Charlie Cook Says, This is One of “the Most Dramatic Shifts I’ve Ever Seen in 40 Years of Involvement in Politics” Referring to the Generic Congressional Ballot

Charlie Cook, political polling extraordinaire of the Cook Political Report, stated that the recent political environment that it is “one of the most dramatic shifts I’ve ever seen in 40 years of involvement in politics.” The shift that Cook is referring to has Democrats in a panic as they try and find answers to right the ship that is taking on water after the failed launch of the Obamacare website and the misrepresentations and lies from President Obama that if you liked your healthcare plan, you could keep it, Period! The Obama mistrust has caused a ripple affect with the Generic Congressional ballot as Obamacare was passed 100% on a partisan Democrat vote. Democrats are damned no matter which way they turn, they can admit Obamacare was a complete mistake that they passed without reading or they can double down and infuriate the American people.

Sure enough, the Democratic numbers in the generic ballot began to pull dramatically ahead, resembling a steep ascent up the side of a mountain, ending about 7 points ahead of Republicans, 45 percent to 38 percent—an advantage that, were it to last until the election, would give Democrats a chance to recapture the House.

Then, in mid-October, the focus shifted from the government-shutdown fiasco to a different debacle, this time a Democratic disaster: the botched launch of the Obamacare website and subsequent implementation problems of the health care law, including termination notices going out to many people who had insurance coverage. The Democratic numbers from the generic-ballot test dropped from 45 percent to 37 percent, and Republicans moved up to 40 percent. This 10-point net shift from a Democratic advantage of 7 points to a GOP edge of 3 points in just over a month is breathtaking, perhaps an unprecedented swing in such a short period. Occurring around Election Day, such a shift would probably amount to the difference between Democrats picking up at least 10 House seats, possibly even the 17 needed for a majority, and instead losing a half-dozen or so seats.

Of course, with the election 11 months away, it’s too early to get really excited about this turnabout, but it demonstrates the volatility we are seeing these days in American politics. It must also give Democrats a sense of déjà vu, back to when the bottom fell out for them during the 2009-10 fight over passage of the Affordable Care Act. In that case, though, they suffered a gradual decline in party fortunes, starting in the summer of 2009 and culminating in the loss of 63 seats and the House majority in November 2010—the biggest drop in House seats for either party since 1948 and the largest in a midterm election since 1938. Democrats didn’t fare much better in the Senate, losing six seats.

From the Cook Political Report, ‘Everyone Hates Washington, but Democrats More Vulnerable.’

If there were a theme for 2014 midterms, it would be “fear and loathing of Washington, D.C.”

Congress is as about as popular as gonorrhea. President Obama’s approval ratings and personal ratings are at the lowest point of his presidency. Republicans, as well, have seen their favorable ratings hit all-time lows.

But while neither party can escape blame or scorn, Democrats are more likely to feel the fall-out than Republicans. Why? Democrats have more vulnerable seats in play in both the House and the Senate. The President’s approval ratings are a bigger driver of electoral outcomes than that of Congress. The Obamacare issue is more likely to be an anvil than a benefit politically for the Democrats. And, of course, there’s history working against Democrats too. See; Itch, Six Year.

But as stated at Hot Air, this is no reason for the GOP to start popping the champagne which I would agree with 100%. Although, the only thing I would disagree with is that the notion that there should be no more problems with the website and no more people will lose their insurance. The American people are not forgiving  when it comes to being lied to. The web site continues to have problems on the back end as they had to  admit that many who enrolled, one in four, or thought they enrolled may not really be. Also, doctors are running away from Obamacare like it is the plague, and it is. Also, even with Obama trying to postpone the enrollment period for the employer mandate until after the 2014 elections, the cancellation notices will be going out long before that.

Republican’s should not allow their present advantage in the generic ballot to spur them to purchase food and beer for a victory party, the 2014 mid-terms are a long time away and their is much that can happen.

