Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor Trails GOP Challenger Rep. Tom Cotton in Arkansas 48% to 41%

Democrat Senator in Serious Trouble Because of Barack Obama and Obamacare … Democrats, Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid.

According to a new poll from Citizens United Political Victory Fund by Republican pollster Kellyanne Conway of the polling company, Inc./WomanTrend, shows that incumbent Democrat Senator Mark Pryor is in serious trouble and trails Republican challenger Tom Cotton, 48% to 41%. Many Democrat politicians in “red” states are considered vulnerable because of their support of Obamacare and the disaster and lie that it has turned out to be. Pryor trails badly with Independents, 31%-52%.  Also, Barack Obama and Obamacare have a favorable, unfavorable in Arkansas of 35%-61% and 29%-62%, respectively.

Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor trails his Republican challenger, Rep. Tom Cotton, by seven points among likely voters in Arkansas, 48 percent to 41 percent, according to a new poll from a conservative group that says his support of the health care reform law is costing him.

The survey, shared exclusively with POLITICO, was conducted Friday and Saturday for the Citizens United Political Victory Fund by Republican pollster Kellyanne Conway of the polling company, Inc./WomanTrend.

Cotton is ahead among independents by 21 points and among women by 4 points.

“Mark Pryor is synonymous with Obamacare and Obamacare is synonymous with making life worse for the American people,” said David N. Bossie, president of Citizens United. “That’s why Pryor is losing to Cotton in the Arkansas Senate race.”

Pryor, considered by many to be the most vulnerable of the incumbents running for reelection, is viewed favorably by 44 percent of Arkansas voters and unfavorably by 39 percent. The poll found that only one-third of independents view Pryor favorably and 52 percent see him in a negative light.

Other data from the polland from Hot Air.

I guess Barack Obama must have promised Mark Pryor and the other Democrats who voted for Obamacare against the will of the American people, you can keep your Senate and House seat, if you like your Senate and House seat. We all know how that worked for American insureds.

Charlie Cook Says, This is One of “the Most Dramatic Shifts I’ve Ever Seen in 40 Years of Involvement in Politics” Referring to the Generic Congressional Ballot

Charlie Cook, political polling extraordinaire of the Cook Political Report, stated that the recent political environment that it is “one of the most dramatic shifts I’ve ever seen in 40 years of involvement in politics.” The shift that Cook is referring to has Democrats in a panic as they try and find answers to right the ship that is taking on water after the failed launch of the Obamacare website and the misrepresentations and lies from President Obama that if you liked your healthcare plan, you could keep it, Period! The Obama mistrust has caused a ripple affect with the Generic Congressional ballot as Obamacare was passed 100% on a partisan Democrat vote. Democrats are damned no matter which way they turn, they can admit Obamacare was a complete mistake that they passed without reading or they can double down and infuriate the American people.

Sure enough, the Democratic numbers in the generic ballot began to pull dramatically ahead, resembling a steep ascent up the side of a mountain, ending about 7 points ahead of Republicans, 45 percent to 38 percent—an advantage that, were it to last until the election, would give Democrats a chance to recapture the House.

Then, in mid-October, the focus shifted from the government-shutdown fiasco to a different debacle, this time a Democratic disaster: the botched launch of the Obamacare website and subsequent implementation problems of the health care law, including termination notices going out to many people who had insurance coverage. The Democratic numbers from the generic-ballot test dropped from 45 percent to 37 percent, and Republicans moved up to 40 percent. This 10-point net shift from a Democratic advantage of 7 points to a GOP edge of 3 points in just over a month is breathtaking, perhaps an unprecedented swing in such a short period. Occurring around Election Day, such a shift would probably amount to the difference between Democrats picking up at least 10 House seats, possibly even the 17 needed for a majority, and instead losing a half-dozen or so seats.

Of course, with the election 11 months away, it’s too early to get really excited about this turnabout, but it demonstrates the volatility we are seeing these days in American politics. It must also give Democrats a sense of déjà vu, back to when the bottom fell out for them during the 2009-10 fight over passage of the Affordable Care Act. In that case, though, they suffered a gradual decline in party fortunes, starting in the summer of 2009 and culminating in the loss of 63 seats and the House majority in November 2010—the biggest drop in House seats for either party since 1948 and the largest in a midterm election since 1938. Democrats didn’t fare much better in the Senate, losing six seats.

From the Cook Political Report, ‘Everyone Hates Washington, but Democrats More Vulnerable.’

If there were a theme for 2014 midterms, it would be “fear and loathing of Washington, D.C.”

