7News/UMass Lowell New Hampshire Tracking Poll Shows Trump Ahead for GOP and Sanders for Democrats

QUESTIONS LEADING INTO NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY … WILL HILLARY FEEL THE “BERN” AND WILL TRUMP REALLY WILL BY SUCH A WIDE MARGIN?

According to the 7 News/UMass Lowell NH tracking poll, Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders have bog leads heading into next Tuesday’s, February 9, 2016 New Hampshire Presidential primary. Self proclaimed socialist Bernie Sanders is leading Hillary Clinton by double digits, 55% to 41%. The question becomes, will Sanders actually destroy the establishment presumptive Democrat nominee Hillary be such a wide margin Tuesday night? Will a socialist hand Hillary Clinton her lunch? According to the RCP average polling, the above tracking poll is pretty much in line. It would appear that the 74 year old socialist is poised to win a 14 to 15 percent victory over the Clinton machine in New Hampshire.

Our tracking poll shows both races settling down. Bernie Sanders is now beating Hillary Clinton 55 percent to 41 percent, his support holding steady. Clinton gained a point overnight, edging slightly closer. The tracking poll shows Clinton is still gaining on Sanders, but the pace of her rise has slowed and Sanders leveled off after three days of big drops.

“There’s a big gender gap in the Democratic race,” said Dr. Joshua Dyck, UMass Lowell pollster. “Sanders leads by more than 30 percent among men, but just 2% among women. A big change from earlier this week.”

As for the Republican party, Trump appears to have a commanding lead at 35% following by a pack of 4 individuals from 14% to 10% that include, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, Jeb Bush and John Kasich. However, one has to wonder if Rubio’s poor performance in last nights debate and strong performances by governors Christie and Bush might cause some last minute movement by the electorate? It’s hard to believe that Bush and Kasich have actually gained points but NH has become increasingly liberal these days. The real question heading into the NH Primaries is, will Trump over or under perform his polling, who will come in second and third and will Rubio’s terrible debate performance cost him and stop any momentum he might have had?

Among the Republicans, Donald Trump stays number one, with 35 percent; and picked up a point. Marco Rubio, at 14 percent, lost a point, but keeps second place. Ted Cruz, at 13 percent, also lost a point, but did not lose third place. The biggest GOP changes: John Kasich and Jeb Bush. Both have broken into double digits after both picked up two points overnight.

There were also some changes in the bottom tier. Chris Christie is at four percent, after losing a point since Friday.  Ben Carson, three percent after losing one. And no change for Carly Fiorina, who also gets three percent.

Final Polls Before Today’s Iowa Caucus … Trump Leads Cruz 28% to 23% and Hillary Clinton Leads Sanders 45% to 42%

The final Des Moines Register poll is in ahead of today’s Iowa Caucus, and it shows that Donald Trump has the support of 28% of likely caucus goers, with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz at 23% and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio at 15%. The poll was taken beginning the day after Trump announced he would skip last week’s GOP debate. Who knows whether that decision will come back to haunt him or not. We shall also see where the polls back up caucus goers. On the Democratic side, the survey finds former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton with 45% support to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders’ 42%. It is unbelievable that Sanders is so close in the polls to Hillary. Many are looking to gleam and info or data that will give us an indicator as to who might win in Iowa.

February 1, 2016 … Let the Iowa Caucusing begin!!!

ABC NEWS:

In the final poll before the Iowa caucuses Monday, Donald Trump holds a slight 5-point lead over Ted Cruz and Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are neck-and-neck within the margin of error. The Des Moines Register and Bloomberg Politics pool took place January 26-29, three days before Trump skipped the GOP Iowa debate to one day after.

This particular poll, which has a history of accuracy as it predicted Rick Santorum’s late surge in 2012, shows Donald Trump as the frontrunner, but still a close race with two days to go. Trump will need the help of first-time caucus-goers to boost his chances of beating Cruz and in this poll, 40 percent say their caucusing for their first time.

Trump does have weaknesses, though, in the eyes of Iowa voters who don’t like his position on eminent domain and past statements in favor of abortion rights. Cruz’s campaign has been running an ad in Iowa showing Trump in 1999 telling a reporter: “I am very pro-choice.”

Fox News Poll: Donald Trump Leads Again in Iowa, Up Big Still in New Hampshire

DONALD TRUMP LOOKS LIKE HE IS SURGING IN THE POLLS AGAIN IN IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE …

According to the most recent FOX News poll, Donald Trump appears to be gaining momentum again and the lead in Iowa. With just one week before the Iowa Caucus Trump now leads by double digits. Once behind by 4 points, Trump now leads in Iowa with 34%, Ted Cruz is second with 23% and Marco Rubio in third at 12%. But what is interesting is the poll also reveals that 20% of respondents state they would refuse to vote for Trump as the GOP candidate against any Democrat.

