Reuters/Ipsos Poll: Blocking Donald Trump Could Hurt Republicans in 2016 Presidential Election

REALLY? ALIENATING MILLIONS OF AMERICAN VOTERS COULD HURT THE GOP IN A GENERAL ELECTION … NO SH*T SHERLOCK!!!

According to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll, a third of voters would support Donald Trump if he is denied the nomination by the Republican party in a contested convention. HUH? Folks, educate yourself. If Trump garners the necessary delegates to win the GOP nomination for president, no one can block him. Second, if Trump or Cruz do not win the proper amount of delegates to win the parties nomination on the first ballot, they have won nothing. Third, who the hell are you people to say, it’s Trump or you will throw the election to the Democrats? That makes me wonder what you are in the first place? The idea that as Red State opines, ‘Win or Lose, Trump Could Screw The GOP Either Way,’ is just another example of what the establishment Republicans have brought on themselves. They have gone from no way to lose, to just possibly, no way to win.

Donald Trump thumbs up

My position is as follows and I am in no way an establishment Republican supporter; however, truth be told, I am also not a fan of Donald Trump. I do not believe either Trump or Cruz will gain the necessary amount of delegates to win the nomination on the first ballot. That being said, I believe that one way or another, only either of those two should be eventually nominated. If the GOP establishment suddenly comes up with a candidate that never participated in the process and they make that person the nominee, then I would also not vote for the GOP candidate. The party would be blown up and go the way of the Whigs. I would suggest that Trump and Cruz bury the hatchet and form their own third party ticket. I would vote for that. However, if either Trump or Cruz is nominated by the Republican party, I would vote for either one. There is too much at stake for Hillary Clinton to be president. Grow up America and take a good look at who the real enemy is and its not either GOP candidate.

Poll results HERE.

A third of Republican voters who support Donald Trump could turn their backs on their party in November’s presidential election if he is denied the nomination in a contested convention, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll.

The results are bad news for Trump’s rivals as well as party elites opposed to the real estate billionaire, suggesting that an alternative Republican nominee for the Nov. 8 presidential race would have a tougher road against the Democrats.

“If it’s a close election, this is devastating news” for the Republicans, said Donald Green, an expert on election turnout at Columbia University.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted March 30 to April 8 asked Trump’s Republican supporters two questions: if Trump wins the most delegates in the primaries but loses the nomination, what would they do on Election Day, and how would it impact their relationship with the Republican Party?

Sixty-six percent said they would vote for the candidate who eventually wins the nomination, while the remaining third were split between a number of alternatives such as not voting, supporting a third-party candidate, and switching parties and voting for the Democratic nominee.

Ted Cruz Crushes Trump in Wisconsin Primary 48% to 35% Over Trump

BIG WIN FOR TED CRUZ IN WISCONSIN …

The Republican primary in Wisconsin went big for Sen. Ted Cruz as he defeated Trump, 48% to 35%. Is Donald Trump in trouble, or is this just a speed bump in the road? One thing is for certain, this Cruz victory greatly increases the odds that the Republican Party will hold its first open convention in four decades this July. Last night following his victory at his rally in Wisconsin, Cruz said he is “more and more convinced” that he can win the nomination. “Either before Cleveland or at the convention in Cleveland, we will win the majority of delegates.” Cruz looks to gain an overwhelming majority of the delegates in this huge win.

After Sen. Ted Cruz’s big victory in the Wisconsin primary, Republicans enter a new and critical phase in their volatile nomination battle, with Donald Trump’s rivals and those in the party establishment who are determined to stop him sharing a single objective: to keep the GOP front-runner as far short of a first-ballot convention victory as possible.

According to ABC News, preliminary exit poll results suggest a coalescing of the anti-Trump vote behind Ted Cruz in the Wisconsin presidential primary – raising the specter of a ceiling for Donald Trump.

Could the Establishment Finally Be Warming up to Cruz … Jeb Bush Endorses Ted Cruz

Politics really does make strange bed fellows … Or, the enemy of my enemy is my friend.

