NY Times Just Figuring Out Democrats Could Lose Congress in November Midterms
Who says that the New York Times, the Old Gray Lady is not up on their current affairs? This weekends article, “Democrats’ Long-Held Seats Face G.O.P. Threat”, the NY Times finally figures out that the GOP not only threatens long time Democrat seats, but they also may take over control of the Congress in this November’s midterm elections.
Wow, go figure … Welcome to the party pal, the Tea Party that is. Glad to see they finally coming out of denial and are admitting the inevitable. Because you know LEFT, admission is the first step. The MSM has been demonizing the Tea Parties and their criticisms of government. Has the NY Times finally seen the light?
Representative David R. Obey has won 21 straight races, easily prevailing through wars and economic crises that have spanned presidencies from Nixon’s to Obama’s. Yet the discontent with Washington surging through politics is now threatening not only his seat but also Democratic control of Congress.
Mr. Obey is one of nearly a dozen well-established House Democrats who are bracing for something they rarely face: serious competition. Their predicament is the latest sign of distress for their party and underlines why Republicans are confident of making big gains in November and perhaps even winning back the House.
The fight for the midterm elections is not confined to traditional battlegrounds, where Republicans and Democrats often swap seats every few cycles. In the Senate, Democrats are struggling to hold on to, among others, seats once held by President Obama and Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. Democrats are preparing to lose as many as 30 House seats — including a wave of first-term members — and Republicans have expanded their sights to places where political challenges seldom develop.
Democrats are preparing to lose 30 House seats. Well, so much for that denial I guess. Hardly, the way the mood of the country is, the loses for Democrats probably start at 35 to 40. Across the country Democrats find them self in real trouble. Blue Dog Democrats in the South are either retiring or find them self out of favor with the voters. Republicans and middle of the road independents realize that a vote for a Democrat is a vote for liberal Nancy Pelosi.
The article in Real Clear Politics, “How Bad Could 2010 Really Get For Democrats,” asks the question whether Democrats could lose 70, 80 or 90 seats. The polling data for Democrats is horrific, as Michael Barone calls this the worst polling environment for Democrats “during my 50 years of following politics closely. The Rasmussen Generic Ballot poll has Republicans up by 10%, an almost unheard of advantage. The bad economy, unemployment near 10%, President Obama’s job approval rating declining and the controversial agenda like Obamacare at an all time low, all spell disaster for Democrats. The polling data is so bad, if Republicans don’t will the House it would be considered a loss.
Representative Pete Sessions of Texas, chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee, said he would consider anything short of taking back the House a failure. Republicans say they have not recruited strong candidates in all districts, but both parties agree that Republicans are within reach of capturing the 40 additional seats needed to win control. Republicans also are likely to eat into the Democratic majority in the Senate, though their prospects of taking control remain slim.
For Republicans to take control of the US Senate they would need some races to break right; however, the GOP does stand to make significant gains. I would tend to disagree with the NY Times map of Senate races as many of which they claim are leaning Democrat like PA, are more so leaning Republican. With the mood of the country as such, the economy not looking to turn around by November, the electorate still upset over Obamacare and angered further by the recent news that Obamacare will increase costs, Republicans most likely will capture the toss up states and stand to pick up 8 to 9 Senate seats.
Republicans lead in the NY Times so-called vulnerable Senate seats of MO, NH, KY and OH. In the case of New Hampshire and Kentucky, the GOP candidate has a double digit lead. In Nevada, Pennsylvania, Arkansas, North Dakota, Indiana and Colorado, it is not a matter if Republicans win, but when. Even Barack Obama’s own former seat has a Republican in the lead in the polls. How bad is it for Democrats? Even Barbra Boxer is in the fight for her political life in California.
In the Senate, Republicans also are looking to make major gains, though their hopes of winning control were set back when Tommy Thompson, a former Wisconsin governor, decided against challenging Mr. Feingold, who is seeking a fourth term. Democrats control the Senate by 59 to 41 seats.
