No Wonder Obama Wants to Distract from the Econnomy … Romney Takes Lead in Wisconsin and Michigan

Don’t look now Team Obama, but you appear to be losing the Mid-West.

According to recent polling data, Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan has taken the lead in the Midwest states of Wisconsin and Michigan. Could this be true? Wisconsin does not come as that much of a surprise, although it should see that Obama won Wisconsin in 2008 by double digits. So, a state that Obma won by 13% in 2008, Wisconsin is now an official swing state in 2012.  However, if Michigan is in play for Romney and they force Obama to spend money in a state that Obama won 57% to 41% in 2008.

As reported at The Hill, according to a recent PPP poll Romney edges Obama 48% to 47%. This comes in the wake of Rasmussen and CNN polls that seem to suggest the same. Check out the trending polling data toward Romney at RCP.

That’s a 7 percentage point gain for Romney, who trailed Obama 50 to 44 in the previous PPP poll, taken in July, before Rep. Ryan (R-Wis.) was added to the GOP ticket.

It’s the second consecutive survey of Wisconsin to find Romney has overtaken the president following the selection of Ryan as his running mate. A survey earlier this month from conservative-leaning polling outlet Rasmussen also gave Romney a 48-47 lead in the state.

In a new Foster McCollum White Baydoun poll, Romney now leads in Michigan. over Barack Obama 47.68% to 43.88%. According to RCP Obama still leads in Michigan, however, if Michigan is actually in play, Obama is in deep, deep trouble.

FMWB says this will be a significant blow to Democratic campaign efforts, native son Mitt Romney has climbed into the lead in Michigan’s Presidential contest. The naming of Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan has delivered a targeted affect on the Michigan and Midwest campaign dynamics. We ballot tested the Presidential candidates and we also tested the following two areas of initial campaign impact and awareness:
•Congressman Ryan’s impact on voters’ decision to vote for Mitt Romney.
•Congressman Ryan’s controversial 2012 fiscal budget plan and voters support or opposition to the plan.

It is FMWB’s conclusion that the results to these questions will help initially either validate Ryan’s selection or provide messaging for Democrats that Ryan is not acceptable to the voters. As our data outlines, currently Romney and Ryan are received positively enough to help vault Romney into the lead. Our aggregate findings for this section are as follows:

Question 1:

The 2012 United States Presidential election will be held on November 6, 2012. Who are you more likely to vote for in the election??

(Barack Obama):                                                                                  43.88%
(Mitt Romney):                                                                                     47.68%
(Another candidate):                                                                              3.96%
(Undecided):

Full poll results can be read HERE.

As the Lonely Conservative states … since when has Michigan been a swing state? This appears to be the new normal for Obama in 2012. A failed four year first term that has done little to nothing to help Americans out of their economic plight and is making things worse will cause many 2008 “Hope & Change” states to shift. As Powerline commented, “All of this is as it should be, given Obama’s terrible record. I suspect that Michigan will not be the last state that unexpectedly proves competitive.”

The end result is Obama is going to have to spend millions in order to defend what many thought would have been safe “blue” states in 2012.

Brian in a Blue State.

Tar Heel Trouble … President Barack Obama Losing Support Among Black Voters in North Carolina

Romney receives 20% of Black vote!!!

In 2008 Presidential election Barack Obama received 95% of the black vote in North Carolina. However, that was then, this is now.  This is no Fox News poll or Rasmussen as the Left would be so quick to come out with. Its a PPP poll … yikes! According to a recent Left leaning PPP poll, Mitt Romney garnered 20% of the black vote, while Obama only received 76%. That’s it, 76%? Is that really possible? Did Obama’s endorsement of gay marriage and upsetting pastors of black churches following the North Carolina primaries and the passage a constitutional ban on such unions really have had that much of an effect? In PPP’s May poll, Obama received 87% of the African-American vote to Romney’s 11%. .

Barack Obama reading the latest PPP poll

President Barack Obama is rapidly losing support among African-American voters in North Carolina, a new poll out today from the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling shows.

The poll finds that Mitt Romney would get 20 percent of the African-American vote if the election were held today, compared with 76 percent for Obama. Overall, Romney has a 48 percent to 46 percent lead on Obama in the crucial swing state.

The Obama polling slide has been a trend in North Carolina. Mitt Romney has surged into the lead in the ‘Tar Heal’ state including leading in the all important independent vote. One has to wonder if Obama will struggle in other Southern states with blacks? Could African-Americans be tired of Obama’s promises of jobs and no action? Under Obama blacks have had the highest unemployment rate in 27 years. If Obama only gets 76% of the black vote in key swing states, he is finished.

One thing is certain … There will be no great enthusiasm for Obama in 2012. The record number of voters to the polls for Obama will be a thing of the past.

Mitt Romney Takes Lead in PPP Poll in Pennsylvania … Santorum Will Certainly Exit Race if He Loses the Keystone State

GOP Presidential primary hopeful Rick Santorum has been defiant in remaining in the primary race even after last Tuesday’s clean sweep by Mitt Romney and the fact that Santorum trails badly in the delegates count. Pennsylvania was supposed to be Santorum’s fire wall and the spring board back into relevance. Maybe not.

