It’s Official, CNN Has Moved Wisconsin Moves to a True Toss Up State for the 2012 Electorial Map


It would appear that Rep. Paul Ryan (WI-R) has all the right stuff and was a great choice by Mitt Romney o he his VP on the GOP 2012 Presidential ticket. According to CNN and recent polls following the addition of Ryan as the Republican VP candidate, Wisconsin has been moved to a “true” toss up state in the 2012 electoral map. What a difference 4 years makes. In 2008 Obama defeated McCain in Wisconsin 56% to 43%, now it’s a toss up. If a double digit Obama win in 2008 is now a toss up in 2012 … Obama, you have a problem and not just in Wisconsin.

Biden to Obama: This is a big F’n deal, Wisconsin is not a toss up state.

CNN Thursday turned the important battleground state of Wisconsin from “lean Obama” to true “toss up” on its electoral map, in the wake of Mitt Romney’s naming of House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan, a seven term congressman from the Badger state, as his running mate.

With Wisconsin’s move to true “toss up,” the CNN Electoral Map now suggests Obama leading in states with a combined 237 electoral votes, Romney ahead in states with a combined 206 electoral votes, and states with 95 electoral votes up for grabs. 270 electoral votes are needed with win the White House.

While Obama won Wisconsin by double digits, Sen. John Kerry, the 2004 Democratic nominee, narrowly captured the Badger State, over President George W. Bush, and Vice President Al Gore edged out Bush in the state in the 2000 contest. It appears the 2012 contest in Wisconsin will be much closer to those competitive contests than the 2008 election.

Even though the CNN poll has Obama still ahead it is important to point oit that it is with registered voters. When polling “likely” voters, Rasmussen has Romney ahead by 1%. However, CNN did not release the partisan demographic breakdown of those polled so its impossible to see just how weighted this poll was for Democrats. Much more analysis at Hot Air.

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  • Barack Obama in Real Trouble in Battle Ground States that he Won in 2008 … Pennsylvania, the Keystone Electoral State
  • Barack Obama Falling in the Polls … Just in Time for Larry Sabato’s First 2012 Electoral Map

  • Comments

    4 Responses to “It’s Official, CNN Has Moved Wisconsin Moves to a True Toss Up State for the 2012 Electorial Map”

    1. WEBIII on August 17th, 2012 10:05 am

      It looks like I’m not the only one noticing that these poll takers are not as forthcoming about their partisan demographic breakdown as they were when Barry was leading in all the polls. They don’t want us to know how bad they’re oversampling democrats anymore.

    2. A Texas Grandfather on August 17th, 2012 1:15 pm

      If the TEA party and Truethevote people can sufficiently watch the vote to prevent the typical Democrat multi-vote schemes, R & R may win.

    3. RK on August 17th, 2012 9:14 pm

      #2: What in the world is a “multi-vote scheme?” Seems like Google has nothing much to find.

    4. No Wonder Obama Wants to Distract from the Econnomy … Romney Takes Lead in Wisconsin and Michigan | Scared Monkeys on August 22nd, 2012 7:35 am

      [...] see that Obama won Wisconsin in 2008 by double digits. So, a state that Obma won by 13% in 2008, Wisconsin is now an official swing state in 2012.  However, if Michigan is in play for Romney and they force Obama to spend money in a [...]

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