To win the majority, Republicans would essentially have to run the table in races across the country: fending off Democratic challenges to four vulnerable Republican seats in Kentucky, Missouri, New Hampshire and Ohio, and capturing 10 seats now held by Democrats. Even in this climate, Republican officials concede that an error-free year is unlikely. Republicans appear to have a shot at winning races in Arkansas, Colorado, Delaware, Illinois, Indiana, Nevada, North Dakota and Pennsylvania.
They would also have to pick up the seats of decidedly more entrenched — though not unbeatable — incumbents, like Senators Barbara Boxer of California or Patty Murray of Washington.
Remember in November is the battle cry. If one asks the Magic 8 Ball if Democrats will suffer damaging political loses and more than the average number of seats of a first term President … Signs point to Yes.
Posted April 25, 2010 by Scared Monkeys 2010 Elections, 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Economy, Federal Deficits, Governor Races, House Elections, Nancy Pelosi, Obamacare, Obamanation, Obamanomics, Politics, Polls, Senate Elections, Tax & Spend Liberals, Tea Party, Unemployment, We the People | 4 comments |
Trouble for Those Who Voted for Bail Outs … 57% Have More Trust In Those In Congress Who Voted Against Bailouts
Most Americans still believe today that government is not and should not be the answer to our problems.
There is trouble on the horizon for all those who have in the past voted for bail outs. In a recent Rasmussen poll, 57% of American voters stated that they have more trust for those in Congress who voted against the bail outs than those who voted for. Only 21% stated that they trusted the judgment of a Congress member who voted for the bailouts.
Government bailouts are still a sore subject with most voters. But the Political class remains supportive of efforts to have taxpayers bail out troubled and failing companies.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 57% of likely U.S. voters have more confidence in the judgment of a member of Congress who voted against bailouts than in the judgment of one who voted for them. Just 21% trust the judgment of a Congress member who voted for bailouts more. Another 22% are undecided.
Middle income voters are more supportive of bailout opponents than those with higher or lower incomes.
This can explain why Democrats trail Republicans badly in the Rasmussen Generic Congressional poll and trail in the Real Clear Politics average polling as well.
“Government is not the solution to our problem; Government is the problem.”
This is the issue of this election, whether we believe in our capacity for self government or whether we abandon the American Revolution and confess that a little intellectual elite in a far distant Capitol can plan our lives for us better than we can plan them ourselves. (10/24/64 – Ronald Reagan)
Most people think that the bail outs were bad for America and the economy. By a 56% to 30% margin, the voters feel bail outs were a bad idea. President Ronald Reagan once said that “government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem.” No truer words were ever more self evident today in 2010. Once again, the big government, nanny state Democrats have real issues to deal with the voters in the upcoming 2010 and 2012 elections. Independents and voters not affiliated with a political party are strongly against the bail outs and those who voted for them.
Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Republicans and 62% of voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties trust a member of Congress who voted against bailouts more. Democratic voters are narrowly divided on the question.
Similarly, 82% of Republicans and 59% of unaffiliated agree with Reagan that government is the problem, not the solution. Fifty-one percent (51%) of Democrats disagree.
Take a good listen to Ronald Reagan’s comments on Capitalism vs. Socialism. Never have the two been more simply explained.
“Socialists ignore the side of man that is of the spirit. They can provide shelter, fill your belly with bacon and beans, treat you when you are ill, all the things that are guaranteed to a prisoner or a slave. They don’t understand that we also dream …”
Posted April 18, 2010 by Scared Monkeys 2010 Elections, 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Economy, Government, House Elections, Obamacare, Obamanation, Obamanomics, Politics, Polls, Senate Elections, Socialism, Tax & Spend Liberals, We the People, You Tube - VIDEO | one comment |
United States Battle for Independence 2010: Tea Parties vs. The Obama Culture of Dependence
DECLARATION OF INDEPENDENCE
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. — That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, — That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. (Declaration of Independence July 4, 1776)
No truer words were ever more self evident than in 2010 …
People have asked what is the Tea Party about and what do they stand for. Michael Barone’s article in The Washington Examiner hits pretty close to the point. The Tea Party is against higher taxes, out of control spending, record federal deficits, bail outs, politicians who have for got who they work for and most importantly, BIG GOVERNMENT. What do the Tea Party folks really want … INDEPENDENCE!!!
