GOP and Democrat Primaries: Its Not About the Wins and Losses, Its About the Delegates

ITS ALL ABOUT THE DELEGATES …

Don’t let the pundits spin you with wins and losses, especially during the early primaries that are not winner take all. Below is a “Viewer’s Guide: After Super Tuesday, Cold Hard Delegate Math.”  The state primaries have some of the most convoluted mathematical calculations to determine the allocation of delegates, it makes ones head hurt. The delegate numbers will still change after the Super Tuesday ones are allocated to see whether candidates met certain thresholds. For example, Marco Rubio did not have a bad night because he only won one state last night in Minnesota, he had a bad night because he failed to meet the the delegate threshold in a couple of delegate rich states, like Texas. The Politico has 5 takes aways. Take them for what they are worth.

But with the Democrats its not just about the delegates, its about the “Super Delegates” that have unfairly stacked the deck against Bernie Sanders.

Presidential candidates will wake up Wednesday morning to the cold, hard truth of delegate math. It might give the front-runners some breathing room, but for the rest of the field, the truth may hurt.

What to watch for on the day after Super Tuesday doles out a quarter of all the delegates at stake in the GOP and Democratic nominating contests:

THE TALLY: With 12 states awarding delegates, see how the delegate totals stack up when the dust settles.

With some delegates still to be allocated, Donald Trump had won at least 192 Super Tuesday delegates and Ted Cruz at least 132. Marco Rubio had won at least 66 delegates, John Kasich 19 and Ben Carson three. There were 595 GOP delegates at stake in 11 states.

Overall, Trump led with 274 delegates, Cruz 149, Rubio 82. It takes 1,237 delegates to win the Republican nomination for president.

On the Democratic side, Clinton was assured of winning at least 457 of the 865 delegates at stake on Super Tuesday. Sanders was sure to get at least 286. Including superdelegates, Clinton had at least 1,005 delegates. Sanders had at least 373. It takes 2,383 Democratic delegates to win.

Daily Commentary – Wednesday, March 2, 2016 – As I Record This We Don’t Know the Super Tuesday Primary Results Yet

• My question is, will Marco Rubio win any states at? Will Trump come out as the big winner?

UPDATE I: SUPER TUESDAY – Republican Primaries: Donald Trump Projected to Win in Alabama, Georgia, Massachusetts and Tennessee

UPDATE II: SUPER TUESDAY Republican Primary: FOX NEWS Projects Ted Cruz Will Win Texas GOP Primary

UPDATE III: Trump and Clinton Win 7 states, Cruz 3 and Sanders 4.

SUPER TUESDAY Republican Primary: FOX NEWS Projects Ted Cruz Will Win Texas GOP Primary

With 32% of the vote in … FOX News is calling Texas for Sen. Ted Cruz.

Ted Cruz had to win Texas and he did!

Though Mr. Cruz was viewed as the favorite on the Republican side, his campaign was concerned enough about the outcome to spend precious time campaigning here in recent days when it could have been chasing votes across the “Super Tuesday” map.

Still, the victory provided a needed lift to Mr. Cruz’s delegate count, and a powerful argument against the other Republicans chasing Mr. Trump: Mr. Cruz is the one who has actually beaten him — here and in Iowa. Earlier on Tuesday, Mr. Cruz sought to turn up the pressure on Senator Marco Rubio, whose own home state, Florida, votes March 15.

“There is no doubt that any candidate who cannot win his home state has real problems,” Mr. Cruz said.

It would appear that Ted Cruz will win Texas and out-perform the RCP average polling.

UPDATE I: Ted Cruz is projected to pull out two big victories over Donald Trump

Ted Cruz picked up at least two big victories in the Super Tuesday contests, as he was projected to win the Texas and Oklahoma Republican primaries.

Cruz won the Republican presidential primary in his home state of Texas, multiple outlets and television networks projected. Shortly afterward, The Associated Press projected that Cruz would win Oklahoma’s primary.

The senator pulled out the victories over Republican frontrunner Donald Trump, delivering the mogul his most significant setbacks of an otherwise strong night.

SUPER TUESDAY – Republican Primaries: Donald Trump Projected to Win in Alabama, Georgia, Massachusetts and Tennessee

Donald Trump Projected to Win in Alabama, Georgia, Massachusetts and Tennessee …

WAPO is projecting that Donald Trump is the projected winner in Alabama, Georgia, Massachusetts and Tennessee.

Billionaire Donald Trump has been projected to win at least four of the states that held Republican primaries on “Super Tuesday,” with results in four other still too close to call.

Trump has been projected as the winner in Alabama, Georgia, Massachusetts and Tennessee, according to Edison Media Research. In early returns, Trump seemed very dominant in those states – he was up double digits in all, and in several states his share of the vote neared 50 percent. With those wins, Trump has more than doubled his victory total in this GOP primary season: He has now won seven states. His opponents have won just one so far.

GEORGIA

ALABAMA

MASSACHUSETTS

TENNESSEE

Now the watch is to see if Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio can maintain the delegate threshold.

SUPER TUESDAY: Socialist Bernie Sanders Wins Vermont Over Clinton … Probably the Only State He Will Win

VERMONT FEELS THE BERN …

Socialist Bernie Sanders is the projected winner for the People’s Republic of Vermont.  The Burlington Free Press is stating that Bernie Sanders is the winner of the Democrat primary over Hillary Clinton in Vermont. However, it appears that it is going to be a long night for the self-proclaimed socialist.

Bernie Sanders is the projected winner of  Vermont Democratic presidential primary.

His rival for the nomination, Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, was projected to win Georgia and Virginia, according to calls made by news networks including The Associated Press and CNN moments after the polls closed at 7 p.m. Tuesday.

With less than 1 percent of the returns in, the democratic socialist from Vermont was projected to best former Secretary of State Clinton by a wide margin.

UPDATE I: Wow, Sanders wins Oklahoma, Minnesota, Colorado and a close second in Massachusetts.