Former Republican presidential candidate Jeb Bush endorses Texas Sen. Ted Cruz. However, is the endorsement too late and will it even matter in the long run? In fact, could it hurt Cruz? Red State opines it could be the kiss of death. What it does show is the continued efforts of the establishment to prevent Donald Trump from being the GOP’s presidential nominee. Jeb Bush has been extremely outspoken about Trump’s “divisiveness and vulgarity.” Is it just possible that the establishment would is warming up to Cruz and would rather have the Texas senator as president as compared to Trump? Many pundits had thought just the opposite as Ted Cruz as been a principled conservative in the US Senate and a thorn in the side of establishment republican politics.

Cruz_Jeb Bush

In a surprise announcement, Jeb Bush will endorse Ted Cruz on Wednesday as an antidote to the “divisiveness and vulgarity” of Donald Trump, providing a badly needed boost to the Texas senator – but it’s one that comes dangerously late in a game that Trump is dominating.

Cruz, in New York City on Wednesday, planned to celebrate with a victory lap of three network morning shows. The endorsement comes 32 days after a beaten Bush dropped out of the GOP presidential race, and eight days since Sen. Marco Rubio abandoned his own quest after being rebuffed by Bush, his fellow Floridian and one-time mentor.

Bush says in a statement to be released by the Cruz campaign: “Ted is a consistent, principled conservative who has demonstrated the ability to appeal to voters and win primary contests.”

“For the sake of our party and country, we must move to overcome the divisiveness and vulgarity Donald Trump has brought into the political arena, or we will certainly lose our chance to defeat the Democratic nominee and reverse President Obama’s failed policies,” the statement continues.

The news will surely irk Rubio, who could have benefited greatly from Bush’s embrace. But a Republican source said: “Jeb came to believe Marco was not up to the job of being President. It was never really under serious discussion.” POLITICO reported on Monday that Rubio had rejected the idea of joining a “unity ticket” with Cruz.

Bush and Cruz sealed the endorsement agreement with a phone call on Monday. “They have kept in touch over the last few weeks and Senator Cruz has been diligent about keeping Governor Bush up to date on his campaign,” a source close to Bush said.

Hmm, Will Marco Rubio Endorse Ted Cruz and Will It Make any Difference?

WILL MARCO RUBIO ENDORSE TED CRUZ?

It is being reported that former GOP presidential candidate and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) is close to endorsing current Republican presidential candidate and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz. One can never get enough endorsements but one also has to wonder whether it will make a difference. If Cruz wants to catch front-runner Donald Trump and minimize establishment candidate John Kasich, an endorsement from Rubio probably could not hurt. Except for his position on illegal immigration, Marco Rubio is a pretty strong conservative. A Rubio endorsement might have meant a little more had Marco gotten out of the race before the Florida primary where he got soundly defeated by Trump We shall see what happens. In the end conservatives do need to stick together.

Cruz_Rubio

Marco Rubio is close to endorsing Ted Cruz, but the two proud senators — and recent fierce rivals — have some details to work out first.

Cruz has to ask for the Rubio’s endorsement, and both sides need to decide that it will make a difference, according to sources familiar with the thinking of both senators.

Rubio and Cruz, who are more friendly with each other in the Senate than they are with longer-serving colleagues, occasionally chatted and patched up their sometime-rocky relationship on the campaign trail heading into Florida’s primary Tuesday, when Rubio was blown out by Donald Trump and subsequently quit the presidential race.

The buzz about a Rubio endorsement of Cruz intensified after the St. Paul Pioneer Press on Thursday reported that the Florida senator called his Texas colleague “the only conservative left in the race.”

Rubio, who returned to work Thursday in the Capitol, told reporters “I don’t have any announcement on that today” when asked about a Cruz endorsement. Rubio indicated, though, that he might have something to say soon.

“There’s time to prevent a Trump nomination, which I think would fracture the party and be damaging to the conservative movement,” Rubio said, stressing that he’s not interested in being anyone’s vice-presidential pick or running for Florida governor.

