Bad Polling News for Obama … Battleground Tracking Poll Shows Democrats Less Enthusiastic than Republicans
It would seem that Democrats are tired of being tired and out of work …
In a close political race, the election will be determined on turn out and according to battleground poll, Republicans are much more enthusiastic that Democrats.
Democrats have a severe enthusiasm issue when it comes to the upcoming Presidential election. According to a new Politico/George Washington University poll, of likely voters only 73% who support Barack Obama say they are “extremely likely” to vote, as compared to 86% who back Romney. Making matters worse for Obama, 84% of Republicans say they are extremely likely to vote, as compared to 76% of Democrats.
A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll [polling date HERE] of likely voters shows Obama ahead of Mitt Romney 49 percent to 48 percent nationally, a statistical tie and a percentage point closer than a week ago.
The head-to-head numbers have held remarkably steady through the past three weeks, but there’s been a notable shift of intensity from the Democrats to the Republicans since the party conventions over a month ago. Most of the poll’s calls were made before Romney’s strong performance at the first presidential debate in Denver.
Only 73 percent who support Obama say they are “extremely likely” to vote, compared to 86 percent who back Romney. Likewise, 84 percent of Republicans say they are extremely likely to vote, compared to 76 percent of Democrats.
Among those extremely likely to vote, Romney actually leads Obama 52 percent to 46 percent. That’s up from a 2-point lead last week. Obama led 50 percent to 47 percent among this group three weeks ago.
Who can honestly say that this is surprising? Why would anyone be enthusiastic about what has happened the past 4 years under Obama? Does America really want four more years of record food stamps, record federal deficits, a +$16 trillion debt, failed job growth, a real unemployment that is in the mid to high teens and a 30 year low employment participation rate?
How does a Democrat get jazzed about a Presidency where even Obama did not care enough to prepare for a presidential debate and turned in such an epic failure of a performance that it is going down by many as one of the worse ever? Hope and Change is gone and has been replaced by one of the most negative campaigns ever. The Obama message has gone from “Hope” to Romney lied with no explanation what Obama will do in the next four years. The GOP had Bush fatigue after 8 years, it would seem that Democrats have done the same after four exhausting Obama years.
UPDATED: University of Colorado Study Updated Election Forecasting Model Still Points to Romney Win in 2012 Electoral Presidential Election
Bickers – Berry model has Romney beating Obama 53.3% to 46.7 % and by electoral vote 330 to 208.
University of Colorado study, the Bickers and Berry model, by political science professors Kenneth Bickers of CU-Boulder and Michael Berry of CU Denver still has Mitt Romney defeating Barack Obama 330 electoral college votes to 208. The model is based upon state level economic data and the analysis of analysis of unemployment and per-capita income. The economic indicators point to a Romney victory in 2012. According to accounts, this model has been correct within 20 or so electoral votes since 1980.
An update to an election forecasting model announced by two University of Colorado professors in August continues to project that Mitt Romney will win the 2012 presidential election.
According to their updated analysis, Romney is projected to receive 330 of the total 538 Electoral College votes. President Barack Obama is expected to receive 208 votes — down five votes from their initial prediction — and short of the 270 needed to win.
The Bickers and Berry model includes both state and national unemployment figures as well as changes in real per capita income, among other factors. The new analysis includes unemployment rates from August rather than May, and changes in per capita income from the end of June rather than March. It is the last update they will release before the election.Of the 13 battleground states identified in the model, the only one to change in the update was New Mexico — now seen as a narrow victory for Romney. The model foresees Romney carrying New Mexico, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida. Obama is predicted to win Michigan and Nevada.
In Colorado, which Obama won in 2008, the model predicts that Romney will receive 53.3 percent of the vote to Obama’s 46.7 percent, with only the two major parties considered.
Posted October 8, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012, Obamanation, Polls, Presidential Election | 5 comments |
Now Democrats Blame John “Lurch” Kerry for President Obama’s Poor Debate Against Romney
Because it just could never be Obama’s fault … has this guy ever taken responsibility for anything?
Good grief, the excuses are piling up as to who is to blame for Barack Obama’s poor Presidential debate performance in Denver, CO. Democrats are now blaming John Kerry, the person who was playing Romney in debate prep for Obama.They are saying that since he wants to be Secretary of State, Lurch did n;t want to get in Obama’s face. These folks are delusional. i would blame Team Obama, who on earth would use John Kerry as debate prep, an individual who lost to GWB in a debate.
