So Much for that Ceiling Political Pundits Rail About … Donald Trump Breaks 50% in a National Poll for the First Time

Imagine that, the political pundits are wrong again, what Donald Trump ceiling?

Donald Trump has topped the 50% mark for the first time in the national YouGov Poll. The most recent Economist/YouGov Poll finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race nationally with 53%, followed by Ted Cruz at 22%, John Kasich at 11% and Marco Rubio in total freefall at 10%

Trump_YouGov

In the last two weeks, Republican frontrunner Donald Trump has won more delegates in primaries and caucuses, even while his opponents have launched new attacks and questions have been raised about his supporters.  The week’s Economist/YouGov Poll finds Trump still at the top of GOP voters’ preference with a wider lead, while Florida Senator Marco Rubio seems most damaged by the two weeks of attacks and counter-attacks.

This is the first time Trump has garnered the support of a majority of Republican primary voters nationwide. YouGov’s February 24-27 survey marked his previous high, at 44% support.

Trump, who is the clear GOP frontrunner (74% of Republican primary voters expect him to be the nominee), still has a way to go to win over the supporters of his GOP opponents.  About four in ten Republican voters don’t think Trump cares about people like them, and believe he cares more about himself than the country.  A third are dubious about his plans for the economy, think he is not honest and trustworthy, and say he isn’t ready to be Commander-in-Chief.

CNN/ORC Poll: Donald Trump & Hillary Clinton leading in Florida & Ohio Polls

SORRY RUBIO AND KASICH, IF YOU CAN’T WIN YOUR OWN HOME STATE, GET OUT!!!

According to a recent CNN poll Donald Trump is beating Rubio in Florida and Kasich in Ohio. In Ohio, Trump is ahead with 41% to Kasich’s 35%, with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in third at 15% and Rubio in fourth with 7%. And in Florida, Trump holds and even bigger lead with 40% to Rubio’s 24%, with Cruz at 19% and Kasich at 5%.

Donald Trump thumbs up

Donald Trump is leading two of his Republican presidential rivals in their home states, topping Sen. Marco Rubio in Florida and Gov. John Kasich in Ohio, new CNN/ORC polls show.

Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, is far ahead of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders in both states.

In Ohio, Trump holds 41% to Kasich’s 35%, with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in third at 15% and Rubio in fourth with 7%.

And in Florida, Trump holds 40% to Rubio’s 24%, with Cruz at 19% and Kasich at 5%.

The results come less than a week from the March 15 contests in Florida and Ohio, as well as Illinois, North Carolina and Missouri. The primaries in 99-delegate Florida and 66-delegate Ohio are particularly critical for Republicans, since both are winner-take-all.

In both states, large majorities say that if their home-state candidate doesn’t win, he should drop out: 71% say Kasich should exit if he loses Ohio, while 66% say Rubio should depart if he loses Florida.

Fox News Poll: Hillary Clinton Trails Bernie Sanders by 3 Points Nationally, 47% to 44%

HILLARY CLINTON FEELS THE BERN

Are you kidding, self proclaimed socialist Bernie Sanders is now leading Hillary Clinton in a national poll. According to the latest FOX News poll, Sanders leads Clinton by 3 points, 47% to 44%.  This is stunning, simply stunning. That’s a 10-point rise for Sanders and a five-point drop for Hillary during the last month. As Red State opines, just two months ago Hillary led by 22 points. Has the Democrat party truly become the socialist party and given up on Hillary Clinton and all her baggage? You just might be witnessing the collapse of Hillary Clinton and the Democrat party becoming the new Socialist party.

Full Poll results HERE.

Bernie Sanders now tops Hillary Clinton in the race for the Democratic nomination.

The latest Fox News national poll finds 47 percent of Democratic primary voters now back the Vermont senator, up from 37 percent in January.  Clinton gets 44 percent, down from 49 percent a month ago.

This is the first time Sanders has been ahead of Clinton, who not long ago was regularly described as the “presumptive Democratic nominee.”

Clinton led Sanders in the Fox poll by as many as 46 points last summer, and had a 22-point lead as recently as two months ago.