Socialist Bernie Sanders Gains on Clinton Ahead of Tuesday Primary Contests in Ohio, Illinois & Missouri

DON’T LOOK NOW HILLARY, YOU GOT A SOCIALIST ON YOUR TAIL

Just before today’s Tuesday Democrat primary votes, self-proclaimed socialist Bernie Sanders is leading Hillary Clinton in Missouri and has cut into the Democratic front-runner’s lead in Ohio and Illinois. The three states are considered a toss up. The MSM can make all the claims they want about the dysfunction on the GOP side, it is actually the Democrats that are in complete disarray and face a possible civil war in the party. It is remarkable to think that Sanders is posing any challenge to Clinton. However, it shows just how wounded a candidate she is, just how much the Democrats despise the establishment also, and just how Far Left the Democrat party has become.

PPP Poll Democrats 03-15-16

The race for the Democratic presidential nomination is tightening, with Bernie Sanders closing in on Hillary Clinton in two important contests.

Sanders is leading Clinton in Missouri and has cut into the Democratic front-runner’s lead in Ohio and Illinois, according to a new survey the left-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP).

All three states now look like toss-ups, with the PPP poll showing Sanders trailing Clinton by just 5 points, 46 percent to 41 percent, in Ohio.

The change is particularly notable because several polls in Ohio at the beginning of the month showed Clinton with a 20- to 30-point lead over the Vermont senator.

The race has drawn much closer since Sanders’s surprise win in Michigan; he also trailed by double-digits in that state weeks before its primary.

In Illinois, Clinton gets 48 percent in the PPP survey compared to 45 percent for Sanders.

In Missouri, Sanders gets 47 percent to 46 percent for Clinton, according to PPP.

Clinton has larger leads in two other states holding contests on Tuesday: Florida and North Caroli

Polls Ahead of the Republican Ohio & Florida Primaries … Illinois, North Carolina & Missori Also

Ahead of the all important Republican primaries in Florida and Ohio come the following polls. All of them have Donald Trump either leading, tied or a strong second. Marco Rubio is looking at a potential disastrous Tuesday night where he may get shut out of all of the delegates and even finish third in Florida.

2016 GOP contenders

The Florida primaries can be followed HERE. Illinois, Ohio, North Carolina and Missouri.

MARIST POLL – FLORIDA

Donald Trump appears way out a head in Florida of Marco Rubio in the latest Marist poll. Rubio’s main concern should not be whether he can win his own home Senate state of Florida, but whether Ted Cruz will beat him out for second place.

  • Donald Trump 43%
  • Marco Rubio 22%
  • Ted Cruz 21%
  • John Kasich 9%

CBS POLL – FLORIDA

If Marco Rubio finished third in Florida, how could he ever justify continuing his campaign? The RCP average of polling as Trump way out ahead. It would seem that the Florida primary will be called shortly after all the polls close and the only thing in doubt is whether Rubio will suffer the humiliation of a third place finish in his own state.

  • Donald Trump 44%
  • Ted Cruz 24%
  • Marco Rubio 21%
  • John Kasich 9%

NBC-MARIST POLL – OHIO

Kasish hold a 6 point lead over Trump; however, that was before all hell took place on Friday and over the weekend in Chicago and Ohio at Trump rallies where the LEFT tried to shut down Trumps free speech. There is no way to know how that type of bullying will play with the voters.

  • John Kasish 39%
  • Donald Trump 33%
  • Ted Cruz 19%
  • Marco Rubio 6%

CBS POLL – OHIO

  • Donald Trump 33% (tie)
  • John Kasish 33% (tie)
  • Ted Cruz 27%
  • Marco Rubio 5%

The polls in Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina all have either Trump in first place or a strong second. In Illinois, Donald Trump leads with 38% as Ted Cruz is a close second with 34%. Trump is also way out ahead in the polls in North Carolina and Missouri. In the Show Me state its a two team race between Trump and Cruz. Which begs the question following Super Tuesday, Part Deux … Rubio and Kasich need to drop out and make this a final table pairing of two of GOP political presidential game of Texas Hold Em.

