RASMUSSEN POLL HAS TRUMP AHEAD OF CLINTON …
The most recent Rasmussen Reports poll has Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton 41% to 39%. This is a quite surprising poll seeing that most political pundits have states that Hillary Clinton will crush Trump in a general election and the GOP will lose the House and Senate in the process. However, in this poll 20% of those surveyed either prefer another candidate (15%) or are undecided (5%). It is pretty obvious that Trump and Clinton are the presumptive nominees of their parties. The presidential election will rely on the decision as to whose unfavorables will be tolerated the most and how many will hold their nose and vote for the lesser of two evils.
Last week, Rasmussen Reports gave voters the option of staying home on Election Day if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the big party nominees, and six percent (6%) said that’s what they intend to do for now. Clinton and Trump were tied with 38% support each; 16% said they would vote for some other candidate, and two percent (2%) were undecided.
But Trump edges slightly ahead if the stay-at-home option is removed. Trump also now does twice as well among Democrats as Clinton does among Republicans.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 41% support to Clinton’s 39%. Fifteen percent (15%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
This is the first time Trump has led the matchup since last October. Clinton held a 41% to 36% advantage in early March.
Trump now has the support of 73% of Republicans, while 77% of Democrats back Clinton. But Trump picks up 15% of Democrats, while just eight percent (8%) of GOP voters prefer Clinton, given this matchup. Republicans are twice as likely to prefer another candidate.
Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads 37% to 31%, but 23% like another candidate. Nine percent (9%) are undecided.
As stated at The Pirate’s Cove, “if Trump wins Indiana tonight, it is pretty much over for Ted Cruz. If that happens, here’s my message: you don’t have to like Trump, but politics often pits a bad choice against a worse choice. A President Trump would be much better than a President Hillary. The GOP still needs to retain the House (little chance of losing it) and the Senate (there’s a chance of losing it if Hillary wins). With a Republican (or, should that be “Republican”?) in the White House, the Party might be able to get some things done, such as repealing and replacing Obamacare. Wait any longer, and it will be impossible.”
Then again, the wild card in the race is whether Hillary Clinton will or won’t be indicted and the reaction by the electorate to that decision.