There is a storm on the horizon for democrats for the 2010 midterm elections and it is called “LIKELY VOTERS”.
According to the most recent Gallup poll, Republicans have a small lead with registered voters; however, it is the “likely voters” where the GOP has a commanding lead over Democrats. With a high or low voter turnout with likely voters, Republicans have a double digit lead, 13% to 18% lead over Democrats.
YIKES!!! Democrats got an early Halloween present from Gallup and it is frightening, it truly is the scary season.
Isn’t it interesting that the closer we get to the 2010 midterm elections, Gallup is refining their polls to more reflect what should be the outcome of the elections. After all, no polling firm whats to look like a homer and have bad data. They are starting to look at likely vs. the usual registered that they report. Polling data is about who is going to be motivated to vote, not who just might be registered. Many races do not reflect the enthusiasm gap that exists between the GOP and Democrats.
There are going to be a lot of shocked individuals the night of November 2, 2010 as voter enthusiasm will win the day.