California Senate Election 2010: Could Republican Challenger Tom Campbell Beat Democrat Barbara Boxer, Yes He Can – Boxer Lead only 43% to 41%
Could Republican Tom Campbell really win the US Senate seat in California?
Is it really possible? Could an incumbent US Senate Democrat like Barbara Boxer really be in trouble in the state of California? It’s possible when Barack Obama is the President, the budget is out of control, the Democrat party defies the will of the people and the state of California is in a state of mass economic confusion.
Enter Republican challenger Tom Campbell.
According to the most recent Scott Rasmussen poll, Democrat Boxer leads Republican Tom Campbell by only 2% points, 43% to 41%. It is a virtual dead heat now as last month Boxer claimed a 4% point lead against Campbell.
Incumbent Democrat Barbara Boxer is now in a virtual dead heat with former Congressman Tom Campbell in California’s U.S. Senate race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state finds Boxer leading Campbell 43% to 41%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and 10% are undecided.
Obamacare does not hurt Boxer in California; however, the problem is the economy. Jobs, jobs, jobs and an out of control state budget. The metropolitan cites in CA are among the worst in the country for unemployment.
Fifty-five percent (55%) of California voters favor the Democrats’ health care plan, while 44% oppose it. These numbers include 32% who Strongly Favor the plan versus 38% who Strongly Oppose it.
It just got worse for Democrat Barbara Boxer. A recent Field Poll survey has Republican Tom Campbell ahead of Boxer 44% to 43%. The Field Poll last had Boxer beating Campbell 48% to 38%. The tides could be shifting and trending in the direction of the Republican. The economic and jobs situation in California cannot be a positive for any incumbent Democrat. Boxer has seem to have lost to all Republican challengers significantly; however, only Campbell has a lead. Boxer’s real issues are with her present 51% unfavorable rating and only 38% favorable. In January 2010 during the last poll, Boxer had a 48% favorable and 39% unfavorable. My what a difference a couple of months makes
Campbell 44 – Boxer 43
Boxer 45 – Fiorina 44
Boxer 45 – DeVore 41
Real Clear Politics has the polling averages HERE.
Presently Tom Campbell is leading his fellow Republicans Fiorina and DeVore in the GOP primary polls.
In the Republican U.S. Senate contest Congressman Tom Campbell is running ahead of businesswoman Carly Fiorina by six points and leads Assemblyman Chuck DeVore by nineteen points among likely GOP primary election voters.
The rankings now are Campbell 28%, Fiorina 22% and DeVore 9%. Similar to last January, a large proportion of prospective GOP primary voters – about four in ten – remained undecided.