ITS ALL ABOUT THE TRENDING …
For the first time the Real Clear Politics average of national polls shows Donald Trump up 0.4 points over Hillary Clinton. The score is Trump 44.0, Clinton 43.6. This erases a 20 point lead that Hillary had back in July 2015. And more recently, an 11 point lead Hillary had over Trump in March 23, 2016. It is obvious that Trump is surging and trending up, while Hillary is falling. This has to bring panic to Team Hillary and the DNC as Trump is solidifying support behind him while the Democrats become more and more divided and violent as Bernie Sanders vows to fight on to the convention. So MSM, which party is having a civil war again?
The polls in play that show either Trump surging into the lead or making up a great deal of ground on the struggling Hillary Clinton are as follows.
As Don Surber opines, “Remember how Charles Krauthammer said if Trump won the nomination he could lose like Goldwater? National polls today confirm that once again, Krauthammer may have gotten Trump’s chances wrong again.”
According to the latest CBS poll, Texas senator Ted Cruz remains in the lead in Iowa with 40 percent of likely Republican caucus-goers as opposed to Donald Trump coming in second with 31 percent. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) is a distant third with 12%. If the polling continues to play out like this, an Iowa win will gain momentum for Cruz and although New Hampshire is probably not in play, South Carolina is.
What’s that sound? The establishment GOP’s collective stomach churning as conservative Ted Cruz could be the real deal for the GOP primary.
Ted Cruz maintains a strong lead over Donald Trump in Iowa, according to the results of a poll released Sunday.
The Texas senator, in the CBS poll, grabbed the support of 40 percent of likely Republican caucus-goers in Iowa. Trump is at 31 percent, followed by Marco Rubio at 12 percent and Ben Carson at 6 percent. Every other GOP candidate receives 2 percent or less in the poll.
The CBS poll follows last week’s Iowa Poll — which showed Cruz with a 10-point lead over Trump, 31 percent to 21 percent — and a Monmouth University poll that had him in first place with 24 percent among all Republican candidates.
Polls of Iowa and the country as a whole have painted two different pictures: Trump remains atop national polls.
Donald Trump Leads in New in New York Times/CBS Poll … The Donald Up to 35% on Terror Concerns in America
THE MSM JUST DOESN’T GET IT AS TRUMP LEADS IN NYT/CBS POLL …
Like him, hate him or those that don’t understand him … Donald Trump speaks to many Americans and for many Americans, especially when it comes to terrorism and the safety of the United States. This as Obama has dithered for 7 years and made America less and less safe.
According to the most recent New York Times/CBS poll, Donald Trump is in the lead, mainly due to new terror concerns in the United States. As stated by Hot Air, “Americans are more fearful about the likelihood of another terrorist attack than at any other time since the weeks after Sept. 11, 2001.” According to the poll, 35% of Republican primary voters support Trump, up 13 points since October, and his highest level of support in CBS News polling. Why the drastic increase? Because Donald Trump is willing to say what many Americans are thinking and too many PC establishment and gutless Republicans are unwilling to. Like it or not, as the MSM is just befuddled by Trump’s continued rise, the American people are afraid and terrorism is at the forefront of the issues as Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Democrats, the MSM and establishment republicans all look weak and more concerned about being politically correct than they do about the safety of everyday Americans.
Americans are more fearful about the likelihood of another terrorist attack than at any other time since the weeks after Sept. 11, 2001, a gnawing sense of dread that has helped lift Donald J. Trump to a new high among Republican primary voters, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll.
In the aftermath of attacks by Islamic extremists in Paris and in San Bernardino, Calif., a plurality of the public views the threat of terrorism as the top issue facing the country. A month ago, only 4 percent of Americans said terrorism was the most important problem; now, 19 percent say it is, above any other issue.
Mr. Trump, who has called for monitoring mosques and even barring Muslims from entering the United States, has been the clear beneficiary of this moment of deep anxiety. More than four in 10 Republican primary voters say the most important quality in a candidate is strong leadership, which eclipses honesty, empathy, experience or electability. These voters heavily favor Mr. Trump.
The survey was largely conducted before Mr. Trump’s proposal, announced Monday, to temporarily block Muslims from entering the country.
Even Hillary Clinton now recognizes something stirring in the electorate that Mr. Trump had clearly tapped into. And this is where politicians get it wrong, their handlers get it wrong and the media gets it wrong. Trump did not focus poll to see what to say or what topic to talk about, the political outsider said what was on his mind and what was obviously on the mind of the American people.
