Don’t look now Team Obama, but you appear to be losing the Mid-West.
According to recent polling data, Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan has taken the lead in the Midwest states of Wisconsin and Michigan. Could this be true? Wisconsin does not come as that much of a surprise, although it should see that Obama won Wisconsin in 2008 by double digits. So, a state that Obma won by 13% in 2008, Wisconsin is now an official swing state in 2012. However, if Michigan is in play for Romney and they force Obama to spend money in a state that Obama won 57% to 41% in 2008.
As reported at The Hill, according to a recent PPP poll Romney edges Obama 48% to 47%. This comes in the wake of Rasmussen and CNN polls that seem to suggest the same. Check out the trending polling data toward Romney at RCP.
That’s a 7 percentage point gain for Romney, who trailed Obama 50 to 44 in the previous PPP poll, taken in July, before Rep. Ryan (R-Wis.) was added to the GOP ticket.
It’s the second consecutive survey of Wisconsin to find Romney has overtaken the president following the selection of Ryan as his running mate. A survey earlier this month from conservative-leaning polling outlet Rasmussen also gave Romney a 48-47 lead in the state.
In a new Foster McCollum White Baydoun poll, Romney now leads in Michigan. over Barack Obama 47.68% to 43.88%. According to RCP Obama still leads in Michigan, however, if Michigan is actually in play, Obama is in deep, deep trouble.
FMWB says this will be a significant blow to Democratic campaign efforts, native son Mitt Romney has climbed into the lead in Michigan’s Presidential contest. The naming of Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan has delivered a targeted affect on the Michigan and Midwest campaign dynamics. We ballot tested the Presidential candidates and we also tested the following two areas of initial campaign impact and awareness:
•Congressman Ryan’s impact on voters’ decision to vote for Mitt Romney.
•Congressman Ryan’s controversial 2012 fiscal budget plan and voters support or opposition to the plan.
It is FMWB’s conclusion that the results to these questions will help initially either validate Ryan’s selection or provide messaging for Democrats that Ryan is not acceptable to the voters. As our data outlines, currently Romney and Ryan are received positively enough to help vault Romney into the lead. Our aggregate findings for this section are as follows:
The 2012 United States Presidential election will be held on November 6, 2012. Who are you more likely to vote for in the election??
(Barack Obama): 43.88%
(Mitt Romney): 47.68%
(Another candidate): 3.96%
Full poll results can be read HERE.
As the Lonely Conservative states … since when has Michigan been a swing state? This appears to be the new normal for Obama in 2012. A failed four year first term that has done little to nothing to help Americans out of their economic plight and is making things worse will cause many 2008 “Hope & Change” states to shift. As Powerline commented, “All of this is as it should be, given Obama’s terrible record. I suspect that Michigan will not be the last state that unexpectedly proves competitive.”
The end result is Obama is going to have to spend millions in order to defend what many thought would have been safe “blue” states in 2012.
Brian in a Blue State.