Ben Carson Plans to Endorse Donald Trump (VIDEO)

Former Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson plans on endorsing Donald Trump. Carson, who just last week suspended his campaign for the Republican presidential nomination, plans to endorse Trump on Friday. Hmm … wonder what position Ben Carson would get in a Trump Administration? Last night during the 107th Republican debate on CNN, Trump referenced that Carson would be endorsing him. Talk about your Odd Couples. Could there be two candidates farther apart in style? I have to say that Ben Carson must have the thickest skin ever of anyone running for president or The Donald made him an offer he could not refuse. Remember when Trump likens Carson’s ‘pathology’ to that of a child molester during previous debates? Really Ben, this is who you would endorse?

This is obviously a key endorsement and coming right ahead of the Ohio and Florida primaries. A key endorsement indeed.

Conservative favorite Ben Carson, who last week suspended his campaign for the Republican presidential nomination, plans to endorse Donald Trump on Friday morning, according to two people familiar with his thinking.

The endorsement, perhaps the most high-profile nod for Trump since New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie backed him, was finalized Thursday morning when Carson met with Trump at Mar-a-Lago, the luxury club owned by the Republican front-runner, the people said. The sources requested anonymity to discuss private conversations.

Friday’s announcement will also take place at the club in Palm Beach, Fla., where the onetime rivals will appear alongside one another at a news conference.

Bernie Sanders Stuns Hillary Clinton and Wins Democrat Michigan Primary 50% – 48%

Hillary feels the Bern in Michigan …

In a stunning turn, or is the “bern” of events last night, self-proclaimed socialist Bernie Sander defeated Hillary Clinton in the Michigan Democrat primary, 50% to 48%.As the Politico opines, the outcome in Michigan is significant for Sanders because it demonstrates an ability to compete in diverse primary states. Could Hillary Clinton really be in a dog fight the rest of the way with Sanders? Most likely Hillary will win, however, the longer this goes, the more contempt Sanders voters will have for the presumptive, establishment nominee and may not show up to vote in November.

Feel the Bern

This is truly an incredible defeat for Clinton and a motivating victory for Team Sanders as prior to the Michigan primaries, Clinton was leading in the polls by between 20 and 30 points. OUCH!!!

Michigan Dem 2016 polling_Screen-Shot

Hat Tip – Legal Insurrection

Bernie Sanders scored one of the biggest victories of his underdog campaign Tuesday by beating Hillary Clinton in Michigan, a delegate-rich state where she led by double digits in the closing days before voting.

The 2-point upset came after both candidates invested time and money in the state, and fuels the argument from Sanders’ camp that he should not be written off after Clinton’s earlier wins.

The outcome in Michigan is significant for Sanders because it demonstrates an ability to compete in diverse primary states — counteracting a knock frequently leveled at him by Clinton allies that he has only performed well in largely white states.

“What tonight means is the Bernie Sanders campaign, the people’s revolution that we are talking about, the political revolution we have been talking about, is strong in every part of the country,” Sanders told reporters in Miami before the race was called. He predicted success in upcoming states, including in the West.

How on Earth is Clinton struggling to put a socialist away in the primary? With her loss in Michigan, could Ohio, Illinois, Indiana, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania be in play as well? Check out the  Democratic Primary Exit Poll Analysis:

Failed 2012 Presidential Candidate Mitt Romney Attacks Trump … “Donald Trump is a Phony, a Fraud. His Promises are as Worthless as a Degree from Trump University. He’s Playing the American Public for Suckers”