Their latest advantage was not built on anything the GOP did, but on the failed Obamacare launch. Americans forgive and forget easily. However unlikely the scenario, should there be no more issues with the website and no more people losing the plans they were promised they could keep, the initial negative effect of the bad launch could wane.

Barack Obama Approval Down 23 Points Among Hispanics in Past Year from 75% to 52%

Barack Obama en el otoño político libre …

According to a recent Gallup poll, it appears that some one’s job approval poll numbers are in free fall with pretty much every demographic, and Hispanics are at the top of the list. Barack Obama’s job approval numbers are down with Latinos this year from 75% to 52%. ¡Dios mío … I guess me can expect an Obama mad rush for amnesty.  However, that is not the only group that Obama has lost ground with. Obama has also lost Moderates (-16), 18-29 year olds (-15), Independents (-15), women (-14), Conservative Democrats (-14) , Democrats (-13), 30-49 year olds (-12), 50-64 year olds (-12) and even Blacks at -9. However, it appears that Legal Insurrection has found one group that has maintained their support for Obama, Conservative Republicans are only at -2, down from 7% to 5%. HA!

Not only does Obama not have coattails, he is now considered toxic.

Can we call this a total and complete loss of the America people? Imagine if the election was held today with the American people knowing the truth about many of Obama’s lies and the MSM was forced into not carrying the water 100% of the time for their leader?

From Gallup:

President Barack Obama’s job approval rating averaged 41% in November, down 12 percentage points from 53% last December, his high-water mark since his first year in office. Hispanics’ approval has dropped 23 points over the last 12 months, the most among major subgroups, and nearly twice the national average.

Hispanics’ approval ratings of Obama have shown the most variation of any group’s ratings throughout his presidency. That means their views of him are less firmly anchored than those of other groups, which may help explain why their opinions of the president soured more than any other group’s in recent months. Despite the significant decline in their approval ratings over the past 12 months, a majority of Hispanics, 52%, still approve of the job Obama is doing.

A note to Republicans, namely Speaker John Boehner and the GOP leadership in the House … if you pass a BS amnesty bill you will collapse the Republican party forever. Hot Air correctly points out that the Democrats do not own the Latino vote. You have an opportunity to make real reform with immigration and deal with this issue in a common sense way.  One of those is to actually uphold the oaths that all of you took and to follow the US Constitution and uphold the laws of the land. I have always believed that Hispanics were not a monolithic voting block and were interested in many things other than immigration (amnesty), like the economy, real healthcare reform, jobs and the truth.

If the first two months of ObamaCare could push him nearly underwater with Latinos, what will another year of rate shock and shrinking provider networks do? Without lifting a finger, the GOP may be back in play for this demographic — not so much that they’d win it outright, but enough that they could close the gap to, say 15-20 points instead of 40-45. In a tight election, that would be ruinous for Democrats.

“Young Invincibles” Turn on Obama in a Major Way … Harvard Poll: Millennial’s 18-29 Year-Olds Says 54% Disapprove of Obama’s Job Performance, 61% Disapproved of his Handling of Healthcare & 57% Disapproved of the Affordable Care Act

 Millennial Buyers Remorse …

OUCH … 18  to 29 year-olds are in revolt against President Barack Obama, how he has handled his job, healthcare and Obamacare itself!!!

Hey Mr. President … the millennial’s just are not that into you anymore now that they know they truth and they have been lied to and used. Couple the healthcare lies with the NSA spying scandals and the youth that so supported Barack Obama in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections now learn that there is nothing “Hopey-Changey” about Obama. He is the same old, same old lying politicians. Maybe even worse. According to a new Harvard IOP poll, among the 18- 29- year olds currently without health insurance, less than 1/3 say they’re likely to enroll in the exchange. 13% say they will definitely enroll, 16% say they will probably enroll; 41% say they are 50-50 at the moment.

• 54% Disapprove of Obama’s Job Performance
• 61% Disapproved of his Handling of Healthcare
• 57% Disapproved of the Affordable Care Act
• 44% said they think the quality of their health care will get worse

The  Millennials actually now look more like the rest of the voter electorate.