Congress is as about as popular as gonorrhea. President Obama’s approval ratings and personal ratings are at the lowest point of his presidency. Republicans, as well, have seen their favorable ratings hit all-time lows.

But while neither party can escape blame or scorn, Democrats are more likely to feel the fall-out than Republicans. Why? Democrats have more vulnerable seats in play in both the House and the Senate. The President’s approval ratings are a bigger driver of electoral outcomes than that of Congress. The Obamacare issue is more likely to be an anvil than a benefit politically for the Democrats. And, of course, there’s history working against Democrats too. See; Itch, Six Year.

But as stated at Hot Air, this is no reason for the GOP to start popping the champagne which I would agree with 100%. Although, the only thing I would disagree with is that the notion that there should be no more problems with the website and no more people will lose their insurance. The American people are not forgiving  when it comes to being lied to. The web site continues to have problems on the back end as they had to  admit that many who enrolled, one in four, or thought they enrolled may not really be. Also, doctors are running away from Obamacare like it is the plague, and it is. Also, even with Obama trying to postpone the enrollment period for the employer mandate until after the 2014 elections, the cancellation notices will be going out long before that.

Republican’s should not allow their present advantage in the generic ballot to spur them to purchase food and beer for a victory party, the 2014 mid-terms are a long time away and their is much that can happen.

Their latest advantage was not built on anything the GOP did, but on the failed Obamacare launch. Americans forgive and forget easily. However unlikely the scenario, should there be no more issues with the website and no more people losing the plans they were promised they could keep, the initial negative effect of the bad launch could wane.

Barack Obama Approval Down 23 Points Among Hispanics in Past Year from 75% to 52%

Barack Obama en el otoño político libre …

According to a recent Gallup poll, it appears that some one’s job approval poll numbers are in free fall with pretty much every demographic, and Hispanics are at the top of the list. Barack Obama’s job approval numbers are down with Latinos this year from 75% to 52%. ¡Dios mío … I guess me can expect an Obama mad rush for amnesty.  However, that is not the only group that Obama has lost ground with. Obama has also lost Moderates (-16), 18-29 year olds (-15), Independents (-15), women (-14), Conservative Democrats (-14) , Democrats (-13), 30-49 year olds (-12), 50-64 year olds (-12) and even Blacks at -9. However, it appears that Legal Insurrection has found one group that has maintained their support for Obama, Conservative Republicans are only at -2, down from 7% to 5%. HA!

Not only does Obama not have coattails, he is now considered toxic.

Can we call this a total and complete loss of the America people? Imagine if the election was held today with the American people knowing the truth about many of Obama’s lies and the MSM was forced into not carrying the water 100% of the time for their leader?

From Gallup:

President Barack Obama’s job approval rating averaged 41% in November, down 12 percentage points from 53% last December, his high-water mark since his first year in office. Hispanics’ approval has dropped 23 points over the last 12 months, the most among major subgroups, and nearly twice the national average.

Hispanics’ approval ratings of Obama have shown the most variation of any group’s ratings throughout his presidency. That means their views of him are less firmly anchored than those of other groups, which may help explain why their opinions of the president soured more than any other group’s in recent months. Despite the significant decline in their approval ratings over the past 12 months, a majority of Hispanics, 52%, still approve of the job Obama is doing.

A note to Republicans, namely Speaker John Boehner and the GOP leadership in the House … if you pass a BS amnesty bill you will collapse the Republican party forever. Hot Air correctly points out that the Democrats do not own the Latino vote. You have an opportunity to make real reform with immigration and deal with this issue in a common sense way.  One of those is to actually uphold the oaths that all of you took and to follow the US Constitution and uphold the laws of the land. I have always believed that Hispanics were not a monolithic voting block and were interested in many things other than immigration (amnesty), like the economy, real healthcare reform, jobs and the truth.

If the first two months of ObamaCare could push him nearly underwater with Latinos, what will another year of rate shock and shrinking provider networks do? Without lifting a finger, the GOP may be back in play for this demographic — not so much that they’d win it outright, but enough that they could close the gap to, say 15-20 points instead of 40-45. In a tight election, that would be ruinous for Democrats.