CNN/ORC Poll: Hillary Clinton & Bernie Sanders in a Vrtual Tie Ahead of Nevada Caucuses

HILLARY IN DEEP TROUBLE IN NEVADA …

According to a recent CNN poll, Hillary Clinton and self-proclaimed socialist Bernie Sanders are in a virtual tie ahead of Saturday’s Nevada caucuses. Hillary Clinton’s Nevada firewall has crumbled.  The poll shows that 48% of likely caucus attendees say they support Clinton, while 47% support Sanders. The state’s caucuses takes place on Saturday, February 20. Is it possible that Hillary could lose again to someone who was initially believed to be an also-ran? Just how weak a candidate is Hillary Clinton and what is going to happen to her campaign if, or should we say when, the FBI recommends charges for crimes related to her private email server?

Hillary_Bernie

Likely Democratic caucusgoers in Nevada are split almost evenly between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders ahead of Saturday’s caucuses, according to a new CNN/ORC Poll.

Though Clinton holds an edge over Sanders on handling a range of top issues, the results suggest the extremely close race hinges on divided opinions on the economy.

Overall, 48% of likely caucus attendees say they support Clinton, 47% Sanders. Both candidates carry their demographic strong points from prior states into Nevada, with Clinton holding an edge among women, while Sanders tops the former secretary of state among voters under age 55.

How it breaks down in Nevada.

“Overall, Clinton holds broad advantages as more trusted on foreign policy, race relations, immigration and health care, but likely caucusgoers are split 48% for Clinton and 47% for Sanders on the economy,” CNN reported. “Among those likely caucusgoers who call the economy their top issue in choosing a candidate, more support Sanders: 52% back him vs. 43% for Clinton.”

Poll Conducted by the Pro-John Kasich New Day for America Super PAC Shows Rubio Falling to 4th

THIS POLL SHOULD NOT SURPRISE ANYONE AFTER RUBIO’S TERRIBLE DEBATE PERFORMANCE ...

As reported by the Politico, a poll conducted by the Pro-John Kasich New Day for America Super PAC shows Marco Rubio falling after his disastrous debate performance. Donald Trump still has a commanding first place lead; however, is a mad scramble. With just one day left before the New Hampshire primaries, it should be interesting how this plays out. This may just turn out to be the RINO primary.

An internal poll conducted on Sunday suggests that Marco Rubio’s fumbled debate performance has damaged his prospects heading into the New Hampshire primary.

The poll, conducted by the pro-John Kasich New Day for America Super PAC, shows Rubio plummeting to fourth place in the primary here, with 10 percent of the vote. Most of the polling conducted in the immediate days before the debate showed Rubio in second place.

The survey, which was based on phone calls to 500 likely voters (margin of error plus or minus 3 percent), was conducted Sunday, the day following the latest Republican debate. Rubio came under scathing attack from Chris Christie, who cast the first term Florida senator as too unready, ambitious, and superficial to occupy the Oval Office.

Donald Trump holds a wide lead in the survey, receiving 35 percent. He more than doubles runner-up Kasich, who has 15 percent. In third is Jeb Bush, with 13 percent. Behind Rubio in fifth and sixth place, respectively, are Christie and Ted Cruz. Both receive 8 percent.

Although, why any one would vote for Kasich is puzzling.

7News/UMass Lowell New Hampshire Tracking Poll Shows Trump Ahead for GOP and Sanders for Democrats

QUESTIONS LEADING INTO NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY … WILL HILLARY FEEL THE “BERN” AND WILL TRUMP REALLY WILL BY SUCH A WIDE MARGIN?

According to the 7 News/UMass Lowell NH tracking poll, Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders have bog leads heading into next Tuesday’s, February 9, 2016 New Hampshire Presidential primary. Self proclaimed socialist Bernie Sanders is leading Hillary Clinton by double digits, 55% to 41%. The question becomes, will Sanders actually destroy the establishment presumptive Democrat nominee Hillary be such a wide margin Tuesday night? Will a socialist hand Hillary Clinton her lunch? According to the RCP average polling, the above tracking poll is pretty much in line. It would appear that the 74 year old socialist is poised to win a 14 to 15 percent victory over the Clinton machine in New Hampshire.

