Is Harry Reid Finished in the Senate, Will He Retire … Reid is the ‘Most Vulnerable’ in 2016

COULD DINGY HARRY BE CALLING IT QUITS IN 2016?

Could it finally be the end of the road for Sen. Harry Reid? The Democrat Senate Minority Leader is considered the most vulnerable in 2016. According to the “Crystal Ball,” Reid is one of the most vulnerable Democrat Senators up for reelection in the 2016 cycle. Reid will be 77 years old in 2016 and most likely still in a position to not be in the majority. However, every time that it is predicted that its over for Harry Reid and he is trailing in the polls prior to election day, miraculously, he pulls a rabbit out of a hat.

Harry Reid_eye

This this VIDEO, boy does he sound tired and old

Senate minority leader Harry Reid is the most vulnerable Democrat up for re-election in 2016, and may retire to duck a humiliating defeat, according to a new analysis of the 2016 race.

“We identified Reid as probably the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent in this Senate cycle,” said a “Crystal Ball” report from the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics.

It’s also possible that he will retire, although his heavy fundraising and public comments suggest that he’s running again,” said the latest report from analyst Geoffrey Skelley. Recent reports suggest Reid is going for his sixth term.

The analysis found that of all senators ever to seek a sixth term, Reid’s ratings and margin of victory in past races puts him on the endangered list.

The Crystal Ball – Harry Reid & The Senate Survivors:

In the Crystal Ball’s first batch of 2016 Senate ratings in December 2014, we identified Reid as probably the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent in this Senate cycle. While we rate the contest as Leans Democratic, the prospect of a possible challenge from popular Gov. Brian Sandoval (R-NV) could seriously endanger Reid’s future in Congress’ upper chamber, and Reid’s weak approval ratings also make him potentially vulnerable to other, less heralded Republicans. It’s also possible that he will retire, although his heavy fundraising and public comments suggest that he’s running again. That said, Reid just suffered significant injuries in an exercising accident, and his wife and daughter have also had recent illnesses.

Ask and You Shall Receive … Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) Said Back in 2013, “Unelect” Me If You Don’t Like ObamaCare

HEY MARY, DON’T ASK FOR THINGS, THEY MIGHT COME TRUE …

Back on 2013, Sen. Mary Landrieu said the following about Obamacare and how to deal with it if you don’t like it, “We did not wake up one morning and declare this the law.”  Um, actually you did. Landrieu went on the say, “the people of the United States declared this through us as their representatives. Then came the money line that Mary Landrieu may want to take back, ”And if they don’t like this they can unelected us. Believe me they will have the chance because I am up for reelection right now.”  OK, YOU’RE GONE!!!

The good people of Louisiana took her advice and threw her out of office in a big way. Mary Landrieu lost by 12% to Republican Bill Cassidy in yesterday’s special Senate runoff election.   As The Gateway Pundit reminds us, other states did the same thing as 29 of the 58 Democrat/2 Independents Senators who voted for Obamacare in 2009 are no longer in office. Following the 2014 midterm elections the GOP now controls the US Senate, 54-46 after gaining a net 9 seats.

UPDATE I: Don’t feel alone former Sen. Landrieu, exactly half of the 60 senators who voted for Obama’s health-care overhaul on Christmas Eve 2009 will not be in the Senate in January.

 Nineteen of them retired or resigned, eight were defeated for re-election, and three died in office. In her concession speech Saturday night, Landrieu said that she and others “fought a good fight, and it’s not over yet, for health care” and that she was “glad we fought for it.” She didn’t specifically mention Obamacare.

Louisiana Senate Runoff Election: Republican Bill Cassidy Defeated Democratic Mary Landrieu

MAKE IT +9 FOR THE GOP …

9

The 2014 midterm elections have finally come to an end with today’s Louisiana Senate runoff election. Republican challenger Rep. Bill Cassidy has defeated incumbent Democrat Sen. Mary Landrieu to complete the 2014 midterm drubbing. The AP called the race for Cassidy after early returns showed him ahead of Landrieu by a wide margin.

Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy has defeated Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu, denying her a fourth term and extending the GOP’s domination of the 2014 midterm elections that put Republicans in charge of Capitol Hill for the final two years of President Barack Obama’s tenure.

With Cassidy’s victory, Republicans will hold 54 seats when the Senate convenes in January, nine more than they have now. Republican victories in two Louisiana House districts Saturday – including the seat Cassidy now holds – ensure at least 246 seats, compared to 188 for Democrats, the largest GOP advantage since the Truman administration after World War II. An Arizona recount leaves one race still outstanding

Incumbent and 3 term Democratic Louisiana Sen. Mary Landrieu Defeated

VIDEO – WDSU News

Louisiana Secretary of State, Results for Election Date: 12/6/2014:

3423 of 4018 precincts reporting

Bill Cassidy (R):  58.84%   639877 votes
Mary L. Landrieu (D)  41.16%   447592 votes

UPDATE I: GOP Senate majority grows as Cassidy crushes Landrieu.

Rep. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) easily ousted incumbent Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) in their Senate runoff on Saturday, capping off a dominating midterm election for Republicans.

The GOP’s victory in the final race of the 2014 cycle cements their nine-seat pickup in the upper chamber, giving them a 54 to 46 advantage over Democrats come January. Though Senate control wasn’t in the balance, Cassidy’s win is nonetheless an exclamation point on a midterm cycle that saw big gains for Republicans.

Polls in Louisiana closed at 9 p.m. EST, and the Associated Press called the race in favor of Cassidy at 9:30 pm with only 40 of the 4,018 precincts reporting and the Republican with a 64 percent to 36 percent lead.

UPDATE II: With all precincts reporting, he defeated Landrieu by just under 12 percentage points.

Louisiana US Senate Runoff Election Day: Rep. Bill Cassidy (R) and Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) … Incumbent Landrieu Headed for Historic Defeat

Louisiana Senate runoff election day:

Today, December 6, 2014, is the runoff US Senate election in Louisiana between challenger, Rep. Bill Cassidy and incumbent Sen. Mary Landrieu. As reported at  FiveThirtyEight, it appears that Sen. Landrieu is headed for an epic and historic defeat. The FiveThirtyEight model projects Landrieu losing by a 57.8% to 42.2%  margin. It may not be the greatest defeat for an incumbent senator; however, it would be in the top 10. Mary Landrieu’s last gasp for any shot of winning reelection went up in flames with her “Fail Mary” XL Keystone pipeline Senate vote. That was pretty much, game, set and match for the incumbent.  According to the RCP polling average,  Cassidy leads Landrieu by 20.2 points.

By days end, the Republican party will have a +9 senate pickup for 2014.

Senate_incumbent_top 10 defeats

The FiveThirtyEight model projects her losing the runoff 99.8 percent of the time, and by a 57.8 percent to 42.2 percent margin. That’s mostly based on polling, which can be unreliable in a low-turnout runoff.

What else do we know? The early voters in the Louisiana runoff have been vastly more Republican-leaning than early voters in last month’s election. And while whites were only 65 percent of early voters in November, they have been 70 percent for the runoff. Registered Republicans were only 34 percent of early voters in November, but they’ve been 39 percent of early voters for the runoff.

If this change in voter makeup holds on Saturday, it’s obviously very bad news for Landrieu. Assuming she wins the same percentage of white voters as Democratic candidates did in November, she’ll lose the runoff by roughly 60 percent to 40 percent, or about what the model forecasts.

A defeat that large would be the largest for an incumbent this year, topping Arkansas Sen. Mark Pryor’s 17-point loss. It would come close to Arkansas’s Blanche Lincoln’s 21-point loss in 2010, which ranks as the eighth-largest ever, as well as the largest loss for an incumbent since William Hathaway of Maine in 1978.

Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) Says Dems Screwed Up Passing Obamacare … “Democrats Blew the Opportunity the American People Gave Them” in 2008 and “Put All of Our Focus on the Wrong Problem”

 ISN’T THIS INTERESTING, DEMOCRAT CHUCKY SCHUMER SAYS THAT DEMOCRATS SCREWED UP PASSING OBAMACARE …

Speaking Tuesday at the National Press Club in Washington, DC, New York Democrat Sen. Charles Schumer had an epiphany and stated that “Democrats blew the opportunity the American people gave them” after the 2008 election. Schumer went on to say that, “We took their mandate and put all of our focus on the wrong problem, health care reform.” Gee, ya think? Sen. Schumer was one of the 60 Democrat senators who passed Obamacare, with not one GOP vote, and forced the unpopular law down the throats of Americans. Now suddenly because as we predicted back then, it would be their undoing, Schumer has misgivings that Democrats focused on it first and did not focus on what Americans were dealing with on a day to day basis, a poor economy and unemployment. Schumer told those in attendance “that considering 85% of all Americans got their health care from either the government, Medicare, Medicaid, or their employer … we would still only be talking about only 5% of the electorate.” Wasn’t that the same argument that those opposed to Obamacare were making in 2009? Why blow up the healthcare system in the United States for only 5% of the people? This is a kin to demolishing a house because the back porch needs repair. Not only did Democrats not listen to the people, the law they forced upon them was nothing more than a lie.

Democrats made a strategic mistake by passing the Affordable Care Act, Sen. Charles Schumer (N.Y.), the third-ranking member of the Senate Democratic leadership, said Tuesday.

Schumer says Democrats “blew the opportunity the American people gave them” in the 2008 elections, a Democratic landslide, by focusing on healthcare reform instead of legislation to boost the middle class.

But why is Sen. Schumer talking about the Democrats disastrous decision to pass Obamacare now, is it because they have buyer’s remorse and care about the American people? Not at all, it is because they have taken a political shellacking in 2010 and 2014 and now find themselves in the minority in the House and the Senate. It all has to do with power, not the people. Honestly, who in their right mind thought that an unpopular bill that adversely affected so many people to only benefit a few would not have ramifications? If Democrats could not see that, then they deserve what they got.

Obamacare_Schumer_RCP

click HERE or on PIC to WATCH VIDEO from RCP

Transcript from Real Clear Politics:

SEN. CHUCK SCHUMER (D-NY): After passing the stimulus, Democrats should have continued to propose middle-class oriented programs and built on the partial success of the stimulus. But unfortunately, Democrats blew the opportunity the American people gave them. We took their mandate and put all of our focus on the wrong problem — health care reform. Now the plight of uninsured Americans and the hardships caused by unfair insurance company practices certainly needed to be addressed, but it was not the change we were hired to make. Americans were crying out for the end to the recession, for better wages and more jobs, not changes in health care.

This makes sense, considering 85% of all Americans got their health care from either the government, Medicare, Medicaid, or their employer. And if health care costs were going up, it really did not affect them. The Affordable Care Act was aimed at the 36 million Americans who were not covered. It has been reported that only a third of the uninsured are even registered to vote. In 2010 only about 40% of those registered voting. So even if the uninsured kept with the rate, which they likely did not, we would still only be talking about only 5% of the electorate.

To aim a huge change in mandate at such a small percentage of the electorate made no political sense. So when Democrats focused on health care, the average middle-class person thought the Democrats are not paying enough attention to me. Again, our health care system was riddled with unfairness and inefficiency. It was a problem desperately in need of fixing. The changes that were made are and will continue to be positive changes, but we would have been better able to address it if Democrats had first proposed and passed bold programs aimed at a broader swath of the middle class.

Had we started more broadly, the middle class would have been more receptive to the idea that President Obama wanted to help them. The initial faith they placed in him would have been rewarded. They would have held a more pro-government view and would have given him the permission structure to build a more pro-government coalition. Then Democrats would have been in a better position to tackle our nation’s healthcare crisis.

Healthcare, it wasn’t at the top of the agenda for middle class people …

“We should have done it, we just should not have done it first”. People were hurting and said, what about me, I am losing my job. It’s not health care that is bothering me.”

EXIT QUESTION: So why is Sen. Charles Schumer making these comments about Obamacare? Maybe because Schumer does not want to be the next on the list of 29 Democrat Senators who are no longer in the US Senate who voted for Obamacare.

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