Obama in Trouble …Obama Campaign Walking Away From Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado

 

Is Barack Obama giving up and reading the Romney handwriting on the wall in Florida, North Carolina, Virginia and Colorado? As stated at Hot Air, one has to look way down in the article to find this gem of info  that is the most significant part of the entire piece.

What also became clear after the dust began to settle from the rumble on Long Island was the electoral map has narrowed and Obama’s team, while conceding nothing publicly, is circling the wagons around Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada. Plouffe said that Obama remains strong in all four states, but he would not discuss the specifics of internal polling or voter-contact analytics, saying only that Obama has “significant leads” in all four places.

It is uncharacteristic of Team Obama to concede any terrain, but Plouffe offered no such assurances about Obama’s position in North Carolina, Virginia, or Florida. Romney advisers have seen big gains in all three states and now consider wins likely, although not guaranteed, in all three. They are similarly upbeat about prospects in Colorado but not confident enough to predict victory. That Plouffe left Colorado off his list of states where Obama’s leading and can withstand a Romney surge might be telling…

Romney, according to RCP, has 191 electoral votes. If you add Florida (29), North Carolina (15), and Virginia (13), that brings his total to 248 electoral votes. Add Colorado (9) –which neither campaign is prepared to claim or concede–and Romney’s total rises to 257 electoral votes. If Romney wins Ohio (18) in addition to these states, he would have 275 electoral votes. If Romney loses Ohio, he would need to win Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire to reach 273 electoral votes.

As Hot Air stated, is Team Obama doing electoral triage? Has Romney’s surge in so many battleground states and in states that were supposed to be lean Obama that it is stretching Obama’s resources? Is Obama’s vulnerability in so many states coming back to haunt him? It would appear that Obama may be redrawing his fire line.

It’s not that Romney has insurmountable leads in FL, VA, and NC, it’s that Team O has to decide how to allocate what’s left of its campaign treasury down the stretch and there are better bets for them than those three states. Triage, in other words. Mitt’s up 4.7 points on average in North Carolina, which would be tough for O to make up, and 2.5 points in Florida, which might be doable but would be hugely expensive in terms of reserving enough ad time to make a dent. I’m a little surprised to see Virginia included — O actually leads there by eight-tenths of a point, although Romney’s (narrowly) won the last three polls, so maybe Obama’s campaign figures it’s not worth resisting that momentum in a state they don’t really need.



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  • Barack Obama … Carolina in His Mind … Many Things Have Changed in North Carolina Since 2008
  • Romney Up 4% in USA TODAY/Gallup Poll … Obama Has Gender Problem with Men and Woman in Swing States
  • Mitt Romney Breaks Through the Obama Ohio Fire Wall … Rasmussen Presidential Poll – Ohio: Romney 50% – Obama 48%




  • Comments

    8 Responses to “Obama in Trouble …Obama Campaign Walking Away From Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado”

    1. Bill B on October 18th, 2012 1:15 pm

      I can always tell when Barry is in trouble without even looking at the polls. If there is ever a doubt jump over on yayhoo and just take a quick look at their headlines. They are in full (Obama) campaign mode today.

    2. Tamikosmom on October 18th, 2012 4:21 pm

      Is Barack Obama giving up and reading the Romney handwriting on the wall in Florida, North Carolina, Virginia and Colorado

      Posted October 18, 2012 by Scared Monkeys
      _____

      FLORIDA!!!

      If Obama has seen “the writing on the wall” … I can assume that Murphy has clued in.
      .
      .
      Congressional candidate Murphy calls out rival West for “extremism”; West says he’s guided by founding fathers
      Oct. 4, 2012

      I used to be a Republican, but I got so tired of the extremism of the tea party,” said Murphy, who switched to the Democratic Party in 2011. The remark drew loud groans from West supporters and applause from Murphy backers.

      “It’s the extremism of people like my opponent Allen West,” Murphy continued, “calling people communists, comparing them to Nazis —”

      West later addressed the extremism charge in his closing remarks. West said he’s guided by the nation’s founding documents and the principles of limited government, fiscal responsibility, individual sovereignty, free markets and a strong national defense.

