HMM, THE TREND IS ACROSS THE BOARD …
A new Washington Post poll on the presidential race reveals a shocker that the WAPO hates to admit, Republican Donald Trump leads Democrat Hillary Clinton among registered voters 46% to 44%. Get used to the bias media coverage Donald, they are all in for Hillary.
It’s not the headline, and it takes 219 words to get there, but a new Washington Post poll on the presidential race reveals that Republican Donald Trump leads Democrat Hillary Clinton among registered voters 46 percent to 44 percent.
Inside the Post’s story about the poll is this paragraph:
“At this point, the two candidates are in a statistical dead heat among registered voters, with Trump favored by 46 percent and Clinton favored by 44 percent. That represents an 11-point shift toward the presumptive Republican nominee since March. Among all adults, Clinton holds a six-point lead (48 percent to 42 percent), down from 18 points in March.”
WELL IMAGINE THAT, 90% OF NATIVE AMERICANS ARE NOT OFFENDED BY REDSKINS, HMM, ISN’T THAT A MANDATE?
A WAPO poll finds that 90% of Native Americans say they ARE NOT offended by the Washington Redskins name. WOW, 90%! You can’t find 9 in 10 people top agree on anything these days. The poll asked only “Native Americans” the question if the professional football team in Washington calls itself the Washington Redskins. As a Native American, do you find that name offensive or doesn’t it bother you? An astounding 90% said they were not offended, 9% said they were and 1% had no opinion and could have cared less. So who exactly is so offended and insulted by the Redskin name? Once again we are witness to a group of 5 people who claim to speak for the other 99% This a Washington Post independent poll, not one conducted by Washington Redskins owner Daniel Schneider for his own self-serving reasons. Those on the offended by anything side will be hard pressed to condemn these poll results.
Nine in 10 Native Americans say they are not offended by the Washington Redskins name, according to a new Washington Post poll that shows how few ordinary Indians have been persuaded by a national movement to change the football team’s moniker.
The survey of 504 people across every state and the District reveals that the minds of Native Americans have remained unchanged since a 2004 poll by the Annenberg Public Policy Center found the same result. Responses to The Post’s questions about the issue were broadly consistent regardless of age, income, education, political party or proximity to reservations.
Among the Native Americans reached over a five-month period ending in April, more than 7 in 10 said they did not feel the word “Redskin” was disrespectful to Indians. An even higher number — 8 in 10 — said they would not be offended if a non-native called them that name.
ABC News/WAPO Poll: Donald Trump More Unpopular Than Anyone but David Duke in Last 30 Years of Presidential Elections
According to the most recent ABC News/Washington Post poll, Donald Trump is the most unpopular presidential candidate in the past three decades, other than former Ku Klux Klan leader David Duke. Sixty-seven percent stated they held and unfavorable view of Donald Trump while only 31% said they had a favorable one. What is interesting only 2% said they had no opinion which shows just how polarizing The Donald is. Either people love him or hate him. More importantly it further shows the ceiling that Trump has and the questionable chance Trump he of winning over voters for a general election.
Poll can be read HERE.
Donald Trump is the most unpopular top-tier presidential candidate over more than three decades of ABC News/Washington Post polls, except for former Ku Klux Klan leader David Duke. That’s according to the results of the latest national ratings released Thursday, which did not carry too auspicious results for Trump’s two Republican opponents, either.
Two in three Americans surveyed in the poll — 67 percent — said they held an unfavorable view of Trump, while just 31 percent said they saw him favorably and only 2 percent said they had no opinion of him. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz’s favorability rating was marginally higher, at 36 percent, while 53 percent said they had an unfavorable view of him and 11 percent said they had no opinion. Ohio Gov. John Kasich made out the best in the poll, with 39 percent each responding that they had a favorable and unfavorable opinion of him, but 22 percent said they had no opinion either way.
Trump’s 67 percent unfavorable rating is nearly as low as the 69 percent of Americans who said they had a negative view of Duke in a February 1992 poll. Unlike Trump, Duke went on to receive fewer than 120,000 votes and zero convention delegates.
IMAGINE THAT, HILLARY CLINTON IS NOT HONEST OR TRUSTWORTHY …
According to USA Today, the people do not view Hillary Clinton, the presumptive Democrat presidential nominee for 2016, as honest or trustworthy. Say it isn’t so. They point two two polls, a CNN/ORC and ABC News/WAPO, where both show that more and more people believe she cannot be trusted. For the first time since declaring her 2016 run her unfavorable rating is now higher than her favorable. And you wonder why she refuses to answer the media’s questions or meet with We the People, without first having them cheery-picked. Could this be problematic for Hillary going forward as her credibility rating continues to go down? The story also discusses Jeb Bush’s polling issues as well; however, he is not the far and away front-runner of the GOP.
Hillary Clinton and die hard Democrats would say, what difference does it make, but Independents in a general election might have another thing to say when deciding their vote for an individual who obviously has trust issues, see Benghazi-gate, private email-gate, private server-gate and Clinton Foundation-gate, just to name a few.
