Louisiana US Senate Runoff Election Day: Rep. Bill Cassidy (R) and Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) … Incumbent Landrieu Headed for Historic Defeat
Louisiana Senate runoff election day:
Today, December 6, 2014, is the runoff US Senate election in Louisiana between challenger, Rep. Bill Cassidy and incumbent Sen. Mary Landrieu. As reported at FiveThirtyEight, it appears that Sen. Landrieu is headed for an epic and historic defeat. The FiveThirtyEight model projects Landrieu losing by a 57.8% to 42.2% margin. It may not be the greatest defeat for an incumbent senator; however, it would be in the top 10. Mary Landrieu’s last gasp for any shot of winning reelection went up in flames with her “Fail Mary” XL Keystone pipeline Senate vote. That was pretty much, game, set and match for the incumbent. According to the RCP polling average, Cassidy leads Landrieu by 20.2 points.
By days end, the Republican party will have a +9 senate pickup for 2014.
The FiveThirtyEight model projects her losing the runoff 99.8 percent of the time, and by a 57.8 percent to 42.2 percent margin. That’s mostly based on polling, which can be unreliable in a low-turnout runoff.
What else do we know? The early voters in the Louisiana runoff have been vastly more Republican-leaning than early voters in last month’s election. And while whites were only 65 percent of early voters in November, they have been 70 percent for the runoff. Registered Republicans were only 34 percent of early voters in November, but they’ve been 39 percent of early voters for the runoff.
If this change in voter makeup holds on Saturday, it’s obviously very bad news for Landrieu. Assuming she wins the same percentage of white voters as Democratic candidates did in November, she’ll lose the runoff by roughly 60 percent to 40 percent, or about what the model forecasts.
A defeat that large would be the largest for an incumbent this year, topping Arkansas Sen. Mark Pryor’s 17-point loss. It would come close to Arkansas’s Blanche Lincoln’s 21-point loss in 2010, which ranks as the eighth-largest ever, as well as the largest loss for an incumbent since William Hathaway of Maine in 1978.
Posted December 6, 2014 by Scared Monkeys 2014 Elections, Polls, Senate, Senate Elections | no comments |
Ben Carson Says that Race Relations Were Better Before President Barack Obama … Things Have Gotten Worse Because of Obama’s Manipulation of Minority Communities
RACE RELATIONS WORSE UNDER OBAMA … THE GREAT DIVIDER.
With the backdrop of the racially charged Ferguson, Missouri unrest in the “no true bill,” no indictment of officer Darren Wilson in the shooting death of Michael Brown, former John Hopkins neurosurgeon and probably GOP 2016 presidential hopeful Ben Carson was interviewed on The Hugh Hewitt radio show, had nothing good to say regarding President Barack Obama and race relations in the United States. Carson stated that race relations have gotten worse under the first black president as “things were better before this president was elected”. I would have to agree. When asked whether Obama plays the race card, Carson said … “yes, absolutely.”
Carson cited Obama’s criticism of the police in the Henry Louis Gates incident and his remarks that his son would look like Trayvon Martin and accused the president and other progressives of trying to “manipulate, particularly minority communities to make them feel that they are victims.” And that the president “absolutely” plays the race card, but he said the president was attempting not to do so in the aftermath of the grand jury decision regarding Officer Darren Wilson.
What is sad is that many people thought that the election of Barack Obama would make the situation between the races better. In 2008, exit polls showed that voters were optimistic as they elected Obama … 47% said they thought race relations would get better, 34% said they would stay about the same and only 15% expected them to deteriorate. Personally, I thought they were out of their minds. Especially because Barack Obama had been a “community organizer” and a member of a black liberation theology church in Chicago with Reverend Jeremiah Wright as his pastor. That was then, this is now. In NBC 2014 exit polls, only 20% think things have gotten better, while 38% believe it has gotten worse.
Amid episodes like the unrest over the summer in Ferguson, Missouri, how have American voters’ perceptions of race relations changed since Barack Obama was elected the nation’s first black president? The 2014 NBC News national exit poll found that voters are twice as likely to say that things have gotten worse than say they have improved.
In the historic 2008 election, the exit poll asked voters how they thought race relations in this country would fare in the next few years. On balance, voters were optimistic as they elected Obama – 47% said they thought race relations would get better. Thirty-four percent thought they would stay about the same. Just 15% expected them to deteriorate.
