Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid Says Senate Control Hinges on Iowa … Des Moines, Iowa Poll Says Republican Joni Ernst Up by 7 Over Bruce Braley
DINGY HARRY SAYS IF REPUBLICAN JONI ERNST WINS IOWA, DEMOCRATS WILL SQUEAL LIKE A CASTRATED PIG …
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid says that if Republican challenger Joni Ernst wins the Iowa Senate race against Bruce Baily, I mean Braley, then the Democratic can kiss the US Senate majority goodbye. Truth be told, that is not entirely true as Iowa was never initially considered a Senate seat that was in play for the GOP to win a net 6 seats to gain control of the Senate. However, an Ernst win in the “Hawkeye” state probably means that the GOP will win more than a net six seats. However, that being said and if that is what Harry Reid really believes, then Reid could not have been too happy with the final Des Moines Register Iowa poll before Tuesday’s election that shows that Ernst with a 7 point advantage, 51% to 44% over Braley. Did Ernst really just break the critical majority threshold and put this race away, or is this poll an outlier as the Braley camp is praying. However, even Democrats fear that Iowa is slipping away.
If Joni Ernst beats Rep. Bruce Braley in Iowa on Tuesday, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said he expects to kiss the Democratic majority goodbye.
The Nevada Democrat said if Braley wins in Iowa, Democrats will do “just fine.” And if they lose? Say hello to Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, Reid said in a conference call Saturday with the Progressive Change Campaign Committee.
“Joni Ernst would mean — coming to the United States Senate — that Mitch McConnell would be leader of the United States Senate, who agrees with her on everything.
Retired Command Sgt. Major, Chris Fox, was one of the 150 Iowa soldiers Joni Ernst led into Operation Iraqi Freedom in 2003. Hear what Chris has to say about Joni in this latest ad.
• Although a small plurality of likely voters thinks Braley has more depth on the issues, they like Ernst better than Braley on several character descriptions. They think she better reflects Iowa values, she cares more about people like them, and she’s more of a regular, down-to-earth person.
• Voters find Ernst, who has led Iowa troops in war, to be a reassuring presence on security issues, the poll shows. In the wake of news developments on the Ebola outbreak in West Africa, increasing aggressiveness of Russia and the rise of the Islamic State in the Middle East, more likely voters see Ernst as better equipped than Braley to show leadership and judgment, by at least 9 points on each issue.
• Independent voters are going Ernst’s way, 51 percent to 39 percent.
• The negativity in the race has hurt Braley more than Ernst. Forty-four percent say he has been more negative in campaign ads, compared with 32 percent for Ernst.
• Among several potential mistakes the two candidates have made, the one that stands out is Braley’s seemingly condescending remark about Republican U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley. In March, GOP operatives released caught-on-tape remarks Braley made at a private fundraiser in Texas that seemed to question the qualifications of “a farmer from Iowa without a law degree” to become the next chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee.
From RCP comes the graphic below that shows the US Senate races in play that show the many possibilities how the GOP pick up a net 6 seats to take control of Senate. Keep in mind that the Open Democrat seats in South Dakota and West Virginia are likely GOP and the Open Democrat seat in Montana is considered Safe GOP. Thus, the Republicans only need a net pickup of 3 seats from the ones below.
Please IOWA … retire Harry Reid as Senate Majority Leader!!!
In the latest FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast, Democrats still have a 27 percent chance of holding on to control of the chamber. But the more pressing question now may be the size of the Republican majority come next Congress. New polls out this weekend suggest that Republicans may not just win the six seats they need for control, but quite possibly eight seats — Republicans now have a 41.4 percent chance of doing just that.
Why? Let’s look at the map.
As for Iowa, Nate already spoke about the importance of the Des Moines Register poll that came out Saturday night, which showed Republican Joni Ernst up 51 to 44 percent over Democrat Bruce Braley. Even if that poll is too optimistic for Ernst, she has been ahead in the vast majority of public polls taken in October. FiveThirtyEight gives her a 71 percent chance to win.
