GOP ahead in Generic Congressional Ballot …
According to the most recent Gallup poll,the GOP is back in the lead in the Generic Congressional Ballot by a 48% to 43% margin. However, what may be the biggest concern to Democrats and candidates running in this years 2010 midterm elections is the wide margin that Republicans have in voter enthusiasm. Although the Gallup poll has been erratic of late, one thing is for certain as the Weekly Standard points out … “the GOP has a huge lead among independent voters”.
Registered-voter preferences for Congress since the beginning of August have averaged 48% for Republican candidates and 43% for Democratic candidates, identical to this week’s results. While there have been a few instances in recent months when the Republicans were not ahead to at least some degree — including in mid-July, when the Democrats were up by six percentage points, and last week, when the parties were tied at 46% — the broad picture has generally been positive for the Republicans.
Rasmussen has Republicans out ahead of Democrats in the Generic Congressional Ballot by 9% points, 47% to 38%. How will this andvoter enthusiasm play into the close races where Democrat incumbents are not at the 50% threshold and the undecided vote could sway to the new candidate and swing the election?
Real Clear Politics average polling has the GOP up by a 7.8% margin. That is considered a huge margin when one factors in it si an average of numerous polls, all showing Republicans with a commanding lead in the Generic Congressional ballot.