The direction put forth by Our Founding Fathers is what has allowed “We the People” to become the most prosperous, Representative Democratic nation in the world, not an over reaching and controlling nanny state government. We are the most productive, charitable and yes, whether you like it or not President Obama … the dominant world super power.
Barone touches on that very point in ‘Tea parties fight Obama’s culture of dependence.’
It is really a battle about culture, a battle between the culture of dependence and the culture of independence. Probably unknowingly, Roesgen was reflecting the the midcentury sociologist Paul Lazarsfeld’s dictum that politics is about who gets how much when. If some guy is getting $400, shouldn’t he just shut up and collect the money? Shouldn’t he be happy that his state government, headed recently by Rod Blagojevich, was getting an extra $50 billion?
But public policy also helps determine the kind of society we are. The Obama Democrats see a society in which ordinary people cannot fend for themselves, where they need to have their incomes supplemented, their health care insurance regulated and guaranteed, their relationships with their employers governed by union leaders. Highly educated mandarins can make better decisions for them than they can make themselves.
That is the culture of dependence. The tea partiers see things differently. They’re not looking for lower taxes; half of tea party supporters, a New York Times survey found, think their taxes are fair. Nor are they financially secure: Half say someone in their household may lose their job in the next year. Two-thirds say the recession has caused some hardship in their lives. But they recognize, correctly, that the Obama Democrats are trying to permanently enlarge government and increase citizens’ dependence on it.
Where would America be today if The Founding Fathers has formed a big brother government that was an all controlling nanny state? In order for success, there needs to be failure. President Obama just does not get it because he believes the Government should act as the all encompassing dominant entity like a King and the people should just be peasants acting in a plebeian manner. Never was this more evident as when Obama just recently mocked the Tea Party folks protesting his policies and agenda by stating, “they amuse me … they should be saying thank you.”
This is the 2010 version of the Battle of Independence in America. That is why Democrats and Obama have so misread the signs of the Tea Party and wanted to be dismissive. Much of what the Tea Party proclaims is not fringe or extreme. It is very emblematic of what every day Americans believe. Which can explain why in so many polls Obama’s policies are opposed by a majority of the American people and the middle of the road, in pendent voters with no party affiliation. How else does one explain a Republican like Scott Brown winning in Massachusetts? America was not based upon the redistribution of wealth model. It is not about a government hand out, although that id what Obama and Democrats would like to create so to form a permanent voting block of dependent individuals.
At some point every American is going to have to stand up, think for them self and their family and decide whether they want to be independent and that their children and grandchildren will have the rights endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. Or be a dependent class of people solely beholden to whatever government is in power.
Barone in his article recalled a liberal MSM confrontation between CNN’s Susan Roesgen with a Tea Party goer and his daughter (VIDEO). The liberal media carrying the water and Obama message just could not understand that the dad did not want the government cookie that would make he and his family dependent upon BIG Government.
“Do you realize,” CNN’s Susan Roesgen asked a man at the April 15, 2009, tea party in Chicago, “that you’re eligible for a $400 credit?” When the man refused to drop his “drop socialism” sign, she went on, “Did you know that the state of Lincoln gets fifty billion out of the stimulus?”
Roesgen is no longer with CNN, and CNN has only about half as many viewers as it did last year. But her questions are revealing. They help us understand that the issue on which our politics has become centered — the Obama Democrats’ vast expansion of the size and scope of government — is really not just about economics.
Who won the debate between the MSM and the Tea Party from above? CNN’s Susan Roesgen was fired, CNN has lost their audience and the Tea Party is alive and well in 2010.
It’s up to you America … the United States is at a cross roads and this up coming midterm election in 2010 and the Presidential election in 2012 will determine whether America will be the shining example that Our Founding Father’s risked their lives for and fought a War of Independence for … or will we become like a social European country. Its your choice America.