But can Republicans hold on to Georgia and Kentucky? The answer, increasingly, looks to be yes.
The big political news today is that the last pre-election Iowa poll conducted on behalf of the Des Moines Register shows Ernst opening up a 7-point lead over Braley among likely voters. Jennifer Jacobs reports on the poll results here and adds 10 interesting takeaways from the poll here. The poll’s margin of error is 3.7 percent. Ernst’s lead is still within the poll’s margin of error, but the movement seems to be significant and in her direction.
You have to wonder if the late movement doesn’t signify such movement in other similar races around the country. In October the Democrats pulled out all the stops for Braley. They kept Barack Obama away from the state. They threw Michelle Obama out to prop up Braley, not once (hey, give it up for her good friend “Bruce Bailey”), but twice. They threw out Hillary Clinton.
They even threw out the Big Dog himself. They brought in Bill Clinton to argue on Braley’s behalf that we would “grow together” with Bruce.
It’s Halloween time, but Senate Democrats have more to fear than ghosts, goblins, witches and vampires … NT Times and WAPO predict Democrats are the Walking “political” Dead …
With just days to go before the 2014 midterm November 4th elections, two very liberal papers, the New York Times and Washington Post, are predicting a GOP Senate takeover. The NY Times predicts that there is a 69% chance that the Republicans will win control of the US Senate. According to the Times, Republicans will win Louisiana, Arkansas, South Dakota and Kentucky, West Virginia and Montana, leaving the seven most competitive states below in question. The NY Times predicts that Democrats will win the senate races in New Hampshire, North Carolina and Kansas; however, the GOP will run the rest of the seats in play in Georgia, Iowa, Alaska and Colorado. If the New York Times is correct, the GOP will hold a 52-48 control of the Senate after the elections.
According to our statistical election-forecasting machine, the Republicans have a moderate edge, with about a 69% chance of gaining a majority.
State-by-State Probabilities #
To forecast each party’s chance of gaining a majority, our model first calculates win probabilities for each individual Senate race. In addition to the latest polls, it incorporates the candidates’ political experience, fund-raising, a state’s past election results and national polling. More about our methodology.
However, if Democrats think that the NYT’s 69% chance of a GOP victory is bad … the WAPO is predicting a 95% chance of the Republican party taking back control of the US Senate.
The model’s factors fall into three categories:
1) The national landscape. On average, the better things are going in the country, the better the president’s party will do in an election. We capture national conditions using two measures: presidential approval and change in gross domestic product. At the same time, the president’s party usually does worse in midterm years than presidential years even after accounting for the first two measures, so our model takes account of that, too.
2) The partisanship of the state or district. Obviously, House and Senate candidates will do better when their party dominates a district or state. We measure this with Obama’s share of the major-party vote in 2012. In Senate races, we also include the incumbent’s share of the major-party vote from the election six years before, which is the incumbent’s share of the Democratic and Republican votes, combined with an indicator for whether that incumbent is running or the seat is open. The incumbent’s previous election matters mainly when the incumbent is running again.
3) Key features of the race. The model currently takes account of whether the incumbent is running, which captures the well-known incumbency advantage in congressional elections. For the Senate, we also build in each candidate’s level of experience in elective office. In the Senate, we categorize experience into five levels, from someone who has never held an elective office to an incumbent senator. For states where there hasn’t yet been a Senate primary, we impute candidate experience using historical averages from similar races. (After the primaries, we will also add candidate experience to the House model. There, the measure will be simpler: whether the candidate has held any elective office.)
Question: The NY Times and WAPO have been among the two most liberal media outlets that have carried the water for Barack Obama and Democrats, why are they calling the election now for the GOP? Is it because they want to put out faux-news and give Republicans voters a false sense of security or is it because they see the handwriting on the wall and are trying to mantain some sort of credibility by finally reporting the truth?
Harry Reid literally begs for money as he sees his job of Democrat Senate Majority Leader slipping away. Just curious Dingy Harry, if you can triple one’s gift, you need money how? I have a deal for you, You can just double my donation of $0.00.