Throw another one under the Obama Bus
So far Democrats have blamed the following:
- The moderator Jim Lehrer
- The altitude
- Romney
- SNL blamed Michelle Obama’s anniversary gift
Come on Dems, we all know you are just dying to say that Barack Obama’s poor debate performance was George W. Bush’s fault. You know you want to.
Posted October 7, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Debates, Epic Fail, Lost in Smallness, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012, Obamanation, Presidential Election, The Dodger in Chief, You Tube - VIDEO | no comments |
Mile High Bounce for Mitt Romney in Polls after Tremendous Debate Performance … Romney Now Ahead in Colorado
MITT ROMNEY’S ROCKY MOUNTAIN HIGH …
As reported at the Daily Post, there is no debate about it … Mitt Romney is receiving a “Mile High” bounce after he commanding performance in the first presidential debate against Barack Obama. Prior to the debate Barack Obama was ahead in most all national polls and ahead in nearly every battle ground state poll.
Rocky Mountain High: John Denver
But the Colorado rocky mountain high
I’ve seen it rainin’ fire in the sky
The shadow from the starlight is softer than a lullabye
Rocky mountain high
(Colorado)
Rocky mountain high
(high in Colorado)
However, that was then, this is now after one disastrous Obama debate performance. The Rasmussen Reportsdaily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday now has Mitt Romney with 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. making matter even better for Romney is this poll is a rolling 3 day average and only 2 of the polls 3 days have been taken after the presidential debate.
After what many saw as a landslide victory during the first presidential debate last Wednesday, Mitt Romney led President Obama by two percent in a national poll released today, winning support from 49 percent of voters nationwide, compared to Obama’s 47 percent.
Going into the debate, Obama led by two points, according to Rasmussen’s daily presidential tracking poll.
About two percent of voters said they were undecided and another two percent said they preferred someone else, according to the pollster.
Don’t look now but not only is Romney doing well in the national poll, but Romney has flipped the polling results in Colorado. A poll from Gravis Marketing, conducted Oct. 3-4, has Romney with a 49.4% of the vote and Obama with 45.9%. RCP has the race a near tie in Colorado and once all the polling comes in for poll after the debate, Romney will be leading in Colorado.
A new poll shows Mitt Romney flipping a 5-point deficit in Colorado before the first presidential debate, which was held on Wednesday in Denver, to a 3.5-point advantage later in the week — another signal that Mr. Romney’s comparatively strong debate performance has started to translate into rising poll numbers for the Republican.
A poll from Gravis Marketing, conducted Oct. 3-4, shows Mr. Romney with a 49.4 percent to 45.9 percent lead over Mr. Obama. The president had held nearly a 5-point lead in a poll conducted Sept. 25, at 50.2 percent to 45.5 percent.
Posted October 6, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Debates, Epic Fail, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012, Obamanation, Polls, Presidential Election, Rasmussen, Real Clear Politics | no comments |
63 Million People Saw Mitt Romney Take Obama to the Politcal Wood Shed During the 1st Presidential Debate in Denver, CO
The age old adage has never been more true than what occurred the other night during the first Presidential debate in Denver, CO dubbed the “Duel in Denver” … you do not get a second chance to make a first impression.
More than 63 million viewers watched GOP Presidential challenger Mitt Romney politically alienate Barack Obama during the debate. What many have called one of the best and worst debate performances ever, Romney easily won the debate at the night’s end, not on points, but by a knock out as seen by two post debate polls, HERE and HERE and more importantly, by the reaction of the LEFT. More people saw this debate between Romney and Obama than tuned in for the 2008 Presidential debate. For an electorate that many had deemed as uninterested, it would appear that many were engaged and saw Obama come across as not engaged and struggling to defend his failed polices or make any lucid comments.
From Mediabistro:
More than 58 million people watched the first Presidential debate last night between President Obama and Mitt Romney, up substantially from the first debate in the 2008 election cycle, which had 52.4 million viewers.
Fox News was the most-watched cable news network during the debate, and will likely be the most-watched network on TV, though final broadcast numbers will not be released until after 4 PM.
What was the end result of the victory by Mitt Romney … all the Obama attacks ads against Romney mean nothing. Romney displayed himself as a warm, classy, intelligent, reasonable candidate and man. But most importantly Romney came across as completely … Presidential!
Posted October 5, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, America - United States, Barack Obama, Debates, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012, Obamanation, Obamanomics, Presidential Election, Restoring America, We the People | 9 comments |