Colby College-Boston Globe poll: Clinton Barely Ahead of Donald Trump in Maine, 42% to 39%

COULD MAINE REALLY BE IN PLAY FOR THE 2016 ELECTION?

According to a recent Colby College-Boston Globe poll released Tuesday, the presidential race in Maine is now within the margin of error, with Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump, 42 percent to 39 percent. If this continues and states that were supposed to be a given and a safe state for Democrat Hillary Clinton, one has to wonder what other “blue” states could flip this time around. Make no mistake about it, this is a different kind of election and the old rules and state voting trends may not apply.

Of all the states once seen as clearly in Hillary Clinton’s column, a new survey identifies the one perhaps most likely to tip to Donald Trump — and that state is Maine.

A Colby College-Boston Globe poll released Tuesday shows the presidential race in Maine is now within the margin of error, with Clinton leading Trump, 42 percent to 39 percent.

Also significant: The poll of likely voters, conducted last week by SurveyUSA, showed only a small portion of respondents, 5 percent, remain undecided less than eight weeks before Election Day.

Trump’s ascendancy in Maine is largely due to his dominance in the vast northern sector of the state — but analysts say it’s also a reflection of how Maine, like many other parts of the country, has become geographically more polarized. Its northern reaches, mostly rural, tend to be far more conservative than the southern, populous part of the state.

“Mainers for the first time in a while have to pay attention to the statewide race for president,” said Dan Shea, a political science professor and director of the Goldfarb Center at Colby College. “The Clinton campaign can no longer take this state for granted.”

Bloomberg Poll: Donals Trump Has 5-Point Lead Over Hillary Clinton in Battleground State of Ohio

WOW, new Bloomberg poll has Trump ahead of Hillary by 5 in Ohio …

According to the most recent Bloomberg Politics poll, Donald trump has a 5 percentage point lead over Hillary Clinton in the battle ground state of Ohio. Trump, the Republican nominee leads Clinton 48% to 43% among likely voters in a two-way contest and 44% to 39% when third-party candidates are included. The Washington Times reports, the GOP presidential nominee led his Democratic rival, Mrs. Clinton, by 43 points among white men without a college degree, by 27 points among white men overall and by 23 points among white women without a college degree.Trump must win Ohio, otherwise its over.

Post Labor Day polls are the ones to watch as the American people begin to take the elections more seriously. Also, trending is important as well as this poll was taken Friday through Monday, as Hillary Clinton faced backlash for ignorantly saying half of Trump supporters were a “basket of deplorables” and following Clinton’s collapse at a 9-11 Memorial event on Sunday, giving further rise to the speculation of her health.

Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 5 percentage points in a Bloomberg Politics poll of Ohio, a gap that underscores the Democrat’s challenges in critical Rust Belt states after one of the roughest stretches of her campaign.

The Republican nominee leads Clinton 48 percent to 43 percent among likely voters in a two-way contest and 44 percent to 39 percent when third-party candidates are included.

The poll was taken Friday through Monday, as Clinton faced backlash for saying half of Trump supporters were a “basket of deplorables” and amid renewed concerns about her health after a video showed her stumbling as she left a Sept. 11 ceremony with what her campaign later said was a bout of pneumonia.

Trump’s performance in the poll—including strength among men, independents, and union households—is better than in other recent surveys of the state. It deals a blow to Clinton after she enjoyed polling advantages nationally and in most battleground states in August before the race tightened in September as more Republican voters unified around Trump.

In the battleground state of Ohio it will be interesting to see how the next set of polls come out and their trends toward which candidate.

CNN Poll: Donald Trump Leads Hillary Clinton 45% to 43% … Libertarian Gary Johnson at 7%, Jill Stein 2%

WELL LOOK HERE … NEW CNN POLL HAS TRUMP LEADING LYING, CROOKED HILLARY.

According to the most recent CNN poll of likely voters, Donald Trump has taken the lead over Hillary Clinton 45% to 43%.  In other important polling data, Libertarian Gary Johnson is at 7% among likely voters in this poll and the Green Party’s Jill Stein at just 2%. It appears Hillary Clinton’s lying and questionable ethical behavior as Secretary of State under Barack Obama, her emails and the incestuous relationship between the Clinton Foundation and her position as Sec. of State is coming home to roost. It would appear that Trump has come all the way back and gone ahead of Hillary Clinton. Independents give Trump an edge over Clinton by a 49% to 29% margin.

