Is the Massachusetts Governor Race Now in Play … Republican Charles Baker Pulls Even with Incumbent Democrat Governor Deval Patrick
More trouble for Democrats leading up to the 2010 midterm elections … Another Tea Party in Massachusetts.
Could there be another Boston Tea Party this year in the Massachusetts Governors race? Could there be another Scott Brown moment this November? According to a new Boston Globe poll, Republican Charles D. Baker has pulled even with incumbent, Democrat Governor Deval Patrick in the Massachusetts gubernatorial race. The Globe must be nashing their teeth on this one, the LEFT can hardly claim that the poll is Tea Party or right leaning.
The poll results also suggest that independent Timothy P. Cahill is pulling voters equally from Baker and Patrick, raising questions about the conventional political thinking that his candidacy is undercutting Baker’s chance to defeat the governor in the Nov. 2 election.
In the Globe poll, taken last week, Patrick, a Democrat, won support from 35 percent of likely voters, compared with 34 percent for Baker, a statistical tie given the poll’s margin of error. Cahill, the state treasurer who left the Democratic Party last year, continued to lag far behind with 11 percent. Green-Rainbow candidate Jill Stein got 4 percent, and 14 percent said they remain undecided.
Rasmussen has the race as a 3% point lead for Deval Patrick; however, the polling data hardly looks favorable for Democrats Patrick or President Obama. In fact, one would almost question that the data is from the “blue” state of Massachusetts. However, this is the state of the political environment against incumbent Democrats.
With less than 40 days to go before the 2010 midterm elections, the polls are trending against Deval Patrick and the momentum seems to be on the side of Republican Charles Baker. Voter turn out and enthusiasm will be the key in 2010 and according to the Globe, the current trend favors Baker as Republicans are much more enthusiastic about the election than Democrats. Patrick is also having polling issues with independents, as are most Democrats this election cycle.
Some 78 percent of likely GOP voters say they are excited about the race, compared with only 37 percent of likely Democratic voters. Among the subset of 245 voters surveyed who said they were excited about the race, Baker beat Patrick, 52 to 25 percent.
“The energy in this election is certainly on the Republican side,’’ said Andrew E. Smith, director of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, which conducted the poll for the Globe.
More terrible polling numbers for Patrick and the reverse negative Obama coattails:
Smith said that one of the most significant findings — especially damaging to Patrick as he celebrates the state’s recent economic gains — is that voters are still pessimistic about the direction of the state’s economy. More than half of respondents, 59 percent, cited jobs and the economy as the most important problem facing Massachusetts, far more than any other issue.
Patrick has other hurdles, notably a prevailing anti-incumbent mood. A majority of likely voters polled, 52 percent, said they want a new group of leaders in Washington and Massachusetts; only 29 percent said they trust the current leadership. Patrick’s job approval rating continues to remains low, as well. Only 40 percent of likely voters say they approve of the job he is doing, while 48 percent disapprove.
Will Obama go to Massuchusettsand work his miracles like he did for Martha Coakly against Scott Brown. Oh, that’s right … the Democrats lost the UIS Senate seat formerly held by Ted Kennedy.