New IBD/TIPP Poll Obama Poisoned Race Relations In America:
Our latest poll suggests that far from healing America’s racial wounds, the first black president has reopened them. Obama the uniter is actually the great divider.
By an almost 3-1 margin, Americans say race relations have worsened under the man who was supposed to usher in a golden era of “post-racial” relations.
Six years after electing the nation’s first black president, a stunning 46% in the new IBD/TIPP Poll draw that conclusion compared to 18% who don’t. Nearly one in four believe race relations have gotten “much worse” under President Obama, while 35% say they’ve stayed the same.
Posted November 26, 2014 by Scared Monkeys 2014 Elections, Barack Obama, Benjamin Carson, Black Vote, Community Agitator, Democrats, Divider in Chief, Epic Fail, Hope and Change, Obamanation, Polls, Race Card, Racism, The Lying King, You Tube - VIDEO | 2 comments |
SNL’s Barack Obama Pushes The Schoolhouse Rock Immigraton Bill Down The Capitol Steps … Making His Own Executive Order
What makes good humor is it has to contain some truth. What makes great humor is it is 100% the truth …
Last night SNL opened the show with a skit that was fantastically funny and pathetically sad all at the same time. For all those who are old enough to remember the School House Rocks, ‘I’m Just a Bill,’ completely understood the biting sarcasm and mockery of the political system. Instead of the way we learned it as kids and the way the US Constitution provides for … “I’m just a bill, yes I’m only a bill, and I’m sitting here on Capitol Hill,” Barack Obama decided to change law on his own. The result, SNL’s I’m an executive order.
As the immigration bill sings to the young boy explaining how a law is made, Obama tosses the bill down the Capitol Hill steps in lieu of his executive order, “I’m an executive order and I pretty much just happen”.
Boy: [After Obama pushes the bill down the Capitol Hill steps] President Obama, what’s the big idea, that bill was just trying to become a law.
Obama: I realize that. But you know son there is an even easier way to get things done around here. It’s called an executive order.
Executive Order: “I’m an executive order and I pretty much just happen”. And that’s it.
Boy: Wait a second, don’t you have to go through Congress at some point?
Executive Order: Awe, that’s adorable. You still think that’s how government works. Ha, ha, ha.
Immigration Bill: [After climbing back up the steps] Don’t listen to them son. Look at the midterm elections, people clearly don’t want this, ahh [Obama pushes the bill down the steps again].
Boy: Mr President, is this Constitutional?
Obama: Of course, Presidents issue executive orders all the time.
Executive Order: That’s right. I could do lots of things. I’ll create national park or a new holiday.
Obama: Or grant legal status to 5 million undocumented immigrants.
Executive Order: Wait, what!!!
Obama: Yup, that’s what you are going to do.
Executive Order: Om my God, I didn’t have time to read myself. Whoa!!! OK, go big or go home, huh?
Finally, the first biting political spoof from Saturday Night Live in a while: the Bill from Schoolhouse Rock explains to a student how he becomes a law, only to be violently beat up by Barack Obama and his new best friend, “Executive Order.”
Even then, the poor Executive Order still thinks he’s used for simple things, like declaring holidays and creating national parks, until Obama informs him that he’s going to be used to grant amnesty to 5 million undocumented immigrants. His reaction: “Whoa.”
Barack Obama Says, “American People Will Want that “New Car Smell” with “Not Much Mileage” For the 2016 Presidential Campaign
In an ABC News interview with George Stephanopoulos, President Barack Obama made some rather peculiar comments with regards to Hillary Clinton. When asked about Hillary Clinton and her possible run for president in 2016, Obama said the following, “… she and a number of other possible Democrat candidates would be terrific presidents.” Obama then went on to say, “if she decides to run, I think she will be a formidable candidate. I think she will make a great president”. He did this while making a face, at the 1:04 mark. Then came the money line of the interview …
“I think the American people, you know, they’re going to want that new car smell. You know, they want to drive something off the lot that — that doesn’t have as much mileage as me.”
I believe that Obama made a back-handed slap at Hillary Clinton referencing a “new car smell” and one with “not much mileage”. However, mainly I think he was referring to himself as being so unpopular by 2016 rolls around that no one will probably want him stumping for them, much like in 2014. If you think Obama was toxic in 2014, just wait until 2016. What was a direct slap to Hillary was when he was specifically asked about her, Obama said that a number of other possible Democrat candidates would be terrific presidents. Hardly a ringing endorsement.