We have now hit post Labor Day politics and the time in which most Americans begin to pay attention to the presidential race. What does this mean? Everything that the liberal bias media has done and all the money that Hillary Clinton has spent has been for naught. It is an even race heading into the home stretch with Trump having the trending momentum. Hot Air makes a very important point about other polls in comparison, “look at the NBC Surveymonkey poll which also just dropped. They’ve still got Clinton with the same six point lead she enjoyed one week earlier, but NBC is still polling registered voters.” Look for this poll to drip significantly the next go around toward Trump.

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton start the race to November 8 on essentially even ground, with Trump edging Clinton by a scant two points among likely voters, and the contest sparking sharp divisions along demographic lines in a new CNN/ORC Poll.

Trump tops Clinton 45% to 43% in the new survey, with Libertarian Gary Johnson standing at 7% among likely voters in this poll and the Green Party’s Jill Stein at just 2%.

The topsy-turvy campaign for the presidency has seen both Clinton and Trump holding a significant lead at some point in the last two months, though Clinton has topped Trump more often than not. Most recently, Clinton’s convention propelled her to an 8-point lead among registered voters in an early-August CNN/ORC Poll. Clinton’s lead has largely evaporated despite a challenging month for Trump, which saw an overhaul of his campaign staff, announcements of support for Clinton from several high-profile Republicans and criticism of his campaign strategy. But most voters say they still expect to see Clinton prevail in November, and 59% think she will be the one to get to 270 electoral votes vs. 34% who think Trump has the better shot at winning.

Among those likely to turn out in the fall, both candidates have secured about the same share of their own partisans (92% of Democrats back Clinton, 90% of Republicans are behind Trump) but independents give Trump an edge, 49% say they’d vote for him while just 29% of independent voters back Clinton. Another 16% back Johnson, 6% Stein.

Hillary Clinton’s Image at Lowest Point in Two Decades … Down, Down, Down!!!

HILLARY CLINTON’S IMAGE IS TANKING …

Gallup is reporting that Hillary Clinton’s image is at its lowest level in the last two decades. According to the poll, 38% of Americans viewing her favorably and 57% unfavorably. Of course this comes at the same time where a new CNN poll states that 68% of voters deem her not trustworthy. That’s up from 65% earlier this month and 59% in May.

As the Democratic National Convention gets underway in Philadelphia, Hillary Clinton’s image is at its lowest point in the 24 years of her national career, with 38% of Americans viewing her favorably and 57% unfavorably. Americans’ most positive view of Clinton, 67% favorable, came in December 1998. Before last year, her lowest favorable ratings since she became well-known had been 43% in January 1996 and 44% in March 2001.

Clinton was at 41% favorable in mid-June but drifted down to 37% by mid-July. Her favorable ratings have since held near that level, including through last week’s Republican National Convention. Republican nominee Donald Trump’s image for the past seven days was 36% favorable and 59% unfavorable, only slightly less positive than Clinton’s.

CNN/ORC Poll: Donald Trump Gets RNC Bouce, Trump Leads Hillary 44% to 39% in a Four-Way Matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) & Jill Stein (3%)

Trump gets Republican National Convention Bounce …

One would have thought in a polarized America that the days of convention bounced were over. Well, not so fast. According to the most recent CNN/ORC poll, Donald Trump now leads Hillary Clinton 44% to 39% in a four way natch up. That’s a 6 point bounce from Cleveland. Trump has taken a commanding lead with independents and the CNN poll found that Hillary Clinton is struggling with perceptions she is dishonest and untrustworthy as 68% said she is not honest or trustworthy. The latest DNC email scandal will only increase that perception.

Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.

There hasn’t been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN’s polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court.

The new findings mark Trump’s best showing in a CNN/ORC Poll against Clinton since September 2015. Trump’s new edge rests largely on increased support among independents, 43% of whom said that Trump’s convention in Cleveland left them more likely to back him, while 41% were dissuaded. Pre-convention, independents split 34% Clinton to 31% Trump, with sizable numbers behind Johnson (22%) and Stein (10%). Now, 46% say they back Trump, 28% Clinton, 15% Johnson and 4% Stein.