Is Romney Having a Late Surge in Colorado, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Minnesota?

MITTMENTUM …

There have been so many polls and so many divergent polling models that have oversampled democrats that something is going to have to give come election day. The voter turnout will make the difference and it is hard to believe that democrats will come out for Obama as they did in 2008. Romney has the enthusiasm on his side. They question is whether it will be enough to carry him over the finish line.

That being said, there appears to be a late surge for Mitt Romney just two days before the 2012 Presidential election. Recent polls  from Rasmussen have Romney up in Colorado, 50%-47%.

A Pittsburgh Tribune poll out today has the race a tie in the Keystone state. TIED, PENNSYLVANIA? Is this the reason why Romney bout ads and is going to Pennsylvania in the days heading up to the election.

“They’re both in here because of exactly what you’re seeing” in this poll, said Jim Lee, president of Susquehanna Polling & Research, which surveyed 800 likely voters Oct. 29-31. Most of the interviews occurred after Hurricane Sandy inundated Eastern and Central Pennsylvania. The poll’s error margin is 3.46 percentage points.

Nearly 60 percent of people say the country is on the wrong track, and economic concerns continue to dominate. Almost half of likely voters say economic issues are the primary driver of their choice for president.

We had previously discussed the rather surprising poll out of Michigan.

The battleground state of Ohio has conflicting polls. The Hill had Romney over Obama 49% – 47%. The Columbus Dispatch has their poll going to Obama 50% to 48%.  However, the poll sampling is 40% Democrat, 36% Republican, 21% independent.

The Gateway Pundit has a list of many positive polls for GOP Presidential challenger Romney that could sweep him to victory. The PJ Tatler says that Romney has “mittmentum” in in PA, MI and even NY!

And now for the unheard of, in deep blue Minnesota, among likely voters Romney is actually leading Obama, 47% to 46%. Really folks if Obama is not going to win sold blue states like Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin by double digits, he has a real problem.

Dead Heat in Michigan? Foster McCollum White Baydoun Poll has Romney 47% and Obama 47%

Hmm, is Michigan really in play and a tie going into election day? According to a brand new poll from Foster McCollum White Baydoun  the race is tied at 47%.

Republican Nominee Mitt Romney 46.86%
President Barack Obama 46.24%
Another candidate 4.94%
Undecided 1.96%

Foster McCollum White Baydoun (FMW)B, a national public opinion polling and voter analytics consulting firm based in Michigan and representing the combined resources of Foster McCollum White & Associates (Troy Michigan) and Baydoun Consulting (Dearborn Michigan) conducted a telephone-automated polling random survey of Michigan registered and most likely November 2012 General election voters for Fox 2 News Detroit to determine their voting and issue preferences on the Presidential election.

I find it a bit hard to believe the race is tied in Michigan. However, I also find it a bit unimaginable that that a failed president like Obama is even being considered for reelection.

If this turns out to be true and Michigan is tied or say Obama wins the state by single digits, that could be troubling for Obama in OH, PA, MN. In 2008 Obama won Michigan easily by 16%. One has to wonder that with Obama’s auto bailout how come he is not ahead in Michigan by +20?

Obama Panic Alert … Ohio Democrats Already Down 270,000 Votes From 2008

Team Obama, his minions and the in the tank liberal MSM have touted that Obama was overwhelmingly ahead in his ground game and early voting. NOT SO FAST.

Last night Senator Rob Portman (OH-R) spoke with Sean Hannity discussing voting in Ohio and Mitt Romney’s chances of victory. According to latest reports, 230,000 fewer Democrats have voted early in Ohio this year. Also in contrast, 40,000 more Republicans have voted early in Ohio this year.

Gallup states that Romney is up by 7 over Obama in early voting. We will only know on election eve who has been telling the truth when it comes voter turnout.

2012 Presidential Election: Is Minnesota Really in Play for Romney?

Minnesota a battleground state?

A virtual tie in Minnesota between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama? Really, could this be true? The mere fact that we are talking about it this late in the game for the 2012 Presidential election is hardly a good think for President Obama.

According to a Minnesota Star Tribune poll, Mitt Romney only trails Obama by 3 points, 47% to 44%. Just last month Obama had an 8 percent lead in the Land of 10,000 Lakes. This is eye brow raising to say the least.

As the presidential race tightens across the country, a new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll has found that it is narrowing here as well, with President Obama holding a 3-point lead and Republican Mitt Romney making gains in the state.

The poll shows Obama with support from 47 percent of likely voters and Romney earning backing from 44 percent — a lead within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Last month, Obama had an 8-percentage point advantage in the Minnesota Poll. Romney has apparently cut into the Democrat’s advantage among women since then and picked up support from Minnesotans who were previously undecided or said they would vote for a third-party candidate.

Hot Air has a breakdown of the voting demographics and how Obama is struggling mightily. Obama won Minnesota in 2008 by 10% over John McCain, with Obama only polling at 47% with less than 10 days to go, that can’t be good for Team Obama.

In 2008, Obama had a 19-point edge in the gender gap, +3 among men and +16 among women.  This time, Obama has only a +1 — he’s up 14 among women but down 13 among men.  Obama still leads by 6 among independents, which he won by 17 points in 2008, but he’s only got 43%.  Late breakers are not likely to flow to the incumbent at this stage of the election; if the were inclined to support Obama, they’d already be in his corner now.

That’s true of the overall number as well. If Obama can only get to 47% in the Star Tribune poll with nine days left to go before the election in Minnesota, which has gone Democrat every presidential election over the last four years, this state is in play — and that’s why both campaigns are suddenly starting to spend money here.

If Minnesota is truly a battleground state in 2012 and Obama has to worry about losing the state, he could be in for a long, long election night.

UPDATE I: Blue Crab Boulevard asks, could this be another “wave” election? It is possible as Obama is under performing in many states that he easily won in 2008. States that he barely and surprisingly won in 2008 like Indiana, North Carolina, Colorado, New Hampshire, Florida and Virgina are all but gone in 2012. However, it is states like Minnesota, Wisconsin, Nevada and Pennsylvania that he easily won in 2008 that are actually in play this close to election. Even in solid blue states like New Jersey, California and Connecticut, Obama is under performing.

It Looks Like Its Over in Florida, Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9 Poll Along I-4 Corridor Has Romney Ahead Obama 51% to 45% Among Likely Voters

It appears the fat lady may be singing in Florida …

According to a recent poll in the battleground state of Florida, the Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9 poll of likely voters along the I-4 corridor finds Mitt Romney leading Barack Obama 51%  to 45%. According to RCP, Romney is up by 1.8% and all polls have him leading. Doug Ross remind us that Suffolk had stopped polling in Florida. It does seem that the Romney camp can count FLA in the win category.

It has been a fundamental rule of Florida politics for decades: Statewide campaigns are won and lost on the I-4 corridor.

Today that celebrated swing-voter swath stretching from Tampa Bay to Daytona Beach is poised to deliver Florida’s 29 electoral votes to Mitt Romney.

An exclusive Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9 poll of likely voters along the Interstate 4 corridor finds Romney leading Obama 51 percent to 45 percent, with 4 percent undecided.

“Romney has pretty much nailed down Florida,” said Brad Coker of Mason-Dixon Polling and Research, which conducted the poll for the Times and its media partners. “Unless something dramatically changes — an October surprise, a major gaffe — Romney’s going to win Florida.”

Just the other day Romney drew massive crowds in Pensacola.