CNN/ORC Poll: Donald Trump Gets RNC Bouce, Trump Leads Hillary 44% to 39% in a Four-Way Matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) & Jill Stein (3%)
Trump gets Republican National Convention Bounce …
One would have thought in a polarized America that the days of convention bounced were over. Well, not so fast. According to the most recent CNN/ORC poll, Donald Trump now leads Hillary Clinton 44% to 39% in a four way natch up. That’s a 6 point bounce from Cleveland. Trump has taken a commanding lead with independents and the CNN poll found that Hillary Clinton is struggling with perceptions she is dishonest and untrustworthy as 68% said she is not honest or trustworthy. The latest DNC email scandal will only increase that perception.
Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.
There hasn’t been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN’s polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court.
The new findings mark Trump’s best showing in a CNN/ORC Poll against Clinton since September 2015. Trump’s new edge rests largely on increased support among independents, 43% of whom said that Trump’s convention in Cleveland left them more likely to back him, while 41% were dissuaded. Pre-convention, independents split 34% Clinton to 31% Trump, with sizable numbers behind Johnson (22%) and Stein (10%). Now, 46% say they back Trump, 28% Clinton, 15% Johnson and 4% Stein.