But I’m emailing once more because this moment is absolutely critical. I know you’re a busy person, but this is an absolute MUST-READ:
Our Final Weekend Get Out The Vote Push is on the chopping block: We’re still $1,389,071 short with 24 hours left.
If we don’t fill that budget gap, we’ll be forced to scale back our plans to mobilize 575,000 voters this weekend. These are voters who could determine the outcome of the whole Senate.
I’m begging for your help to close the gap IMMEDIATELY. If we fall short before the last end-of-month deadline tomorrow, our chance to keep the Senate gets a whole lot smaller.
Will you pitch in to the Final Weekend GOTV Push before the final deadline in 24 hours? We’ll triple-match your gift.
Other nightmarish 2014 US Senate predictions for Democrats. None of the pollsters are predicting that Democrats will maintain control of the Senate and Harry Reid (NV-D) will no longer be Senate Majority Leader.
Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid Doesn’t Think Asians Are Smarter Than Anyone Else, Can’t Tell Them Apart
HARRY REID CAN’T TELL RIGHT FROM WONG …
On Friday speaking to the Asian Chamber of Commerce, Harry Reid (D-NV) joked about the stereo-type Asians and then some how thought it was okay to say that he could not keep his Wongs straight as they all looked alike. Are you kidding? Imagine what the fire storm would have been if he said the same thing about blacks? Imagine if these same comments were made by a Republican? There would not be calls for an apology, there would be cries for him to resign.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is making the rounds Friday after video surfaced of him cracking two jokes about Asians at a Las Vegas meeting.
Speaking to the Asian Chamber of Commerce, Reid joked about the stereotype regarding Asian intelligence.
“I don’t think you’re smarter than anyone else, but you’ve convinced a lot of us you are,” he said to chuckles.
Later, when someone mentioned a person with the last name “Wong,” Reid cracked: “One problem that I’ve had today is keeping my Wongs straight.”
National Review reminds us that the hypocrite Harry Reid was quick to go after his 2010 US Senate challenger Sharron Angle when she made an Asian joke:
While on the campaign trail in 2010, Reid criticized Republican challenger Sharron Angle for her own “Asian” comments. Angle came under fire for telling a group of Hispanic students that “some of you look a little more Asian to me.”
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is apologizing for comments he made in “poor taste” about Asian people.
The apology was prompted by remarks he made Thursday to the Asian Chamber of Commerce in Las Vegas and after video was posted by conservative trackers.
On Friday, Reid offered a mea culpa: “My comments were in extremely poor taste and I apologize. Sometimes I say the wrong thing.”
Poll: Republicans Gov. Brian Sandoval Beats Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid 53% to 43% in Hypothetical 2016 Nevada Senate Matchup
ARE HARRY REID’S DAYS IN THE US SENATE NUMBERED?
In a recent Harper Polling survey, the poll shows that in a hypothetical match 2016 match-up for the US Senate for Nevada Republican Gov. Brian Sandoval handily defeat Democrat Majority Leader Harry Reid by 10 points, 53% to 43%. The poll also showed that Gov. Sandoval destroys Reid among independents, 65%-28%. OUCH. Have the citizens of Nevada finally grown weary of Dingy Harry? One has to wonder whether the people of Nevada will have to wait until 2016 to rid themselves of Reid. If the GOP does not find a way to blow it, Republicans could take back the Senate in 2014 and Reid would lose is Majority Leader role. One would then have to ponder whether 74 year old Reid would stay in the Senate.
Full poll results can be read HERE (pdf)
Gov. Brian Sandoval leads Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid by 10 percentage points in a hypothetical 2016 U.S. Senate matchup, according to a new poll that represents the first public release of results in this potential race.
The survey, conducted by Harper Polling earlier this week, also shows, as other surveys do, Sandoval cruising to re-election (56-34) over Bob Goodman. The robo-survey of 602 statewide voters has a margin of error of 4 percent.
Sandoval crushes Reid among independents, 65-28. Reid’s 55 percent unfavorable rating is all but fatal — you know, just as it was in 2010.