Posted April 18, 2010 by Scared Monkeys 2010 Elections, 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Economy, Government, Healthcare, Obamacare, Obamanation, Obamanomics, Politics, Polls, Socialism, Tax & Spend Liberals, Taxes, Tea Party, We the People | 5 comments |
Barack Obama to Tea Party and America … Let Them Eat Taxes … “They should be saying thank you”
Obama Arrogance on display …
President Barack Hussein Obama has nothing on Marie Antoinette as The One says to the Tea Party and Americans for that fact, “LET THEM EAT TAXES”.
One thing is for certain, Barack Obama cannot take criticism. Yesterday, at a Democratic National Committee (DNC) fundraiser in Miami, FL, Obama addressed the Tea party members and those that were protesting across the country on Tax Day by saying … “they should be saying thank you” because of the tax cuts he has signed into law.
Yes, the peasants should be thanking me and kissing my ring
What President of the United States mocks and makes fun of the people he serves? Do you ever remember a President being so flipped and condescending?
President Barack Obama struck a hyperpartisan note Thursday, telling Democrats that he was “amused” by the Tax Day Tea Party rallies.
Obama, addressing a Democratic National Committee (DNC) fundraiser in Miami, did little to endear himself to the Tea Party groups protesting around the country, saying “they should be saying thank you” because of the tax cuts he has signed into law.
The president went as far as to say that this week’s special election in Florida, which was won by Democrat Ted Deutch, was portrayed by Republicans as “a referendum on healthcare, a referendum on the stimulus.”
“And you know what, it was,” Obama said to applause.
Obama continued to dare Republicans to run on a platform of repealing healthcare reform, telling the audience “they won’t be very successful.”
Mock the Tea Party and We the People all you want Obama … We will Remember in November!
I am sure the Tea Party and Americans that disagree with the over taxing, out of control spending, record federal deficits and no jobs AMUSE YOU! I wonder just how amuzed you and your ilk will be come this November after the midterm elections? Think you will be laughing then President Obama? Or wondering what political tsunami just hit you?
Posted April 16, 2010 by Scared Monkeys 2010 Elections, Barack Obama, Obamacare, Obamanation, Obamanomics, Politics, Polls, Pork, Socialism, Tax & Spend Liberals, Taxes, Tea Party, We the People, WTF | 93 comments |
House Republicans Vote to Ban All Earmarks … Return to Conservative Principles
FINALLY … a step in the right direction.
Have Republicans finally wizened up and returned to their Conservative principle? With Obama’s out of control spending and record deficits, Republicans better differentiate themselves from Democrats and mean it. A complete ban on pork spending … could it become a reality?
Could Republicans finally be returning to Conservative principle?
As stated by Another Black Conservative, the Democrats, in an attempt to put lipstick on their corruption pig, banned earmarks to private companies yesterday. Only private companies?
However, Republicans upped the ante and went all in as House Republicans voted to ban all earmarks. It is a move in the right direction as the pork spending must come to an end.
House Republicans approved a conference-wide moratorium on earmarks on Thursday, one day after a House committee enacted a ban on for-profit earmarks.
The Republicans’ moratorium is more extensive than the House Appropriations Committee’s ban in that it applies to all earmarks for all members of the caucus.
House Republican Conference Chairman Mike Pence (Ind.) hailed the decision in an interview on Fox News.
“Republicans did something very dramatic today that’s going to make it very uncomfortable for business as usual,” he said. “So now House Republicans are going to the American people and saying we want a clean break from the runaway spending in the past. And that’s going to be quite a contrast from this Congress and the administration.”
This is only the beginning, but at least it is a start. Republicans now need to emphasize Pay-Go and really mean it, not PAY IT FORWARD. It will be interesting how this legislation plays out in the political environment we are in and the record Obama budget deficits.
Posted March 12, 2010 by Scared Monkeys Barack Obama, Budget Deficits, Government, House of Representatives, Obamanation, Obamanomics, Politics, Pork, Tax & Spend Liberals | 3 comments |