Ben Carson Surging in National Polls … CBS News/New York Times Poll Has Carson Ahead of Trump, 26% to 22%
CARSON SURGING IN NATIONAL POLLS AS WELL …
It would appear that political outsider and former neurosurgeon Ben Carson has the political momentum in the polls. According to a recent CBS News/New York Times poll, Carson now leads Donald Trump, 26% to 22%. Sure its early and there is a long way to go, but this is significant. It is the first time that Carson leads Trump in a national poll. Earlier this month, Carson took the lead over Trump in Iowa in three significant polls, the Des Moines Register-Bloomberg poll, a Quinnipiac University survey and a Monmouth University poll.
Ben Carson has surpassed Donald Trump and now narrowly leads the Republican field in the race for the nomination in the latest national CBS News/New York Times Poll.
Twenty-six percent of Republican primary voters back Carson, giving him a four-point edge over Trump (22 percent). Support for Carson has quadrupled since August.
The rest of the Republican presidential candidates lag far behind in single digits. Marco Rubio is now in third place (eight percent), followed by Jeb Bush (seven percent) and Carly Fiorina (seven percent). All other candidates are at four percent or lower.
Carson has made gains across many key Republican groups. In a reversal from earlier this month, he is now ahead of Trump among women and is running neck and neck with him among men. Carson’s support among evangelicals has risen and he now leads Trump by more than 20 points with this group.
Carson performs well among conservative Republicans and those who identify as Tea partiers. Trump does well with moderates and leads Carson among those without a college degree – although Trump had a larger advantage with non-college graduates earlier this month.
New York Times: Ben Carson Edges Ahead Nationally in Times/CBS News Poll.
Ben Carson has taken a narrow lead nationally in the Republican presidential campaign, dislodging Donald J. Trump from the top spot for the first time in months, according to a New York Times/CBS News survey released on Tuesday.
Mr. Carson, a retired neurosurgeon, is the choice of 26 percent of Republican primary voters, the poll found, while Mr. Trump now wins support from 22 percent, although the difference lies within the margin of sampling error.
The survey is the first time that Mr. Trump has not led all candidates since The Times and CBS News began measuring presidential preferences at the end of July.
Remember when Barack Obama was elected and people said that it would make black/white race relations better … Hows that Hopey/Changey stuff working out for you America?
In 2008 many Americans, including many whites with liberal white guilt, elected Barack Hussein Obama because they thought it would ease race relation in the United States and some how correct the evils of slavery and past racism and discrimination. However, some seven years later and any thought of black/white race relations getting any better are out the window. According to a recent New York Times/CBS News poll, nearly six in 10 Americans, including heavy majorities of both whites and blacks, think race relations are generally bad. In fact, nearly four in 10 think the situation is getting worse. During Mr. Obama’s 2008 campaign, nearly 60% of blacks said race relations were generally bad, but that number was cut in half shortly after he won. However, it has now soared to 68%. But although blacks think race relations are worse, they could not find it in them-self to say that Obama has done a poor job with race relations. Imagine that. However, under Obama he has brought the racial pressure cooker to the brink and his taking of of one side has been on display for 7 years. It has become evident that with Obama, only black lives do matter, as he can only see himself as Trayvon Martin and Michael Brown, rather than his half white side of murdered Kathryn Steinle. Too bad that Obama is supposed to be the leader of all, not just some.
As Instapundit opines, this is Obama’s true legacy.
Seven years ago, in the gauzy afterglow of a stirring election night in Chicago, commentators dared ask whether the United States had finally begun to heal its divisions over race and atone for the original sin of slavery by electing its first black president. It has not. Not even close.
A New York Times/CBS News poll conducted last week reveals that nearly six in 10 Americans, including heavy majorities of both whites and blacks, think race relations are generally bad, and that nearly four in 10 think the situation is getting worse. By comparison, two-thirds of Americans surveyed shortly after President Obama took office said they believed that race relations were generally good.
The swings in attitude have been particularly striking among African-Americans. During Mr. Obama’s 2008 campaign, nearly 60 percent of blacks said race relations were generally bad, but that number was cut in half shortly after he won. It has now soared to 68 percent, the highest level of discontent among blacks during the Obama years and close to the numbers recorded in the aftermath of the riots that followed the 1992 acquittal of Los Angeles police officers charged in the beating of Rodney King.
Wake up America, this is what happens when you elect a community agitator who’s entire presidency has been based on racial divide and class warfare. In many respects, the only reason why Obama was ever voted into office, especially among white voters, was because of the notion that he would some how make race relations better. It certainly was not because he was qualified to be president. However, how many times must you be reminded, its not about the color of one’s skin, it is about the content of their character.