The NRO reminds us that Harry Reid has proven to be resilient against past challengers like in 2010 when Reid seemed vulnerable, but eventually defeated Republican candidate Sharron Angle by nearly 6 percentage points. However, popular Governor Brian Sandoval is not Sharron Angle. But if it does get to a 2016 Senate race between Sandoval and Reid and the polling is still as one sided toward the Nevada Governor, look for Reid to retire, he will be 80, rather than losing in an embarrassing swan song.
Charles Krauthammer on Harry Reid’s Secure Border Comment … “You’ve got to Wonder, Whether He’s really on his Medication or Not.”
Many legal American citizens have the same question …
Syndicated columnist Charles Krauthammer mocked Democrat Senate Majority Lead Harry Reid yesterday on ‘Special Report’ with regarding to Reid’s comment that the Southern border was secure stating, When you hear Harry Reid saying the border is secure you’ve got to wonder, you know, whether he’s really on his medication or not.”
Well Harry, are you?
CHARLES KRAUTHAMMER: When you hear Harry Reid saying the border is secure you’ve got to wonder, you know, whether he’s really on his medication or not. I mean, that is so detached from reality. We just saw at the beginning of the show the report from John Roberts — you get how many we have now? 60,000 — at least — kids who come over. And we’re completely helpless. And it’s the helplessness that I think is driving the president and the Democrats to accept. What they want is for the Republicans to be the one who would propose the change in the law because it looks so cruel.
MARA LIASSON: They did.
KRAUTHAMMER: And so the Republicans have played their role in this kabuki. The president will reluctantly accept it even though he talked initially about proposing it but then he got heat from his left which said you can’t propose this. So it will work out. But the president has to have this stopped because it contributes to the story, showing all the other elements abroad and at home that his administration is incompetent, out of control and unable to control anything. And with this continuing he really can’t tolerate that, his numbers will not survive and the party will be roundly thrashed in November and that’s why he’ll acquiesce to the change in the law.
File this one under, ARE YOU KIDDING ME!!!
Okay America, who are you going to believe,
Baghdad Bob Harry Reid or your lying eyes? Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada said Tuesday that the southern border was secure. Seriously, as a humanitarian crisis occurs on the US-Mexican borders as illegals pour over the borders, Reid says “the border is secure”. What about this illegal child crisis that Democrats are looking to capitalize on, is that the sign of a secure border? How about those 50,000 unaccompanied youths and children who have illegally crossed the Texas border during the last few months? We have a porous southern border that is not just a humanitarian crisis, but a national security one and this lying Democrat leader says, don’t look here, there is nothing to worry about. UNREAL.
However, Reid says he is against the bi-partisan proposed Cornyn-Cuellar bill that would allow unaccompanied minors to make a claim for asylum in the United States before an immigration judge within seven days of receiving a screening from the Department of Health and Human Services.
Of course Reid is against any bill that would remedy the crisis, its all about politics.
VIDEO – Roll Call
The Hill - Reid: Southern border is secure.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) on Tuesday asserted the southern border is secure despite the massive surge of illegal minors from Central America that has overwhelmed federal agencies.
“The border is secure,” he told reporters after the Senate Democrats’ weekly policy lunch. “[Sen.] Martin Heinrich [(D-N.M.)] talked to the caucus today. He’s a border state senator. He said he can say without any equivocation the border is secure.”
Reid said lawmakers need to worry less about border security and focus instead on President Obama’s $3.7 billion request to help process the tens of thousands of children from Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador who have been apprehended on the border.
Senator Dingy Harry is sounding an awful lot like Baghdad Bob did during the days of the War in Iraq when the US military was near the gates of Baghdad. Can anyone tell the difference between the two?
Posted July 16, 2014 by Scared Monkeys
Child Endangerment, Child Welfare, Corruption, Cover-Up, Democrats, Epic Fail, Gutter Politics, Harry Reid (D-NV), Illegal Immigration, Liars, Liberals, Mexico, Misleader, Moonbats, Obamanation, Open Borders - Border Security, Progressives, United States, WTF, You Tube - VIDEO | 2 comments
Democrat ‘Unhinged’ Insanity … Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid Blames Republicans For Russia Annexing Crimea
More proof Democrats are in serious trouble for the midterm 2014 elections … Senate Majority Leader Reid says Republicans are to blame for Russia’s take-over of Crimea.
