Barack Obama Widens Lead Over Romney in Swing States Ohio, Florida & PA with a Skewed Sampling of D+9 and Greater (Update: Polls Questioned as Bunk)

 

All Polls are not created equal … some are just skewed numbers meant to fit the liberal MSM and Democrat narrative …

Yet another example of the fraud that the MSM is trying to perpetrate on the Americans people to try depress the GOP vote turnout by claiming the swing state races are over. The fraud this time is courtesy of the New York Times and Qunnipiac. It has become obvious that polls can no longer be taken at face value or believed unless one takes the time t dig down to the data sampling. However, the liberal, corrupt media complex is hoping, they are praying that a lazy America does not. As Macsmind says. knock it of NYT, the GOP is coming out to vote in 2012.

For weeks, Republicans in Ohio have been watching with worry that the state’s vital 18 electoral votes were trending away from Mitt Romney. The anxiety has been similar in Florida, where Republicans are concerned that President Obama is gaining the upper hand in the fight for the state’s 29 electoral votes.

Those fears are affirmed in the findings of the latest Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News polls of likely voters in both states, which show that Mr. Obama has widened his lead over Mr. Romney and is outperforming him on nearly every major campaign issue, even though about half said they were disappointed in Mr. Obama’s presidency.

The polls, along with interviews with supporters and advisers in the nation’s two largest battleground states, lay bare an increasingly urgent challenge facing Mr. Romney as he prepares for his next chance to move the race in his favor, at the first debate with Mr. Obama next week. Mr. Romney’s burden is no longer to win over undecided voters, but also to woo back the voters who seem to be growing a little comfortable with the idea of a second term for Mr. Obama.

The New York Times, in collaboration with Quinnipiac University and CBS News, is tracking the presidential race with recurring polls in six states. In Ohio — which no Republican has won the presidency without — Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney 53 percent to 43 percent in the poll. In Florida, the president leads Mr. Romney 53 to 44 percent in the poll.

The surveys, which had margins of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points for each candidate, also included a Pennsylvania poll, where Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney by 12 percentage points.

This is what passes as liberal polling sampling – NYT

HOG WASH … However, a funny, no a hideous and blatantly fraud happened on the way to the 2012 elections in the polling. The in the tank for Obama media has been skewing the polling sampling so bad for Obama that of course they are going to show that the Obamamessiah is leading. The latest skewed sampling by the NY Times/Qunnipiac has lead to a poll that shows Obama allegedly is up 10 in Ohio, 9 in Florida and 12 in Pennsylvania? If you believe that I have a bridge to sell you.

Don’t look now but the NY Times/Qunnipiac used a +D9 sample in Florida, a +9D sampling in Ohio and a +11 sample in Pennsylvania. WOW, that is a greater sampling than the 2008 once in a life-time, anomaly election of the first black President Obama. Who honestly believes that the turnout is going to be anything like 2008? However, this poll thinks even more D’s are going to turn out.

It looks like this fact was not lost either over at Jammie Wearing Fool … “So Obama is up 9 in Florida with a D+9 sample, up 10 in Ohio with a D+9 sample and up 12 in Pennsylvania with a D+11 sample” What a coincidence, eh? Is it a close race, yes. Does Romney have a lot of work to do between now and election day, yes. However, to purposely present an obvious skewed poll as if it was fact and then have the liberal MSM run with it as news is nothing more than Obama propaganda.

Such a poll is not even worth adding to the RCP average of polling as it is so badly skewed, even when averaging it with other polls it brings up the polling number for Obama. Shameful, simply shameful.

 UPDATE I: From NewsBusters, Quinnipiac Pollster Admits: ‘Probably Unlikely’ That Electorate Will Feature Massive Dem Skew. Gee, YA THINK? In order for this poll to be considered valid, Democrats would have to come out in record numbers even greater than 2008. Sorry, I have to break the orgasmic MSM’s bubble, but that ain’t happening.

