskill’s rivals believe will become a weakness in her own campaign.
McCaskill’s party also just lost Missouri’s 2016 Senate race, despite a strong campaign from Democrat Jason Kander.
3. Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.)
Donnelly leveraged a bipartisan approach to politics and his blue-collar appeal into a Senate seat in 2012, but he’ll have to fight yet another tough battle if he wants to keep his Senate seat in a state Trump won by 19 points.
4. Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.)
Flake wouldn’t rank this high in a normal election year, but a Republican president threatening to support a primary challenge to an incumbent GOP senator isn’t normal, either.
The Arizona senator’s path to reelection has grown more difficult as his feud with Trump heats up. Earlier in August, Trump called Flake “toxic” in a tweet where he applauded Kelli Ward, Flake’s primary opponent. And the president’s upcoming Tuesday rally in Arizona could give him a stage to take more shots at Flake or even officially endorse a primary opponent.
5. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.)
In 2016, West Virginia went for Trump by a larger margin than any other state — 42 points.
That resounding victory hasn’t been lost on Manchin, who’s made it a point to try to work with the president and Senate GOP colleagues. Another factor counting in his favor: Manchin’s consistent record of winning statewide office in the West Virginia since 2001, despite the state’s rightward drift.
But Trump’s popularity in West Virginia has drawn interest from strong Republican candidates, and the winner will pose a serious threat to Manchin’s political future. And Democrats can’t be encouraged by Gov. Jim Justice’s decision to ditch them and become a Republican last month, a decision he announced with Trump at his side.
6. Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.)
Heitkamp hails from another deep-red state — North Dakota went for Trump by about 36 points.
Like Manchin, Heitkamp has walked the line between the party’s opposition to Trump and his popularity among her constituents — briefly floated as a potential Agriculture Secretary, Heitkamp, like Manchin, voted for more than two-thirds of Trump’s Cabinet appointments.
7. Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.)
Republicans have a lot to like about their Montana prospects. Trump won the state by more than 20 points in November, and Republican Greg Gianforte just won the state’s at-large congressional seat in a special election — even after he assaulted a reporter.
Tester has never hit 50 percent in either of his two Senate bids, winning each election with 49 percent after a libertarian candidate siphoned off part of the vote.
Democrats Feeling the Pressure of the 2018 Miidterm Elections … Sen. Manchin (D-WV) is One of Three Senate Democrats who Didn’t Sign Party Line Letter on Tax Reform
25 DEMOCRAT & INDEPENDENT SENATORS WHO CAUCUS WITH THE DEMOCRAT PARTY ARE UP FOR REELECTION IN 2018, MANY IN STATES WON BIG BY TRUMP ARE FEELING THE PRESSURE, …
Sens. Joe Manchin (D-WV), Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) and Joe Donnelly (D-IN) are among three U.S. Senators who did not sign the Democrat party line letter on tax reform. Although, Manchin hedged his bets and said he supported the fiscal ideas. Even though Manchin claimed his decision had nothing to do with politics or reelection, it had everything to do with it. What do these three Democrat Senators all have in common? They all are up for reelection in 2018 in “red” states that Donald Trump won big in 2016. Trump won West Virginia 68.6% to 26.5%, North Dakota 64.1% to 27.7% and Indiana 57.2% to 37.9%. So do you think Manchin, Heitkamp and Donnelly are not feeling the pressure to break from the Democrat party line? If they continue along the path of the far-LEFT leadership of their party, all will lose in 2018. Long gone are the days of the Blue Dog Democrats, this party is bordering on socialism these days.
Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., is one of three Senate Democrats who didn’t sign a letter establishing the party line on tax reform, though he said Tuesday he agrees with all its components.
Manchin, who is up for re-election in 2018, said even though he supports the Democrats’ fiscal ideas, he won’t sign on without efforts to bring Republicans on board. He also said the election is not influencing his decision-making.
“The bottom line is, if it doesn’t help West Virginia, it doesn’t make sense to me, and just because there’s an election doesn’t mean I sign on or don’t sign on,” he said. “If you look at all the time I’ve been here, there’s stuff I don’t sign on to. I just don’t think it’s a good way to do business when you don’t try to get people from the front end.”
Sens. Heidi Heitkamp, D-N.D., and Joe Donnelly, D-Ind., didn’t sign either. All three Democrats are up for re-election in states whose electorates voted for President Donald Trump by wide margins.