Poll – Harvard University Institute of Politics

The Hill:

The trend is daunting for the White House but not necessarily surprising,” said Pew Research Center Director Michael Dimock.

“Younger folks are part of Obama’s base … but the rollout confirmed concerns that were already in their minds.”

A poll released Wednesday by Harvard University’s Institute of Politics found that more than half of 18- to 29-year-olds disapprove of ObamaCare and believe it will raise their healthcare costs.

Even more troubling for the administration is that less than one-third of uninsured young people said they plan to enroll in coverage.

Without a large number of young, healthy people in the insurance exchanges, it could create a “death spiral” of high premiums that could threaten the long-term viability of the marketplaces.

The White House appears to recognize the growing threat, and is making outreach to younger people a major focus of its ObamaCare relaunch.

The president began the effort on Wednesday with a youth summit at the White House where he urged audience members to spread the word about the new healthcare exchanges — and think hard about their own health risks.

IOP Releases New Fall Poll, 5 Key Findings And Trends in Millennial Viewpoints -

Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid Says Let ‘We the People’ Eat Obamacare … To Exempt Some of his Staff From Having to Buy Insurance Through Obamacare

If any law maker ever passes inflicts a law on the American people and does not have to abide by it themselves, should be thrown out of office. Enter Democrat Majority Leader Harry Reid who has exempted some of his staff from following the very law that Democrats passed along a partisan vote on the American people. No double standard here.

What, me accept Obamacare … are you crazy!!!

Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, one of Obamacare’s architects and staunchest supporters, is also the only top congressional leader to exempt some of his staff from having to buy insurance through the law’s new exchanges.

Reid is the exception among the other top congressional leaders. GOP House Speaker John Boehner, House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi and Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell have all directed their staffs to join the exchange, their aides said.

In the charged atmosphere surrounding Obamacare, Reid’s decision only gives Republicans more ammo to attack Democrats already suffering politically from the law’s botched rollout.

Senator John Cornyn (R-TX) Says of the Obama Administration: “I Think the Current Administration Has Taken Lying to a New Level”

Senator John Cornyn is finally on board with Scared Monkeys … Barack Obama is The Lion Lying King …

Last night on the Kelly File’s, Megyn Kelly discussed with Obama sycophant and  National Press Secretary for Obama’s 2012 campaign  Ben Labolt about Sen. Cornyn’s comment that, “I think the current administration has taken lying to a new level.” In typical Obama/Saul Alinsky fashion, Labolt attacked Republicans for the failures of Obamacare. Pathetic. Then he went on to lie and say that Obama apologized for lying to Americans, that they could keep their healthcare plan if they liked it, Period! Of course Kelly was quick to correct the Obama mouth peice to say that what the president said was that he was sorry that people found themselves in the situation they are in because of something he said.  And of course there was the typical “blame Bush” attack. What a pathetic bunch of people who just are incapable of telling the truth and owning up to it when they are caught red handed.

Come on America, I think it was pretty obvious that Barack Obama, Democrats and their minions mislead and lied to the American people.

The Politico:

Sen. John Cornyn says the White House has been lying about the attack on the U.S. diplomatic mission in Benghazi, Libya, and accused them of a cover-up.

“I think the current administration has taken lying to a new level,” Cornyn said during a Google hangout on Monday in response to a question about Benghazi.

Cornyn praised the work of House Oversight and Government Reform Committee Chairman Darrell Issa, who has tried to subpoena information and witnesses from the State Department. The senator said Congress should use “all the tools available … to hold people accountable.”

“It’s harder when the administration decides to cover this up and mislead and to change the subject, which they seem very good at doing, but … I assure you we’re not going to let this one go,” Cornyn said. “To me that’s the one thing that I find most aggravating about what’s happening in Washington these days and particularly about this administration, which is a lack of accountability and the willingness to mislead people or provide them just demonstrably false information and expect to be able to move on.”