However, what happens if Santorum loses his home state of Pennsylvania? According to a recent PPP poll, Romney now leads in PA.Romney now leads Santorm 42% to 37% which marks a 17% gain by Romney in just one month and a 6% loss by Santorum. What is good for one goose, should be also the same for the other. There was much talk heading into the Michigan primaries, that if Romney lost the state that he should step down. Would not the same be true for Santorum?

Mitt Romney’s taken the lead in PPP’s newest poll of Rick Santorum’s home state of Pennsylvania. Romney has 42% to 37% for Santorum with Ron Paul at 9% and Newt Gingrich at 6%. The numbers represent a dramatic turnaround from when PPP polled the state a month ago. Romney’s gained 17 points, going from 25% to 42%. Meanwhile Santorum’s dropped 6 points from 43% to 37%, for an overall swing of 23 points in the last four weeks.

Pennsylvania Republicans are expressing major doubts about Santorum’s viability both in the primary and the general election. Only 36% of GOP voters think Santorum has a realistic chance at the nomination to 54% who believe he does not. And when it comes to matching up against Barack Obama in the fall only 24% of Republicans think Santorum would provide their best chance for a victory while 49% think that designation belongs to Romney.

With all due respect to Rick Santorum and his aspirations, if you can’t win your home state … goodbye to you. Or will Santorum drop out before such an embarrassing loss in Pennsylvania?

Romney Did Win Big in Nevada Despite Caucus Voting Chaos, Up in Colorado, Arizona & Michigan … Close Call in Minnesota

It would appear that Romney is going to dominate February …

The Nevada Caucuses took place Saturday and Mitt Romney was declared the winner; however, they have still yet to count all of the caucus votes. What is going on with the caucus system in the US. First Iowa was a fiasco in that they declared Romney the winner, only to later learn that Santorum won. However, in Nevada Romney will still be the winner as he was up big with about 73% of the voting counted, the problem is that the final 25% counting. Whether they want to get the vote counts correct or not to avoid the embarrassment to Iowa, the fact of the matter is that the lack of timely counting still leaves egg on Caucus system faces.

And, still, party officials in Nevada’s largest county continue to count the vote.

“We are going to get this right,” Clark County Chairman David Gibbs told the Las Vegas Sun today. “If it takes us a little bit of time to get it rights, we are going to take the time.”

As the GOP primary candidates look to future states, Romney appears top be up in Colorado, Arizona and Michigan … however, the race is too close to call in Minnesota.

Republican Florida Primary: Consensus Polls Show Mitt Romney Up Big in Florida Over Newt Gingrich

It appears that the Republican Florida primary may be called when the polls close …

The Florida primary is a two man race and according to most all polls, Mitt Romney has a lead over Newt Gingrich. Check out the numerous polls HERE that have Romney well ahead in the Sunshine state. At RCP average polling, Romney is up by double digits over Gingrich by 11.3%. Looks like it may be over thin FLA.

Mitt Romney up big in latest Marist/NBC poll. With just days to go before the all important Florida primary that may determine who shall win the GOP Presidential nomination, Romney up by 15% over Gingrich.

PPP has Romney up as well and the trend is strong movement away from Newt Gingrich and toward Mitt Romney.

According to a Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald/Tampa Bay Times poll released late Saturday night, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney leads former GOP Speaker Newt Gingrich by 11 points. However, even more noticeable is that the poll shows that Romney is also leads President Barack Obama in a hypothetical match up 48% to 44%.

Gingrich is badly trailing Romney by 11 percentage points, garnering just 31 percent of likely Republican voters heading into Tuesday’s presidential primary, according to a Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald/Tampa Bay Times poll released late Saturday night.
President Barack Obama should be wary as well. Romney beats Obama by a 48-44 percent spread — a lead inside the error-margin, however — in a theoretical general-election matchup, the poll shows.

In the Republican primary, Romney’s lead looks insurmountable. It cuts across geographic, ethnic and gender lines. And the poll indicates Romney’s attack on Gingrich as a Freddie Mac insider is a hit with GOP voters.

As stated by Hugh Hewitt, Gingrich got some help from Sarah Palin and Herman Cain, but it has come too late because Newt built his candidacy on a promise built on a premise, both of which have been shattered this past week. Gingrich is supposed to be able to hammer Obama in a debate; however, Newt hardly accomplished that this past week against Romney. That is one thing that Newt will not be afforded if he ever did win the GOP nomination. There is no way a stumbling Obama with no teleprompter would ever agree to more than 2 or 3 debates.

The promise was that he could thrash President Obama in the debates and the premise is that there would be many debates just like the one in which he successfully jammed John King.

Of course Newt’s two bad debates this week (with Thursday’s being especially lousy) blew up the foundation for Newt’s campaign, and while the Speaker and his die-hard supporters want to blame various factors –the crowd, Romney’s claims etc– the average Florida voter got two previews of coming attractions and are judging the Speaker according to what they saw not by what he says they should have seen.

All the complaining in the world regarding the MSM because when running against President Obama, the One will have the liberal state run media in his back pocket looking to put their guy in office for 4 more years.