NH Tracking Poll_UMASS Lowell

Our tracking poll shows both races settling down. Bernie Sanders is now beating Hillary Clinton 55 percent to 41 percent, his support holding steady. Clinton gained a point overnight, edging slightly closer. The tracking poll shows Clinton is still gaining on Sanders, but the pace of her rise has slowed and Sanders leveled off after three days of big drops.

“There’s a big gender gap in the Democratic race,” said Dr. Joshua Dyck, UMass Lowell pollster. “Sanders leads by more than 30 percent among men, but just 2% among women. A big change from earlier this week.”

As for the Republican party, Trump appears to have a commanding lead at 35% following by a pack of 4 individuals from 14% to 10% that include, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, Jeb Bush and John Kasich. However, one has to wonder if Rubio’s poor performance in last nights debate and strong performances by governors Christie and Bush might cause some last minute movement by the electorate? It’s hard to believe that Bush and Kasich have actually gained points but NH has become increasingly liberal these days. The real question heading into the NH Primaries is, will Trump over or under perform his polling, who will come in second and third and will Rubio’s terrible debate performance cost him and stop any momentum he might have had?

Among the Republicans, Donald Trump stays number one, with 35 percent; and picked up a point. Marco Rubio, at 14 percent, lost a point, but keeps second place. Ted Cruz, at 13 percent, also lost a point, but did not lose third place. The biggest GOP changes: John Kasich and Jeb Bush. Both have broken into double digits after both picked up two points overnight.

There were also some changes in the bottom tier. Chris Christie is at four percent, after losing a point since Friday.  Ben Carson, three percent after losing one. And no change for Carly Fiorina, who also gets three percent.

NH Tracking Poll_UMASS Lowell_GOP

 

Final Polls Before Today’s Iowa Caucus … Trump Leads Cruz 28% to 23% and Hillary Clinton Leads Sanders 45% to 42%

The final Des Moines Register poll is in ahead of today’s Iowa Caucus, and it shows that Donald Trump has the support of 28% of likely caucus goers, with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz at 23% and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio at 15%. The poll was taken beginning the day after Trump announced he would skip last week’s GOP debate. Who knows whether that decision will come back to haunt him or not. We shall also see where the polls back up caucus goers. On the Democratic side, the survey finds former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton with 45% support to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders’ 42%. It is unbelievable that Sanders is so close in the polls to Hillary. Many are looking to gleam and info or data that will give us an indicator as to who might win in Iowa.

February 1, 2016 … Let the Iowa Caucusing begin!!!

ABC NEWS:

In the final poll before the Iowa caucuses Monday, Donald Trump holds a slight 5-point lead over Ted Cruz and Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are neck-and-neck within the margin of error. The Des Moines Register and Bloomberg Politics pool took place January 26-29, three days before Trump skipped the GOP Iowa debate to one day after.

This particular poll, which has a history of accuracy as it predicted Rick Santorum’s late surge in 2012, shows Donald Trump as the frontrunner, but still a close race with two days to go. Trump will need the help of first-time caucus-goers to boost his chances of beating Cruz and in this poll, 40 percent say their caucusing for their first time.

Trump does have weaknesses, though, in the eyes of Iowa voters who don’t like his position on eminent domain and past statements in favor of abortion rights. Cruz’s campaign has been running an ad in Iowa showing Trump in 1999 telling a reporter: “I am very pro-choice.”

Fox News Poll: Donald Trump Leads Again in Iowa, Up Big Still in New Hampshire

DONALD TRUMP LOOKS LIKE HE IS SURGING IN THE POLLS AGAIN IN IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE …

According to the most recent FOX News poll, Donald Trump appears to be gaining momentum again and the lead in Iowa. With just one week before the Iowa Caucus Trump now leads by double digits. Once behind by 4 points, Trump now leads in Iowa with 34%, Ted Cruz is second with 23% and Marco Rubio in third at 12%. But what is interesting is the poll also reveals that 20% of respondents state they would refuse to vote for Trump as the GOP candidate against any Democrat.

In New Hampshire the story is much different as Trump continues to dominate in the polls. Trump leads with 31%, Ted Cruz is second with 14% and Marco Rubio third with 13%. Interestingly enough, Cruz is second in New Hampshire and is the highest percent among who is respondents second choice.