The letter was sent to Trump, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and GOP Senate Finance Committee Chair Orrin Hatch. It outlines three main policy points: tax reform should neither increase the burden on the middle class nor lessen it on high-wage earners; it should go through regular Senate procedure, not a fast-tracked process like budget reconciliation; and it should not increase the federal deficit or cut programs like Medicaid.
When confronted by about his unwillingness to tote the party line Manchin replied with, “I don’t give a sh*t …” The reality is, Manchin, like the governor of West Virginia should probably think about changing parties. Or, the voters of WV need to vote him out of office as the Democrat party power-base does not. West Virginia has become a dark red state, so why would they think a Democrat Senator would serve them?
Because in the end, who is is his ear?
“I don’t give a s–t, you understand? I just don’t give a s–t,” he said. “Don’t care if I get elected, don’t care if I get defeated, how about that. If they think because I’m up for election, that I can be wrangled into voting for s–t that I don’t like and can’t explain, they’re all crazy.”
“I’m not scared of an election, let’s put it that way. Elections do not bother me or scare me. I’m going to continue to do the same thing I’ve always done, extremely independent.”
Senate Poll Shocker: Kid Rock Leads by 4 in Poll of Hypothetical Matchup with Debbie Stabenow for Michigan US Senate Seat
JUST HOW WORRIED ARE DEMOCRATS THAT THEIR BLUE WALL WILL BE TORN DOWN FOREVER … KID ROCK LEADS DEM INCUMBENT?
In a hypothetical general election US Senate matchup, a Delta Analytica poll stated that Kid Rock leads by 4 percentage points over incumbent Democrat Senator Debbie Stabenow. The poll also concluded that 54% of respondents preferred Kid Rock (Robert Ritchie) to only 46% for incumbent Democrat Senator Debbie Stabenow. Just what is the level of panic in the Democrat party if they cannot win Michigan with an establishment, incumbent candidate? Earlier in the month, Kid Rock stated that he was going to run for Senate. It’s time to drain the swamp America, the folks in Michigan can make a huge statement! If Republicans can win the Michigan US Senate seat in 2018, the 2018 mid-term elections are going to be a political bloodbath for Democrats.
To gauge Ritchie’s chances in a hypothetical general election matchup, Delta Analytica conducted a poll from July 14-18 of 668 Michigan residents. Of respondents who stated a preference between Debbie Stabenow and Robert Ritchie, 54% stated they would vote for Ritchie while 46% said they would vote for Debbie Stabenow. These results could indicate that Ritchie is a popular figure in Michigan, Debbie Stabenow is unpopular, or some combination of concurrent trends. The relatively large, 44%, number of undecided respondents may be due to the early stages of the campaign.
Michigan, once part of the Democrats vaunted “Blue Wall” is suddenly a battleground where Democrats and Republicans are now fighting for blue collar voters. This became a central theme during the 2016 election season, where Donald Trump won over the white working class vote. The question now is whether that support will rub off onto other Republicans candidates in the 2018 midterm elections. Robert Ritchie looks to capitalize on this fervor and promote his brand with song lyrics that appeal to these same Michigan voters, despite never having held any political office.
Born Free – Kid Rock
Words from Kid Rock via The American Mirror …
“Dinner time at my house. What do you think Schumer is spoon-feeding Stabenow tonight?” he tweeted.
When Ritchie teased his intentions, he ripped politicians.
“I concede she is better at playing politics than I am so I’ll keep doing what I do best, which is being a voice for tax paying, hardworking AMERICANS and letting politicians like her know that We the People are sick and tired of their bullshit!” he said on his website.
IF ITS FROM DEMOCRATS, ITS NOT A BETTER DEAL, ITS A RAW DEAL …
After getting thoroughly whipped in the 2018 elections and proving no message to the American people except “resist” Trump, Democrats now claim they are going to launch a new economic agenda ahead of the 2018 midterm elections called … a Better Deal. WOW, did they stay up all night thinking about this one? Who honestly thinks that Democrats believe or will provide this so-called “better deal?” This is just a lame attempt by Democrats to lie to the blue collar, working, middle class of America, naming in the blue-wall states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin that they lost in 2016. This is yet another attempt by Democrats to try and show that they have not become the Socialist party. With the stock market at all-time highs and jobs being created under Donald Trump, what are they talking about, a better deal? All the lame GOP controlled House and Senate has to do is pass real tax reform and the economy will heat up like never before.