CBS Poll: Job Approval 51% Disapprove, 41% Approve … 59% of Americans Are Disappointed in Barack Obama’s Presidency
NEARLY 60% OF AMERICANS DISAPPOINTED IN OBAMA PRESIDENCY …
According to the most recent CBS poll, 59% of Americans say that they are disappointed with Barack Obama’s presidency. This includes 91% of Republicans, 66% of Independents and even 24% of Democrats. Even more troubling for Obama is that 40% of Independents are “very disappointed” and only 6% are “very satisfied”. As the economy struggles and more people experience the perils of Obamacare, Obama’s numbers continue to slide.
Barack Obama’s approval rating has also sunk to 41%, with a 51% disapproval. This is down 5 points in since January 2014.
Amid continued pessimism about the economy and direction of the country, 59 percent of Americans say they are disappointed in Mr. Obama’s presidency (including 37 percent who are very disappointed); 40 percent are satisfied. Much of this discontent comes from Republicans and independents, but a quarter of Democrats express at least some disappointment.
Disappointment with Barack Obama’s presidency has grown since the summer of 2012, and much of that rise has been among independents. Forty percent of independents say they are very disappointed today, up from 27 percent in August 2012.
CBS News Poll: Barack Obama’s Job Approval Down to 37%, 57% Disapproval … He’s Fallen and He Can’t Get Up!!!
It’s official, Obama’s job approval ratings are in complete free-fall …
According to the most recent CBS poll, President Barack Obama’s job approval rating has crashed to 37%. YIKES!!! This is a -20 point job approval. Obama poll numbers have officially fallen and they can’t get up. The president’s poll numbers have hit that threshold where they are in complete collapse. Obama’s job disapproval is now at 57%, the highest yet for the Obamamessiah with CBS polling. Obama’s overall job approval rating has declined among many demographic groups since last month, including independents (a 12-point drop), men (down 9 points), and women (a 10-point drop). What might be most remarkable is that women now disapprove than approve of the job Obama is doing as president.
Support for Obamacare has fallen drastically as well where even many Democrats have lost faith in it and although a majority of Dems still support it, Obamacare has dropped 16 points from last month, from 74% to 58% . More from Powerline and Obama’s Free-fall. Just how low can he go? President Obama sank to a new low when he and fellow Democrats knowing lied to the American people with every facet of Obamacare and what it would do and now he is paying a political price as Obama sinks to new lows. However, his ultimate low was his personal promise to “We the People” that they could keep their healthcare, now Americans are scrambling as what to do as they never dreamed they would be canceled.
Things are only going to get worse, as tens of millions lose their existing health insurance and a large majority of Americans, in both the employer-sponsored market and the individual/small group market, find that the cost of health insurance is rising.
President Obama’s job approval rating has plunged to the lowest of his presidency, according to a new CBS News poll released Wednesday, and Americans’ approval of the Affordable Care Act has dropped it’s lowest since CBS News started polling on the law.
Thirty-seven percent now approve of the job Mr. Obama is doing as president, down from 46 percent in October — a nine point drop in just a month. Mr. Obama’s disapproval rating is 57 percent — the highest level for this president in CBS News Polls.
A rocky beginning to the opening of the new health insurance exchanges has also taken its toll on how Americans perceive the Affordable Care Act. Now, approval of the law has dropped to 31 percent – the lowest number yet recorded in CBS News Polls, and a drop of 12 points since last month. Sixty-one percent disapprove (a high for this poll), including 46 percent who say they disapprove strongly.
Republicans are nearly unanimous in their disapproval of the law, and now more than two-thirds of independents agree. Almost six in ten Democrats continue to support the law, but their support has dropped 16 points from last month – from 74 percent in October to 58 percent today. Support has dropped 11 points among independents and five points among Republicans.
Check out the average polling job approval numbers at Real Clear Politic. However, note their average stops at the Quinnipiac poll. Add in the National Journal and Pew Research polls and you have a president with average job approval numbers in the 30′s.
Barack Obama is only left with his liberal buddy Bruce Springsteen serenading him with, I’m Going Down, down, down … The lies and scandals have finally caught up to this president. Take a good look at what would have happened in the 2012 presidential election had Obama actually told the truth, the MSM done their job and the American voters had done theirs.
UPDATE I: From The Hill, Obama and Democrats hit new lows and are in complete panic. The lies and Democrat support of the lies have finally caught up to them. There is going to be hell to pay for defrauding the American people.
Another bogus poll Gives Obama the lead…
With just five days to go before the 2012 Presidential election, the final CBS/NY Times/Quinnipiac poll is out and it has Barack Obama in the lead in Ohio, Florida and Virginia. Pie in the sky sampling gives Obama lead in poll of three swing states.