Despite not believing that Democrats would have a 9-point advantage, Brown defended his organization, claiming that he and his colleagues were not intentionally trying to skew their sample size:

“We didn’t set out to oversample Democrats,” he protested. “We did our normal, random digit dial way of calling people. And there were, these are likely voters. They had to pass a screen.”

But what if that screen is simply not enough? The 2012 presidential election is unlikely to have an electorate which is similar to the ones before it. In the 2008 election, young and black voters turned out in record numbers and voted in even higher percentages for Obama. As specific surveys of these two voter groups have shown, however, both are dispirited this time around and are less likely to turn out for Democrats.

 



If you liked this post, you may also like these:

  • Poll on Polls Being Biased … Plurality of Americans Believe Polls Biased for Obama, 7 in 10 Republicans Say Pollsters Intentionally Skewing Results to Help Obama
  • Skewed Polling Take Notice … Big Drop in Voter Registration in Ohio in Democrat Strongholds, And Other Battle Ground States
  • Final CBS/NY Times/Quinnipiac Poll in OH, FL, VA show Obama up, But … Sampling Skewed
  • RUT-ROH, Bad News For Obama… Barack Obama’s Approval Rating Mirrors 2010 Midterm Shellacking
  • Washington Post-ABC News Tracking Poll, Romney Within One … and Romney 52% to Obama’s 46% in 7 Swing States




  • Comments

    19 Responses to “Barack Obama Widens Lead Over Romney in Swing States Ohio, Florida & PA with a Skewed Sampling of D+9 and Greater (Update: Polls Questioned as Bunk)”

    1. Tamikosmom on September 26th, 2012 11:00 am

      Emails show Justice working with Media Matters on stories that target critics
      Published September 18, 2012

      Newly published emails show the top spokeswoman at the U.S. Justice Department regularly collaborating with the liberal advocacy group Media Matters on stories that slam the administration’s critics.

      Read more:
      http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/09/18/emails-show-justice-working-with-media-matters-to-target-critics/

      Video:
      http://video.foxnews.com/v/1847447195001/did-media-matters-justice-department-cross-legal-lines

      Video:
      http://video.foxnews.com/v/1846477652001/has-the-doj-been-using-media-matters-to-spin-the-press

    2. Tamikosmom on September 26th, 2012 11:04 am

      Emails suggest Axelrod leaned on Gallup after unfavorable poll
      Published September 06, 2012

      http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/09/06/emails-suggest-axelrod-leaned-on-gallup-after-unfavorable-poll/

    3. publicenemy2u on September 26th, 2012 12:15 pm

      ” the voters who seem to be growing a little comfortable with the idea of a second term for Mr. Obama”
      So that’s what we’re calling the insulted 47% today?
      _______________________
      SM: If any one is comfortable with an Obama second term I would love to hear 3 reasons why.

    4. Tamikosmom on September 26th, 2012 12:36 pm

      Conservative leaders claim unprecedented media bias this election cycle
      Published September 26, 2012

      Two-dozen conservative activists and media personalities on Tuesday urged members of their respective groups to switch off the “biased news media,” claiming in an open letter that establishment media are “out of control with a deliberate and unmistakable leftist agenda.”

      Though these groups frequently complain about a left-leaning media bias, they claimed in the letter that the political slant this cycle is unprecedented. …

      According to NewsBusters, part of MRC, the letter was directed at the heads of ABC News, NBC News, CBS News and CNN.

      Read more
      http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/09/26/conservative-leaders-claim-unprecedented-media-bias-this-election-cycle/
      .
      .
      Bozell and Conservative Leaders Call on Public to Tune out the Liberal Media!
      Published: 9/25/2012 10:37 AM ET

      An Open Letter to the Biased News Media:

      Read More:
      http://www.mrc.org/press-releases/bozell-and-conservative-leaders-call-public-tune-out-liberal-media

    5. Tamikosmom on September 26th, 2012 12:47 pm

      Unbelievable MSM Bias: CNN’s Acosta to Romney … ‘If You Somehow Beat Obama,’ How Would You ‘Assure Blacks You’d Be Their President Also?