The Democrats have long forgot the hard working, blue collar workers of America and they know it. No cute lie is going to work now. This is a completely contrived attempt to fool voters into thinking the Democrats actually side with workers. So to understand the Democrats, are they saying that the 8 years of Obama was an economic failure? Maybe Democrats should not have passed so may regulations that destroyed business.
Democratic leaders in the House and Senate will unveil a broad economic agenda Monday, hoping to unite the disparate wings of their caucuses and win back working-class voters who fled the party last year.
The party’s messaging strategy is the culmination of months of internal meetings and polling after a disappointing 2016 election that left Democrats reeling and many complaining they had no message to offer the public other than being against President Donald Trump.
“The number one thing that we did wrong is we didn’t tell people what we stood for,” Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) said Sunday on ABC’s “This Week.”
To fill that void, Democrats are adding pitches aimed at battling corporate overreach to an economic platform that already includes a trillion-dollar infrastructure plan and paid family leave. Party leaders are also proposing a new independent agency to oversee prescription drug prices similar to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau launched by Sen. Elizabeth Warren as well as an independent “competition advocate” that would police corporate mergers.
Sorry Democrats, we know what your party is about, you ran a socialist in your Presidential primary who nearly won.
Republican Senate Health Care Collapse a Blow to Majority Leader Mitch McConnell … If You Can’t Get It Done, Step Down
MCCONNELL, ITS TIME FOR YOU TO LEAVE, NOW!!!
The Republican health care failure in the U.S. Senate is not only a blow to GOP Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, it is a greater disappointment to the American people who have been lied to. For seven years Republicans, and the American people have been told, if you give us the House, give us the Senate and give us the Presidency, we will repeal Obamacare. Over the past 7 years, Republicans, Independents and even Democrats have given power back to the GOP in the House, Senate and in 2016, elected Donald J. Trump the president of the United States. Now we have a GOP majority in the Senate who has lost their nerve and obvious lied to We the People. The colossal collapse of the Senate health care bill is not a blow to McConnell, its an embarrassment to the GOP party. What the F#ck have you people been doing for the past 7 years? You were put in office and many GOP senators ran and were elected on the promise to repeal Obamacare. Now it is time to fulfill your promise. President Trump expressed his disappointment; however, I will go even further. The GOP Senate had no problem passing bills that repealed Obamacare when they knew they had no chance of being signed by Barack Obama. Now, suddenly when Donald Trump is president and will sign such a bill into law, the establishment GOP Senators have become gutless. Mitch McConnell, you need to step down and allow new leadership to take over that can get things done. Retire and go home!
More pathetic establishment GOP leadership
The failure of Obamacare repeal marks Mitch McConnell’s lowest point as Senate GOP leader.
Despite having a Republican in the White House, full GOP control of Congress and seven years of campaign promises — “pulling out Obamacare root and branch,” as the Kentucky Republican famously declared — McConnell acknowledged this week that he didn’t have the votes to even start debate on replacing the 2010 Affordable Care Act.
It’s a serious defeat for McConnell, and one that leaves deep bitterness among rank-and-file GOP senators, as moderates and conservatives blamed each other over who is at fault for the setback.
It’s also a blow to McConnell’s reputation as a master legislator and raises doubts in the White House about what Senate Republicans can actually deliver for President Donald Trump. McConnell, like Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), finds himself caught between the factions in his own party. And like Ryan, McConnell hasn’t demonstrated that he knows how to resolve the dispute.
The draining of the swamp also includes establishment Republicans and RINO’s. It is bad enough that your healthcare bill is BS, based on a retooling of Obamacare, not its repeal .. but you gutless bastards can’t even pass that after 7 years. One would have thought that you would have been discussing such things, not going on vacation, writing books, and getting all those great Senate perks. Trust me GOP … come 2018, this is a warning to the ObamaCare Republicans, the Voters will repeal and replace the Senators who broke their promise. That goes for you folks in the House too. Prepare to be primary challenged!!! In 2018, its time to go RINO hunting and rid the party of those who don’t even believe in the Republican platform. Take your party back and show these clowns, that lying to get elected will not be tolerated.