In New Hampshire the story is much different as Trump continues to dominate in the polls. Trump leads with 31%, Ted Cruz is second with 14% and Marco Rubio third with 13%. Interestingly enough, Cruz is second in New Hampshire and is the highest percent among who is respondents second choice.

• CLICK HERE TO READ THE IOWA POLL RESULTS
• CLICK HERE TO READ THE NEW HAMPSHIRE POLL RESULTS

With just over a week until the first 2016 election contest, Donald Trump takes the lead in Iowa — and maintains his big advantage in New Hampshire.

That’s according to the latest round of Fox News state polls on the Republican presidential nomination contest.

Trump bests Ted Cruz in Iowa and now receives 34 percent support among Republican caucus-goers.  Trump was at 23 percent in the Fox News Poll two weeks ago (January 4-7).

Cruz is second with 23 percent — down a touch from 27 percent.  Marco Rubio comes in third with 12 percent, down from 15 percent.  No others garner double-digit support.

Remarkable results from the candidate that all of the pundits, both Republican and Democrat, thought who’s presidential run was a joke.

Des Moines Register Endorses Marco Rubio and Hillary Clinton Ahead of Iowa Caucuses

Des Moines Register enforces Marco Rubio for the GOP and Hillary Clinton for the Democrats ahead of the 2016 Iowa Caucuses. According to RCP, Rubio is running a distant third to Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. Meanwhile for the Democrats, RCP has Hillary ahead of Berniew Sanders but only because of one poll that is way out of whack with the majority of them in Iowa. The last Des Moines Register poll had Clinton only up by 2 on Sanders; however, the momentum is on the side of the self-proclaimed socialist, Sanders.

The Iowa Caucus is scheduled for Monday, February 1, 2016.

U.S. Senator Marco Rubio and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton received potential boosts to their presidential bids in Iowa by winning the endorsements of the Des Moines Register, the dominant newspaper in the state where the Feb. 1 caucuses will start the 2016 nomination voting.

“Rubio has the potential to chart a new direction for the party, and perhaps the nation, with his message of restoring the American dream,” Iowa’s largest newspaper said in an endorsement of the Florida Republican published on its website Saturday evening. “We endorse him because he represents his party’s best hope.”

On the Democratic side, the newspaper’s editorial said this of Clinton: “No other candidate can match the depth or breadth of her knowledge and experience.”

Hearing about the endorsement on a campaign stop in Davenport, Iowa, Clinton said: “I’m very pleased.”

The editorial made note of Clinton’s top rival, U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, and the emotional appeal he’s generated in the party: “In the final analysis, Iowa Democrats will have to choose between the lofty idealism of Bernie Sanders and the down-to-earth pragmatism of Hillary Clinton. For some, this will be a choice of whether to vote with their hearts or their heads.”

Michael R. Bloomberg Eyeing Possible Independent Campaign for 2016 White House Run

COULD YOU IMAGINE IF THIS NIGHTMARE WAS EVER ELECTED PRESIDENT?

So Michael R. Bloomberg, the billionaire former mayor of New York City, is eyeing a potential run for president as an independent in 2016 because he is galled by billionaire Donald Trump’s dominance in GOP polls, Hillary Clinton’s ethics issues and the rise of socialist Bernie Sanders for the Democrats. Hmm, I am galled he is actually considering a presidential run. Who knew that running for president required that you be a billionaire?

Just what we need, an anti-2nd Amendment president who thinks his money is greater than the US Constitution

Michael R. Bloomberg has instructed advisers to draw up plans for a potential independent campaign in this year’s presidential race. His advisers and associates said he was galled by Donald J. Trump’s dominance of the Republican field, and troubled by Hillary Clinton’s stumbles and the rise of Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont on the Democratic side.

Mr. Bloomberg, the billionaire former mayor of New York City, has in the past contemplated running for the White House on a third-party ticket, but always concluded he could not win. A confluence of unlikely events in the 2016 election, however, has given new impetus to his presidential aspirations.

Mr. Bloomberg, 73, has already taken concrete steps toward a possible campaign, and has indicated to friends and allies that he would be willing to spend at least $1 billion of his fortune on it, according to people briefed on his deliberations who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss his plans. He has set a deadline for making a final decision in early March, the latest point at which advisers believe Mr. Bloomberg could enter the race and still qualify to appear as an independent candidate on the ballot in all 50 states.