Some people have no shame, add Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid to that list. Sen. Harry Reid (NV-D) said Monday that Republicans helped Russia annex Ukraine’s Crimea. Hmm, where is the outrage from the MSM over such a slanderous accusation? What kind of an irresponsible foll must one be to make such a comment. However, Reid has been making such outrageous comments like these for years and been getting a free pass. A spokesman for Republican House Speaker John Boehner called Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid “unhinged”. That’s an understatement.
This is what passes as leadership in the US Senate? It is hard to believe this man gets reelected, let alone is the Senate Majority Leader. That needs to change in 2014, Wake up America!
We need to play the blame game to distract from Obamacare and our parties failed president …
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said Monday that Republicans may have helped Russia annex Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula in a surprisingly sharp attack ahead of a test vote on a bill authorizing more U.S. sanctions on Russia and $1 billion in loan guarantees to Ukraine.
Outlining the Senate’s agenda after a one-week recess, the Nevada Democrat said the first item would be the Ukraine bill that Republicans blocked just before lawmakers went on break. He urged Republicans to consider “how their obstruction affects United States’ national security as well as the people of Ukraine” and said their delay of any congressional action “sent a dangerous message to Russian leaders.”
“Since a few Republicans blocked these important sanctions last work period, Russian lawmakers voted to annex Crimea and Russian forces have taken over Ukrainian military bases,” Reid said. “It’s impossible to know whether events would have unfolded differently if the United States had responded to Russian aggression with a strong, unified voice.”
As the Lonely Conservative aptly points out, Dingy Harry failed to mention that the bill the GOP blocked would have given Russia more control over the International Monetary Fund.
In other news, Harry Reid blamed Republicans for the mudslides in Washington state, the disappearance of the Malaysia airline in the Indian ocean and the kidnapping of the Lindbergh’s baby.
Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid Says Let ‘We the People’ Eat Obamacare … To Exempt Some of his Staff From Having to Buy Insurance Through Obamacare
If any law maker ever passes inflicts a law on the American people and does not have to abide by it themselves, should be thrown out of office. Enter Democrat Majority Leader Harry Reid who has exempted some of his staff from following the very law that Democrats passed along a partisan vote on the American people. No double standard here.
What, me accept Obamacare … are you crazy!!!
Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, one of Obamacare’s architects and staunchest supporters, is also the only top congressional leader to exempt some of his staff from having to buy insurance through the law’s new exchanges.
Reid is the exception among the other top congressional leaders. GOP House Speaker John Boehner, House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi and Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell have all directed their staffs to join the exchange, their aides said.
In the charged atmosphere surrounding Obamacare, Reid’s decision only gives Republicans more ammo to attack Democrats already suffering politically from the law’s botched rollout.
Harry Reid, the Senate Democrats, Barack Obama & Joe Biden’s Nuclear Hypocrisy … Senate Goes Nuclear with Democrat Party Vote 52-48
Partisan Democrats end 225 years of precedent … Democrats just striped the protection of “We the People” who are in the minority.
Democrats were against it, before they were for it …
Yesterday, Democrats broke 225 years of precedent, when the U.S. Senate voted along Democrat partisan line 52-48 to invoke the so-called nuclear option allowing confirmation for most presidential nominees by simple majority. Some Democrats split with the party and voted against the change; however, the 52 votes were all of the Democrat party. Hmm, isn’t how we got Obamacare? What this does is the Senate voted to severely limit the use of the filibuster, one of the few tools a minority party has in our representative democracy. This was nothing more than a “Naked Power Grab.” As Dana Milbank writes, Congress wasn’t broken before, it certainly is now. What Reid (D-NV) and his fellow Democrats effectively did was take the chamber of Congress that still functioned at a modest level and turn it into a clone of the other chamber, which functions not at all. They turned the Senate into the House.