      From NewsBusters:

      JIM ACOSTA, CNN: African-Americans have a tremendous sense of pride that there is the first African-American president in the White House. If you were to somehow beat the first African-American president, what would you say to the black community to assure them that you would be their president also?

      Posted September 26, 2012 by Scared Monkeys

      http://scaredmonkeys.com/2012/09/26/unbelievable-msm-bias-cnns-acosta-to-romney-if-you-somehow-beat-obama-how-would-you-assure-blacks-youd-be-their-president-also/

    6. TaterSalad on September 26th, 2012 4:11 pm

      Doesn’t Barack Obama remind everyone that he is just another Eddie Haskell when dealing with the economy and foreign policy! It sure does and here is the resemblance between the two:

      1. Eddie being Barack: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mWnD6ZWsCi0

      2. Barack being Eddie: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hh0ib0bSj-o

    7. katablog.com on September 26th, 2012 8:54 pm

      and again, why isn’t someone going after these broadcasting licenses? Where is the “equal time” demanded for all candidates? IF Jim Acosta wants to proselytize for Obama, shouldn’t Romney get to at least have his campaign manager on the station to do equal time?

    8. RK on September 26th, 2012 10:16 pm

      Wah, Wah, Wah! The polls don’t like us anymore. Get Scotty on the phone so he can help us fix this.

      What a bunch of whiners Republicans are.
      ______________________
      SM: Sorry, I don’t consider calling some one on trying to cheat whining. I get you would be crying like a baby if the polls were +9R and Romney was up big. You are such a hypocrite. BTW, no one is whining, we are stating a fact.

      You mean an individual like you who only wants to present the facts is not concerned that false info is being presented by a polling model that is even greater than the once in a lifetime Democrat 2008 turnout?

      You truly are an Obama suck up. Please just admit it. What a hypocrite.

      I don’t think it is asking too much to not have faux polls. Then again, you probably think voter fraud is fine as well.

    9. mc on September 27th, 2012 3:32 am

      ‘If You Somehow Beat Obama,’ How Would You ‘Assure Blacks You’d Be Their President Also?

      It’s kinda like asking a guy “have you stopped beating your wife?”

    10. RK on September 27th, 2012 6:59 am

      So if more than one poller has these kind of results, then it’s a conspiracy. Is there a big payoff/bribe? What else is their motivation to destroy their credibility and reduce their respect and ability to ever be taken seriously again?

      Crazy conspiracy theories are just that. :-(

    11. SUPER DAVE on September 27th, 2012 7:04 am

      RK : KEEP ON SUCKING BOY ! DO YOU KNOW WHY THE WIND BLOWS SO HARD IN BLUE STATES ? IT’S BECAUSE DEMOCRATS SUCK SO MUCH.

    12. publicenemy2u on September 27th, 2012 7:47 am

      SM: Sorry, I don’t consider calling some one on trying to cheat whining. I get you would be crying like a baby if the polls were +9R and Romney was up big. You are such a hypocrite. BTW, no one is whining, we are stating a fact.

      Why is this so hard to understand? The polling mechanics has been the same, i.e. the expected voter turnout. So when Romney was ahead, he was ahead using these same mechanics. Where was the concern? Not one questioned polls when Romney was ahead. The fact is Romney is losing and it’s snowballing into the house and senate races. The GOP is going to lose the house! Thanks to Akin the senate is not even a hope for the GOP. I’m 47% happier than yeterday, how about you?

    13. A Texas Grandfather on September 27th, 2012 9:19 am

      Well, Obama isn’t really black since his moma was suposed to have been white and his suposed father was only one-eighth black. That makes Obama a mulatto. If an equal distribution were to be made for the racial components of Obama, he would be one-half white, one-sixteenth black and seven-sixteenths arab.

      What has Obama done for his black brothers? Mostly nothing as he has done for all the rest of the citizens unless we count the destruction of the economy and giving his money bundlers a fine payday with taxpayer money.