SORRY, BUT I HARDLY THINK MITTENS ROMNEY HAS THE QUALIFICATIONS TO DECLARE WHO SHOULD AND SHOULD NOT BE PRESIDENT …

Let me first preface this by saying I am far from a Donald Trump supporter and no, I did not vote for him. That being said, who the hell is Mitt Romney to attack Donald Trump and interject himself into the 2016 GOP primaries? Romney represents what is wrong with the Republican party. Romney is a failed GOP presidential candidate who lost the 2012 presidential race and gave us 4 more years of Barack Obama. Sorry Mittens, your attack on Trump is as pathetic as your failed presidential run. In fact, by going after Trump you played right into his hands. As the WAPO reports, Mitt Romney did Donald Trump a BIG favor by attacking him. Yes he did. But this is yet just another perfect example of how the GOP establishment just doesn’t get it or how pissed off the American people are.

In his ripping of Trump, Romney said that if Trump’s economic plans “were ever implemented, the country would sink into prolonged recession.” Hmm really, he had nothing but praise for Trump here in 2012. What I also found rather smarmy and self-serving is that Mittens said he was not going to endorse any of the candidates and during his speech referenced voting for multiple candidates that would ultimately have the GOP primary end with no candidate having enough delegates and thus the nomination being brought to a brokered convention. So is this Romney and the GOP establishment’s end game?

TPM:

In what may be an unprecedented speech by a major American political figure, former presidential nominee Mitt Romney implored his fellow Republicans on Thursday not to nominate the frontrunner Donald Trump for president.

“If we Republicans choose Donald Trump as our nominee, the prospects for a safe and prosperous future are greatly diminished,” Romney said in a nationally televised speech at the University of Utah.

Romney’s speech comes as the Republican Party grapples with the distinct possibility that Trump will become the party’s nominee. While some Republicans have come around to Trump’s candidacy, a forceful Republican effort to take down Trump has failed to materialize.

Romney last-ditch bid to save his party from Trump started with tweets knocking Trump’s comments on the Ku Klux Klan and calling on him to release his tax returns.

His slashing speech Thursday was remarkable not simply for the unparalled specter of the party’s last nominee savaging its frontrunner but for the dire picture Romney painted of a Trump presidency and what it would do to the country.

Mitt Romney full speech

GOP and Democrat Primaries: Its Not About the Wins and Losses, Its About the Delegates

ITS ALL ABOUT THE DELEGATES …

Don’t let the pundits spin you with wins and losses, especially during the early primaries that are not winner take all. Below is a “Viewer’s Guide: After Super Tuesday, Cold Hard Delegate Math.”  The state primaries have some of the most convoluted mathematical calculations to determine the allocation of delegates, it makes ones head hurt. The delegate numbers will still change after the Super Tuesday ones are allocated to see whether candidates met certain thresholds. For example, Marco Rubio did not have a bad night because he only won one state last night in Minnesota, he had a bad night because he failed to meet the the delegate threshold in a couple of delegate rich states, like Texas. The Politico has 5 takes aways. Take them for what they are worth.

But with the Democrats its not just about the delegates, its about the “Super Delegates” that have unfairly stacked the deck against Bernie Sanders.

Presidential candidates will wake up Wednesday morning to the cold, hard truth of delegate math. It might give the front-runners some breathing room, but for the rest of the field, the truth may hurt.

What to watch for on the day after Super Tuesday doles out a quarter of all the delegates at stake in the GOP and Democratic nominating contests:

THE TALLY: With 12 states awarding delegates, see how the delegate totals stack up when the dust settles.

With some delegates still to be allocated, Donald Trump had won at least 192 Super Tuesday delegates and Ted Cruz at least 132. Marco Rubio had won at least 66 delegates, John Kasich 19 and Ben Carson three. There were 595 GOP delegates at stake in 11 states.

Overall, Trump led with 274 delegates, Cruz 149, Rubio 82. It takes 1,237 delegates to win the Republican nomination for president.

On the Democratic side, Clinton was assured of winning at least 457 of the 865 delegates at stake on Super Tuesday. Sanders was sure to get at least 286. Including superdelegates, Clinton had at least 1,005 delegates. Sanders had at least 373. It takes 2,383 Democratic delegates to win.

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