Election, Not a Coronation … All Polls Breaking for Republican Scott Brown over Coakley in Mass Senate Race
Do You Believe in Miracles …
One day before the special Senate election in Massachusetts and all polls appear to be breaking for Republican Scott Brown. Tomorrow’s Mass. election could be a historic day if the polls hold true to form. The Democrats are about to learn a real civics lesson in what the special Senate race for Ted Kennedy’s old seat was supposed to be … “It’s an election, not a coronation.”
Coakley was “mailing it in” on the senatorial campaign trail, the official said, relating how in his own election, he had gone door-to-door “seven days a week” soliciting votes. After winning the Dec. 8 Democratic primary, however, Coakley seemed to shift into neutral, expecting to coast easily to victory in the general election. She even took a six-day vacation from campaigning in December.
“I’ve never seen a worse campaign for a Democrat,” said Barnicle, a liberal who is a regular commentator on MSNBC. “It’s an election, not a coronation.”
Coakley’s aloof personality, disastrous gaffes and strategic miscalculations may become a convenient explanation if, as many Massachusetts political observers now expect, the Democrat loses Tuesday. If her defeat can be explained in strictly tactical terms — a bad campaign by a clueless candidate …
“We the People” in one of the most liberal and “Blue” states in the US might just be telling Obama and Democrats what they think of Obamacare and the path of his administration. As the WSJ wrote … “The backlash is coming, the backlash is coming!”
The most recent polling data looks disastrous for Martha Coakley, Obama and the Democrat Party.Three polls came out and all have Scott Brown with big leads (American Research Group, Insider Advantage and MyFox Boston News poll). It truley does appear that the wheels have come of the Coakley wagon and her campaign is in free fall.
ARG has Brown up 52% to 45%.
Brown leads Coakley 97% to 1% among registered Republicans and he leads 64% to 32% among unenrolled voters. Coakley leads Brown 73% to 23% among registered Democrats.
Brown leads 53% to 43% among men while Coakley leads 50% to 46% among women.
Brown leads 53% to 43% among likely voters age 18 to 49 and he leads 51% to 46% among voters 50 and older.
A total of 8% of likely voters say they have already voted by absentee ballot, with Brown leading Coakley 54% to 44%, with 2% for Kennedy.
According to the survey conducted Sunday evening by the non-partisan firm, Brown leads the Democratic attorney general 52 percent to 43 percent.
The results came as Suffolk University in Boston released a survey Monday reporting that Brown surged to a double-digit lead in three Massachusetts communities identified as bellwethers because party registration in those cities is similar to the statewide voter makeup and because in the most recent “like election” – the November 2006 Senate race– the results in all three communities were within 1 percentage point of the actual statewide results for each candidate.
Finally a MyFox Boston poll has Brown with a double digit lead over Coakley.
Brown has surged to a double-digit lead over Coakley in three Massachusetts communities identified as bellwethers, according to the latest SuffolkUniversitybellwether polling of the race for U.S. Senate.
Gardner, Fitchburg and Peabody all show solid margins for Brown, the state senator running against Coakley. The cities were identified as bellwether communities because in the most recent “like election” – the November 2006 Senate race between the late Sen. Edward M. Kennedy and Republican challenger Kenneth Chase – the results in all three communities were within 1 percentage point of the actual statewide results for each candidate. Additionally, party registration in those cities is similar to the statewide voter makeup.
It truly would appear that Brown can really do the unthinkable and have a Republican win in Massachusetts where registered Donkeys out number Republicans by a 3 to 1 margin. Polling has shown that Brown is picking up the Independents; however, as per Real Clear Politics it also looks like 1 in 4 Democrats are leaning toward Brown.
In this new survey, Brown wins Republicans 86-10 and independents 69-28. Among Democrats, Coakley’s lead is just 71-24, meaning nearly one-in-four of those voters plans to cast a vote for the Republican.
The Gateway Pundit asks if this is the end of “Hope & Change” as we know it? I hate to get ahead of myself and because we are dealing with Massachusetts, but as stated by the Astute Blogger … MIGHT SCOTT BROWN’S SURGE TAKE HIS ONCE IMPROBABLE BUT NOW LIKELY VICTORY INTO “TEDDY TERRITORY”? If the answer is “yes” it could not have been possible if got the “Hope & Change” of Barack Hussein Obama.