    14. publicenemy2u on September 27th, 2012 12:47 pm

      I loved the initial reaction to the famous videotape. Problem? Are you kidding? This is just what we’ve been waiting for! This will help Romney, it was said; finally, we have Mitt unchained, Mitt raw, Mitt the truth-teller. Now he can just charge out there and do more of this, and in no time the nation will be putty in our hands! And just you wait for the next polls
      http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/09/27/michael-tomasky-on-the-gop-s-self-delusion-syndrome.html

    15. I WANT A LEADER on September 28th, 2012 5:13 am

      ALL THE POLLS ARE WRONG AS LONG AS ITS ROMONEY WHO IS LOSING.
      BUT OF HE WAS WINNING THAT WOULD BE THE HEADLINES ON SMEARED MONKEYS
      WHAT A BUNCH OF WHINY BABIES….awha WHA WHA…….THE POLLS ARE WRONG……THEY WANT THE OTHER GUY TO LOSE.
      MEANWHILE EVERY ACTION MITTENS HAS DONE THIS WEEK SHOWS THAT THEIR INTERNAL POLLS SAY THE SAME THING……MAYBE……JUST MAYBE….THE COUNTRY DOESN’T WANT A PRESIDENT WITHOUT A CORE AND HEART…..
      WE ARE THE 47%
      _________________________
      SM: Nope, we are rational and educated here at SM who are not unhinged and ruled by emotion. we do not have to cheat and lie to the American people in order to show that a candidate is winning or losing.

      If you cannot understand that the sampling is totally bogus in many of these polls, you might want to go back to school and take a statistics and probability class. Just saying.

      I would not find a poll credible if it had a +10R sampling either. That’s the difference between you and SM, we don’t drink the Kool-Aid, we report and are skeptical of BS.

      BTW, if you want a leader, you certainly can’t be voting for Obama. He is a campaigner, not a leader.
      R

    16. I WANT A LEADER on September 28th, 2012 7:47 am

      hilarious…..
      you have no problem with any of these polls showed mittens ahead……but as soon as they show him dropping like lead they are all wrong….

      even your hero fox show Romoney losing
      ___________________________________
      SM: Do you know how to read? I suggest you take a course in that as well. I find no polling sampling credible if it has skewed sampling. Do you realize that Fox News poll got the 2008 election wrong?

      BTW, just because a poll has Obama up 47-45% does not mean Obama is winning. Take a polling class to while you are at it as well.

      You really have little clue what you are talking about and it shows by your comments.
      R

    17. publicenemy2u on September 28th, 2012 8:06 am

      This whole polling argument is phony. Saw Dick Morris trying to explain what he felt was skewed,
      After minutes of babble he was asked what changes would result if the turnout factor was like in 2004. Morris said it was 3 … three …THREE
      points, what the margin of error for these polls?
      3 … three …THREE points. If the GOP wants to change the turnout factor, run a canidate that people vote for
      _____________________
      SM: Its hardly a phony argument when there are polls at +9 and greater for Dems.

      What would you say if FOX, CNN or other polling outlet reported a poll with a +10R sampling? You would call it BS, wouldn’t you? Guess what, so would I.
      R

    18. RUT-ROH, Bad News For Obama… Barack Obama’s Approval Rating Mirrors 2010 Midterm Shellacking | Scared Monkeys on September 28th, 2012 12:32 pm

      [...] will actually show up at the polls election day. With such a negative gap for Obama, it makes such polls with a +9D sampling simply [...]

    19. Skewed Polling Take Notice … Big Drop in Voter Registration in Ohio in Democrat Strongholds, And Other Battle Ground States | Scared Monkeys on September 29th, 2012 6:56 pm

      [...] in Cleveland and Cuyahoga County, where Democrats outnumber Republicans 2:1. So why again would polling samples be weighted to Democrats greater than in 2008 again? Voter registration in the Buckeye State is down by 490,000 people from [...]

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