Democrats Need to Worry About a Lot More than Just Obamacare Web Site Problems in 2014 … They Have a Trust Problem, and That Economy Thing

Hey Democrats, it is not the Obamacare web site that is the from, it is the law, the logistics and the lies …

A WAPO oped penned by Marc A. Thiessen points out the real issues that Democrats should be panicked over for the 2014 midterm election, not the disastrous roll-out or relaunch of the failed web page, Healthcare.gov. There is a reason why no one who voted for Obamacare, only Democrats and no Republicans, never read the 2000 pages of the Obamacare bill before passage. Then, Speaker of the House made the foolish comment, we have to pass the bill in order to see what’s in it. Really? Only politicians with an agenda have to put their hand into the fire to see if they get burned. Now in the wake of the Obamacare roll-out and Americans finally finding out what is being inflicted upon them, they are mad as hell. Democrats are now panicked that they are in trouble for 2014.   However, the main issue here is Americans are not just angry about a broken Web site; they are angry about a broken promise.

There is a reason why Obama’s job approval ratings are averaging in the near 30′s. And it is not just about Obamacare, check out his average polling at RCP on handing the economy, it is in the 30′s.

VIDEO – Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) says at 1:03, “if you like the healthcare plan you have, you can keep it”.

1. 5.5 million.  That is how many people the administration needs to sign up in just 23 days because Obamacare drove them out of their health-care plans. That’s some 240,000 sign-ups every single day, just to break even. Getting that many enrolled in a few weeks would be extraordinarily difficult even if the Web site were working perfectly, which it isn’t.
2. 50 million. That is how many Americans will be surprised to find their employer-based health plans dropped or substantially changed next year because of Obamacare. Some will see their plans canceled; others will lose their doctors and see premiums or deductibles rise dramatically.
3.  53.  That is the percentage of Americans who now say that President Obama is not “honest or trustworthy.” Americans are not just questioning Obama’s competence, they also are questioning his integrity.
4. 12.  That is the number of Senate Democrats up for reelection in 2014 who are complicit in Obama’s lie. They are on record (and on YouTube) making the same false promise. Democrat Sens. Mary Landrieu (LA) ,Mark Pryor (AR) , Sen. Kay Hagan (NC) , Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (NH), Sen. Mark Begich (AK), Sen. Mark Warner (VA) all in one way or another are on record of making promises that you can keep your heathcare plan if you like it.
5. 7.  That is the number of states with vulnerable Democratic-held senate seats that also have Republican governors. Why is this important? Because Obamacare premiums are set to skyrocket next year. No wonder the president moved next year’s Obamacare sign-up date to 11 days after Election Day. The flaw in his plan is that the nation’s governors will know the new rates before Election Day. In blue states, Democratic governors may keep the secret, but in red states, such as Alaska, Iowa, Louisiana, Michigan, North Carolina, New Mexico and South Dakota, Republican governors won’t.

You can fix a web site, maybe … fixing trust, that’s near impossible.

Oh, and by the way, even though Barack Obama has claimed victory and they have met their goals of November 30 … the site still does not work!

President Barack Obama Dragging Democrats Down, They Have Lost 2014 Advantage Over GOP Because of Obamacare

Democrat’s Obamacare chickens are coming home to roost … Actions have consequences and Democrats are about to get hammered for backing the Obama lie.

Barack Obama and Democrats thought the 2010 midterm elections were a shellacking, 2014 might be even worse. According to a recent CNN poll, Democrats have lost all of their political advantage over the GOP for the 2014 elections. Republicans now hold a 49% to 48% lead in the generic ballot, which asked respondents to choose between a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district without identifying the candidates. Just last month Democrats held a 50%-42% advantage among registered voters in a generic ballot. This is a 10 point swing follows a political uproar over Obamacare, and Obama being caught lying to the American people that, “if you like your healthcare plan, you can keep your healthcare plan, PERIOD!” and instead 5 plus million people and counting have lost their healthcare coverage.

Look at all those gushing Dems as Obama signs away your healthcare coverage that you liked and wanted to keep

Guess what Democrats, I guess Americans are finally learning what was in the bill that Pelosi said you just had to pass along a partisan Democrat vote.

A new CNN/ORC International poll indicates a dramatic turnaround in the battle for control of Congress in next year’s midterm elections.

Democrats a month ago held a 50%-42% advantage among registered voters in a generic ballot, which asked respondents to choose between a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district without identifying the candidates.

That result came after congressional Republicans appeared to overplay their hand in the bitter fight over the federal government shutdown and the debt ceiling.

But the Democratic lead has disappeared. A new CNN/ORC poll indicates the GOP now holds a 49%-47% edge.

Gee, I wonder why Obama delayed the enrollment period for 2015 until after the 2014 midterm elections. It couldn’t be 100% based on politics now, could it? Sadly, with many individuals in America who really needed healthcare reform and affordable coverage, Barack Obama and Democrats just used that as an excuse for a political power grab and a way for the federal government to take over 1/6th of the US economy.