Mr. Obama now leads Romney 50 percent to 45 percent among likely voters in Ohio – exactly where the race stood on Oct. 22. His lead in Florida, however, has shrunk from nine points in September to just one point in the new survey, which shows Mr. Obama with 48 percent support and Romney with 47 percent. The president’s lead in Virginia has shrunk from five points in early October to two points in the new survey, which shows him with a 49 percent to 47 percent advantage.
However, not so fast. The small Obama lead was a result of questionable over-sampling of Democrats. As stated by Hot Air, at least the poll is consistent in their over-sampling. The CBS/NY Times/Quinnipiac polls used the following sampling, FL: 37D/30R/29I, OH: 37D/29R/30I, VA: 35D/27R/35I. The +7D in Florida, +8D in Ohio and +8D in Virginia os greater than the 2008 one in a life time wave election of Obama in 2008. No one thinks that Obama will find lighting in a bottle and recreate 2008. So why does this poll them skew the sample as if Obama will?
In each of these three states, the CBS/NYT/Q-poll shows Republicans at a lower percentage level of turnout than in the 2008 election. If one makes that assumption, it’s not too difficult to be guess that Obama might be ahead. However, that’s exactly the opposite of what all other polls rating enthusiasm are telling us what the electorate will look like on Tuesday. In fact, it’s not even what this poll shows, with Republican enthusiasm +16 over Democrats in Florida, +14 in Ohio, and +7 in Virginia.
The PJ Tatler has more on the under-sampling of Republicans in polls in order to give the appearance of Obama in the lead.
I have to ask, what do these polling outfits think they are accomplishing? No one in the future will deem them credible, so why skew a poll? If one needs to over-sample Democrats in order to show he has a lead, what good is this? No one but no one believes that the turnout will be like 2008 for Obama in 2012. If anything, Romney and the GOP have the enthusiasm on their side.
The end result is that there are going to be many polling folks with egg on their face and a lot of explaining to do on November 7th. At some point in the future polls are going to have to be checked for their sincerity prior to being released as a news. All polls are not created equal and the liberal MSM obviously has slanted much of this data to favor their candidate.
UPDATE I: If the Q-poll cannot be trusted for a +8D sampling for an Obama lead, the same has to be said for thinking that the VA Senate race is not skewed as well.
Kaine is now ahead of Allen, 50 to 46 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll. The Republican has gained ground since earlier in October, when Kaine was up 51 to 44 percent in the same poll. Among independent voters in the most recent poll, Allen was ahead of Kaine, 56 to 38 percent, according to Quinnipiac. In contrast, the poll earlier this month showed independents supporting Kaine over Allen, 51 to 42 percent.
Mitt Romney Leads Barack Obama in a CBS/NY Times Poll 46% – 43% … Yes, that is Correct in a CBS/NY Times Poll
WOW, Mitt Romney even leads President Barack Obama in a CBS/NY Times poll, 46% to 43%.
Yes, you read that correctly. Barack Obama finds himself behind the presumptive GOP Presidential candidate Romney by 3%. The trending for Obama is becoming troublesome for the “first Gay President”. In February 2012 Obama lead Romney 48%-42%, in March 2012 Obama lead 47%-44%, in April 2012 Obama and Romney were tied at 46% and presently Romney leads by 3%. That is a 9% swing since February. Did we mention that this was a CBS/NY Times poll?
Presumptive Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has a slight edge over President Obama in the race for the White House in the latest CBS News/New York Times poll.
According to the survey, conducted May 11-13, 46 percent of registered voters say they would vote for Romney, while 43 percent say they would opt for Mr. Obama. Romney’s slight advantage remains within the poll’s margin of error, which is plus or minus four percentage points.
Last month, a CBS News/New York Times poll showed Mr. Obama and Romney locked in a dead heat, with both earning 46 percent support among registered voters. Polls conducted in February and March showed Mr. Obama with an advantage over Romney, while a January poll showed Romney edging out Mr. Obama 47 percent to 45 percent. Another January poll showed the two tied.
As stated at NRO, Obama’s gay marriage decision to go “gay for pay” appears to have hurt him significantly in the polls.More than not individuals are now less likely to vote for Obama because of his position on gay marriage.
Overall, the CBS/NYT poll found that 25 percent of voters are less likely to back Obama because of his new position on gay marriage, while 16 percent are more likely. Twelve percent of Democrats, 23 percent of independents, and 43 percent of Republicans are less likely to support him.
Even though RCP still has the average polling with Obama up by 1.4% over Romney, if one only looks at the most recent polling after 5/7/2012, Romney is trending up and in the lead by 2.0%.
UPDATE I: Hot Air has the polling sample that was used for this poll. WOW … The weighted sample of registered voters: 36D/30R/34I, which is right in line with most national polls.