      “If anyone says that those are extremist positions, well, I guess you’re just going to have to continue to call me extremist, because I will stand with the founding fathers on that,” West said.

      http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/news/local-govt-politics/congressional-candidate-murphy-calls-out-rival-wes/nSTQy/

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tbpnzDfVa84

    3. Tamikosmom on October 18th, 2012 6:08 pm

      Is Barack Obama giving up and reading the Romney handwriting on the wall in Florida, North Carolina, Virginia and Colorado?

      Posted October 18, 2012 by Scared Monkeys
      ______

      Maybe Obama should also give up on Ohio when the backlash by 500 miners to one of his campaign ads is considered. The ad revealed lies from beginning to end.
      .
      .
      Coal miners blast Obama over campaign ad’s digs at Romney
      Published October 18, 2012

      Coal miners in southeastern Ohio are blasting an ad from President Obama that claims they were forced to “be props in (Mitt) Romney’s commercial.” …

      A group of 500 miners has now penned a letter and released a video insisting that no one was forced to attend the rally and demanding that the Obama campaign disavow the ad. The workers at Century mine, in Beallsville, Ohio, which is operated by Murray Energy subsidiary American Energy Century, said they “voluntarily and enthusiastically” attended the event.

      “These ads state that we were forced to attend this rally, and that is blatantly false,” coal worker Mitch Miracle said on the video, reading from a letter sent to the president’s campaign. “Since your approval is attached to these ads, you may not wish to support these mistruths. Why would you lie about the 500 working miners who have signed this letter? We, the employees of Century mine, would request that you immediately stop these false ads.”

      Read More:
      http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/10/18/wv-coal-miners-blast-obama-over-digs-at-romney/

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=-GBGIFdahSo

    4. katablog.com on October 18th, 2012 8:56 pm

      Maybe Obama should also give up on Ohio when the backlash by 500 miners to one of his campaign ads is considered.

      I so agree. Ohio is Romney’s. Move along Owe.

    5. fiz on October 19th, 2012 5:15 am

      except Romney isn’t winning Iowa Or WI or Ohio

      Good try though……at the end of the day. the man who killed Osama and brought us health care and made it so women have EQUAL pay will be our President
      and the world can read 4 more years of racist posts by red and suuuuuper ddddddddave
      ________________
      SM: What fair pay did Obama bring? There were already laws on the books that made that possible. Also, Obama does not even pay his own White House staff equal pay for women. Get a clue.

      Racist posts. is that all you got, really? You insult racism by trivializing it.

      Get educated and learn something. Racists post, you are a joke.

    6. Tamikosmom on October 20th, 2012 12:02 am

      Is Barack Obama giving up and reading the Romney handwriting on the wall in Florida, North Carolina, Virginia and Colorado
      Posted October 18, 2012 by Scared Monkeys

      +++++++

      Maybe Obama should also give up on Ohio and Florida.
      ______

      Fox News Poll: Support for Obama Dips in Ohio
      Published October 19, 2012
      http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/10/19/fox-news-poll-support-for-obama-dips-in-ohio/

      Fox News Poll: Romney Now Ahead in Florida
      Published October 19, 2012
      http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/10/19/fox-news-poll-romney-now-ahead-in-florida/

    7. Tamikosmom on October 20th, 2012 10:08 am

      Good try though……at the end of the day. the man who killed Osama and brought us health care and made it so women have EQUAL pay will be our President and the world can read 4 more years of racist posts by red and suuuuuper ddddddddave.
      5. fiz on October 19th, 2012 5:15 am

      +++++

      fix … race is not the issue … it is ideology. I would you suggest that you listen to the words of a great American named Allen West who happens to be black. He could be any color under the rainbow and my sons American inlaws would cast their vote for him if he were running in the 2012 Presidential election.

      Video:
      Allen West Calls Obama’s ‘Forward’ Campaign Slogan “Marxist-Socialist”
      September 9, 2012
      http://shark-tank.net/2012/09/09/allen-west-calls-obamas-forward-campaign-slogan-marxist-socialist/

    8. Lou on October 20th, 2012 10:19 pm

      Face it,Liberals.
      It’s over for Obama.

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