Florida Battle Ground State? Barack Obama can Soon be Saying Goodbye to the Sunshine State


Florida is close to being taken off the table as a battleground state and painted red.

Could Barack Obama being saying goodbye to Florida? With 350 paid staffers, 50 field offices and spending an estimated $8 million in campaign ads in the “Battle ground” Sunshine state, Obama may soon be saying goodbye to Florida. With all the money, assets and resources used in Florida there is little to show for Team Obama. As stated in the St. Petersburg Times, Obama is farther behind in the state than John Kerry was at this point in 2004, even though McCain began buying Florida TV ads only last week.


Florida will not be dealing with hanging chads in 2008

Presently, Real Clear Politics has McCain/Palin slightly ahead in the electoral college.

He is farther behind in the state than John Kerry was at this point in 2004, even though McCain began buying Florida TV ads only last week. By this time in 2004, the Bush-Cheney campaign had spent $13-million on Florida TV. In the rolling average of Florida polls compiled by the Web site RealClearPolitics.com, Obama has never taken the lead over McCain in Florida, and the latest average shows him behind by 5 percentage points. They were tied in early August.

Four Florida polls came out this week, with one showing a tied race, the others showing McCain leading by 5 to 8 percentage points.

“They’ve had everything going for them — momentum, enthusiasm, money, a complicit national press, a stiff wind at his back for a long time, and he hasn’t been able pull ahead in Florida,” said Republican strategist Alberto Martinez of Tallahassee. “I think Florida is one of those states that’s taken off the board pretty soon, as they start focusing resources on states they can win.”

According to The Other McCain there are three main reasons for Obama’s failings in Florida … the military vote, the Cuban-American vote and the geezer vote. Of course how does one expect to attract the senior vote when Obama mocks McCain’s disability for not being able to use email. Also, as discussed at The American Spectator it is remarkable just how thrown off their game and disorientated the Obama campaign has become since McCain picked Sarah Palin to be his VP.

I’ll leave it to others to fret over Sarah Palin’s unpreparedness, and instead point out how unprepared Democrats were for Palin. The most revealing fact is that, when Team Obama listed nine GOP vice-presidential possibilities as “The Next Cheney,” Palin’s name wasn’t on the list. The reason Democrats’ initial attacks were so wildly off-target was that the Obama campaign hadn’t prepared a full oppo-research file on Palin.

The Palin effect phenomenon continues as several states where Obama had leads are all but dwindling. By no stretch of the imagination is the election in the bag for Republicans; however, the trending is in their favor and the McCain campaign is hardly going to make the inexperienced mistakes that the Obama campaign has made.

If you liked this post, you may also like these:

  • Mason-Dixon: Another Poll has Obama Losing in 2012 Presidential Election, Polling Badly in Florida
  • Mason-Dixon Poll: Mitt Romney & Mike Huckabee Lead Obama in Florida
  • Obama’s Gaffes … Little Mr. Sunshine … Where are we Again Sweetie? … This Time its all About Sunshine
  • Barack Obama in Real Trouble in Battle Ground States that he Won in 2008 … Pennsylvania, the Keystone Electoral State
  • Hey Barack Aloha Means Goodbye … Obama Even Struggling in Polls in Hawaii

  • Comments

    9 Responses to “Florida Battle Ground State? Barack Obama can Soon be Saying Goodbye to the Sunshine State”

    1. caesu on September 13th, 2008 1:33 pm

      obama doesn’t really need florida anyway.
      if he gets all kerry states.
      he needs only one or two more and he has won.

    2. Maggie on September 13th, 2008 2:46 pm

      Daughter lives in Florida..she is voting for McCain/Palin.

    3. idiot patrol on September 13th, 2008 3:01 pm


      Obama needs all the states he can get.

      There is no guarantee Obama will pick up Kerry states.

      NH, MI and even WA are in question.

      With all battleground states and even some states that were well in hand for Obama trending towards McCain. Obama needs much help

    4. dennisintn on September 13th, 2008 5:22 pm

      i think palin will win florida because the voter population is older and recognizes from experience the lies he tells from one day to another. they also recognize the danger in electing someone who never admits mistakes, even to himself. they also remember clinton making the same big promises to cut taxes and then said he couldn’t do it after he took office.

    5. dennisintn on September 13th, 2008 5:25 pm

      floridians are also smart enough to realize that the economy started losing ground shortly after the democrats took control over congress 2 years ago. something obama strenuously avoids mentioning in his speeches.

    6. Richard on September 13th, 2008 8:39 pm

      I don’t think that anybody, Republican or Democrat, expected the VP choice to be Palin.
      But so far, it seems to have been an astute move.

      Wasn’t it just over a year ago that the media, in their omniscence, were saying that Hillary Clinton had the Democratic nomination wrapped up, and that John McCain was a no-chance outsider?

      Ah, well, that was yesterday … who remembers?

    7. whodathunkit on September 14th, 2008 6:02 am

      Polls and surveys are great. They give you a limited view of who you surveyed or who answered the polls. Its Obama all the way from the people we have talked to in the North Florida area. There are some McCain supporters, but they are having second thoughts since he picked Palin. He shouldn’t have played the “gender card”.

    8. Axel Weiss on September 23rd, 2008 7:22 am

      As an international real estate broker in Bradenton, Florida we definitely need a much better PR department with our next president.

      Bush ruined our reputation in the world, basically not because of what he did. It is more how he communicated it.

      Hopefully the next president will put emphasis on that.

      Thanks Axel Weiss, Weiss & Weiss International

    9. gene on October 7th, 2008 2:10 pm

      Are you joking palin is more qualified and fit to be president then obama will ever be. bush did nothing but protect america like he is supposed to do . that’s his duties. i have never seen a man dumped on so much for doing his job. but that’s what happens when democrats start believing that a lie is the truth and the truth is a lie. palin just told some idiots in florida that her son is in iraq fighting for the idiots to protest in the street here.

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