Donald Trump Surges from 3% to 48% Chance of Winning Presidential Election

ITS NOT JUST ABOUT THE POLLS, ITS ABOUT TRENDING AND TRUMP IS SURGING …

According to Nate Silver, Donald Trump surges from 3% to 48% chance of winning the 2016 Presidential election. Trump has all the momentum as Clinton has fallen, literally, and can’t seem to get up.

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Washington Times:

The latest vote projection from elections guru Nate Silver has Republican Donald Trump just six electoral votes short of winning and one point away from equaling Hillary Clinton’s popular vote.

The newest Five Thirty Eight survey Trump at 264 and Clinton at 272, two more than needed. It’s the closest in recent weeks.

What’s more, he has the popular vote within the margin of victory, Clinton 45.4 percent to Trump’s 44.3 percent.

Silver is famous for making a prediction of victory and that’s nearly close to, Clinton at 51.9 percent and Trump at 48 percent, his closest since the conventions

Reuters/Ipsos: 2016 Presidential Race Tightens in Projected U.S. Electoral College Vote

ITS SLIP, SLIDING AWAY FROM HILLARY CLINTON AS THE POLLS AND ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTE TIGHTEN …

An election analysis conducted in the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project shows that the race has tightened considerably over the past few weeks. Hillary has fallen and she can’t get up, both literally and figuratively. Her once insurmountable lead over Donald Trump is all gone and now The Donald has all of the momentum at just the right time.

The RCP average polling in a 4 way race is down to a Hillary 1.1 lead.

Hillary has Fallen and She cant get Up

An election analysis conducted in the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project shows that the race has tightened considerably over the past few weeks, with Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump projected to win Florida, an essential battleground state, if the election were held today.

The project, which is based on a weekly tracking poll of more than 15,000 Americans, shows that the 2016 presidential race could end in a photo finish on Nov. 8, with the major-party candidates running nearly even in the Electoral College, the body that ultimately selects the president.

The States of the Nation project, which delivers a weekly tally of support for the candidates in every state, shows that the race has tightened in several traditional battlegrounds. Pennsylvania has been moved from a likely win for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton to a tossup; Ohio has been moved from a tossup to a likely win for Clinton.

And Florida is now considered a likely win for the Republican nominee, with 50 percent support for Trump to 46 percent support for Clinton. If the election were held today, the project estimates that Clinton has a 60 percent chance of winning by 18 electoral votes. Last week, the project estimated that Clinton had a 83 percent chance of winning the election.

In a separate national Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll, Clinton continues to lead Trump by 4 percentage points, and her recent bout with pneumonia doesn’t appear to have scared away her supporters.

Fox News Poll: Its a Dead Heat … Clinton and Trump in a One-Point Race Among Likely Voters

ITS A STATISTICAL TIE …

The most recent FOX poll shows it is a dead heat between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Interestingly enough, this is the first Fox News Poll this season that includes results among likely voters. Previous polls were registered voters. However, make no mistake about it, the presidential race has swung dramatically in the last 6 weeks and Trump has all of the momentum. The RCP average polling is proof positive that Hillary’s lead is all but gone and Trump is starting to go ahead in some polls.

Full results can be read HERE.

The presidential race is tight.  Hillary Clinton tops Donald Trump by just one point among likely voters in the four-way ballot.  In the head-to-head matchup, Trump’s up by one point.

Clinton receives 41 percent to Trump’s 40 percent, according to a new Fox News Poll, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 8 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 3 percent.

In a two-way matchup, likely voters give Trump the edge over Clinton: 46-45 percent.

The poll, released Thursday, was conducted Sunday through Wednesday evenings, at a time when Clinton faced new questions about her health after falling ill at a 9/11 memorial event.

It’s the first Fox News Poll this season that includes results among likely voters, so a direct comparison can’t be made to previous polls.

Rasmussen Poll: Democrats Want Socialist Bernie Sanders as Hillary Clinton’s Back Up If Health Issues Forced Her to Withdraw

THIS IS NOT YOUR FATHER’S DEMOCRAT PARTY. HELL, I AM NOT EVEN SURE IT IS BILL CLINTON’S DEMOCRAT PARTY EITHER …

A recent Rasmussen poll states that 48% of likely Democrat voters believe that self-proclaimed socialist and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton’s lone rival in the 2016 Democrat primaries, should be the party’s nominee if for some reason Hillary had to step down due to health issues. According to the poll results, 48% chose Bernie Sanders, Vice President Joe Biden received 22% and 14% opted for Virginia Senator Tim Kaine, the current Democratic vice presidential candidate. Another 9% wanted some one else.

First, unless Hillary Clinton does a header off the stage during a presidential debate, she will never withdraw as she cares too much about herself and she has waited her entire life for this moment. Two, what does this say about the Democrat party that would want a socialist to be their nominee? Three, Bernie fans would feel the Democrat burn as the party would never select him, if such a situation ever presented itself.

Suppose the unthinkable took place, and Hillary Clinton was forced for health reasons to step down as the Democratic presidential nominee. Who do Democrats think should take her place?

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 48% of Likely Democratic Voters believe Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, Clinton’s primary rival, should be their party’s nominee if health issues forced her out of the race. Twenty-two percent (22%) say Vice President Joe Biden should be the nominee, while only 14% opt for Virginia Senator Tim Kaine, the current Democratic vice presidential candidate. Nine percent (9%) of Democrats think it should be someone else. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Among all likely voters, it’s a closer contest. Thirty-six percent (36%) choose Sanders, 20% Biden and 14% Kaine. But 21% think the Democratic nominee should be someone else.

A plurality (46%) of voters believes the media is giving too much coverage to Clinton’s health issues. Twenty-eight percent (28%) say there’s not enough coverage, while 21% rate the level of coverage as about right.

I really have to wonder who the hell the 46% is above who thinks the media is providing too much coverage to Hillary Clinton’s health issues. Like the health of the individual who would be president is not an important thing especially when she has a history of collapsing, fainting, concussions, blood clots, not being able to climb stairs and generally looking like she is in just poor health. Where is the too much coverage? The media and the America people should be demanding we know her health history.

CBS Poll: Donald Trump Has Closed the Gap on Hillary Clinton, Race Tied in 3-Way Match Up

HILLARY CLINTON’S POLL LEAD IS COLLAPSING TOO …

With the first debate less than two weeks away, and in the wake of Hillary Clinton’s “deplorables” comment and her collapsing on Sunday, according to the most recent CBS poll, the race is a tie. This is a dead even race at this point.  In a two-way race Clinton has a two point lead; however, this is not a two person race, there are four candidates and they are all getting support. It is obvious that Trump has the momentum on the campaign trail and in the polls as Hillary Clinton sees her poll numbers and herself collapsing.

With the first debate less than two weeks away, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are in a tight race for the presidency nationally. Clinton has just a 2-point edge in a two-way match-up among likely voters. The race is tied when third party candidates are included. Among the broader electorate of registered voters, Clinton leads Trump by five points.

One disadvantage for Clinton is diminished voter enthusiasm. Democrats are less enthusiastic about voting now than they were in August.

More than four in 10 voters think each presidential candidate should release more of their medical records.  This poll was conducted before either candidate’s recent release of medical information.

With Election Day just under eight weeks away, the race for President nationwide is tight. In a two-way match-up, Clinton has a slim edge over Trump, 46 – 44 percent among likely voters who support or lean toward a candidate.