Scouts honor, I am truthful. Ok, I lie, but what difference does it make.
A CNN/ORC poll (pdf HERE) shows that Clinton — dogged by questions about missing emails and big-money contributions to Bill Clinton’s foundation — has seen her numbers drop on such issues as trustworthiness.
“A growing number of people say she is not honest and trustworthy (57%, up from 49% in March), less than half feel she cares about people like them (47%, down from 53% last July) and more now feel she does not inspire confidence (50%, up from 42% last March),” CNN reports.
An ABC News/Washington Post survey shows similar problems for the Democratic front-runner.
“She’s slipped underwater in personal favorability for the first time since her unsuccessful run for the presidency in 2008,” ABC reports. “She’s deeper in the hole for honesty and trustworthiness — down 5 points in just two months and 12 points in the last year.”
It’s Halloween time, but Senate Democrats have more to fear than ghosts, goblins, witches and vampires … NT Times and WAPO predict Democrats are the Walking “political” Dead …
With just days to go before the 2014 midterm November 4th elections, two very liberal papers, the New York Times and Washington Post, are predicting a GOP Senate takeover. The NY Times predicts that there is a 69% chance that the Republicans will win control of the US Senate. According to the Times, Republicans will win Louisiana, Arkansas, South Dakota and Kentucky, West Virginia and Montana, leaving the seven most competitive states below in question. The NY Times predicts that Democrats will win the senate races in New Hampshire, North Carolina and Kansas; however, the GOP will run the rest of the seats in play in Georgia, Iowa, Alaska and Colorado. If the New York Times is correct, the GOP will hold a 52-48 control of the Senate after the elections.
According to our statistical election-forecasting machine, the Republicans have a moderate edge, with about a 69% chance of gaining a majority.
State-by-State Probabilities #
To forecast each party’s chance of gaining a majority, our model first calculates win probabilities for each individual Senate race. In addition to the latest polls, it incorporates the candidates’ political experience, fund-raising, a state’s past election results and national polling. More about our methodology.
However, if Democrats think that the NYT’s 69% chance of a GOP victory is bad … the WAPO is predicting a 95% chance of the Republican party taking back control of the US Senate.
The model’s factors fall into three categories:
1) The national landscape. On average, the better things are going in the country, the better the president’s party will do in an election. We capture national conditions using two measures: presidential approval and change in gross domestic product. At the same time, the president’s party usually does worse in midterm years than presidential years even after accounting for the first two measures, so our model takes account of that, too.
2) The partisanship of the state or district. Obviously, House and Senate candidates will do better when their party dominates a district or state. We measure this with Obama’s share of the major-party vote in 2012. In Senate races, we also include the incumbent’s share of the major-party vote from the election six years before, which is the incumbent’s share of the Democratic and Republican votes, combined with an indicator for whether that incumbent is running or the seat is open. The incumbent’s previous election matters mainly when the incumbent is running again.
3) Key features of the race. The model currently takes account of whether the incumbent is running, which captures the well-known incumbency advantage in congressional elections. For the Senate, we also build in each candidate’s level of experience in elective office. In the Senate, we categorize experience into five levels, from someone who has never held an elective office to an incumbent senator. For states where there hasn’t yet been a Senate primary, we impute candidate experience using historical averages from similar races. (After the primaries, we will also add candidate experience to the House model. There, the measure will be simpler: whether the candidate has held any elective office.)
Question: The NY Times and WAPO have been among the two most liberal media outlets that have carried the water for Barack Obama and Democrats, why are they calling the election now for the GOP? Is it because they want to put out faux-news and give Republicans voters a false sense of security or is it because they see the handwriting on the wall and are trying to mantain some sort of credibility by finally reporting the truth?
Harry Reid literally begs for money as he sees his job of Democrat Senate Majority Leader slipping away. Just curious Dingy Harry, if you can triple one’s gift, you need money how? I have a deal for you, You can just double my donation of $0.00.
But I’m emailing once more because this moment is absolutely critical. I know you’re a busy person, but this is an absolute MUST-READ:
Our Final Weekend Get Out The Vote Push is on the chopping block: We’re still $1,389,071 short with 24 hours left.
If we don’t fill that budget gap, we’ll be forced to scale back our plans to mobilize 575,000 voters this weekend. These are voters who could determine the outcome of the whole Senate.
I’m begging for your help to close the gap IMMEDIATELY. If we fall short before the last end-of-month deadline tomorrow, our chance to keep the Senate gets a whole lot smaller.
Will you pitch in to the Final Weekend GOTV Push before the final deadline in 24 hours? We’ll triple-match your gift.
Other nightmarish 2014 US Senate predictions for Democrats. None of the pollsters are predicting that Democrats will maintain control of the Senate and Harry Reid (NV-D) will no longer be Senate Majority Leader.