Trump_Cruz_Rubio

With just over a week until the first 2016 election contest, Donald Trump takes the lead in Iowa — and maintains his big advantage in New Hampshire.

That’s according to the latest round of Fox News state polls on the Republican presidential nomination contest.

Trump bests Ted Cruz in Iowa and now receives 34 percent support among Republican caucus-goers.  Trump was at 23 percent in the Fox News Poll two weeks ago (January 4-7).

Cruz is second with 23 percent — down a touch from 27 percent.  Marco Rubio comes in third with 12 percent, down from 15 percent.  No others garner double-digit support.

Remarkable results from the candidate that all of the pundits, both Republican and Democrat, thought who’s presidential run was a joke.

Des Moines Register Endorses Marco Rubio and Hillary Clinton Ahead of Iowa Caucuses

Des Moines Register enforces Marco Rubio for the GOP and Hillary Clinton for the Democrats ahead of the 2016 Iowa Caucuses. According to RCP, Rubio is running a distant third to Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. Meanwhile for the Democrats, RCP has Hillary ahead of Berniew Sanders but only because of one poll that is way out of whack with the majority of them in Iowa. The last Des Moines Register poll had Clinton only up by 2 on Sanders; however, the momentum is on the side of the self-proclaimed socialist, Sanders.

The Iowa Caucus is scheduled for Monday, February 1, 2016.

marco-rubio_hillary Clinton

U.S. Senator Marco Rubio and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton received potential boosts to their presidential bids in Iowa by winning the endorsements of the Des Moines Register, the dominant newspaper in the state where the Feb. 1 caucuses will start the 2016 nomination voting.

“Rubio has the potential to chart a new direction for the party, and perhaps the nation, with his message of restoring the American dream,” Iowa’s largest newspaper said in an endorsement of the Florida Republican published on its website Saturday evening. “We endorse him because he represents his party’s best hope.”

On the Democratic side, the newspaper’s editorial said this of Clinton: “No other candidate can match the depth or breadth of her knowledge and experience.”

Hearing about the endorsement on a campaign stop in Davenport, Iowa, Clinton said: “I’m very pleased.”

The editorial made note of Clinton’s top rival, U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, and the emotional appeal he’s generated in the party: “In the final analysis, Iowa Democrats will have to choose between the lofty idealism of Bernie Sanders and the down-to-earth pragmatism of Hillary Clinton. For some, this will be a choice of whether to vote with their hearts or their heads.”

Michael R. Bloomberg Eyeing Possible Independent Campaign for 2016 White House Run

COULD YOU IMAGINE IF THIS NIGHTMARE WAS EVER ELECTED PRESIDENT?

So Michael R. Bloomberg, the billionaire former mayor of New York City, is eyeing a potential run for president as an independent in 2016 because he is galled by billionaire Donald Trump’s dominance in GOP polls, Hillary Clinton’s ethics issues and the rise of socialist Bernie Sanders for the Democrats. Hmm, I am galled he is actually considering a presidential run. Who knew that running for president required that you be a billionaire?

Just what we need, an anti-2nd Amendment president who thinks his money is greater than the US Constitution

Michael R. Bloomberg has instructed advisers to draw up plans for a potential independent campaign in this year’s presidential race. His advisers and associates said he was galled by Donald J. Trump’s dominance of the Republican field, and troubled by Hillary Clinton’s stumbles and the rise of Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont on the Democratic side.

Mr. Bloomberg, the billionaire former mayor of New York City, has in the past contemplated running for the White House on a third-party ticket, but always concluded he could not win. A confluence of unlikely events in the 2016 election, however, has given new impetus to his presidential aspirations.

Mr. Bloomberg, 73, has already taken concrete steps toward a possible campaign, and has indicated to friends and allies that he would be willing to spend at least $1 billion of his fortune on it, according to people briefed on his deliberations who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss his plans. He has set a deadline for making a final decision in early March, the latest point at which advisers believe Mr. Bloomberg could enter the race and still qualify to appear as an independent candidate on the ballot in all 50 states.

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