The Senate vote Thursday to lower the barriers for presidential nominations should make it easier for President Obama to accomplish key second-term priorities, including tougher measures on climate change and financial regulation, that have faced intense opposition from Republicans in Congress.
The move to allow a simple majority vote on most executive and judicial nominees also sets the stage for Obama to appoint new top officials to the Federal Reserve and other key agencies — probably leading to more aggressive action to stimulate the economy and housing market. And it frees Obama to make changes to his Cabinet without the threat of long delays in the Senate before the confirmation of nominees.
Laura Ingraham discuses the “nuclear option” on ‘The O’Reilly Factor’.
Remember when Senate Barack Obama said he was against the “Nuclear” option in 2005? So why the sudden change of heart Obama? Maybe because as we saw with Obamacare, you are just a lair. Hmm, did Obama also run in 2012 on the notion that “if you like the rules of the US Senate you can keep them’? What a frigging hypocrite.
HMM, WHAT CHANGED. REPUBLICANS THREATENED IT, BUT NEVER WENT THRU WITH IT. OBAMA HAS TRULY DESTROYED THIS COUNTRY AND ITS GOVERNMENT.
The Gateway Pundit has more on Harry Reid and Dems Overturn 1806 Senate Rule & Pass ‘Nuclear Option.’
Senator Barack Obama in 2005 against the nuclear option
Senator Joe Biden in 2005 against the nuclear option. Take a good listen at what Biden says when he was in the minority.
Obama says this is not what the Founders intended … compilation of numerous Democrats who were against it, before they were for it.
Joe Biden calls it a “naked” power grab and says, “you will not be in the majority forever”.
Establishment Republicans Surrender … House Passes Senate Bill to Reopen Government and Increase Debt Limit 285-144 … Senate Passes Bill 81-18
Speaker Boehner and GOP cave … In a country that already spends more than it takes it, irresponsible politicians kick the can down the road and raise the debt limit to spend even more money that America does not have.
Tonight the US Senate and House of Representatives passes the Senate led bill to end the partial government shutdown and increase the debt limit. The Senate passed the bill 81 to 18 and the House voted in favor of it 285 to 144. Incredibly, not one Democrat in the House or Senate voted against raising the debt on “We the People”. Imagine that? CNN reports that President Barack Obama will sign it immediately. The director of the Office of Management and Budget said that federal workers should expect to return to work Thursday morning. Hmm, does this mean that open air monuments will be open to of military veteran heroes?
In Obama’s speech tonight there was no reference to the GOP as terrorists or hostage takers … where is the evil rhetoric Mr. President?
Congressional Republicans conceded defeat on Wednesday in their bitter budget fight with President Obama over the new health care law as the House and Senate approved last-minute legislation ending a disruptive 16-day government shutdown and extending federal borrowing power to avert a financial default with potentially worldwide economic repercussions.
With the Treasury Department warning that it could run out of money to pay national obligations within a day, the Senate voted overwhelmingly Wednesday evening, 81 to 18, to approve a proposal hammered out by the chamber’s Republican and Democratic leaders after the House on Tuesday was unable to move forward with any resolution. The House followed suit a few hours later, voting 285 to 144 to approve the Senate plan, which would fund the government through Jan. 15 and raise the debt limit through Feb. 7.
Most House Republicans opposed the bill, but 87 voted to support it. The breakdown showed that Republican leaders were willing to violate their informal rule against advancing bills that do not have majority Republican support in order to end the shutdown. All 198 Democrats voting supported the measure.
From Business Insiders, Here’s The Bill That’s Going To End The Government Shutdown And Raise The Debt Ceiling.
A list of the 18 Republican Senators who voted against the Bill that will raise the debt and continue the out of control, drunken spending of politicians.
UPDATE I: All the House, Senate and President have done is kick the can down the road and solve nothing. No one wants to make the tough and responsible decisions because we have politicians who care more about their power and their agenda than they do “We the People” or the United States of America. Honestly, who in their right mind thinks that a country can continue to borrow billions of dollars a day and actually sustain itself?