More ABC US news | ABC World News
“I think the American people, you know, they’re going to want that new car smell,” Obama said in an interview that aired Sunday on ABC’s “This Week.” “You know, they want to drive something off the lot that — that doesn’t have as much mileage as me.”
“When you’ve been president for six years, you know, you’ve got some dings,” Obama said. “You know, they’re probably not going to be looking at me to campaign too much.”
“I think at the end of two years if — if they want me to do some selective things, I’ll be happy to do them, but I suspect that folks will be ready to see me go off to the next thing.”
“I am very interested in making sure that I’ve got a Democratic successor,” Obama said. “So I’m going to do everything I can, obviously, to make sure that whoever the nominee is, is successful.”
She hasn’t announced so I don’t want to jump the gun,” Obama said about former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whom he said he speaks with regularly. “If she decides to run, I think she will be a formidable candidate and I think she’d be a great president.”
“She’s not going to agree with me on everything,” the President continued. “And, you know, one of the benefits of running for president is you can stake out your own positions — and have a clean slate, a fresh start.”
UPDATE I: Obama Is Damaging Hillary’s Chances.
Which leads perfectly into the WSJ article of how Barack Obama is damaging and will damage Hillary Clinton’s presidential nominee chances. Hillary Clinton is linked directly to the Obama presidency and is hardly considered one with a “new car smell”. Just like in 2014, Obama may not have been on the ballot, but his policies were. The same will hold true in 2016. Turnabout is fair play. Obama ran against GWB, Democrats are going to have to distance themselves from Obama.
President Obama ’s high-risk immigration gamble may have severe consequences for Washington, the country and the Democratic Party, most of all Hillary Clinton .
Mrs. Clinton’s putative bid for the Democratic presidential nomination is already running into trouble. The national exit poll from the recently completed midterm elections showed her with less than a majority of voters (43%) saying she would make a good president. When pitted against an unnamed Republican candidate, Mrs. Clinton lost 40% to 34%.
Those grim numbers followed on a September WSJ/NBC poll showing a plunge in Mrs. Clinton’s favorability rating, to 43%, from 59% in 2009.
Posted November 24, 2014 by Scared Monkeys 2014 Elections, 2016 Elections, Barack Obama, Campaigner in Chief, Community Agitator, Democrats, Divider in Chief, Epic Fail, Hillary Clinton, Liberals, Misleader, Obamanation, Presidential Contenders, Progressives, The Lying King, WTF, You Tube - VIDEO | 3 comments |
Vox Populi Polling: Republican Bill Cassidy Leads Democrat Incumbent Senator Mary Landrieu 53% to 42% Ahead of Louisiana US Senate Election
Ahead of the December 6th Louisiana US Senate runoff election, a Vox Populi poll has Republican challenger US Rep. Bill Cassidy leading Democrat incumbent Senator Mary Landrieu, 53% to 42%. This on the foot-heals of Sen. Landrieu’s failure to deliver passage of the XL Keystone pipeline bill in the Senate. Between Landrieu’s failures and President Barack Obama’s poor approval ratings, it would appear that the GOP will have a net pick up of 9 senate seats for the 2014 midterm elections. Add Obama’s illegal execution order of amnesty to the mix as well.
A new Louisiana survey released by Vox Populi Polling today found that Republican U.S. Senate candidate Bill Cassidy leads Democrat Senator Mary Landrieu 53 to 42 percent, with 5 percent unsure. In addition, Cassidy is up big with Independents, winning with them 58 to 31 percent over Landrieu. Cassidy has seen a big bump after the Nov. 4 open primary. In our recent Oct. 13-14 survey, Cassidy led Landrieu 48 to 44 percent in a head-to-head, with 8 percent unsure.
On the heels of last night’s United States Senate vote on the Keystone XL Pipeline, it is interesting to note that voters aren’t moved by Mary Landrieu’s efforts to bring the legislation before the Senate for a floor vote. When asked if it made voters more likely to vote for the incumbent Democrat, 39 percent said it made them more likely to vote for Bill Cassidy and 32 percent said it made them more likely to vote for Mary Landrieu.
RCP has Cassidy far out ahead of Landrieu by 16 points.
Posted November 20, 2014 by Scared Monkeys 2014 Elections, Barack Obama, Epic Fail, Misleader, Polls, Senate, Senate Elections | no comments |